| 02-09 17:30 |
Croatia 1.NL |
HNK Cibalia
|
|
+1.34 +1.09 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.68 Heim: 9.68 / ((4.08 + 6.50) / 2) = 1.83 Heim: 9.68 / ((20.50 + 18.67) / 2) = 0.49 Diff: 1.83 - 0.49 = +1.34 Error: +1.34 + AH line -0.25 = +1.09 |
|
2.30 +0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 0.40 + 0.60 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.30 Error: 2.30 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
500 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 0.40 0.60 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.08 | 20.50 18.67 | 6.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.80 | 8.20 11.20 | 7.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 2.80 3.20 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
63.00 | 49.40 66.80 | 51.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 17:30 |
South Africa Premier |
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
|
-
|
|
3.27 +0.52 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 1.00 + 2.00 + 1.33) / 2 = 3.27 Error: 3.27 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.52 |
5 3 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 210 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 1.00 2.00 | 1.33 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.18 | 7.00 3.33 | 8.25 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
18.00 | 7.00 6.67 | 11.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.60 | 1.60 2.33 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
68.60 | 32.20 39.67 | 82.33 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 17:40 |
Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
Al-Ula
|
|
-
|
|
2.98 +0.23 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.20 + 1.25 + 1.50) / 2 = 2.98 Error: 2.98 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.23 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.20 1.25 | 1.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.70 | 8.17 6.60 | 5.83 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.40 | 9.80 8.25 | 8.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 3.80 2.75 | 3.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
46.20 | 52.00 43.00 | 39.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 17:45 |
Brazil Copa Rio |
Sampaio Correa RJ
|
|
-
|
|
2.15 +0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.60 + 0.75 + 1.75) / 2 = 2.15 Error: 2.15 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.15 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 022 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.60 0.75 | 1.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.17 | 22.67 8.33 | 5.14 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.00 | 13.60 6.25 | 9.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.40 | 4.60 2.25 | 4.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
49.80 | 61.40 49.50 | 51.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:00 |
Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves |
Newell's Reserves
|
|
+0.37 -0.13 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 8.45 Heim: 8.45 / ((5.70 + 5.13) / 2) = 1.56 Heim: 8.45 / ((6.25 + 8.00) / 2) = 1.19 Diff: 1.56 - 1.19 = +0.37 Error: +0.37 + AH line -0.50 = -0.13 |
|
2.40 +0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 0.80 + 0.40 + 1.60) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 014 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 0.80 0.40 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.70 | 6.25 8.00 | 5.13 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.40 | 5.00 3.20 | 8.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 2.60 1.60 | 3.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
62.00 | 63.40 41.00 | 49.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:00 |
Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves |
CA Independiente Reserves
|
|
+0.69 -0.31 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 8.45 Heim: 8.45 / ((4.63 + 5.83) / 2) = 1.62 Heim: 8.45 / ((8.60 + 9.67) / 2) = 0.93 Diff: 1.62 - 0.93 = +0.69 Error: +0.69 + AH line -1.00 = -0.31 |
|
3.00 +0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (3.20 + 1.00 + 0.60 + 1.20) / 2 = 3.00 Error: 3.00 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.25 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
3.20 | 1.00 0.60 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.63 | 8.60 9.67 | 5.83 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.80 | 8.60 5.80 | 7.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.80 | 3.00 1.80 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
66.40 | 50.80 55.00 | 58.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:00 |
Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves |
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Reserves
|
|
+0.54 -0.21 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 8.45 Heim: 8.45 / ((9.33 + 2.00) / 2) = 1.49 Heim: 8.45 / ((14.50 + 3.20) / 2) = 0.95 Diff: 1.49 - 0.95 = +0.54 Error: +0.54 + AH line -0.75 = -0.21 |
|
3.60 +1.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 0.40 + 1.00 + 5.20) / 2 = 3.60 Error: 3.60 - Goal line 2.25 = +1.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 014 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 0.40 1.00 | 5.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.33 | 14.50 3.20 | 2.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.60 | 5.80 3.20 | 10.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.40 | 2.40 1.60 | 7.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
37.80 | 54.20 33.40 | 63.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:00 |
Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves |
Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves
|
|
-
|
|
3.10 +0.85 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 2.00 + 2.20 + 1.20) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.85 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
122 302 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 2.00 2.20 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.75 | 1.80 4.45 | 4.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
3.80 | 3.60 9.80 | 5.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
1.80 | 2.40 4.40 | 2.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
53.20 | 60.60 49.80 | 45.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:00 |
Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves |
Atletico Tucuman Reserves
|
|
-
|
|
2.80 +0.55 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.40 + 1.40 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.80 Error: 2.80 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.55 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.40 1.40 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.75 | 4.71 10.29 | 8.83 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.60 | 6.60 14.40 | 10.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.80 | 2.60 4.80 | 5.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
46.60 | 38.80 74.60 | 55.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:00 |
Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves |
Godoy Cruz Reserves
|
|
-
|
|
2.40 +0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.20 + 0.40 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 005 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.20 0.40 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.29 | 9.33 9.00 | 4.22 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.60 | 11.20 3.60 | 7.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 4.40 1.80 | 3.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
64.80 | 65.80 42.80 | 49.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:00 |
Argentina Reserve League |
CSD Flandria Reserves
|
|
-
|
|
1.80 -0.45 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 0.20 + 1.40 + 1.00) / 2 = 1.80 Error: 1.80 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.45 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 0.20 1.40 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.00 | 30.00 4.00 | 5.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.00 | 6.00 5.60 | 5.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.20 | 2.20 2.80 | 2.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
72.00 | 54.00 60.00 | 61.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:00 |
Czechia First League |
Bohemians 1905
|
|
-
|
|
2.00 -0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 0.80 + 1.00 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.00 Error: 2.00 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.25 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 0.80 1.00 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.80 | 15.50 9.00 | 8.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.80 | 12.40 9.00 | 10.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 4.60 4.00 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
57.80 | 51.00 44.20 | 47.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:00 |
Czechia First League |
Bohemians 1905
|
|
-
|
|
2.00 -0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 0.80 + 1.00 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.00 Error: 2.00 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.50 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 0.80 1.00 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.80 | 15.50 9.00 | 8.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.80 | 12.40 9.00 | 10.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 4.60 4.00 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
57.80 | 51.00 44.20 | 47.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:00 |
Denmark Superligaen |
AGF Aarhus
|
|
-
|
|
3.77 +0.77 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 1.40 + 2.50 + 1.25) / 2 = 3.77 Error: 3.77 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.77 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
230 310 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 1.40 2.50 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.42 | 8.43 6.00 | 9.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
20.20 | 11.80 15.00 | 12.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.20 | 4.20 5.50 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
68.20 | 35.60 45.25 | 44.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:00 |
Malta Premier League |
Hibernians
|
|
-
|
|
1.50 -0.75 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 0.60 + 1.20 + 0.40) / 2 = 1.50 Error: 1.50 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.75 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 0.60 1.20 | 0.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.50 | 14.00 7.67 | 19.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.60 | 8.40 9.20 | 7.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 3.40 3.20 | 3.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
