| 23-07-2026 19:15 |
Leiknir Reykjavik |
- |
Throttur Reykjavik |
Under 3.0,3.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total of 3.00 goals (home avg 1.60, away avg 1.80, home concede 1.40, away concede 1.20) is below the effective line of 3.25. Home (70%) and away (60%) recent matches have trended under 3.5 goals. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate (home GL_5 1.70, away GL_5 1.60) and aligns with the under direction, strengthening the case despite the over-first philosophy. |
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| 23-07-2026 19:15 |
Selfoss Women |
- |
Keflavik Women |
Over 3.25 Goals |
77% |
Expected total goals 4.15 (home avg 1.70 scored, 3.30 conceded; away avg 1.50 scored, 1.80 conceded) exceeds line of 3.25. Selfoss recent matches have 60% over 3.25 (6/10), and Keflavik's GL_5 variance of 2.15 indicates consistent bookmaker mispricing favoring Over. Gap of 0.9 goals from line supports strong Over edge. |
|
| 23-07-2026 23:00 |
Mahaut Soca Strikers |
- |
Portsmouth Bombers |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 5.00 goals from averages (home 2.70 scored, away 3.40 conceded; away 2.30 scored, home 1.60 conceded) vs line 3.5, a gap of 1.5 goals. Home team Mahaut Soca Strikers has 60% Over last 10 (including 4-2, 4-0, 3-2, 3-1), away team Portsmouth Bombers has 50% Over but shows severe defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away, avg conceded 3.4). Bookmaker mispricing is strong: home GL_5 2.00, away GL_5 2.35, both well above 1.8, indicating the line is consistently set too low. Likelihood 80% for Over 3.5. This combination makes Over 3.5 the highest-confidence bet. |
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| 24-07-2026 01:00 |
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
- |
UMECIT Reserves |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.20 (home 1.60/away con 1.50 + away 1.90/home con 1.40) far exceeds the 2.75 line. Sporting SM Reserves are 80% Over in home matches (4 of 5) and UMECIT Reserves have conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away, a strong structural over signal. H2H is neutral with 2 prior meetings both under, but recent form and defensive fragility outweigh. Bookmaker mispricing mild but accelerating. Capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 24-07-2026 09:30 |
St Albans Saints |
- |
Hume City |
Hume City -0.5 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Hume City won 4 of their last 5 away matches by 2 or more goals, covering -0.5 each time (80%). St Albans home AH record is 2 wins, 3 losses with +0.5, showing fragility. Standings (2nd vs 9th) strongly support the favourite, and with no qualifying Over/Under goal line or corners bet available, the Asian Handicap offers the best value. |
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| 24-07-2026 09:30 |
Brisbane Olympic FC Women |
- |
Brisbane City Women |
Under 1.25 First Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 1.10 (home 0.60 scored + away 0.10 conceded = 0.70/2 + away 1.00 scored + home 0.50 conceded = 1.50/2 → 0.35+0.75=1.10) vs line 1.25. Brisbane Olympic home 1H under 70% (7/10) and Brisbane City away 1H under 80% (8/10), both strong patterns. Both teams are low 1st half scorers, with Olympic failing to score in home 1H in recent matches. Full-time goal line mispricing at home (GL_5=2.00, accelerating) adds caution but the 1H under trend is dominant. |
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| 24-07-2026 10:00 |
Fraser Park |
- |
Gladesville Ryde Magic |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected goals 4.40 (Fraser Park home: 2.20 scored, 1.80 conceded; Gladesville away: 1.70 scored, 3.10 conceded) dwarfs the 3.5 line. 60% of Fraser Park's last 10 and 80% of Gladesville's went Over 3.5; Gladesville's away defence is perilous (conceded 2+ in all three recent aways). Bookmaker mispricing is severe (home GL_5 2.30, away 1.90), confirming persistent undervaluation of goals. |
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| 24-07-2026 10:00 |
Campbelltown City Women |
- |
