| 29-05-2026 00:30 |
Boca Juniors |
- |
Universidad Catolica |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
71% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.40 (Boca 0.80 scored, 0.20 conceded at home; UC 1.30 scored, 0.50 conceded away) exceed the 1.0 line. UC away 1st half history shows 3/5 (60%) Over 1.0 and they scored in 4/5 away HT matches. Boca home HT scored in 3/4 matches. Structural early scoring pattern adds support. Gap +0.40 goals and away history yield 71% confidence. |
|
| 29-05-2026 01:00 |
CD Tenerife Academia Panama |
- |
Deportivo Altamira |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.75 (home avg 1.9 at home + away conceded 1.4 away / 2 = 1.65; away avg 2.4 away + home conceded 1.8 at home / 2 = 2.10) exceeds line of 3.25 by 0.50 goals. Shot-based potential of 4.14 also supports Over. Both teams show severe bookmaker mispricing: home GL_5 2.30 and away GL_5 2.05, both accelerating. Structurally, away team concedes 7.2 shots on target away, indicating defensive vulnerability. Despite weak home history (33% Over), high variance and shot data favor the Over. |
|
| 29-05-2026 01:00 |
Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores |
- |
Atletico Rio Abajo |
Over 3.0 Goals |
66% |
Expected full-time goals 3.25 (home avg 2.33 at home, away conceded 0.90 away vs away scored 2.10 away, home conceded 1.17 at home) exceeds line 3.0 by 0.25 goals. Home team scored 2+ in 3 of last 5 matches and their home matches show 66% over 3.0 (2 of 3). Away team's overall likelihood of over 2.5 is 50%. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (away GL_5 1.10, home GL_5 0.80) and structural form supports an open game. Over-first philosophy applies as expected total is above the line. |
|
| 29-05-2026 08:15 |
North Star U23 |
- |
Brisbane Strikers U23 |
Over 3.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 4.20 (home avg 2.60 at home, away concede 1.80 away, away avg 2.10 away, home concede 1.90 at home) well above the 3.75 line, supported by 70% of North Star's recent matches going over and Brisbane Strikers showing away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away). Market pricing error is severe for North Star (GL_5=2.30, accelerating), indicating bookmaker underestimation of goals, and the structural context of a high-stakes playoff race further reinforces the Over. |
|
| 29-05-2026 09:30 |
Sydney FC U21 |
- |
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half total 1.50 (0.60+0.90) exceeds the 1.25 line by 0.25. Western Sydney Wanderers U21 have gone Over in 4/5 away 1st halves (80%), while Sydney FC U21's home 1st half record is weaker (40%) but recent full-time home form shows high scoring (3/3 over 3 goals). Away team's goal line variance of 1.80 (accelerating) indicates bookmaker mispricing in favor of Over. H2H (2 matches) shows 1 Over, 1 push, neutral. |
|
| 29-05-2026 09:30 |
Heidelberg Utd |
- |
Dandenong Thunder |
Over 2.75 Goals |
71% |
Expected total of 2.80 goals (based on home avg 2.30 scored and 0.80 conceded, away avg 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded) slightly exceeds the 2.75 line, supporting Over. Heidelberg Utd has 70% of their last 10 matches going over 2.75, and structural signals are strong: Dandenong Thunder conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches and there is a large quality gap (3rd vs 13th in the standings). Market mispricing is mild (home GL_5 1.10, away GL_5 1.35), but the Over-first philosophy defaults to Over given the favorable structural context. |
|
| 29-05-2026 10:00 |
Adelaide Olympic |
- |
Fulham United FC |
Over 3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals calculated from home/away averages is 3.90 (home avg 1.60 + away conc 1.90 averaged 1.75, away avg 2.60 + home conc 1.70 averaged 2.15), significantly above the line of 3.0. Fulham United FC exhibits severe bookmaker mispricing with a GL_5 of 2.70 (accelerating), indicating the market has consistently underestimated goal totals in their matches. H2H also supports Over with both prior meetings producing 4+ goals, and both teams sit in playoff positions, adding incentive for an open game. |
|
| 29-05-2026 10:00 |
Broadmeadow Magic Women |
- |
Maitland FC Women |