46.60 | 49.60 55.40 | 40.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:00 |
Slovenia Prva Liga |
NK Aluminij
|
|
-
|
|
2.90 -0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 0.80 + 2.20 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.90 Error: 2.90 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 0.80 2.20 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.00 | 12.00 5.18 | 5.78 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.00 | 9.60 11.40 | 10.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 3.00 5.20 | 5.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
63.80 | 59.00 66.80 | 43.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:00 |
Uruguay Cup |
Central Espanol
|
|
-
|
|
1.93 -0.32 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 0.60 + 1.25 + 1.00) / 2 = 1.93 Error: 1.93 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.32 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 211 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 0.60 1.25 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.40 | 14.67 10.00 | 12.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.40 | 8.80 12.50 | 12.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.60 | 4.20 5.50 | 5.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
52.20 | 74.00 63.75 | 65.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:30 |
Austria Bundesliga |
FC Salzburg
|
|
-
|
|
2.94 -0.31 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.20 + 1.00 + 1.67) / 2 = 2.94 Error: 2.94 - Goal line 3.25 = -0.31 |
5 3 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 021 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.20 1.00 | 1.67 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.00 | 7.50 10.00 | 7.80 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
20.00 | 9.00 10.00 | 13.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.60 | 3.00 3.33 | 4.67 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
67.60 | 25.80 41.33 | 45.33 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:30 |
Belgium First Division A |
Sint-Truidense
|
|
-
|
|
3.10 +0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 0.80 + 2.20 + 1.40) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 320 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.80 2.20 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.56 | 18.50 7.27 | 6.86 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.40 | 14.80 16.00 | 9.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 3.80 7.00 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
51.40 | 47.20 51.00 | 48.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:30 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
Borac Banja Luka
|
|
-
|
|
3.90 +1.40 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.80 + 1.00 + 2.25 + 1.75) / 2 = 3.90 Error: 3.90 - Goal line 2.50 = +1.40 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 121 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.80 | 1.00 2.25 | 1.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.64 | 6.60 2.56 | 4.71 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.80 | 6.60 5.75 | 8.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.80 | 2.80 2.75 | 2.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
75.80 | 40.20 30.50 | 46.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:30 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
Siroki Brijeg
|
|
-
|
|
2.12 +0.12 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.80 + 1.00 + 1.25) / 2 = 2.12 Error: 2.12 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.12 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 202 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.80 1.00 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.00 | 11.50 10.50 | 7.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.60 | 9.20 10.50 | 9.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 2.40 4.25 | 2.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
41.20 | 45.40 47.25 | 46.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:30 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
Siroki Brijeg
|
|
-
|
|
2.12 +0.12 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.80 + 1.00 + 1.25) / 2 = 2.12 Error: 2.12 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.12 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 202 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.80 1.00 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.00 | 11.50 10.50 | 7.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.60 | 9.20 10.50 | 9.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 2.40 4.25 | 2.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
41.20 | 45.40 47.25 | 46.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:30 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
Borac Banja Luka
|
|
-
|
|
3.90 +1.40 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.80 + 1.00 + 2.25 + 1.75) / 2 = 3.90 Error: 3.90 - Goal line 2.50 = +1.40 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 121 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.80 | 1.00 2.25 | 1.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.64 | 6.60 2.56 | 4.71 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.80 | 6.60 5.75 | 8.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.80 | 2.80 2.75 | 2.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
75.80 | 40.20 30.50 | 46.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:30 |
Northern Ireland Championship Women |
Ballymoney United Women
|
|
-
|
|
4.40 +0.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 3.00 + 1.20 + 2.60) / 2 = 4.40 Error: 4.40 - Goal line 3.75 = +0.65 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 3.00 1.20 | 2.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.90 | 4.47 6.50 | 3.77 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.80 | 13.40 7.80 | 9.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.60 | 7.60 4.20 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
43.00 | 46.20 35.60 | 47.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:30 |
Poland Cup |
Widzew Lodz
|
|
-
|
|
2.83 +0.58 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.60 + 0.80 + 0.75 + 1.50) / 2 = 2.83 Error: 2.83 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.58 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.60 | 0.80 0.75 | 1.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.46 | 8.25 19.33 | 7.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.60 | 6.60 14.50 | 11.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 2.40 5.00 | 5.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
46.20 | 42.40 75.25 | 58.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:30 |
Romania Cup |
FC Arges Pitesti
|
|
-
|
|
1.50 -0.75 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.40 + 0.80 + 1.00 + 0.80) / 2 = 1.50 Error: 1.50 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.75 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.40 | 0.80 1.00 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
32.50 | 10.75 18.00 | 12.25 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.00 | 8.60 18.00 | 9.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.40 | 2.80 6.00 | 2.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
56.80 | 25.40 50.20 | 35.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:30 |
Switzerland Super League |
FC Thun
|
|
-
|
|
3.12 +0.12 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 2.40 + 1.00 + 1.25) / 2 = 3.12 Error: 3.12 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.12 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
122 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 2.40 1.00 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.75 | 7.58 14.00 | 9.40 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.40 | 18.20 14.00 | 11.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 8.40 6.00 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
50.00 | 52.40 45.00 | 46.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:30 |
Switzerland Super League |
Grasshoppers
|
|
-
|
|
3.10 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 2.80 + 1.40 + 1.00) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 3.25 = -0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
104 230 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 2.80 1.40 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.80 | 5.29 10.14 | 11.20 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.80 | 14.80 14.20 | 11.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 6.00 5.00 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
46.20 | 60.20 47.00 | 38.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:45 |
England Championship |
West Brom
|
|
-
|
|
2.50 +0.00 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.80 + 0.60 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.50 Error: 2.50 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.00 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
122 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.80 0.60 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.83 | 5.33 10.67 | 17.86 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.00 | 9.60 6.40 | 25.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 4.40 1.80 | 7.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
46.00 | 44.40 26.40 | 81.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:45 |
England Championship |
Millwall
|
|
-
|
|
2.40 -0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 0.40 + 1.60 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 401 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.40 1.60 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.44 | 24.50 5.63 | 14.80 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.40 | 9.80 9.00 | 14.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 1.60 3.40 | 4.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
59.20 | 37.60 31.40 | 44.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:45 |
England League 1 |
Luton
|
|
-
|
|
3.28 +0.28 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 1.60 + 1.50 + 1.25) / 2 = 3.28 Error: 3.28 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.28 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 121 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 1.60 1.50 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.55 | 6.25 9.17 | 8.80 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
18.80 | 10.00 13.75 | 11.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 3.20 5.50 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
61.80 | 46.60 38.25 | 51.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:45 |
