| 03-09 14:00 |
General Lamadrid Reserves
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2.00 -0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 0.80 + 1.20 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.00 Error: 2.00 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.50 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 0.80 1.20 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
14.00 | 8.25 10.17 | 5.43 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.40 | 6.60 12.20 | 7.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.20 | 2.80 4.40 | 3.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
71.20 | 62.00 64.80 | 62.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 03-09 14:00 |
Yupanqui Reserves
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2.10 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.80 + 1.00 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.80 1.00 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.67 | 11.50 7.40 | 8.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.80 | 9.20 7.40 | 10.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 3.20 3.80 | 3.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
45.40 | 65.80 58.80 | 54.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 03-09 17:00 |
JJ Urquiza Reserves
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+0.25 -0.75 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 8.41 Heim: 8.41 / ((1.40 + 5.00) / 2) = 2.63 Heim: 8.41 / ((2.40 + 4.67) / 2) = 2.38 Diff: 2.63 - 2.38 = +0.25 Error: +0.25 + AH line -1.00 = -0.75 |
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3.10 +0.60 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.00 + 1.20 + 2.00) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.60 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.00 1.20 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
1.40 | 2.40 4.67 | 5.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
2.80 | 2.40 5.60 | 10.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
1.40 | 0.80 2.40 | 4.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.80 | 34.40 62.00 | 78.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 03-09 18:00 |
Quilmes Reserves
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2.60 +0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.40 + 0.60 + 2.00) / 2 = 2.60 Error: 2.60 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 014 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.40 0.60 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
3.50 | 2.86 9.67 | 5.70 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
4.20 | 4.00 5.80 | 11.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.00 | 2.20 2.40 | 5.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
45.80 | 65.00 55.80 | 83.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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