| 21-04-2026 15:45 |
FC Kuressaare |
- |
Parnu JK Vaprus |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals is 3.90, calculated from home avg 1.60 goals scored at home and away avg 2.00 goals conceded away, plus away avg 1.40 goals scored away and home avg 2.80 goals conceded at home. This exceeds the line of 2.5 by 1.40 goals. Home team has 80% of last 10 matches Over 2.5 (8/10), away team has 60% (6/10), and H2H shows 75% Over in last 4 meetings (3/4). Away team displays defensive fragility, conceding 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches. Market pricing error is mild for both teams (GL_5 1.15 each), adding no significant edge. Confidence breakdown: Base 50% + gap from line +15% + home history +10% + away history +5% + H2H +5% + common opponents +0% + likelihood +3% + GL_5 home +0% + GL_5 away +0% + structural (away defensive fragility) +5% = 93% raw, capped at standard ceiling 82%. |
|
| 21-04-2026 15:55 |
Al Draih |
- |
Al Raed |
Over 2.5 Goals |
79% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.15 from home avg 3.10 scored and 0.90 conceded at home, away avg 1.60 scored and 0.70 conceded away. Home team has 100% Over 2.5 goals in last 5 home matches, with recent scores of 3-0, 4-1, 3-1, 1-3, 5-0. H2H match produced 5 goals. Away team shows moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.55) accelerating, favoring Over, and home team has form momentum scoring 2+ goals in last 3 home matches. |
|
| 21-04-2026 16:00 |
Al Salt |
- |
Al-Wehdat |
|
70% |
Al-Wehdat is 3rd in the league with 49 points, 20 points above 6th-placed Al Salt, showing a significant quality gap. They have won all of their last 5 Asian Handicap matches, covering -0.5 consistently, while Al Salt has lost 4 of their last 5 AH matches. Head-to-head margins support Al-Wehdat, with four consecutive wins including two away victories. All structural signals align for Al-Wehdat to cover the handicap. |
|
| 21-04-2026 16:05 |
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi |
- |
Al-Bukayriyah FC |
Over 8.5 Corners |
68% |
Expected corners total 8.40 (home avg 4.60, away avg 3.00) slightly below the line, but home team's recent matches show 70% Over (7 of last 10 over 8.5), H2H corners are 75% Over (3 of last 4 meetings: 9, 9, 10 corners), and an 8-place quality gap provides structural support for sustained attacking and corners. |
|
| 21-04-2026 16:05 |
Al Batin |
- |
Al-Anwar |
Over 2.5 Goals |
77% |
Expected total goals 3.20 (home avg 1.10 scored at home, away avg 1.90 scored away) exceeds the line of 2.5. Home team has 3 of 5 recent home matches Over 2.75 (60%), H2H match finished 2-2 (4 goals), and away team shows moderate bookmaker mispricing with goal line error of 1.55 last 5 games, indicating value on Over. |
|
| 21-04-2026 16:15 |
Al Taee |
- |
Abha |
Over 8.0 Corners |
70% |
Expected corners total 9.65 based on home conceding 4.0 and away averaging 7.2 corners away. Away team (Abha) has exceeded 8 corners in 8 of last 10 matches (80%), and the quality gap (1st vs 11th) suggests sustained attacking pressure. Despite H2H corners being 75% Under, Abha's high corner volume and severe bookmaker mispricing (variance 3.5 last 5 games) provide edge. |
|
| 21-04-2026 16:30 |
FC Arges Pitesti |
- |
Universitatea Cluj |
Over 4.0 Asian Corners in 1st Half |
73% |
Expected 1st half corners total is 4.8 based on home averages (3.00 corners scored, 2.90 conceded) and away averages (1.90 corners scored, 1.80 conceded). This exceeds the line of 4.0 by 0.8 corners. Away team has 75% of recent away matches (3 out of 4 non-push) over 4.0 corners in the 1st half, while home team is at 50%, meeting the threshold for an Over bet. The cup match context suggests high tempo and attacking play, supporting more corners early. |
|
| 21-04-2026 16:30 |
SCR Altach |
- |
WSG Swarovski Tirol |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 2.85 based on home avg 1.30 goals scored at home and away avg 1.90 goals conceded away. Away team's last 10 matches had 60% over 2.5 goals, H2H shows 75% over (3 of 4 matches), and strong bookmaker mispricing with GL_5 of 2.05 for away team accelerating, indicating market underestimates goal potential. |
|
| 21-04-2026 16:30 |
FC Blau Weiss Linz |
- |