England League 1 |
Burton Albion
|
|
-
|
|
2.38 +0.12 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.80 + 0.75 + 2.00) / 2 = 2.38 Error: 2.38 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.12 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 013 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.80 0.75 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.33 | 10.75 11.67 | 5.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.00 | 8.60 8.75 | 11.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.40 | 3.20 2.50 | 3.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
51.80 | 32.40 46.75 | 46.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:45 |
England League 1 |
Barnsley
|
|
-
|
|
3.80 +1.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 2.20 + 1.25 + 1.75) / 2 = 3.80 Error: 3.80 - Goal line 2.75 = +1.05 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 202 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 2.20 1.25 | 1.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.92 | 5.18 6.40 | 10.71 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.80 | 11.40 8.00 | 18.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.40 | 5.20 3.00 | 5.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
51.80 | 40.80 34.00 | 62.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:45 |
Northern Ireland Championship Women |
Ballyclare Comrades Women
|
|
-0.38 +0.37 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 12.13 Heim: 12.13 / ((4.70 + 7.33) / 2) = 2.02 Heim: 12.13 / ((2.92 + 7.20) / 2) = 2.40 Diff: 2.02 - 2.40 = -0.38 Error: -0.38 + AH line 0.75 = +0.37 |
|
3.92 +0.17 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 2.60 + 2.50 + 0.75) / 2 = 3.92 Error: 3.92 - Goal line 3.75 = +0.17 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 301 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 2.60 2.50 | 0.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.70 | 2.92 7.20 | 7.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.40 | 7.60 18.00 | 5.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 3.80 10.50 | 3.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.80 | 29.00 52.50 | 30.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:45 |
Northern Ireland Championship Women |
St. James Swifts Women
|
|
-
|
|
3.70 -0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 2.40 + 1.40 + 1.20) / 2 = 3.70 Error: 3.70 - Goal line 3.75 = -0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 2.40 1.40 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.25 | 4.75 7.71 | 4.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.20 | 11.40 10.80 | 5.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 7.20 5.00 | 2.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.20 | 40.40 38.40 | 32.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:45 |
Scotland Premiership |
Kilmarnock
|
|
-
|
|
4.10 +1.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 2.40 + 1.00 + 3.00) / 2 = 4.10 Error: 4.10 - Goal line 3.00 = +1.10 |
5 3 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 003 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 2.40 1.00 | 3.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.89 | 6.92 8.67 | 3.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.40 | 16.60 8.67 | 11.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 7.40 4.67 | 5.67 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
37.20 | 42.60 35.00 | 38.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:45 |
Scotland Premiership |
Celtic
|
|
+1.22 -0.53 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 12.54 Heim: 12.54 / ((5.75 + 8.55) / 2) = 1.75 Heim: 12.54 / ((12.00 + 35.00) / 2) = 0.53 Diff: 1.75 - 0.53 = +1.22 Error: +1.22 + AH line -1.75 = -0.53 |
|
2.80 -0.45 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 0.80 + 0.20 + 2.20) / 2 = 2.80 Error: 2.80 - Goal line 3.25 = -0.45 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
500 005 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 0.80 0.20 | 2.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.75 | 12.00 35.00 | 8.55 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.80 | 9.60 7.00 | 18.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 2.20 1.20 | 7.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
56.80 | 37.00 37.40 | 56.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 18:45 |
Scotland Premiership |
Motherwell
|
|
-
|
|
3.20 +0.45 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 1.40 + 0.75 + 3.25) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.45 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
032 004 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.40 0.75 | 3.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.20 | 7.00 11.33 | 4.69 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.20 | 9.80 8.50 | 15.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 2.60 2.00 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
45.40 | 40.00 46.00 | 62.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 19:00 |
Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
GV San Jose
|
|
-
|
|
3.50 +0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.20 + 2.20 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.50 Error: 3.50 - Goal line 3.25 = +0.25 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.20 2.20 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.22 | 12.33 5.64 | 7.89 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.40 | 14.80 12.40 | 14.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 5.00 4.60 | 5.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
28.00 | 30.00 28.80 | 30.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 19:00 |
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
Macara
|
|
+0.76 -0.24 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 11.85 Heim: 11.85 / ((6.33 + 9.89) / 2) = 1.46 Heim: 11.85 / ((19.00 + 15.00) / 2) = 0.70 Diff: 1.46 - 0.70 = +0.76 Error: +0.76 + AH line -1.00 = -0.24 |
|
2.40 -0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 0.60 + 0.60 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.60 0.60 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.33 | 19.00 15.00 | 9.89 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.40 | 11.40 9.00 | 17.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 3.20 2.80 | 6.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
35.20 | 35.80 28.20 | 50.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 19:00 |
England League 1 |
Reading
|
|
-
|
|
2.20 -0.55 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.00 + 0.80 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.20 Error: 2.20 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.55 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.00 0.80 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.88 | 13.00 12.50 | 12.80 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.00 | 13.00 10.00 | 12.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.40 | 3.40 3.00 | 4.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
27.40 | 55.40 37.80 | 67.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 19:00 |
Malta Premier League |
Floriana
|
|
+1.01 +0.01 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 7.82 Heim: 7.82 / ((3.00 + 3.60) / 2) = 2.37 Heim: 7.82 / ((4.67 + 6.80) / 2) = 1.36 Diff: 2.37 - 1.36 = +1.01 Error: +1.01 + AH line -1.00 = +0.01 |
|
3.20 +0.70 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 1.20 + 1.00 + 2.00) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.70 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 1.20 1.00 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
3.00 | 4.67 6.80 | 3.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.60 | 5.60 6.80 | 7.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 1.60 3.60 | 4.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
44.40 | 49.20 44.80 | 48.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 19:00 |
Paraguay Division Profesional |
Nacional Asuncion
|
|
+0.63 +0.88 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 11.59 Heim: 11.59 / ((8.63 + 11.17) / 2) = 1.17 Heim: 11.59 / ((26.00 + 17.20) / 2) = 0.54 Diff: 1.17 - 0.54 = +0.63 Error: +0.63 + AH line 0.25 = +0.88 |
|
2.10 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 0.40 + 1.00 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 0.40 1.00 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.63 | 26.00 17.20 | 11.17 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.80 | 10.40 17.20 | 13.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 2.80 4.60 | 4.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
37.40 | 42.60 47.60 | 45.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 19:00 |
Paraguay Division Profesional |
Sportivo Ameliano
|
|
-
|
|
2.52 +0.02 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.00 + 1.00 + 1.25) / 2 = 2.52 Error: 2.52 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.02 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.00 1.00 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.33 | 11.00 7.50 | 9.80 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.00 | 11.00 7.50 | 12.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 3.80 3.00 | 3.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
45.60 | 38.00 40.00 | 41.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 19:00 |
Scotland Premiership |
Falkirk
|
|
-
|
|
1.93 -1.07 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 1.60 + 0.75 + 0.50) / 2 = 1.93 Error: 1.93 - Goal line 3.00 = -1.07 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 130 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.60 0.75 | 0.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.00 | 6.75 17.67 | 21.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.00 | 10.80 13.25 | 10.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.00 | 4.40 4.75 | 3.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
56.80 | 43.20 44.25 | 41.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 19:15 |
Greece Cup |
PAOK Salonika
|
|
+1.25 +0.25 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.88 Heim: 9.88 / ((4.55 + 5.25) / 2) = 2.02 Heim: 9.88 / ((23.50 + 2.30) / 2) = 0.77 Diff: 2.02 - 0.77 = +1.25 Error: +1.25 + AH line -1.00 = +0.25 |
|
4.55 +1.55 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 0.40 + 2.50 + 4.00) / 2 = 4.55 Error: 4.55 - Goal line 3.00 = +1.55 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 103 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 0.40 2.50 | 4.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.55 | 23.50 2.30 | 5.25 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.00 | 9.40 5.75 | 21.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 2.80 2.50 | 9.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