Over 2.25 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total of 2.70 goals (based on Broadmeadow's 1.30 scored + 1.80 conceded at home, and Maitland's 2.00 scored + 0.30 conceded away) exceeds the 2.25 line by 0.45 goals. Maitland's away 1st half history shows 2 of 3 matches over 2.25 (67%), and both teams exhibit strong market mispricing (home GL_5=1.90 accelerating, away GL_5=2.00) favoring the Over. The quality gap and early attacking pressure from Maitland further support an Over bet. |
|
| 29-05-2026 10:00 |
Malvern City |
- |
Box Hill United |
Malvern City -0.75 Asian Handicap |
73% |
Malvern City leads the league with 37 points vs Box Hill's 23, dominating the quality gap. Home team's Asian Handicap form shows 8 wins in last 10 (80%), covering -0.75 comfortably. H2H saw Malvern win 2-0 away in February, and Box Hill has just 1 win in last 5 away matches. Structural signals strongly favour the home side. |
|
| 29-05-2026 10:00 |
Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
- |
Ethio Electric FC |
Over 1.75 Goals |
79% |
Expected total 2.15 (A=1.20, B=0.80, C=1.50, D=0.80) exceeds line 1.75 by 0.40. Home team's last 4 home matches all cleared 1.75 (100% Over), away team's last 5 away matches 60% Over (3/5) supporting. H2H split (1 Over, 1 Under) is neutral. Market pricing error mild for home (GL_5 1.25) aligned with Over. Strong home form (4 consecutive home wins with goals) adds structural support. |
|
| 29-05-2026 10:30 |
West Torrens Birkalla |
- |
Adelaide Comets |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals is 3.80 (home avg scored at home 2.2 + away conceded away 2.1, averaged) vs line 3.25, with strong structural signals: #1 home vs #11 away, away conceded 2+ in all last 5 away matches, and bookmaker mispricing (away GL_5=2.05 accelerating). Despite mixed match history (50% over each), the over-first philosophy and high expected total justify this pick. |
|
| 29-05-2026 10:30 |
Spring Hills FC Women |
- |
Melbourne City NPL Women |
Over 4.25 Goals (FT) |
65% |
Expected total goals of 4.575 (home avg 1.40 at home + away avg conceded 5.25 away) exceeds the 4.25 line by 0.325. Away defensive fragility is critical: Melbourne City NPL Women conceded 5+ goals in 3 of their last 4 away matches. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate (home GL_5 1.70), adding edge to the Over. Despite home's 40% Over record at home, the structural advantage and away's weak defense support an Over outcome. |
|
| 29-05-2026 10:45 |
Adelaide University Women |
- |
Adelaide Comets Women |
Over 3.5 Goals |
79% |
Expected total from averages is 3.90, above the 3.5 line. Adelaide Comets Women have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 4 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. Their away matches also show 75% going Over 3.5, supporting the Over. Home team's goal line variance of 1.50 (moderate mispricing) aligns with the Over direction. |
|
| 29-05-2026 11:00 |
Casuarina FC |
- |
Hellenic AC |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.90 goals (home avg 0.70 + away conceded 1.40 at home avg in 1st half, and away avg 0.40 + home conceded 1.30) exceeds the bookmaker line of 1.5, giving a +0.40 gap. Hellenic AC have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches (structural fragility), and severe market mispricing exists (home GL_5=2.40, away GL_5=2.50, both accelerating), aligning directionally with an Over pick. H2H half-time data is neutral, and 1st half match history is mixed (50% Casuarina, 44% Hellenic Over), but the structural and variance signals push confidence to 73%. |
|
| 29-05-2026 11:30 |
Guangdong GZ-Power |
- |
Shenzhen Juniors |
Over 2.5, 3.0 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 2.95 goals (home avg 1.9 at home + away conceded 1.0 away, away avg 2.0 away + home conceded 1.0 at home) exceeds the 2.75 line. Home scored 2+ in 4 of last 5 home matches, and Shenzhen's away matches have all gone Over 2.75 (4/4). Home GL_5 variance of 1.95 (accelerating) confirms significant bookmaker mispricing in favor of goals. Full-time Over was preferred over 1st half Over (1.35 expected vs 1.0 line, 73% confidence) due to stronger historical alignment and variance signal. |
|
| 29-05-2026 12:00 |
Fardu Ferghana |
- |
Olympic Mobiuz |