Wolfsberger AC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 2.70 based on home averages (1.50 scored, 1.40 conceded at home) and away averages (0.80 scored, 1.70 conceded away). Home team's last 4 home matches all exceeded 2.5 goals (100%), while away team's last 5 away matches saw 60% Over. Structural signals include away team conceding 2+ goals in all last 5 away matches and home team scoring 2+ in each of last 3 home matches, with significant bookmaker mispricing for home team (GL_5=2.10, accelerating). |
|
| 21-04-2026 16:30 |
Lech Poznan UAM Women |
- |
GKS Katowice Women |
Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
80% |
Expected first half goals calculated at 1.15 (home avg 0.40 scored, 0.80 conceded; away avg 0.70 scored, 0.40 conceded), below the 1.5 line. Home team has seen first half unders in all three recent home matches, away team away first half unders in 3 of 5 matches (60%), and the sole H2H meeting produced only one first half goal. Home team's consistent first half scoring drought at home provides strong structural support for Under. |
|
| 21-04-2026 16:45 |
Hajduk Split |
- |
NK Osijek |
Over 9 Asian Corners |
65% |
Expected corners total 9.45 from home avg 5.40 corners at home and away conceding 5.80 corners away, with H2H showing 4 out of 4 matches Over 9 corners (100%). Structural factors include dominant home side Hajduk Split (2nd in league) pressing for attacks and away team NK Osijek's weak defensive shape conceding high corners. Corner history for both teams is neutral at 50% Over, but H2H and expected gap support the Over. |
|
| 21-04-2026 17:00 |
Orebro SK |
- |
IFK Norrkoping |
IFK Norrkoping -0.25 Asian Handicap |
67% |
IFK Norrkoping tops the league with 6 points from 2 wins, showing strong form, and their Asian Handicap record is 4 wins in last 5 matches. In head-to-head matches, they have won both previous encounters by multiple goals (4-2 and 3-0). Orebro SK sits 7th with mixed home form, losing 1-2 to Landskrona BoIS in their last home match, supporting the away handicap. |
|
| 21-04-2026 17:00 |
Mallorca |
- |
Valencia |
Over 2.25 Goals |
68% |
Expected total goals is 2.75 (Mallorca avg 1.50 goals scored at home, Valencia avg 1.30 conceded away, Valencia avg 1.20 scored away, Mallorca avg 1.50 conceded at home), well above the 2.25 line. Mallorca's home matches show 80% over 2.25 goals (8 of last 10), though Valencia's away matches are 40% over. H2H has 75% under 2.25 goals (3 of last 4), but Valencia's goal line mispricing (GL_5 1.70) aligns with over, indicating bookmaker underestimation. |
|
| 21-04-2026 17:00 |
Mallorca |
- |
Valencia |
Over 2.25 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals is 2.75 based on home averages (1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded) and away averages (1.20 scored, 1.30 conceded). Home team Mallorca has seen Over 2.25 goals in 5 of their last 6 home matches, including 2+ goals in each of the last three. Away team Valencia has high bookmaker mispricing with a GL_5 of 1.70, indicating consistent underestimation of goals in their matches. Despite H2H showing 75% Under (1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-0), home form and mispricing support Over. |
|
| 21-04-2026 17:30 |
Konyaspor |
- |
Fenerbahce |
Over 2.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.85 (home avg 1.50 scored, 0.80 conceded; away avg 2.30 scored, 1.10 conceded), above the 2.75 line. Fenerbahce's away matches show 70% over 2.5 goals, head-to-head history is 75% over, and the quality gap with Fenerbahce 2nd in league supports attacking momentum. Mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.35 for Fenerbahce) aligns with over direction. |
|
| 21-04-2026 18:00 |
Rosario Central Reserves |
- |
Newell's Reserves |
Over 9 Corners |
77% |
Expected corners total is 10.20, calculated from home avg 5.70 corners at home and away avg 5.60 corners away, exceeding the line of 9 by 1.20 corners. Home team's recent matches have seen 60% Over 9 corners, while away team is at 50%, meeting the Over criteria, and structural factors like home team's higher standing support sustained attacking pressure and corner generation. |
|
| 21-04-2026 18:00 |
CA Tigre Reserves |
- |
Defensa y Justicia Reserves |
Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
79% |
Expected 1st half goals total is 1.45 (home avg 0.4 scored/conceded, away avg 1.6 scored/0.5 conceded), significantly above the 1.0 line. Away team has scored in the 1st half in 3 of last 4 away matches (75% Over), and full-time H2H shows 75% Over 2.5 goals. Severe bookmaker mispricing for away team with GL_5 of 2.50 indicates consistent underestimation of goals in their matches, aligning with the Over direction. |