49.60 | 39.00 13.50 | 62.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 19:15 |
Iceland 4 Deild |
Arborg
|
|
-
|
|
3.70 -0.55 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.80 + 1.00 + 2.20 + 1.40) / 2 = 3.70 Error: 3.70 - Goal line 4.25 = -0.55 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 401 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.80 | 1.00 2.20 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
2.57 | 4.60 4.09 | 3.57 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.20 | 4.60 9.00 | 5.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 1.60 5.60 | 2.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
18.40 | 12.20 42.40 | 33.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 19:30 |
Venezuela Segunda Division |
Real Frontera
|
|
-
|
|
3.30 +0.80 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 2.60 + 1.60 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.30 Error: 3.30 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.80 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
005 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 2.60 1.60 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
17.67 | 6.38 5.50 | 5.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.60 | 16.60 8.80 | 10.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.40 | 6.80 4.20 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
46.20 | 57.60 57.40 | 59.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 19:30 |
Venezuela Segunda Division |
Atletico El Vigia
|
|
+1.07 +0.57 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.57 Heim: 9.57 / ((5.33 + 3.67) / 2) = 2.13 Heim: 9.57 / ((7.33 + 10.83) / 2) = 1.05 Diff: 2.13 - 1.05 = +1.07 Error: +1.07 + AH line -0.50 = +0.57 |
|
3.90 +1.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 1.20 + 1.20 + 3.00) / 2 = 3.90 Error: 3.90 - Goal line 2.75 = +1.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 1.20 1.20 | 3.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.33 | 7.33 10.83 | 3.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.80 | 8.80 13.00 | 11.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 2.80 5.40 | 5.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
51.20 | 38.40 65.00 | 56.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 20:00 |
Uruguay Cup |
Liverpool Montevideo
|
|
-
|
|
2.17 -0.08 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.40 + 1.00 + 1.75) / 2 = 2.17 Error: 2.17 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.08 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.40 1.00 | 1.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.83 | 13.00 9.50 | 6.57 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.60 | 5.20 9.50 | 11.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.40 | 2.40 3.50 | 3.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
75.20 | 52.20 53.50 | 54.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 20:00 |
Venezuela Primera Division |
Zamora
|
|
-
|
|
2.20 -0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 0.80 + 1.40 + 0.80) / 2 = 2.20 Error: 2.20 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 320 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 0.80 1.40 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.14 | 18.50 10.71 | 16.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.80 | 14.80 15.00 | 13.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.40 | 4.00 5.60 | 4.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
34.40 | 45.40 40.20 | 32.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 20:00 |
Venezuela Segunda Division |
Yaracuyanos
|
|
-
|
|
2.40 +0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.60 + 2.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 230 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.60 2.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.33 | 8.33 4.00 | 12.40 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.20 | 5.00 8.00 | 12.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 2.40 3.20 | 5.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
65.40 | 47.80 42.80 | 59.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 21:00 |
Nicaragua Apertura |
HYH Export Sebaco FC
|
|
-
|
|
3.27 +0.77 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 2.40 + 0.67 + 2.67) / 2 = 3.27 Error: 3.27 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.77 |
5 3 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
023 003 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 2.40 0.67 | 2.67 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.25 | 3.25 16.50 | 5.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.40 | 7.80 11.00 | 15.33 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.20 | 3.20 3.67 | 8.67 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
45.80 | 49.20 52.67 | 44.33 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 21:30 |
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
Deportivo Cuenca
|
|
-
|
|
2.40 +0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 1.20 + 1.40 + 1.60) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 1.20 1.40 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
22.33 | 10.17 4.71 | 10.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.40 | 12.20 6.60 | 16.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 4.60 3.20 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
50.00 | 34.00 22.00 | 50.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 21:30 |
Paraguay Division Profesional |
Olimpia Asuncion
|
|
-
|
|
2.80 +0.30 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 1.00 + 1.20 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.80 Error: 2.80 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.30 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 131 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 1.00 1.20 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.25 | 10.40 6.33 | 12.80 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.00 | 10.40 7.60 | 12.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.20 | 2.80 3.00 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
45.80 | 30.20 37.80 | 44.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 22:00 |
Argentina Liga Profesional Reserves |
CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves
|
|
-
|
|
2.90 +0.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.60 + 1.40 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.90 Error: 2.90 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.65 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
041 131 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.60 1.40 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.71 | 6.25 4.57 | 7.57 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.20 | 10.00 6.40 | 10.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 4.80 3.40 | 5.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
61.80 | 70.80 36.40 | 65.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 22:00 |
Chile Liga de Primera |
Coquimbo Unido
|
|
-
|
|
2.50 +0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 0.80 + 0.80 + 2.80) / 2 = 2.50 Error: 2.50 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.25 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
041 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 0.80 0.80 | 2.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
19.67 | 8.75 13.25 | 7.14 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.80 | 7.00 10.60 | 20.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.40 | 2.00 3.20 | 7.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
68.20 | 34.40 42.20 | 48.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 22:00 |
Nicaragua Apertura |
Jalapa
|
|
-
|
|
1.15 -1.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.20 + 0.60 + 0.75 + 0.75) / 2 = 1.15 Error: 1.15 - Goal line 2.50 = -1.35 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 211 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.20 | 0.60 0.75 | 0.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
38.00 | 9.00 5.33 | 17.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.60 | 5.40 4.00 | 12.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.20 | 1.80 1.50 | 3.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
51.20 | 47.00 36.25 | 74.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 22:30 |
Brazil Serie A |
Flamengo
|
|
+0.56 -1.44 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 13.34 Heim: 13.34 / ((12.75 + 7.00) / 2) = 1.35 Heim: 13.34 / ((10.20 + 23.33) / 2) = 0.80 Diff: 1.35 - 0.80 = +0.56 Error: +0.56 + AH line -2.00 = -1.44 |
|
2.50 -0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.00 + 0.60 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.50 Error: 2.50 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.50 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 005 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.00 0.60 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
12.75 | 10.20 23.33 | 7.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
20.40 | 10.20 14.00 | 12.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.00 | 3.00 2.80 | 3.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
63.60 | 32.00 53.60 | 41.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 22:30 |
Colombia Liga Femenina |
Independiente Santa Fe Women
|
|
-
|
|
2.10 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.00 + 1.40 + 0.00) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 410 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.00 1.40 | 0.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.33 | 9.00 9.86 | - Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.00 | 9.00 13.80 | 9.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.20 | 4.40 4.60 | 3.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
74.20 | 42.20 65.80 | 46.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 23:00 |
Argentina Nacional B |
CA Colegiales
|
|
-
|
|
2.20 +0.45 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.20 + 0.60 + 0.80) / 2 = 2.20 Error: 2.20 - Goal line 1.75 = +0.45 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.20 0.60 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
3.22 | 4.33 10.67 | 9.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.80 | 5.20 6.40 | 7.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.00 | 2.20 2.80 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
56.00 | 55.80 44.60 | 60.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 23:00 |
USA USL Championship |
Charleston Battery
|
|
-
|
|
4.30 +1.55 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (4.60 + 1.60 + 1.20 + 1.20) / 2 = 4.30 Error: 4.30 - Goal line 2.75 = +1.55 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
4.60 | 1.60 1.20 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
