| 29-08 14:00 |
Grindavik
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2.50 -1.00 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 0.20 + 1.20 + 3.00) / 2 = 2.50 Error: 2.50 - Goal line 3.50 = -1.00 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
230 005 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 0.20 1.20 | 3.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
14.67 | 55.00 10.00 | 4.87 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.80 | 11.00 12.00 | 14.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 4.00 4.60 | 6.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.80 | 45.80 65.80 | 60.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 29-08 14:00 |
Afturelding
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+1.01 -0.74 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.66 Heim: 10.66 / ((4.53 + 4.23) / 2) = 2.43 Heim: 10.66 / ((8.83 + 6.14) / 2) = 1.42 Diff: 2.43 - 1.42 = +1.01 Error: +1.01 + AH line -1.75 = -0.74 |
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4.50 +0.75 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (3.80 + 1.20 + 1.40 + 2.60) / 2 = 4.50 Error: 4.50 - Goal line 3.75 = +0.75 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
3.80 | 1.20 1.40 | 2.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.53 | 8.83 6.14 | 4.23 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
17.20 | 10.60 8.60 | 11.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
8.20 | 4.60 3.80 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.80 | 34.60 36.40 | 34.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 29-08 14:00 |
Leiknir Reykjavik
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3.90 +0.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.60 + 2.00 + 1.40 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.90 Error: 3.90 - Goal line 3.25 = +0.65 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.60 | 2.00 1.40 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
3.62 | 4.80 5.86 | 3.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.40 | 9.60 8.20 | 5.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 3.40 3.40 | 3.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.00 | 51.00 35.60 | 23.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 29-08 16:00 |
Volsungur
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4.20 +1.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 2.00 + 2.20 + 2.20) / 2 = 4.20 Error: 4.20 - Goal line 3.00 = +1.20 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 2.00 2.20 | 2.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.00 | 7.70 4.73 | 4.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.00 | 15.40 10.40 | 8.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 7.00 4.40 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
44.00 | 49.60 45.60 | 40.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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