Over 2.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total (3.05) derived from Fardu's home scoring (2.00 avg) and Olympic's away conceded (1.20 avg), combined with Olympic's away scoring (1.60 avg) and Fardu's home conceded (1.30 avg), exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.30 goals. Fardu has 3/5 home matches over 2.5, and both H2Hs ended with 3+ total goals (3-2, 2-1). Market pricing error is moderate for both teams (GL_10 1.60 and 1.58), indicating the line is consistently under-pricing goals. Despite Olympic's 40% over rate, the structural evidence and Over-first philosophy support this pick. |
|
| 29-05-2026 14:15 |
Al Hamriyah |
- |
Dubai United |
Over 9.5 Corners |
65% |
Expected total corners is 10.0 (home avg 5.5 at home + away conceded 4.9, away avg 5.5 away + home conceded 4.1), above the line of 9.5. The only H2H match produced 11 corners, and the quality gap (league leaders vs 9th) favours sustained attacking pressure and corner accumulation. |
|
| 29-05-2026 14:15 |
Al Ittifaq Dubai |
- |
Gulf United FC |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected full-time total of 3.5 (home 2.00 scored at home, away 2.00 conceded away) exceeds the 3.25 effective line, with 70% of home matches clearing the line and away team conceding 2+ in 3 of last 5 away. Home GL_5 bookmaker mispricing is strong at 2.20 and accelerating, adding further edge to the Over. |
|
| 29-05-2026 15:30 |
KPV |
- |
FC Inter II |
Over 4.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected total from averages (KPV home conceded 3.6, FC Inter II away scored 2.5) yields 4.70, well above the 4.0 line. FC Inter II conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches, and KPV's home GL_5 of 1.60 signals consistent bookmaker underestimation of goals. Combined with H2H producing 8 total goals in the most recent meeting, this aligns for an Over bet. |
|
| 29-05-2026 15:30 |
AIFK |
- |
MuSa |
Under 4.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total of 3.55 (AIFK home avg 1.9, MuSa away concede 2.9; MuSa away avg 1.0, AIFK home concede 1.3) stays below the bookmaker's 4.5 line. MuSa's last 3 away matches produced 1st-half totals of 2,1,2 goals (all under the 2.0 HT line) and full-time totals of 7,2,4 (60% under 4.5). Their GL_5 variance of 2.35 (accelerating from GL_10 of 1.73) signals strong mispricing in the under direction, outweighing AIFK's strong home record (9 goals in 3 home wins). |
|
| 29-05-2026 15:30 |
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow |
- |
Star Starachowice |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.15 (home avg 1.70 + away conceded 1.40)/2 + (away scored 1.40 + home conceded 1.80)/2 = 3.15) exceeds 2.75 line. Pogon's last 3 home matches all went over 2.5 (100%), and Star's last 5 away matches went over in 4 (80%). Star's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) strengthens the Over case. Confidence capped at 82% (standard ceiling). |
|
| 29-05-2026 15:30 |
Mladost Zdralovi |
- |
NK Kustosija |
Over 1.0 Goals 1st Half |
75% |
Expected 1st half total 1.30 goals (home HT avg 1.00 + away conceded HT avg 0.40)/2 + (away HT avg 0.60 + home conceded HT avg 0.60)/2) exceeds the line of 1.0 by 0.30 goals. Home team has 60% of last 5 home matches with Over 1.0 HT (3/5), away team 60% of last 10 matches with Over 1.0 HT (6/10). Home team scores 58% of its goals in the first half (scoring minutes data), indicating early attacking intent. Away team's GL_5 of 1.55 (moderate mispricing, accelerating trend) adds edge for Over. Strong structural signal: both teams in promotion battle (2nd and 3rd, equal points) likely to push for early advantage. |
|
| 29-05-2026 15:30 |
NK Solin |
- |
NK Uskok |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total from averages is 3.15, above the 2.75 line. Solin has 100% Over in last 5 home matches (5/5), and Uskok 60% Over overall. Bookmaker mispricing is severe: Uskok GL_5 2.55 (severe, accelerating) and Solin GL_5 1.80 (moderate, accelerating), both aligning with Over. Structural context: Solin scored 2+ in 4 of last 5 home. Confidence capped at 82% as conditions for higher ceilings not fully met. |
|
| 29-05-2026 16:00 |
FA Tartu Kalev |
- |
FC Levadia Tallinn U19 |
Over 3.75 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 4.20 from home 2.30/game at home and away conceding 2.90 away, plus away scoring 1.70 and home conceding 1.50. Home team 8/10 (80%) of recent matches exceeded 3.75 total, away team 4/6 (67%) away matches did, and H2H produced 4 goals. Away team's GL_5 of 2.25 indicates strong accelerating bookmaker mispricing supporting Over. Structural signals: away defense concedes 2.9/game away; home attack strong at 2.3/game. |