3.52 | 5.00 8.50 | 8.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.20 | 8.00 10.20 | 10.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.80 | 3.40 3.80 | 4.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
55.40 | 34.00 59.20 | 45.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 23:00 |
USA USL League One |
Westchester SC
|
|
-
|
|
3.20 +0.45 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 1.20 + 1.80 + 1.20) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.45 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 401 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 1.20 1.80 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.36 | 11.83 5.11 | 10.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.00 | 14.20 9.20 | 12.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.00 | 4.20 4.40 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
72.60 | 80.00 45.20 | 71.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 23:00 |
Venezuela Primera Division |
Caracas
|
|
-
|
|
3.10 +0.85 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.60 + 1.60 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.85 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
122 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.60 1.60 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.17 | 10.88 8.00 | 9.22 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.20 | 17.40 12.80 | 16.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 5.60 5.80 | 3.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
36.40 | 48.20 29.00 | 38.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 23:00 |
Venezuela Segunda Division |
CD Lara
|
|
-
|
|
3.20 +0.95 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (3.00 + 1.40 + 0.80 + 1.20) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.95 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 032 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
3.00 | 1.40 0.80 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.07 | 5.86 8.50 | 6.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.20 | 8.20 6.80 | 7.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.80 | 4.20 2.00 | 3.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
69.00 | 51.40 42.80 | 48.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 23:15 |
Colombia Cup |
Atletico Nacional Medellin
|
|
-
|
|
2.90 +0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (3.00 + 0.60 + 1.00 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.90 Error: 2.90 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
500 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
3.00 | 0.60 1.00 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.07 | 21.33 12.60 | 8.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
24.20 | 12.80 12.60 | 9.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
9.20 | 3.20 3.40 | 3.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
42.40 | 28.40 32.00 | 29.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 23:30 |
USA USL League One |
New York Cosmos
|
|
-
|
|
2.10 -0.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 1.00 + 1.20 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.65 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 1.00 1.20 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
17.00 | 6.60 5.67 | 5.57 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.20 | 6.60 6.80 | 7.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 3.00 3.60 | 3.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
52.40 | 60.60 40.40 | 46.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 23:30 |
USA USL League One |
Fort Wayne FC
|
|
-
|
|
3.10 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 0.80 + 1.00 + 3.00) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 3.25 = -0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 0.80 1.00 | 3.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.00 | 10.25 6.40 | 5.07 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.80 | 8.20 6.40 | 15.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 3.00 3.40 | 7.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
61.40 | 47.00 41.60 | 62.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 02-09 23:30 |
USA USL League One |
Charlotte Independence
|
|
-
|
|
2.90 -0.60 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (3.00 + 0.60 + 1.00 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.90 Error: 2.90 - Goal line 3.50 = -0.60 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
500 041 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
3.00 | 0.60 1.00 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.00 | 15.33 9.20 | 16.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.00 | 9.20 9.20 | 19.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.80 | 3.00 2.60 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
58.80 | 50.00 37.40 | 67.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 0:00 |
Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
Barcelona Guayaquil
|
|
-
|
|
3.20 +0.70 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 0.80 + 3.00 + 1.20) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.70 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 500 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 0.80 3.00 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.14 | 17.75 4.00 | 8.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.60 | 14.20 12.00 | 10.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 4.00 6.40 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
43.40 | 33.20 30.00 | 29.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 0:00 |
USA USL League One |
Forward Madison FC
|
|
-
|
|
3.20 +0.45 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 1.00 + 1.60 + 1.40) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.45 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 1.00 1.60 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.83 | 7.00 7.00 | 6.71 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.60 | 7.00 11.20 | 9.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 3.00 5.00 | 3.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
70.80 | 52.80 64.40 | 53.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 0:15 |
Argentina Cup |
Velez Sarsfield
|
|
-
|
|
2.60 +0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 1.00 + 2.40 + 0.80) / 2 = 2.60 Error: 2.60 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 320 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.00 2.40 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
13.40 | 14.00 5.42 | 13.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.40 | 14.00 13.00 | 10.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 5.20 6.00 | 2.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
59.40 | 52.60 47.20 | 56.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 0:30 |
Chile Liga de Primera |
Deportes Limache
|
|
-
|
|
2.13 -0.62 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 2.00 + 1.00 + 0.67) / 2 = 2.13 Error: 2.13 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.62 |
5 3 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
014 120 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 2.00 1.00 | 0.67 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
21.67 | 6.60 14.67 | 14.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.00 | 13.20 14.67 | 9.67 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.40 | 5.00 5.67 | 2.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
65.60 | 56.00 55.00 | 37.67 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 0:30 |
Copa do Brasil |
Santos
|
|
-
|
|
2.48 -0.02 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.00 + 2.25 + 0.50) / 2 = 2.48 Error: 2.48 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.02 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 310 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.00 2.25 | 0.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.17 | 11.20 5.44 | 28.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.20 | 11.20 12.25 | 14.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 4.40 4.25 | 4.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
43.80 | 34.60 48.00 | 56.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 0:30 |
Copa do Brasil |
Vitoria
|
|
-
|
|
3.10 +0.85 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.40 + 1.00 + 2.20) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.85 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 032 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.40 1.00 | 2.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.00 | 13.57 14.20 | 6.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.60 | 19.00 14.20 | 13.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 4.80 3.60 | 4.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
33.00 | 58.40 38.60 | 37.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 1:00 |
Leagues Cup |
Toluca
|
|
-
|
|
2.70 -0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.00 + 1.20 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.70 Error: 2.70 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.00 1.20 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.89 | 9.20 11.83 | 11.14 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
21.40 | 9.20 14.20 | 15.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.80 | 3.00 5.00 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
66.20 | 22.00 25.40 | 53.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 1:00 |
Nicaragua Apertura |
Real Esteli
|
|
-
|
|
2.13 -0.87 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.20 + 0.67 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.13 Error: 2.13 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.87 |
5 3 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 021 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.20 0.67 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.29 | 5.50 16.00 | 9.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.60 | 6.60 10.67 | 9.33 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 2.40 3.67 | 3.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
50.40 | 33.20 53.33 | 39.67 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 1:25 |
Colombia Primera A |
Independiente Santa Fe
|
|
-
|
|
2.20 +0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 0.60 + 1.40 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.20 Error: 2.20 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.20 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
140 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 0.60 1.40 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.80 | 17.00 9.14 | 6.86 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.80 | 10.20 12.80 | 9.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 3.40 4.00 | 2.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
