| 04-09 18:00 |
Vitesse
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2.90 -0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.20 + 1.60 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.90 Error: 2.90 - Goal line 3.25 = -0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 302 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.20 1.60 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.50 | 9.00 5.88 | 10.57 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.20 | 10.80 9.40 | 14.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 5.20 3.20 | 3.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
60.00 | 34.40 47.00 | 61.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 04-09 18:00 |
Helmond Sport
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2.40 -0.60 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.40 + 1.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.60 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 202 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.40 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.86 | 8.43 6.75 | 15.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.60 | 11.80 6.75 | 15.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 4.20 1.50 | 5.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
33.00 | 62.40 35.75 | 51.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 04-09 18:00 |
FC Emmen
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3.40 +0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 2.40 + 1.40 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.40 Error: 3.40 - Goal line 3.25 = +0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 2.40 1.40 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.17 | 6.42 7.00 | 7.89 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.40 | 15.40 9.80 | 14.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 7.20 3.40 | 6.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
56.20 | 42.40 39.20 | 49.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 04-09 18:00 |
Almere City FC
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+0.83 -0.42 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 13.39 Heim: 13.39 / ((6.23 + 8.33) / 2) = 1.84 Heim: 13.39 / ((9.33 + 17.33) / 2) = 1.00 Diff: 1.84 - 1.00 = +0.83 Error: +0.83 + AH line -1.25 = -0.42 |
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3.10 -0.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.60 + 1.20 + 0.60 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 3.75 = -0.65 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.60 | 1.20 0.60 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.23 | 9.33 17.33 | 8.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.20 | 11.20 10.40 | 15.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.40 | 4.20 4.40 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
54.80 | 43.00 42.20 | 49.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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