Adelaide Comets Women |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total is 4.00 (home avg 2.80 scored at home + away conceded 1.30 away; away scored 3.10 away + home conceded 0.80 at home). Adelaide Comets have gone Over 3.5 in 8 of 10 matches, while Campbelltown hover at 50%. Home team shows strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.20), adding edge to the Over. The most recent H2H finished 3-2, and 1st-half expected total was 1.80 but home HT history failed to support a bet there. |
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| 24-07-2026 10:15 |
Oakleigh Cannons |
- |
South Melbourne |
Oakleigh Cannons -0.75 Asian Handicap |
72% |
Oakleigh Cannons lead the league with a 15-point gap over 6th-placed South Melbourne. H2H shows two 3-0 wins, and Oakleigh have covered -0.75 in 4 of their last 5 matches, including 3 straight home wins by 2+ goals. South Melbourne have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away matches, signalling a defensive fragility that makes it difficult for them to stay within one goal. |
|
| 24-07-2026 10:30 |
Brunswick City |
- |
Western United FC NPL |
Over 3.5/4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.40 goals (home scored 1.40 + conceded 2.40, away scored 2.30 + conceded 2.70) vs line 3.75. Western United conceded 3+ in all 5 away matches; 80% of their away games went over. Bookmaker mispricing is severe (away GL_5 3.10, home 2.15, both accelerating). Confidence capped at 82% (standard ceiling) due to only 1 H2H meeting. |
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| 24-07-2026 10:30 |
Gimhae FC 2008 |
- |
Chungbuk Cheongju |
Over 8.0 Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners 9.95 (home 3.30 + conceded 6.00 / away 4.40 + conceded 6.20) clearly above the 8.0 line. Gimhae home matches Over 8.0 corners 3 of 4 (75%), Chungbuk Cheongju away matches Over 8.0 corners 4 of 4 (100%). Both teams fighting at the bottom creates an open game with sustained attacking pressure and high corner counts. No H2H data. |
|
| 24-07-2026 10:30 |
Seoul E-Land FC |
- |
Cheonan City |
Over 2.75 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 2.90 (Home: 1.70 scored, 1.80 conceded at home; Away: 1.10 scored, 1.20 conceded away) vs line 2.75. Seoul E-Land home matches Over 2.5 in 80%, Cheonan away Over 2.5 in 60%. Market pricing error GL_5 home 1.60 aligns with Over direction, adding moderate edge. |
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| 24-07-2026 10:30 |
Essendon Royals |
- |
Kingston City |
Over 3.75 Goals |
72% |
Expected total 3.70 (Home 2.70 scored + Away 2.20 conceded /2 = 2.45; Away 1.20 scored + Home 1.30 conceded /2 = 1.25) closely matches the 3.75 line. Essendon's last 10 matches saw 60% over 3.5 goals and Kingston's away 50%, with their sole H2H a 3-0 win. The 3rd vs 12th quality gap, Kingston conceding 2+ in 3 of last 5 away trips, and Essendon's home form surge add strong Over value, amplified by Essendon's severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.50 accelerating). |
|
| 24-07-2026 16:00 |
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz |
- |
FC Silon Taborsko |
Over 2.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected total goals 3.00 (home 1.70 scored + away 2.40 conceded, away 0.80 scored + home 1.10 conceded) vs line 2.5. Away side have conceded 3+ in 4 of last 5 away games and 8 of their last 10 matches saw Over 2.5 goals. Both H2H meetings finished 3-0. |
|
| 24-07-2026 16:00 |
FK Siauliai |
- |
Hegelmann Litauen |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
68% |
Expected 1st half total 1.50 (home 0.60 scored + away 1.00 conceded /2, away 0.40 scored + home 1.00 conceded /2) vs line 1.0, a +0.50 edge. Home's last 5 home halves: 3/5 over 1.0 goals (75%); away's last 7 away halves: 4/7 over 1.0 (57%). Both teams show defensive fragility early, with Hegelmann conceding 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches and Siauliai conceding heavily at home. No 1st half H2H data to override this Over signal. |
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| 24-07-2026 18:00 |
Volsungur |
- |
Grindavik |
Over 3.25 Goals |
80% |
Expected total 3.45 exceeds line 3.25 (gap 0.20), with Volsungur home matches 3 of 5 over 3.25 and Grindavik away conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 4 away matches. Bookmaker mispricing is severe, with Volsungur GL_5 at 2.65 (accelerating) indicating market under‑estimates goals, supported by shot‑based match potential of 5.14. |