29.20 | 31.60 34.60 | 28.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 3:30 |
Leagues Cup |
Club America
|
|
-
|
|
2.90 +0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.20 + 1.00 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.90 Error: 2.90 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.20 1.00 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.33 | 9.67 15.60 | 6.22 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.00 | 11.60 15.60 | 11.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 4.40 4.40 | 4.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
43.40 | 33.00 49.20 | 35.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 9:00 |
Australia New South Wales U20 League |
Manly United U20
|
|
-
|
|
2.60 -0.90 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 0.40 + 1.60 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.60 Error: 2.60 - Goal line 3.50 = -0.90 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 302 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.40 1.60 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
3.89 | 15.50 6.88 | 10.43 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.00 | 6.20 11.00 | 14.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 2.20 6.40 | 7.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.20 | 36.00 59.40 | 57.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 10:10 |
India Shillong Premier League |
Sawmer SC
|
|
-
|
|
2.70 -0.30 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 2.20 + 1.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.70 Error: 2.70 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.30 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 2.20 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.50 | 5.36 4.00 | 4.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.80 | 11.80 4.00 | 4.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.40 | 4.40 1.75 | 1.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
77.80 | 90.40 85.75 | 72.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 11:30 |
Singapore Premier League 2 |
Albirex Niigata Singapore U23
|
|
-
|
|
3.85 +0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.60 + 0.60 + 3.25 + 1.25) / 2 = 3.85 Error: 3.85 - Goal line 3.50 = +0.35 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
500 301 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.60 | 0.60 3.25 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.23 | 19.67 4.62 | 6.80 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.60 | 11.80 15.00 | 8.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
8.60 | 4.80 8.75 | 4.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
49.60 | 39.00 48.75 | 39.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 11:30 |
Singapore Premier League 2 |
Geylang International U23
|
|
+0.83 -0.67 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 12.67 Heim: 12.67 / ((5.00 + 5.11) / 2) = 2.51 Heim: 12.67 / ((7.00 + 8.10) / 2) = 1.68 Diff: 2.51 - 1.68 = +0.83 Error: +0.83 + AH line -1.50 = -0.67 |
|
3.90 +0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 1.80 + 2.00 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.90 Error: 3.90 - Goal line 3.75 = +0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 1.80 2.00 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.00 | 7.00 8.10 | 5.11 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.00 | 12.60 16.20 | 9.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.20 | 6.00 8.40 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
40.40 | 42.80 51.00 | 38.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 12:30 |
Georgia Liga 3 |
Guria Lanchkhuti
|
|
-
|
|
3.20 +0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (3.80 + 0.80 + 0.80 + 1.00) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.20 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
3.80 | 0.80 0.80 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.21 | 5.25 9.00 | 10.20 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.00 | 4.20 7.20 | 10.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.20 | 2.00 2.00 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
56.60 | 38.80 55.20 | 69.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 12:30 |
Georgia Liga 3 |
FC Iberia 1999 II
|
|
-
|
|
2.92 +0.17 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.40 + 2.75 + 1.50) / 2 = 2.92 Error: 2.92 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.17 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
230 310 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.40 2.75 | 1.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.50 | 16.50 4.00 | 8.17 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.00 | 6.60 11.00 | 12.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.20 | 2.20 5.50 | 5.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
70.60 | 45.60 55.00 | 61.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 12:30 |
Georgia Liga 3 |
FC Iberia 2010
|
|
-
|
|
3.60 +0.60 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 2.60 + 2.00 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.60 Error: 3.60 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.60 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
014 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 2.60 2.00 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.25 | 2.69 2.60 | 3.78 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.00 | 7.00 5.20 | 6.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.20 | 4.20 3.00 | 2.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
37.80 | 46.40 54.00 | 54.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 12:30 |
Georgia Liga 3 |
Kolkheti
|
|
-
|
|
3.40 +0.40 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.20 + 2.20 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.40 Error: 3.40 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.40 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 401 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.20 2.20 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.50 | 5.33 4.09 | 4.22 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.20 | 6.40 9.00 | 7.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.20 | 2.80 5.00 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
53.20 | 57.00 49.60 | 54.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 12:30 |
Georgia Liga 3 |
FC Margveti 2006
|
|
+0.69 +0.94 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.62 Heim: 9.62 / ((4.44 + 7.00) / 2) = 1.68 Heim: 9.62 / ((10.67 + 8.75) / 2) = 0.99 Diff: 1.68 - 0.99 = +0.69 Error: +0.69 + AH line 0.25 = +0.94 |
|
2.10 -0.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 0.60 + 0.80 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.65 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.60 0.80 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.44 | 10.67 8.75 | 7.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.00 | 6.40 7.00 | 7.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.40 | 2.80 3.20 | 1.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
43.80 | 41.20 54.00 | 53.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 12:45 |
Mozambique Mocambola |
CD Maxaquene
|
|
-
|
|
1.70 -0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 1.00 + 0.80 + 0.60) / 2 = 1.70 Error: 1.70 - Goal line 1.75 = -0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.00 0.80 | 0.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.20 | 9.60 0.75 | 2.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.20 | 9.60 0.60 | 1.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.80 | 4.00 0.20 | 0.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
42.40 | 41.60 7.60 | 13.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 13:00 |
Azerbaijan Division 1 |
Moik Baku
|
|
-
|
|
2.40 +0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 0.60 + 1.25 + 0.75) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.15 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
500 211 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 0.60 1.25 | 0.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.73 | 14.33 4.80 | 4.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.60 | 8.60 6.00 | 3.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.00 | 3.80 1.75 | 1.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
51.20 | 51.40 36.75 | 35.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 13:00 |
Zanzibar Premier League |
Uhamiaji FC
|
|
-
|
|
2.30 +0.30 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.20 + 0.80 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.30 Error: 2.30 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.30 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.20 0.80 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.71 | 13.33 6.75 | 6.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.40 | 16.00 5.40 | 7.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 6.40 1.20 | 1.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
58.20 | 89.60 47.60 | 58.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 13:30 |
Egypt Division 2 |
Dayrout
|
|
-
|
|
1.80 +0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 0.60 + 1.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 1.80 Error: 1.80 - Goal line 1.75 = +0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 131 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 0.60 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.60 | 10.33 7.60 | 9.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.60 | 6.20 7.60 | 9.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 2.60 2.40 | 3.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
58.20 | 63.40 51.80 | 60.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 13:30 |
Egypt Division 2 |
El Seka El Hadid
|
|
-
|
|
1.70 +0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 1.40 + 0.60 + 0.80) / 2 = 1.70 Error: 1.70 - Goal line 1.50 = +0.20 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 1.40 0.60 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
18.67 | 6.71 11.67 | 6.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.20 | 9.40 7.00 | 4.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 4.80 2.80 | 1.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.00 | 45.40 41.40 | 32.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 14:00 |
Argentina Nacional Reserve League |
CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves
|
|
-
|
|
2.50 +0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.25 + 0.50 + 0.75 + 1.50) / 2 = 2.50 Error: 2.50 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.50 |
4 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
400 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.25 | 0.50 0.75 | 1.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
