| 28-06-2026 07:45 |
Subiaco AFC Women |
- |
Balcatta FC Women |
Over 3.5 1st Half Asian Corners |
82% |
Expected 1st half corners total 4.15 (3.20+1.10/2 + 2.70+1.30/2) exceeds the line of 3.5 by 0.65. Subiaco home matches have 80% over (4/5) and Balcatta away matches have 67% over (2/3) in 1st half corners. Structural quality gap (away team dominant) adds to corner-generating attacking pressure, and likelihood data (70% for Over 3.5) confirms the edge. |
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| 28-06-2026 08:00 |
Dangjin Citizen FC |
- |
Gangneung City |
Over 3.5 Asian Corners (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half corners total 4.45 (home avg 2.80 + conceded 1.90, away avg 2.30 + conceded 1.90) exceeds the 3.5 line by 0.95. Dangjin hit Over in 7/10 matches (70%), Gangneung in 6/10 (60%), with no conflicting H2H. The gap and history support a solid Over play at 1.80 odds. |
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| 28-06-2026 11:00 |
BK Olympic |
- |
Eskilsminne IF |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.75 goals (home 1.80 scored at home, away 2.10 conceded away; away 1.80 scored away, home 1.80 conceded home) exceeds the 3.0 line by 0.75. Eskilsminne conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches, and 70% of their games have gone over 3.0. Home team variance GL_5=1.80 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing in the over direction. |
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| 28-06-2026 11:00 |
Jonsereds IF |
- |
IK Kongahälla |
Over 3.25 Goals |
68% |
Expected goals 3.20 from venue averages (Jonsereds 1.5 at home, concede 1.9; Kongahälla 0.9 away, concede 2.1). Shot-based model predicts 5.2 goals, confirming Over potential. Kongahälla conceded 2+ in 4 of 5 away matches, a strong structural Over signal. Home team GL_5 of 2.10 indicates persistent bookmaker mispricing, outweighing the H2H under (1-0) and mixed 50% history. Despite the expected total being 0.05 below the line, the Over-first philosophy and structural evidence support an Over bet. |
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| 28-06-2026 11:35 |
Shandong Women |
- |
Zhejiang Hangzhou Women |
Over 0.5,1.0 Goals 1st Half |
70% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.20 goals based on formula: (0.50 home HT scored + 0.80 away HT conceded)/2 + (0.30 away HT scored + 0.80 home HT conceded)/2 = 1.20, significantly above the 0.75 line. Shandong Women have recorded Over in 6 of their last 7 matches (85.7%), while away team Zhejiang have managed only 3 of 7 (42.9%), but the strong home history and expected total gap justify an Over. Away team's bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=1.45, accelerating from GL_10=1.38) adds marginal edge despite low home variance (GL_5=0.90). No structural reasons for Under, so Over is preferred. |
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| 28-06-2026 12:00 |
Skeid |
- |
Trygg/Lade |
Over 1.25 1st Half Goals |
73% |
Expected 1st half total 1.75 goals (0.90+1.00 averaged with 0.80+0.80) exceeds the 1.25 line by 0.50 goals. Trygg/Lade's away 1st half record is 70% Over (7/10), Skeid scores in 70% of home 1st halves, and Trygg's weak away defense concedes 2+ goals in every away match, including early goals. Home team's GL_5 of 1.60 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing aligning with Over. |
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| 28-06-2026 12:00 |
Tampereen Ilves 2 |
- |
EBK |
Over 1.75 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.80 goals (home avg 0.80 scored + 0.90 conceded, away avg 0.90 scored + 1.00 conceded) vs line 1.75. Home team's 1st half history shows 75% Over (6/8 matches) with consistent early scoring. Quality gap (4th vs 8th in Group B) favors home pressure. Home GL_5 mispricing of 1.75 (accelerating from 1.30) adds edge. EBK's failure to score 1st half in 4 of last 5 away caps upside, but home strength provides marginal value. |
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| 28-06-2026 12:00 |
GrIFK Reservi |
- |
ESPA |
ESPA -1.5 (Asian Handicap) |
68% |
ESPA sit 2nd with 22 points, GrIFK 12th with 8 points, a huge quality gap. ESPA covered -1.5 in 4 of last 5 matches, including wins by 2+ goals over PPJ/Ruoholahti, MPS, Poxyt, and Gilla FC. GrIFK's recent form shows defensive fragility, conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 5, making a multi-goal ESPA victory likely. Although no H2H data exists, the structural gap and form strongly support the away side covering the handicap. |
