| 25-07-2026 15:00 |
FC Trinity Zlin |
- |
Banik Ostrava |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.20 (1.60+1.00+2.10+1.70 /2 = 3.20) significantly above 2.25 line. Zlin at home 4/5 over (80%), Ostrava away 6/8 over (75%). H2H mixed (1 over, 2 under) but Ostrava's higher quality (3rd vs 8th) and recent high-scoring form drive the Over. Market pricing error near calibrated with away GL_5 1.05. |
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| 25-07-2026 15:00 |
MTK Budapest |
- |
Zalaegerszegi TE |
Under 1.0 Goals 1st Half |
45% |
Expected 1st half total is 0.80 (MTK home 0.20 scored + 0.30 conceded, ZTE away 0.60 scored + 0.50 conceded). Both teams have 100% of recent first halves staying under 1.0 goals (MTK 4/4 home, ZTE 7/7 away). ZTE has failed to score in the first half in 4 of their last 5 away matches. H2H first half also 0-0. Structural low-scoring pattern confirmed. |
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| 25-07-2026 15:00 |
MTK Budapest |
- |
Zalaegerszegi TE |
Under 1.0 Goals 1st Half |
80% |
Expected 1st half goals of 0.80 (MTK home 1H avg 0.20 scored, 0.30 conceded; ZTE away 0.60 scored, 0.50 conceded) sits well below the 1.0 line. MTK's last 10 home 1H matches went under 1.0 in 90% (9/10), ZTE's away 1H under 80% (8/10). ZTE has failed to score in the first half in 9 of 10 away matches, and both teams are structurally low first-half scorers. |
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| 25-07-2026 16:00 |
Galway United |
- |
Waterford FC |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.75 (home scored 1.80 at home, away conceded 1.60 away; away scored 2.20 away, home conceded 1.90 at home) exceeds line 3.0 by 0.75. Galway home matches 60% over 3.0, Waterford away 50% over. H2H last 3: 2/3 over 3.0 (7,6,2 goals). Waterford conceded 2+ goals in all 4 recent away matches, and Galway scored 2+ in each of their last 3 home games. |
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| 25-07-2026 16:00 |
AS Trencin |
- |
KFC Komarno |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.35 (A=1.80, B=1.60, C=1.60, D=1.70) clearly exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.85 goals. AS Trencin’s home matches are 5/6 Over 2.5 (83%) and Komarno’s away matches 5/5 Over (100%), with Komarno conceding 2+ in 4 of those 5 away games, a strong structural Over signal. Home GL_5 of 1.80 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing; H2H is neutral (2 Over, 2 Under) so standard 82% ceiling applies. |
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| 25-07-2026 18:00 |
CA Estudiantes Caseros |
- |
Club Ciudad de Bolivar |
Over 0.75 1st Half Goals |
65% |
Expected 1st half total 1.00 goals (Estudiantes home: 0.60 scored, 0.30 conceded; Bolivar away: 0.60 scored, 0.50 conceded) vs line 0.75 (+0.25 gap). Estudiantes had 4 of 6 home 1st halves with ≥1 goal, Bolivar 2 of 4 away. Away team GL_5 1.60 (accelerating) indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing towards the over. |
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| 25-07-2026 18:00 |
FC Brno |
- |
Sparta Prague |
Over 9.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners 10.95 (Brno home avg 6.7 + Sparta conceded away 4.3 = 5.5, Sparta away avg 7.0 + Brno conceded home 3.9 = 5.45). Both sides' last 5 matches in their respective roles show 80% over 9.5 corners. Quality gap (Brno 7th vs Sparta 16th) signals sustained home pressure, yielding more corners. |
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| 25-07-2026 18:45 |
Sligo Rovers |
- |
Drogheda United |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 goals vs line 2.5 (+0.75 gap). Sligo home matches Over 2.5 in 4 of last 5 (80%), Drogheda away Over 2.5 in 3 of last 5 (60%). Drogheda away conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 matches, confirming defensive fragility. H2H shows 2 of 3 Under, but recent high-scoring form and both teams' leaky defences (Sligo concede 2.1 at home, Drogheda away concede 1.7) outweigh the contradiction. |
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| 25-07-2026 23:00 |
Detroit City FC |
- |
Las Vegas Lights FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
70% |
Expected total is 2.65, just below the 2.75 line, but strong over signals dominate: Las Vegas Lights have conceded 19 goals in 8 away matches (2.38 per game) and 6 of their last 10 overall went over 2.5. Detroit City FC have scored 2+ goals in each of their last five matches, and the shot-based match potential projects a massive 6.15 goals. Additionally, Detroit's home goal-line mispricing is severe (GL_5 1.90, accelerating), pointing to bookmaker error in the over direction. |
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| 25-07-2026 23:00 |
Venados FC |
- |
Oaxaca |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.55 vs line 2.5, with home and away both at 60% Over 2.5 in their respective roles. H2H produced 6 and 9 goals. Oaxaca away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5, structural fragility. Capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
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