2.78 | 10.00 8.67 | 7.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.25 | 5.00 6.50 | 11.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.25 | 1.50 3.75 | 4.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
35.50 | 38.50 56.25 | 71.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 14:00 |
Bulgaria Second League |
CSKA Sofia II
|
|
-
|
|
3.27 +0.77 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.60 + 1.20 + 2.00 + 0.75) / 2 = 3.27 Error: 3.27 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.77 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 301 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.60 | 1.20 2.00 | 0.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.31 | 4.67 4.38 | 8.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.80 | 5.60 8.75 | 6.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.80 | 2.60 2.75 | 1.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.40 | 33.40 46.50 | 67.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 14:00 |
Bulgaria Second League |
Vihren Sandanski
|
|
-
|
|
3.15 +0.40 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.20 + 1.75 + 1.75) / 2 = 3.15 Error: 3.15 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.40 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 211 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.20 1.75 | 1.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.25 | 6.67 5.14 | 5.43 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.20 | 8.00 9.00 | 9.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.00 | 3.20 5.00 | 5.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
50.20 | 37.60 31.50 | 32.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 14:00 |
Georgia Liga 3 |
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
|
|
-
|
|
2.20 -0.55 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.00 + 1.20 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.20 Error: 2.20 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.55 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 140 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.00 1.20 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.00 | 3.00 6.33 | 6.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.00 | 3.00 7.60 | 6.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.80 | 1.40 2.80 | 1.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
59.40 | 33.60 75.20 | 53.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 14:00 |
Israel Liga Alef South |
AS Nordia Jerusalem
|
|
-
|
|
3.40 +0.90 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.60 + 0.80 + 2.60) / 2 = 3.40 Error: 3.40 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.90 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
122 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.60 0.80 | 2.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.89 | 9.75 10.25 | 5.31 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.40 | 15.60 8.20 | 13.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.20 | 6.60 3.80 | 6.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
34.80 | 43.20 45.40 | 51.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 14:00 |
Qatar Stars League |
Al-Ahli Doha
|
|
-
|
|
3.10 +0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 2.00 + 1.20 + 1.40) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
122 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 2.00 1.20 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.25 | 6.60 10.33 | 6.14 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.60 | 13.20 12.40 | 8.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 5.80 4.40 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
49.80 | 70.40 60.40 | 50.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 14:00 |
Türkiye 1 Lig |
76 Igdir Belediyespor
|
|
-
|
|
3.00 +0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 2.00 + 0.80 + 2.00) / 2 = 3.00 Error: 3.00 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.50 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
023 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 2.00 0.80 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.83 | 6.20 9.75 | 10.10 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.20 | 12.40 7.80 | 20.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 4.40 1.40 | 6.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
46.00 | 33.40 26.00 | 63.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 14:00 |
Uzbekistan PFL |
AGMK
|
|
-
|
|
2.50 -0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.40 + 1.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.50 Error: 2.50 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.25 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 131 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.40 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.25 | 5.43 6.80 | 15.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.60 | 7.60 6.80 | 15.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 3.60 3.00 | 6.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
57.20 | 37.20 41.00 | 72.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 14:15 |
Lithuania Cup |
FK Siauliai
|
|
-
|
|
2.40 -0.60 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 2.20 + 0.60 + 0.80) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.60 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
104 041 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 2.20 0.60 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.33 | 4.82 16.67 | 13.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.80 | 10.60 10.00 | 10.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.80 | 4.80 4.20 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
61.40 | 54.20 47.80 | 35.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 14:30 |
Georgia Cup |
FC Samtredia
|
|
-
|
|
2.40 -0.60 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 1.40 + 2.40 + 0.20) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.60 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
032 500 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 1.40 2.40 | 0.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
14.50 | 9.86 2.83 | 25.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.60 | 13.80 6.80 | 5.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.80 | 6.00 4.20 | 2.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
60.60 | 62.80 38.40 | 39.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 15:00 |
Argentina Nacional Reserve League |
Agropecuario Reserves
|
|
-
|
|
2.40 -0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.40 + 1.60 + 0.20) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 410 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.40 1.60 | 0.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.25 | 5.71 5.38 | 42.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.00 | 8.00 8.60 | 8.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 4.60 3.00 | 2.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
46.00 | 35.40 61.20 | 70.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 15:00 |
Italy Serie C Cup |
Cittadella
|
|
-
|
|
4.90 +2.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.80 + 3.80 + 3.00) / 2 = 4.90 Error: 4.90 - Goal line 2.25 = +2.65 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
122 320 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.80 3.80 | 3.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.17 | 5.44 2.05 | 3.13 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.80 | 9.80 7.80 | 9.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 6.00 3.20 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
44.60 | 60.00 50.20 | 57.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 15:15 |
Finland Kakkonen Group B |
Atlantis
|
|
-
|
|
4.90 +0.40 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (4.20 + 3.00 + 1.20 + 1.40) / 2 = 4.90 Error: 4.90 - Goal line 4.50 = +0.40 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
4.20 | 3.00 1.20 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
3.19 | 2.53 9.33 | 5.29 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.40 | 7.60 11.20 | 7.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
9.20 | 5.00 4.40 | 4.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
43.00 | 38.00 61.00 | 43.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 15:30 |
Poland Cup |
GKS Tychy 71
|
|
-
|
|
3.50 +1.00 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 2.80 + 1.60 + 1.40) / 2 = 3.50 Error: 3.50 - Goal line 2.50 = +1.00 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
014 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 2.80 1.60 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.00 | 4.29 8.13 | 7.71 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.40 | 12.00 13.00 | 10.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.40 | 4.80 5.00 | 3.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
53.80 | 42.80 48.80 | 44.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 15:45 |
Israel Liga Alef South |
Maccabi Yavne
|
|
-
|
|
2.10 -0.40 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.20 + 0.80 + 0.80) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.40 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 131 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.20 0.80 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.43 | 3.33 10.50 | 8.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.40 | 4.00 8.40 | 7.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 1.60 3.20 | 3.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
69.80 | 47.40 52.80 | 43.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 15:55 |
Saudi Arabia Pro League |
Al Fayha
|
|
-
|
|
3.25 +1.00 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.80 + 0.00 + 3.50) / 2 = 3.25 Error: 3.25 - Goal line 2.25 = +1.00 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 004 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.80 0.00 | 3.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.00 | 9.44 - | 3.64 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.60 | 17.00 6.50 | 12.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 5.80 1.50 | 5.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
30.60 | 63.80 30.00 | 34.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 16:00 |
Armenia Premier League |
Alashkert FC
|
|
-
|
|
2.77 -0.23 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 0.40 + 1.50 + 1.25) / 2 = 2.77 Error: 2.77 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.23 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 301 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 0.40 1.50 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.00 | 16.00 4.00 | 7.40 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.60 | 6.40 6.00 | 9.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 1.40 2.00 | 4.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