|
| 29-05-2026 16:00 |
JK Nomme United |
- |
FC Flora Tallinn |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.60 (from home avg 1.90, away conceded 1.00, away scored 2.20, home conceded 2.10) exceeds the 3.25 line. Both teams show strong Over records: Nomme United has 9/10 matches over 2.5, FC Flora has 5/6 away matches over 2.5, and H2H both matches over 2.5. The quality gap (Flora 3rd vs Nomme 8th) and Nomme's shaky home defence (2.1 conceded per game) further support goals, with moderate bookmaker mispricing on Flora (GL_5 1.75, accelerating). |
|
| 29-05-2026 16:00 |
Union Plaani |
- |
Kiffen |
Over 4.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected full-time total is 4.90 goals (home avg 2.50 + away avg 2.40 offense/defense combined), significantly above the 4.0 line. Both teams have leaky defenses—Union Plaani concedes 2.5 at home, Kiffen conceded 2+ goals in all 3 recent away matches, giving a strong structural Over signal. Home team's home matches have exactly 50% Over 4.0 and away team's away matches have 67% Over 4.0, further supporting the Over. |
|
| 29-05-2026 16:00 |
DFK Dainava |
- |
FK Ekranas |
Under 1.25 Goals 1st Half |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals 0.85 (home 0.40+0.50/2 + away 0.60+0.20/2) well below line 1.25. History: 80% of Dainava home matches and 80% of Ekranas away matches went under 1.25 HT. Structural: Ekranas failed to score in 1st half in 3 of last 5 away. Bookmaker mispricing mild (GL_5=1.00 away) but direction aligns. |
|
| 29-05-2026 16:00 |
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf |
- |
Helfort 15 |
Helfort 15 -0.5 (Asian Handicap) |
68% |
Helfort 15 (2nd, 55pts) face Gerasdorf (8th, 33pts). Away team won H2H 3-1 and are on a 5-match winning run, covering -0.5 in each. Home team lost 4 of last 5 with poor AH record (1-4 last 5). Standings gap and recent form strongly support away cover, though missing common opponent data limits confidence to 68%. |
|
| 29-05-2026 16:00 |
Apollon Limassol |
- |
Pafos FC |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.15 goals (Apollon averaging 1.5 scored/1.8 conceded at home, Pafos averaging 1.7 scored/1.3 conceded away) exceeds the 2.25 effective line. Home match history shows 60% Over 2.5, while away defensive fragility (Pafos conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) and Apollon's scoring form (2+ in last 3 home) further support Over. Home GL_5 of 1.80 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing on goals, adding confidence to the Over selection. |
|
| 29-05-2026 16:00 |
FK Transinvest |
- |
Hegelmann Litauen |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.10 based on (1.70+1.90)/2 + (1.40+1.20)/2, exceeding line 2.75 by 0.35. Both teams have 70% Over rate in last 10 matches. Quality gap (3rd vs 8th) and Hegelmann's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) support Over. H2H split but small sample. Mild market mispricing (GL_5 1.30 home, 1.40 away) adds no adjustment. Confidence capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
|
| 29-05-2026 16:30 |
FK Garliava |
- |
FK Siauliai II |
Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.20, well below the 1.5 line. FK Garliava's 1st half home matches have only 40% over 1.5 (2/5), while FK Siauliai II's 1st half away matches have 80% under (4/5) and failed to score in 80% of away 1st halves. Away team's attacking weakness and home team's moderate early scoring create a strong under pattern. Market mispricing (away GL_5=1.5) supports a directional under edge. Confidence 75% meets the elevated bar for under bets. |
|
| 29-05-2026 17:00 |
FC Gleisdorf 09 |
- |
Junge Wikinger Ried |
Over 3.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total of 3.80 (home avg 1.50 and concedes 2.10, away avg 1.30 and concedes 2.70) exceeds the 3.5 line. Home team's last 5 league matches at home saw 4 overs (80%), while the away team conceded 3+ goals in 3 of its last 5 away games. Both teams are in a relegation battle, creating an open game dynamic. Bookmaker mispricing is mild (GL_5 1.40 for both), supporting value on the over. |
|
| 29-05-2026 17:00 |
UFC Fehring |
- |
SV Lebring |
Over 3.5 Goals |
79% |