|
| 21-04-2026 18:00 |
Hillerød |
- |
Lyngby |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.95 vs line 2.5 (+0.45 gap). Away team (Lyngby) has seen 67% of recent away matches exceed 2.5 goals, while home team (Hillerød) is at 50%. Head-to-head matches show 75% over 2.5 goals (3 of 4). Structurally, Lyngby has conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility. Market pricing error is mild for both teams (GL_5 1.45 and 1.35). |
|
| 21-04-2026 18:30 |
Velez Mostar |
- |
Siroki Brijeg |
Over 0.75 Goals First Half |
68% |
Expected first half goals total is 1.10 (Velez Mostar avg 0.80 scored at home, Siroki Brijeg avg 0.60 conceded away in first half), significantly above the line of 0.75. Recent first half history supports Over: Velez Mostar had Over 0.75 goals in 3 of 5 home first halves (60%), while Siroki Brijeg had Over in 3 of 4 away first halves (75%). Structural factors include Siroki Brijeg's defensive fragility, conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 4 away matches and averaging 4.50 shots on target against away, indicating high vulnerability. |
|
| 21-04-2026 18:30 |
Standard Liege |
- |
Antwerp |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half goals is 0.80 based on Standard Liege's home average of 0.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the first half, and Antwerp's away average of 0.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams show strong historical trends: 75% of Standard Liege's last 4 home matches had Under 1.0 first-half goals, and 100% of Antwerp's last 4 away matches had Under 1.0 first-half goals, indicating consistent low early scoring. |
|
| 21-04-2026 18:30 |
OH Leuven |
- |
Westerlo |
Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
First half expected goals calculated at 0.95 based on OH Leuven's home first half averages (0.50 scored, 0.30 conceded) and Westerlo's away first half averages (0.50 scored, 0.60 conceded). Both teams show strong first half under trends, with 70% of their last 10 matches featuring under 1.25 goals (7 of 10 for each). Historical H2H full-time matches are 75% under 2.75 goals, indicating a defensive pattern, and structural context supports low first half scoring with both teams averaging 0.5 first half goals. |
|
| 21-04-2026 18:30 |
Genk |
- |
Charleroi |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals 3.35 from home avg 1.90 goals scored at home and away avg 2.10 goals conceded away, with Charleroi conceding 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches showing defensive fragility. Market pricing error for Genk is high (GL_5 2.75), indicating bookmaker mispricing favoring Over. H2H is neutral with 50% Over in last 4 meetings, and Charleroi's away match history shows 60% Over 2.5 goals. |
|
| 21-04-2026 18:45 |
Hereford FC |
- |
Marine |
Over 3.0 Goals |
71% |
Expected total goals 3.25 (Hereford avg 1.30 scored/1.60 conceded at home, Marine avg 1.50 scored/2.10 conceded away) exceeds the 3.0 line by 0.25. H2H shows 2 of 3 matches had over 3 goals, and Marine's recent matches show moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.55) aligned with Over. Hereford's attacking form at home includes 3+ goals in two of their last three home matches. |
|
| 21-04-2026 18:45 |
Stevenage |
- |
Barnsley |
Over 9.5 Corners |
65% |
Expected corners total of 10.15 exceeds the 9.5 line, calculated from home averages (3.70 scored, 4.90 conceded) and away averages (5.00 scored, 6.70 conceded). H2H shows 100% Over 9.5 corners in all 4 prior meetings with totals of 10, 15, 17, and 17. Despite mixed recent corner histories, the strong H2H pattern and expected value favor Over. |
|
| 21-04-2026 18:45 |
Stockport |
- |
Mansfield |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
66% |
Expected 1st half goals calculated from averages: 1.20 vs line 1.25. Stockport's recent first halves show 7 of 10 matches (70%) had Over 1.25 goals, with early scoring in 70% of matches. Mansfield's first half history is lower (20% Over) but not strongly contradicting, and structural context supports Over due to Stockport's early scoring pattern. |
|
| 21-04-2026 18:45 |
Bradford |
- |