|
| 24-07-2026 18:00 |
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus |
- |
Ujpest |
Over 2.75 Goals |
80% |
Expected total 3.35 goals (home 1.60 scored + 1.80 conceded, away 1.70 scored + 1.60 conceded) vs line 2.75. Both teams have 60% Over 2.75 in recent matches. Nyiregyhaza scored 2+ in 4 of last 5 home games; Ujpest conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away travels. H2H saw 9, 2, and 4 goals, with 2 of 3 over. Confidence capped at standard 82% after stacking discipline. |
|
| 24-07-2026 18:15 |
Arda Kardzhali |
- |
Slavia Sofia |
Slavia Sofia +0.75 Asian Handicap |
68% |
Slavia Sofia +0.75: Slavia's recent AH record shows 3 wins in last 5 (1 void, 1 loss) while Arda has only 1 win and 4 losses. In Slavia's last 10 matches, they lost by 2+ goals only twice (20%), meaning +0.75 would have covered in 70% of games (full or half win). H2H is balanced (1-1 win each). Expected total 2.50 equals the 2.5 goal line, giving no edge on goal markets. |
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| 24-07-2026 18:45 |
Cobh Ramblers |
- |
Bray Wanderers |
|
67% |
Bray Wanderers have covered the Asian handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%), while Cobh Ramblers have covered just 1 of 5 (20%). Bray sit 2nd in the standings, 6 points ahead of 5th-placed Cobh, providing a supportive standings gap. H2H is mixed, but the significant gap in recent AH performance and higher league position give Bray the edge with a level handicap. |
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| 24-07-2026 19:15 |
Njardvik |
- |
HK Kopavogur |
Over 1.25 1st Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 2.10 (home: 1.00 scored / 0.40 conceded at home HT; away: 1.70 scored / 1.10 conceded away HT) far exceeds line 1.25. HK Kopavogur's away matches average 2.8 HT total goals, with 60% over this line. Both teams show severe full-time goal market mispricing (GL_5 2.35 home, 2.45 away), supporting Over. |
|
| 24-07-2026 19:15 |
Haukar Women |
- |
HK Kopavogur Women |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.25 (1.9 home, 2.35 away) vs line 3.5, gap 0.75. Haukar home Over 3.5: 3/5 (60%); HK away Over 3.5: 3/4 (75%). Away GL_5 2.10 signals strong bookmaker mispricing; away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away, confirming defensive fragility. H2H totals 3 & 6. Capped at 82% tier. |
|
| 24-07-2026 19:15 |
Fjolnir |
- |
Haukar |
Over 3.75 Goals |
71% |
Expected total 4.15 (Fjolnir home: 2.50 for, 2.00 against; Haukar away: 2.80 for, 1.00 against) vs line 3.75 gives +0.40 gap. Common opponents (Kari, Selfoss, KFG, Magni) all produced 4+ goals. Both teams need points in tight promotion race; title-chasing Haukar and mid-table Fjolnir likely to open up. Mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.20/1.35) supports Over. |
|
| 24-07-2026 19:15 |
Ymir Kopavogur |
- |
KH Hlidarendi |
Over 1.75 First Half Goals |
73% |
Expected 1st half total 1.85 vs a 1.75 line, driven by KH Hlidarendi's away 1st half average of 1.30 goals scored and Ymir's home 1st half conceded 0.70. KH's away matches have seen 2+ first-half goals in all 4 (100%), while Ymir's home first halves have been mixed. The quality gap (KH 4th overall, 1st away; Ymir 9th) and KH's consistent early scoring provide structural Over signals. |
|
| 24-07-2026 20:00 |
Hviti Riddarinn |
- |
Kari |
Over 4.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 3.95 (home: scored 1.40, conceded 1.90 at home; away: scored 2.80, conceded 1.80 away). Kari's last 10 matches saw 60% Over 4.0, while Hviti only 20% but with structural over signals: Kari conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (defensive fragility), quality gap (3rd vs 11th, top-4 vs bottom-4) and attacking form. Bookmaker mispricing mild (GL_5 1.30 both sides). |
|
| 24-07-2026 20:00 |
Vikingur Reykjavik |
- |
Keflavik |
Over 11.5 Corners |
65% |
Expected corners 11.55 vs line 11.5; Vikingur home corners over 11.5 in 2 of 3 matches (67%), Keflavik away corners 50% over; Asian Corners variance for Keflavik is 2.50 indicating bookmaker mispricing; quality gap with Vikingur top and Keflavik 7th creates sustained pressure for corners. |
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