Expected total 4.25 (home 1.70 scored + away 2.70 conceded averaged with away 2.20 scored + home 1.90 conceded) well above 3.5 line. SV Lebring conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches (defensive fragility), and their severe booking mispricing (GL5=3.40, accelerating) adds significant edge. Likelihood data also supports Over 3.5 at 65%. |
|
| 29-05-2026 17:00 |
SV Pachern |
- |
Ilzer SV |
Over 3.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals of 4.05 significantly exceeds the line of 3.5, driven by home team's 2.4 goals conceded at home and away team's 2.4 goals scored away. Away team has 75% of last 4 away matches going Over 3.5 and has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of those 4, indicating defensive fragility. Bookmaker mispricing is high for the away team (GL_5=2.20, accelerating), adding edge to the Over. |
|
| 29-05-2026 17:00 |
Skara |
- |
IFK Skövde FK |
Over 3.25 Goals |
80% |
Expected total 3.90: home avg 2.00 & away conceded away 2.00 averaged with away avg 2.40 & home conceded 1.40 = 2.00+1.90. Bookmaker line 3.25, gap +0.65. Away team IFK Skövde FK covers 70% of last 10 over 3.25, while home Skara covers only 28.6% but expected total and shot-based potential (7.88) strongly favour over. Bookmaker mispricing: Skövde GL_5 1.85 (strong, partial edge +4%). Structural: away conceded 2+ in 3/5 recent away, both top teams need points. Confidence 80%. |
|
| 29-05-2026 17:00 |
Landvetter IS |
- |
Qviding FIF |
Asian Handicap Landvetter IS -0.75 |
67% |
Landvetter IS (2nd, 19 pts) hosts Qviding FIF (6th, 13 pts) with a clear standings gap. Landvetter's recent AH record is 3/5 covers (60%) but Qviding's as away side is 4/5 covers (80%); common opponents (Torslanda, IF Boljan, BK Astrio, Dalstorps, Lindome, Hestrafors) generally show Landvetter matching or better margins. Two of three signals support a home cover. Market pricing error for Landvetter (GL_5 1.75, moderate) is neutral for this pick direction, while Qviding's low error (0.70) indicates a well-calibrated line. The Over-First philosophy was considered but goal line history conflicts (home 11% Over, away 71% Over) and expected total (3.45) is within 0.15 of the 3.5 line yet insufficient with low likelihood (50% for Over 3.5). Asian Handicap offers the clearest structural edge. |
|
| 29-05-2026 17:00 |
SK Super Nova |
- |
RFS |
1st Half Over 1.25 Goals |
65% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.70 goals (home avg 0.5 scored, 1.0 conceded; away avg 1.5 scored, 0.4 conceded) against a 1.25 line, a +0.45 gap. RFS has scored in the first half in all 5 recent away matches, and the quality gap (1st vs 4th) supports early dominance. With the over-first philosophy and only mild mispricing (away GL_5 1.1, stabilizing), the 1st half Over offers the best value at 65% confidence. |
|
| 29-05-2026 17:00 |
SV Donau Klagenfurt |
- |
SV Spittal/Drau |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
75% |
Expected 1st half total of 2.05 (home avg 0.80 + away conceded 1.40, away avg 1.00 + home conceded 0.90, averaged) towers above the 1.25 line. Home team saw 2+ first-half goals in 6/10 matches (60%), away team in 4/6 (67%), and the only H2H produced 4 total goals. Structural weakness: away team conceded 2+ in 5 of last 6 matches overall, reinforcing the Over. |
|
| 29-05-2026 17:10 |
Favoritner AC |
- |
SV Gloggnitz |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time goals calculated at 3.70 (home avg 1.80 + away conceded 1.30 averaged with away avg 2.90 + home conceded 1.40) versus line 3.0, a +0.70 gap. Gloggnitz scores 2.90 away and Favoritner concedes 1.40 at home, with Gloggnitz covering Over 3.0 in 67% of recent away matches. The massive quality gap (1st vs 14th) and severe bookmaker mispricing (Gloggnitz GL_5=4.00, accelerating) further support Over. |
|
| 29-05-2026 17:30 |
Hestrafors IF |
- |
IF Boljan |
Over 1.25 1st Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half total (2.05) exceeds line (1.25) by 0.80 goals, with home (75% Over in last 4 home 1st halves) and away (60% Over in last 5 away 1st halves) history supporting. Away team has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches (defensive fragility), while home GL_5 of 2.20 indicates severe bookmaker mispricing on goals involving Hestrafors IF. |
|
| 29-05-2026 18:00 |
Mamelodi Sundowns |
- |