Plymouth |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half goals total is 0.95 (home: 0.30 scored, 0.50 conceded; away: 0.60 scored, 0.50 conceded), below the 1.0 line. Home team's last 10 matches saw 90% Under 1.0 in the first half, away team 70% Under, with both teams averaging low first-half goals. Structural context supports low early scoring, and H2H first-half data is absent. |
|
| 21-04-2026 18:45 |
FC United of Manchester |
- |
Stockton Town |
Over 10 Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners of 11.55 exceeds the line of 10, with home team's matches 60% Over 10 corners and away team's matches 70% Over 10 corners. Both teams are in a promotion playoff race, supporting an open game with high corner counts, and the historical data aligns with the Over direction. |
|
| 21-04-2026 19:00 |
Inter Milan |
- |
Como |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 2.90 based on Inter Milan averaging 1.90 scored at home and Como conceding 1.00 away, combined with Como averaging 1.90 scored away and Inter conceding 1.00 at home. Inter's home matches show 60% Over 2.5 (3 of last 5), and while Como's away matches are 40% Over, H2H includes a 4-3 and 4-0 win for Inter. Strong bookmaker mispricing signals with GL_5 of 2.10 for Inter and 2.00 for Como, both accelerating and aligned with Over. Structural factors include Inter's top-tier attack and form momentum. |
|
| 21-04-2026 19:00 |
Inter Milan |
- |
Como |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.90 from home averages (1.90 scored, 1.00 conceded) and away averages (1.90 scored, 1.00 conceded). Inter Milan has seen 3 of their last 5 home matches exceed 2.5 goals (60%), and high market pricing error (GL_5 of 2.10 for Inter and 2.00 for Como) indicates bookmaker mispricing favoring over, with recent H2H including a 3-4 scoreline. |
|
| 21-04-2026 19:00 |
Universitario De Vinto |
- |
Academia de Balompie Boliviano |
Over 1.5 Goals 1st Half |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals are 2.00 based on home avg 1.10 goals scored and away avg 1.70 conceded in the 1st half, exceeding the line by 0.75 goals. Home team has gone Over 1.25 goals in 75% of recent home matches (3 of 4), while away team has done so in 67% of recent away matches (4 of 6). Structural signals include away team conceding 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches and high-tempo Bolivian league favoring early goals. H2H 1st half data is unavailable, so no contradiction. |
|
| 21-04-2026 19:10 |
Lens |
- |
Toulouse |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 3.60 (Lens avg 2.50 goals scored at home, Toulouse concede 2.00 away; Toulouse score 1.20 away, Lens concede 1.50 at home). Lens's last 10 matches saw 90% over 2.5 goals, Toulouse 60%. H2H is neutral (2 over, 2 under). Structural signals: Toulouse conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, and Lens scored 3+ in last 3 home matches. Bookmaker mispricing high for Toulouse (GL_5 2.15) aligning with Over. Confidence: base 50% + gap 15% + home history 10% + away history 5% + GL_5 away 4% + away defensive fragility 5% = 89% raw, capped at standard ceiling 82%. |
|
| 21-04-2026 19:30 |
Girona |
- |
Real Betis |
Girona 0 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Girona covers 75% in recent home matches (3 wins in last 4 at home) and has a strong 4-1 Asian Handicap record in last 5 overall, while Real Betis fails to cover in 0 of last 5 away matches with a 1-3 AH record. Common opponents (e.g., Athletic Bilbao: Girona won 3-0 at home, Betis lost 2-1 away) support Girona, outweighing Betis's 8-point standings advantage. |
|
| 21-04-2026 19:30 |
Real Madrid |
- |
CD Alaves |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.70 (home avg 2.00 goals scored at home, away avg 2.20 goals conceded away) exceeds the line of 3.25. Away team has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches (vs Real Sociedad, Celta Vigo, Valencia), indicating defensive fragility. Market pricing error is severe for away team (GL_5 2.75, accelerating), showing bookmaker mispricing. Recent match history shows 60% of away team's matches Over 3.25 goals, while H2H is neutral with 2 of 4 matches Over. |
|
| 21-04-2026 19:30 |
Real Madrid |
- |
