| 28-10 12:30 |
Bylis Ballsh
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3.20 +0.95 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.20 + 1.40 + 2.20) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.95| Opponent | Bylis Ballsh | Besa Kavaje |
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| Pogradeci | D 2-2 H 23-10-26 | L 0-1 A 11-05-26 | | FK Kukesi | W 1-0 H 10-10-26 | L 0-2 A 16-10-26 | | KS Sopoti Librazhd | D 1-1 H 05-09-26 | W 4-0 A 12-09-26 | | FC Dinamo City | D 1-1 H 13-04-26 | L 0-3 A 10-01-26 | | Laci | W 3-2 H 10-01-26 | L 3-5 A 18-03-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 1.60 - 1.20 | 1.40 - 2.20 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Bylis Ballsh | Besa Kavaje |
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| Pogradeci | D 2-2 H 23-10-26 | L 0-1 A 11-05-26 | | FK Kukesi | W 1-0 H 10-10-26 | L 0-2 A 16-10-26 | | KS Sopoti Librazhd | D 1-1 H 05-09-26 | W 4-0 A 12-09-26 | | FC Dinamo City | D 1-1 H 13-04-26 | L 0-3 A 10-01-26 | | Laci | W 3-2 H 10-01-26 | L 3-5 A 18-03-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 1.60 - 1.20 | 1.40 - 2.20 |
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230 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.20 1.40 | 2.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.63 | 8.33 5.43 | 4.36 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.60 | 10.00 7.60 | 9.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.40 | 3.60 3.60 | 3.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
70.20 | 64.80 37.20 | 49.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-10 12:30 |
Pogradeci
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3.20 -0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.60 + 0.80 + 0.33 + 2.67) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 3.25 = -0.05| Opponent | Pogradeci | KF Oriku |
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| KS Sopoti Librazhd | D 2-2 H 17-10-26 | D 1-1 A 24-10-26 | | Kastrioti Krujë | W 2-1 H 12-09-26 | L 0-2 A 11-10-26 | | Besa Kavaje | W 1-0 H 11-05-26 | L 0-5 A 16-09-26 | | Kastrioti Krujë | W 3-0 H 07-05-26 | L 0-2 A 11-10-26 | | Kastrioti Krujë | W 5-1 H 04-04-26 | L 0-2 A 11-10-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 2.60 - 0.80 | 0.33 - 2.67 |
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5 3 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Pogradeci | KF Oriku |
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| KS Sopoti Librazhd | D 2-2 H 17-10-26 | D 1-1 A 24-10-26 | | Kastrioti Krujë | W 2-1 H 12-09-26 | L 0-2 A 11-10-26 | | Besa Kavaje | W 1-0 H 11-05-26 | L 0-5 A 16-09-26 | | Kastrioti Krujë | W 3-0 H 07-05-26 | L 0-2 A 11-10-26 | | Kastrioti Krujë | W 5-1 H 04-04-26 | L 0-2 A 11-10-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 2.60 - 0.80 | 0.33 - 2.67 |
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410 012 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.60 | 0.80 0.33 | 2.67 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.46 | 8.25 24.00 | 5.38 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.60 | 6.60 8.00 | 14.33 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.20 | 3.40 3.00 | 6.67 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
53.40 | 37.40 50.67 | 63.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-10 12:30 |
KS Korabi Peshkopi
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2.20 -0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 0.80 + 1.25 + 1.75) / 2 = 2.20 Error: 2.20 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.05| Opponent | KS Korabi Peshkopi | KS Burreli |
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| Pogradeci | L 0-2 H 11-10-26 | L 0-2 A 15-02-26 | | KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje | D 1-1 H 16-09-26 | L 0-1 A 17-10-26 | | KF Oriku | W 1-0 H 06-09-26 | W 1-0 A 20-09-26 | | KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje | D 1-1 H 03-05-26 | L 0-1 A 17-10-26 | | Apolonia Fier | D 0-0 H 11-04-26 | D 4-4 A 03-05-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 0.60 - 0.80 | 1.25 - 1.75 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | KS Korabi Peshkopi | KS Burreli |
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| Pogradeci | L 0-2 H 11-10-26 | L 0-2 A 15-02-26 | | KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje | D 1-1 H 16-09-26 | L 0-1 A 17-10-26 | | KF Oriku | W 1-0 H 06-09-26 | W 1-0 A 20-09-26 | | KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje | D 1-1 H 03-05-26 | L 0-1 A 17-10-26 | | Apolonia Fier | D 0-0 H 11-04-26 | D 4-4 A 03-05-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 0.60 - 0.80 | 1.25 - 1.75 |
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131 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 0.80 1.25 | 1.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.00 | 7.25 4.80 | 5.29 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.40 | 5.80 6.00 | 9.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
1.80 | 2.60 2.25 | 4.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
32.60 | 31.60 32.00 | 53.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-10 12:30 |
FK Kukesi
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+0.62 -0.38 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.12 Heim: 9.12 / ((4.44 + 0.88) / 2) = 3.43 Heim: 9.12 / ((5.83 + 0.67) / 2) = 2.81 Diff: 3.43 - 2.81 = +0.62 Error: +0.62 + AH line -1.00 = -0.38 |
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3.25 +0.75 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.20 + 1.50 + 2.00) / 2 = 3.25 Error: 3.25 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.75| Opponent | FK Kukesi | Kastrioti Krujë |
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| KS Korabi Peshkopi | W 3-0 H 20-09-26 | L 0-1 A 28-02-26 | | Pogradeci | L 0-3 H 16-09-26 | L 1-2 A 12-09-26 | | KF Beselidhja Lezhe | W 2-0 H 05-09-26 | L 1-4 A 17-10-26 | | KS Korabi Peshkopi | D 1-1 H 19-04-26 | L 0-1 A 28-02-26 | | KS Lushnja | W 3-2 H 18-03-26 | W 4-1 A 03-05-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.20 | 1.50 - 2.00 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | FK Kukesi | Kastrioti Krujë |
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| KS Korabi Peshkopi | W 3-0 H 20-09-26 | L 0-1 A 28-02-26 | | Pogradeci | L 0-3 H 16-09-26 | L 1-2 A 12-09-26 | | KF Beselidhja Lezhe | W 2-0 H 05-09-26 | L 1-4 A 17-10-26 | | KS Korabi Peshkopi | D 1-1 H 19-04-26 | L 0-1 A 28-02-26 | | KS Lushnja | W 3-2 H 18-03-26 | W 4-1 A 03-05-26 | | Durchschn. Tore (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.20 | 1.50 - 2.00 |
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311 103 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.20 1.50 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.44 | 5.83 0.67 | 0.88 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.00 | 7.00 1.00 | 1.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 3.60 0.75 | 1.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
60.40 | 45.00 7.75 | 9.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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