RB Leipzig |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 3.10 goals (home avg 1.80 + away conceded away 1.40 = 1.60; away avg 2.00 + home conceded 1.00 = 1.50; sum 3.10) exceeds the effective line of 2.75. Away team RB Leipzig has 80% (4/5) of recent away matches finishing Over 2.5. Home team Mamelodi Sundowns show severe market mispricing (GL_5=2.50, accelerating), indicating the bookmaker consistently underestimates goals in their matches. Likelihood of Over 2.5 is 55%, supporting the pick. Structural context: quality gap and away attack power favour goals. |
|
| 29-05-2026 18:45 |
Drogheda United |
- |
Waterford FC |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half total of 1.40 goals exceeds the 1.0 line, derived from Drogheda's home 1st half average of 0.40 and Waterford's away conceded 1st half average of 0.90. Drogheda have gone Over 1.0 in 70% of their last 10 matches, and Waterford in 100% of their away matches, providing strong agreement. H2H 1st half data is unavailable, so no contradiction; the structural pattern of both teams' 1st half trends supports an Over. |
|
| 29-05-2026 18:45 |
Cobh Ramblers |
- |
Kerry FC |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half total is 0.95 goals, below the 1.0 line. Cobh Ramblers' last 4 home matches saw 3/4 HT under (75%), and Kerry FC's last 5 away matches saw 4/5 HT under (80%). Kerry failed to score in HT in 4 of those 5 away games (strong structural under signal). Both teams' GL_5 mispricing of 1.45 points downward, with trend accelerating. H2H HT data is limited, so neutral. |
|
| 29-05-2026 18:45 |
Bray Wanderers |
- |
Wexford FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
73% |
Home team Bray Wanderers averages 2.00 goals per home match, with Wexford conceding 0.90 away, leading to an expected total of 2.90, above the line of 2.75. Bray's last 10 matches have seen Over 2.5 in 9 of them (90%), and the home team's form surge (scored 2+ in last 3 home games) supports more goals. Additionally, the home team's goal line variance of 2.05 (GL_5) indicates consistent bookmaker mispricing, adding further edge to the Over. |
|
| 29-05-2026 19:00 |
Lyon Women |
- |
Paris FC Women |
Over 1.25 1st Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 1.65 goals (Lyon home HT avg 1.70, Paris FC away HT conceded 0.40; Paris FC away HT avg 1.20, Lyon home HT conceded 0.00) exceeds 1.25 line by 0.4 goals. Lyon scored HT in 80% of recent home matches; Paris FC had 60% of last 10 matches Over 1.25 HT. H2H neutral (2 matches, both under but small sample). Structural early-pressing advantage for Lyon. FT bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 home 1.60, away 1.70, both accelerating) adds indirect confidence. Final confidence 82% (capped at standard ceiling). |
|
| 29-05-2026 20:00 |
Envigado FC |
- |
Real Cartagena |
Over 2.25 Goals |
77% |
Expected FT goals of 2.60 (using (1.50+1.40)/2 + (1.30+1.00)/2) exceed the 2.25 line. Real Cartagena's last 5 matches all went Over and their away history shows 70% Over 2.25. Home team Envigado has strong GL_5 variance (1.90, accelerating), indicating bookmaker mispricing toward goals. Combined with a structural form surge from Real Cartagena's Over streak, this supports an Over bet. |
|
| 29-05-2026 22:30 |
One Knoxville SC |
- |
Greenville Triumph SC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected total 3.0 from home avg 1.5 and away conceded 2.0 exceeds the 2.25 line. Both teams hit Over 2.5 in 7 of last 10 matches (70%). Greenville conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away, and Knoxville (3rd) vs Greenville (15th) is a significant quality gap. Home GL_5 of 1.35 indicates mild but aligned bookmaker mispricing. |
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| 29-05-2026 23:00 |
Forward Madison FC |
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Corpus Christi FC |
Over 9.0 Asian Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners 10.90 (home avg 6.80 + away conceded 5.90 averaged with away avg 3.50 + home conceded 5.60) exceeds the 9.0 line by 1.9. Home team records 90% Over 9 at home, away 80% Over 9 away. Structural quality gap (11th vs 17th) drives sustained pressure. Bookmaker pricing error is severe (home variance 3.20, away 2.30), adding significant edge to the Over. |
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