CD Alaves |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals is 3.70 based on Real Madrid's home scoring avg (2.00) and Alaves's away conceding avg (2.20), exceeding the line by 0.70 goals. Alaves has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility, and bookmaker mispricing is severe for Alaves with GL_5 of 2.75, signaling consistent underestimation of goals. H2H shows 2 of 4 matches had over 3.0 goals, and away team's match history supports over with 60% of away games exceeding the line. |
|
| 21-04-2026 20:00 |
Rubio Nu |
- |
Libertad Asuncion |
Under 1.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals calculated at 0.60 based on home 0.10 scored/conceded and away 0.30 scored/conceded averages, well below the 1.0 line. Home team had under 1.0 first half goals in 9 of last 10 matches (90%), away team in 9 of last 10 (90%), showing consistent low scoring in first halves. Structural context supports with both teams historically low 1st half scorers. Confidence capped at standard ceiling due to gap below 0.5 and no H2H data for 1st half. |
|
| 21-04-2026 21:00 |
Atletico Tucuman Reserves |
- |
Central Cordoba SdE Reserves |
Over 2.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.95 (home averages 1.30 scored and 1.40 conceded at home, away averages 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded away), exceeding the line of 2.25 by 0.70 goals. Away team's recent away matches show 75% Over 2.5 goals (3 of 4), and while H2H historically leans Under (75%), the last meeting produced 6 goals. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5 1.05 for away) with expected total above line, supporting Over. |
|
| 21-04-2026 21:00 |
Fuerte San Francisco |
- |
CD Platense Zacatecoluca |
CD Platense Zacatecoluca +0.25 |
65% |
Away team leads by 8 points in the standings (9th vs 11th) and has covered +0.25 in 4 of last 5 away matches (80%). Home team has failed to cover -0.25 in their last 5 home matches (0 covers). H2H shows 4 consecutive draws, meaning the away team would have covered +0.25 in all recent meetings. |
|
| 21-04-2026 22:00 |
Academia Puerto Cabello |
- |
Trujillanos |
Over 2.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected goals total of 2.55 (based on home avg 1.00 scored/conceded 1.30 at home, away avg 0.80 scored/conceded 2.00 away) exceeds the 2.5 line, supported by home team's 60% Over 2.5 record in last 10 matches and away team's defensive fragility conceding 2+ goals in 3 of last 4 away matches. Moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.55 for away team) aligns with Over direction, with no conflicting H2H data. |
|
| 21-04-2026 22:15 |
Sao Paulo |
- |
EC Juventude |
Over 9.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected corners total is 10.70 (home avg 6.80, conceded 4.50; away avg 5.80, conceded 4.30), exceeding the line by 1.20. Home team's recent matches show 80% over 9.5 corners (8 of 10), H2H corners are 75% over (3 of 4), and structural signals favor over due to dominant home side (Serie A top-4) pressing against a weaker Serie B opponent. |
|
| 21-04-2026 22:30 |
Gremio |
- |
AD Confianca |
Under 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 1.60 (Gremio avg 0.70 scored at home, AD Confianca avg 0.80 conceded away) is well below the 2.5 line. Both teams show 80% of their last 10 matches finished Under 2.5 goals, with Gremio keeping 5 clean sheets in last 10 and AD Confianca scoring only 3 goals in last 5 away matches. Bookmaker mispricing is high for Gremio (GL_5 1.80), indicating consistent overestimation of goals in their matches. |
|
| 21-04-2026 23:00 |
Brooklyn FC |
- |
Sacramento Republic |
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) |
68% |
Expected 1st half goals total is 1.04 based on home avg 0.50 scored and 0.67 conceded at home, and away avg 0.60 scored and 0.30 conceded away, significantly exceeding the line of 0.5. Home team has seen over 0.5 in 3 of 4 recent home first halves (75%), while away team has over 0.5 in 2 of 3 away first halves (67%). No head-to-head data to contradict, and structural signals align with over given the positive gap. |
|
| 21-04-2026 23:00 |
CA Independiente Reserves |
- |
Racing Club Reserves |
Over 2.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total goals calculated at 2.80 vs. line 2.5, with H2H showing 3 of 4 matches (75%) over 2.5 goals. Away team has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches, confirming defensive fragility, while home team averages 1.80 goals scored at home. |
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