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| 28-06-2026 13:00 |
Stjørdals/Blink |
- |
Junkeren |
Under 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total (3.35) is below the 3.5 line, with both teams showing 70% Under in recent matches (7/10 each). Away Junkeren have failed to score in 3 of last 4 away matches (scoring drought), and Stjørdals' home scoring is limited (1 goal or less in 4 of last 5 home games). Home GL_5 of 1.50 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing aligning with Under direction. Likelihood data gives 70% chance of Under 3.5. Combined structural and historical signals support the Under. |
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| 28-06-2026 13:00 |
Follo |
- |
Levanger |
Over 3.25 Goals |
73% |
Expected total (3.35) from Follo's home goals conceded (2.3) and Levanger's away goals scored (2.1) exceeds the 3.25 line by 0.10. Both teams' recent matches show 60% Over in their respective roles, and the only H2H produced 5 goals. The quality gap (Levanger 3rd, Follo 13th) and Follo's accelerating market mispricing (GL_5=1.50) further support an Over. |
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| 28-06-2026 13:00 |
KPV |
- |
PK Keski-Uusimaa |
Over 3.5 Goals |
78% |
KPV concede 4.1 goals per home game while PK Keski-Uusimaa score 1.8 away, yielding an expected total of 4.15 – well above the 3.5 line. KPV's last 9 of 10 matches have gone Over 3.5, and both H2H meetings produced 4 goals. The quality gap (KPV 12th, PK 6th) and both teams' need for points support an open, high-scoring affair. |
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| 28-06-2026 13:00 |
Presidente Hayes |
- |
CS Limpeno |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.70 (home avg 1.60, away conceded avg 2.30, away avg 1.70, home conceded avg 1.80) well above 2.5 line. Home GL_5 at 2.75 (severe mispricing) and away GL_5 at 1.60 (moderate) both directionally support Over. Away team conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches, confirming defensive fragility. Despite home team's poor home scoring record (1/4 over 2.5), the structural and variance signals strongly favour Over. |
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| 28-06-2026 14:00 |
Vindbjart |
- |
Stabaek 2 |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 4.70 (Vindbjart home avg 2.30 + Stabaek 2 away conceded 3.30 averaged with away scored 2.40 + home conceded 1.40) exceeds the 4.0 line by 0.70. Stabaek 2 have conceded 3+ goals in each of their last 4 away matches (3,6,3,5) and their GL_5 mispricing of 2.85 (accelerating) adds strong edge. Vindbjart have scored 2+ in all 5 home matches this season, and Stabaek 2's last 4 away all produced over 4 total goals. |
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| 28-06-2026 14:00 |
KFUM 2 |
- |
Heming |
Over 4.0 Goals |
72% |
Expected total 4.10 (home avg 1.90 + away conceded 1.50 = 3.40/2=1.70; away avg 2.20 + home conceded 2.60 = 4.80/2=2.40) exceeds line of 4.0. KFUM 2 have 60% of recent matches Over 4.0, and Heming's GL_5 of 1.90 (accelerating from 1.75) indicates bookmaker mispricing on overs. The quality gap (KFUM 2 11th vs Heming 4th) and home defensive fragility (conceding 2.6/game) further support an open game. |
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| 28-06-2026 14:00 |
Ragsveds IF |
- |
BK Forward |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected full-time total of 3.65 goals (Ragsveds home avg 2.30 + BK Forward away conceded 1.30 combined with BK Forward away avg 1.70 + Ragsveds home conceded 2.00) exceeds the market line of 3.25, while shot-based match potential (3.76) also supports an Over. Home team's severe market mispricing (GL_5 2.85, accelerating) points to the bookmaker undervaluing goals, and both teams have scored in 8 of Ragsveds' last 10 home matches, with 60% of those exceeding 3.5 goals. Structural context (promotion-chasing BK Forward vs. mid-table Ragsveds) and high likelihood of both teams scoring (65%) reinforce the Over pick. |
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| 28-06-2026 14:00 |
Örebro Syrianska IF |
- |
Syrianska FC |
Over 1.25 1st Half Goals |
68% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.70 (home avg 0.80 HT + away conceded avg 1.60 HT /2 plus away avg 0.30 HT + home conceded avg 0.70 HT /2) versus the line of 1.25, a gap of +0.45 goals. The away side has conceded 2+ goals in all 3 away matches and has a poor HT defensive record (avg 1.6 HT goals conceded away), while the H2H saw a 3-0 HT score. Despite weak recent over rates, the structural signal and expected total gap support the over. |
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| 28-06-2026 14:00 |
Reynir Sandgerdi |
- |
Ymir Kopavogur |
Over 4.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals 4.65 (from (2.30+2.40)/2 + (2.30+2.30)/2) exceeds the 4.0 line by 0.65. Reynir's home games average 5.0 total goals, with 2 of the last 3 home matches going over 4.0. Ymir have conceded 2+ goals in both recent away matches, and Reynir's GL_5 of 1.95 indicates accelerating bookmaker mispricing favoring overs. The only H2H had 2 goals but is a small sample. Combined with a 76% confidence level, this is the best bet. |
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| 28-06-2026 15:00 |
Sandvikens IF |
- |
Helsingborg |
Over 1.25 1st Half Goals |
75% |
First half expected goals (1.50) exceed line (1.25). Sandvikens scored in 4 of last 5 home 1st halves, with 60% of those matches clearing 1.25. Helsingborg away 1st half over rate is 50%. Both teams have moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=1.65), supporting Over. |
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| 28-06-2026 15:45 |
FK Dziugas Telsiai |
- |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Full-time expected total 2.95 (based on home avg 1.70, away conceded 1.30, away avg 1.60, home conceded 1.30) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.45. Both Dziugas (70% in last 10) and Zalgiris (70% in last 10) have strong Over 2.5 trends, and H2H supports with 3 of 4 meetings Over. Dziugas are in fine scoring form at home (3+ in last 3 home matches), while Zalgiris have conceded 2+ in 2 of their last 5 away matches. Market pricing error is mild (home GL_5 1.45, away GL_5 1.15), so no adjustment needed. |
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| 28-06-2026 17:00 |
FH Hafnarfjordur |
- |
IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
70% |
Expected 1st half total 2.15 (FH home HT avg 0.9 scored, 1.5 conceded; IBV away HT avg 0.9 scored, 1.0 conceded) exceeds line 1.25 by 0.9 goals. Away team has 60% HT Over record in last 5 away matches (3 of 5). Home team's low 25% HT Over at home is offset by high expected total and weak home defense conceding 1.5 HT. Bookmaker mispricing on full-time goal line (away GL_5 1.65) suggests line may be low for this high-scoring matchup. |
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| 28-06-2026 17:00 |
Difaa El Jadida |
- |
KACM Marrakesh |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals |
71% |
Expected FT goals 2.40 (home avg 1.40+away conceded 1.10 plus away avg 1.20+home conceded 1.10) exceeds the 1.75 line by 0.65. Home team has 75% of home matches Over (3/4) and away team 50% of away matches Over (2/4), meeting the threshold. Shot-based match potential of 4.58 strongly supports Over. Home market pricing error (GL_5 1.45) is accelerating but mild. Likelihood for Over 1.5 is 80%, aligning with the pick. |
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| 28-06-2026 18:00 |
Arsenal de Sarandi |
- |
CS Dock Sud |
Over 8.0 Asian Corners |
65% |
Expected corners total (E=5.90, H=2.10, G=5.50, F=4.20 -> 8.85) exceeds line 8.0. Home corner record strong (80% Over last 10), structural quality gap (Arsenal 2nd vs Dock Sud 16th) supports pressure. Away history weak (40% Over) but overall edge justifies Over. High home GL_5 (2.00) indicates market mispricing. Confidence 65% meets threshold. |
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| 28-06-2026 19:00 |
Union La Calera |
- |
Santiago Wanderers |
Over 2.5 Goals |
72% |
Expected total 3.15 (A=1.40, B=1.60, C=1.90, D=1.40) exceeds line 2.5 by 0.65. Home team conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 home matches, and away team covered Over 2.5 in 7 of 9 away games (78%). Home GL_5 of 1.75 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing accelerating, further supporting Over. |
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