| 29-06-2026 15:00 |
FK Auda |
- |
Riga FC |
Over 1.25 1st Half Goals |
73% |
Expected 1st half total 1.70 goals (Auda home 0.80 + Riga away 1.60) exceeds the 1.25 line by 0.45. Riga scores 1.60 away in 1H and 70% of their recent matches went Over 1.25; Auda 50% at home. H2H last meeting had 2-1 HT (3 goals). Riga's GL_5 variance of 1.50 (moderate, accelerating) signals bookmaker mispricing. Quality gap (Riga 2nd vs Auda 3rd) and early pressing pattern support Over. |
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| 29-06-2026 15:30 |
FK Siauliai |
- |
FK Transinvest |
Over 10 Asian Corners |
81% |
Expected total corners of 11.3 (home avg 5.1 + conceded 6.2 vs away avg 6.1 + conceded 5.2) exceeds the 10.0 line by 1.3. Home history shows 6/10 (60%) over 10 corners across recent matches, away history shows 7/10 (70%), and the sole H2H produced 13 corners. Additionally, Transinvest's severe corner mispricing (variance_ac_5=3.50) suggests the market systematically underestimates corners in their matches, adding further edge to the Over. |
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| 29-06-2026 17:30 |
Vikingur Gota |
- |
NSI Runavik |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.20 (home avg 1.8 + away conceded avg 1.1 /2 + away avg 2.3 + home conceded 1.2 /2) exceeds the 2.75 line. Vikingur's last 5 home matches went over in 4/5 (80%), and NSI's last 5 away in 3/5 (60%). NSI conceded 2+ goals in 3 of 5 away (defensive fragility) and Vikingur scored 2+ in each of last 3 home (momentum). Bookmaker mispricing is strong: NSI GL_5 2.05 (accelerating) and Vikingur GL_5 1.55 (moderate), both aligning for Over. |
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| 29-06-2026 17:30 |
B68 Toftir |
- |
AB Argir |
Over 2.75 Goals |
76% |
Expected total of 3.55 (home 1.40 + away 2.20 conceded avg) well exceeds the 2.75 line; shot-based match potential of 5.65 strongly supports Over. Home team GL_5 of 2.45 indicates severe bookmaker mispricing (accelerating vs GL_10 1.83). Despite only 40% of recent matches for each team covering Over 2.75, the structural overperformance and high variance outweigh the history. |
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| 29-06-2026 17:45 |
Al Qadsia SC |
- |
Al Kuwait SC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total of 3.15 (home avg 1.40 + away avg 2.30 + conceding averages) exceeds the 2.5 line by 0.65 goals. Al Kuwait's away matches have 60% over 2.5, and head-to-head shows 2 of 3 over. Strong bookmaker mispricing (Al Kuwait GL_5 1.95, accelerating) further supports the Over. |
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| 29-06-2026 17:45 |
Kazma SC |
- |
Al Salmiyah SC |
Over 0.5,1.0 1st Half Goals |
74% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.20 goals (Kazma home HT avg 0.50 scored + 0.60 conceded, away HT avg 0.80 scored + 0.50 conceded) against the 0.75 line, a +0.45 goal gap. Home 1st half history shows 80% over (8/10 matches), away 67% over (6/9), and away's GL_5 of 1.90 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing accelerating in the Over direction. |
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| 29-06-2026 18:30 |
Al-Mabarrah |
- |
Al Ansar Beirut |
Over 9.0 Corners |
65% |
Expected total corners (9.20) calculated from home avg 2.20, home conceded 5.70, away avg 6.60, away conceded 3.90 exceeds the 9.0 line. Away team's last 3 away matches produced 11, 13, and 12 corners (100% Over), and the structural quality gap (1st vs 8th) ensures sustained attacking pressure. Home team concedes 5.7 corners per home game, reinforcing the Over. |
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| 29-06-2026 19:15 |
IA Akranes |
- |
Fram Reykjavik |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 4.1 goals (IA Akranes home avg 1.5, Fram Reykjavik away avg 2.6) exceeds the 3.5 line. Fram's history is 8/10 Over and IA's home matches are 3/5 Over; away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) adds strength. Bookmaker mispricing is severe: home GL_5 2.20 and away GL_5 2.30, both accelerating, strongly supporting Over. |
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| 29-06-2026 19:15 |
Afturelding |
- |
KF Aegir |
Over 11.5 Asian Corners |
70% |
Expected total corners (12.2) exceeds the line of 11.5, driven by Afturelding averaging 6.8 corners at home and KF Aegir conceding 7.3 away. Away team's corner history shows 60% over in last 10, and the quality gap (4th vs 11th) supports sustained home pressure for corners. |
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| 29-06-2026 20:30 |
Germany |
- |
Paraguay |
Over 2.5 Goals |
74% |
Germany averages 3.10 goals at home and concedes 0.90, while Paraguay averages 1.20 away and concedes 1.20, yielding an expected total of 3.20 goals against the line of 2.75. Germany's last 4 home matches all went over 2.5 goals (100%), and they have scored 2+ in each of their last 3 home games. Additionally, Paraguay's GL_5 of 1.55 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing in a direction that aligns with the over, reinforcing the value. |
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