45.20 | 31.40 36.75 | 52.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 16:00 |
Coppa Italia |
Palermo
|
|
+1.27 +0.52 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 12.07 Heim: 12.07 / ((7.00 + 6.86) / 2) = 1.74 Heim: 12.07 / ((28.50 + 22.67) / 2) = 0.47 Diff: 1.74 - 0.47 = +1.27 Error: +1.27 + AH line -0.75 = +0.52 |
|
2.45 -0.30 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 0.40 + 0.75 + 1.75) / 2 = 2.45 Error: 2.45 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.30 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
500 013 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 0.40 0.75 | 1.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.00 | 28.50 22.67 | 6.86 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.00 | 11.40 17.00 | 12.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 3.40 6.75 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
53.40 | 34.60 51.50 | 33.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 16:00 |
Estonia Esiliiga |
Viimsi JK
|
|
-
|
|
3.60 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.60 + 1.60 + 1.40 + 1.60) / 2 = 3.60 Error: 3.60 - Goal line 3.75 = -0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.60 | 1.60 1.40 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.46 | 5.25 7.43 | 9.88 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
19.40 | 8.40 10.40 | 15.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
9.20 | 4.00 4.40 | 7.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
85.40 | 46.20 55.20 | 84.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 16:00 |
Finland Kolmonen |
EIF Academy
|
|
-
|
|
3.75 -0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.50 + 1.75 + 1.50 + 1.75) / 2 = 3.75 Error: 3.75 - Goal line 4.00 = -0.25 |
4 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
211 202 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.50 | 1.75 1.50 | 1.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
2.60 | 3.57 4.83 | 6.14 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.50 | 6.25 7.25 | 10.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 3.25 5.25 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
30.25 | 32.50 34.75 | 56.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 16:00 |
Latvia Cup |
RFS
|
|
-
|
|
3.90 +1.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (3.60 + 0.60 + 3.40 + 0.20) / 2 = 3.90 Error: 3.90 - Goal line 2.75 = +1.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 410 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
3.60 | 0.60 3.40 | 0.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.83 | 8.00 3.65 | 31.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
17.40 | 4.80 12.40 | 6.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
8.00 | 2.40 6.00 | 2.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
67.20 | 28.40 67.20 | 41.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 16:00 |
Lithuania A Lyga |
Banga Gargzdai
|
|
-
|
|
2.40 -0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.80 + 0.40 + 2.40) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 005 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.80 0.40 | 2.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.83 | 12.00 22.50 | 4.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.00 | 9.60 9.00 | 11.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 4.00 3.40 | 4.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.00 | 48.80 44.60 | 46.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 16:00 |
Poland Ekstraklasa |
Rakow Czestochowa
|
|
-
|
|
3.90 +1.40 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.80 + 3.00 + 1.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 3.90 Error: 3.90 - Goal line 2.50 = +1.40 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 211 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.80 | 3.00 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.64 | 3.67 10.75 | 9.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.80 | 11.00 10.75 | 9.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 6.00 4.00 | 3.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
71.80 | 52.60 54.75 | 43.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 16:15 |
Qatar Stars League |
Al Sailiya SC
|
|
-0.77 +0.23 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 11.62 Heim: 11.62 / ((5.33 + 10.20) / 2) = 1.50 Heim: 11.62 / ((4.45 + 5.82) / 2) = 2.26 Diff: 1.50 - 2.26 = -0.77 Error: -0.77 + AH line 1.00 = +0.23 |
|
3.30 +0.30 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 2.20 + 2.20 + 1.00) / 2 = 3.30 Error: 3.30 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.30 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 320 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 2.20 2.20 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.33 | 4.45 5.82 | 10.20 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.40 | 9.80 12.80 | 10.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.40 | 4.00 6.40 | 3.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.40 | 55.00 47.60 | 42.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 16:30 |
Cyprus Super Cup |
Omonia Nicosia
|
|
-
|
|
3.35 +0.85 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 0.80 + 2.00 + 1.50) / 2 = 3.35 Error: 3.35 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.85 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 130 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 0.80 2.00 | 1.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.33 | 10.75 5.25 | 5.83 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.80 | 8.60 10.50 | 8.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 3.40 4.75 | 3.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
59.80 | 50.20 56.00 | 50.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 16:30 |
Saudi Arabia Pro League |
Neom SC
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|
-
|
|
2.70 +0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.00 + 1.75 + 1.25) / 2 = 2.70 Error: 2.70 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.20 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
230 211 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.00 1.75 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.29 | 11.00 6.57 | 7.80 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.00 | 11.00 11.50 | 9.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 4.20 6.25 | 5.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.00 | 43.40 47.00 | 39.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 17:00 |
Argentina Nacional Reserve League |
Los Andes Reserves
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-
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|
2.80 +0.55 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.80 + 1.20 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.80 Error: 2.80 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.55 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.80 1.20 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.83 | 5.56 4.33 | 4.71 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.00 | 10.00 5.20 | 6.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 4.00 2.80 | 3.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
69.60 | 60.80 39.60 | 47.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 17:00 |
Bulgaria Second League |
Beroe
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-
|
|
3.38 +1.12 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 1.40 + 1.00 + 3.75) / 2 = 3.38 Error: 3.38 - Goal line 2.25 = +1.12 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 013 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 1.40 1.00 | 3.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
19.00 | 10.00 8.00 | 3.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.40 | 14.00 8.00 | 11.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.20 | 5.20 4.25 | 6.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
67.40 | 67.40 64.50 | 74.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 17:00 |
Egypt Division 1 |
Al Ahly Cairo
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-
|
|
2.70 +0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.40 + 1.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.70 Error: 2.70 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.20 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 121 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.40 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.80 | 5.29 4.25 | 7.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.60 | 7.40 4.25 | 7.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.20 | 3.80 1.50 | 3.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
47.40 | 28.00 43.00 | 45.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 17:00 |
Finland Kolmonen |
PPJ/Lauttasaari
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|
-
|
|
4.95 +1.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (3.60 + 2.80 + 1.50 + 2.00) / 2 = 4.95 Error: 4.95 - Goal line 3.75 = +1.20 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
3.60 | 2.80 1.50 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.39 | 3.43 8.50 | 5.88 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.80 | 9.60 12.75 | 11.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.40 | 3.80 5.00 | 5.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
77.80 | 46.20 71.50 | 51.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 17:00 |
Sweden Allsvenskan |
Mjallby AIF
|
|
-
|
|
3.00 +0.00 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 1.40 + 2.00 + 1.60) / 2 = 3.00 Error: 3.00 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.00 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.40 2.00 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
15.40 | 10.14 6.40 | 4.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.40 | 14.20 12.80 | 7.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 4.80 5.80 | 3.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
52.40 | 45.20 39.40 | 40.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 17:00 |
Türkiye 1 Lig |
Bodrum FK
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|
-
|
|
1.20 -1.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 0.40 + 0.40 + 0.80) / 2 = 1.20 Error: 1.20 - Goal line 2.25 = -1.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 032 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 0.40 0.40 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
15.00 | 24.50 17.00 | 12.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.00 | 9.80 6.80 | 10.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 3.20 2.00 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
36.80 | 51.80 41.60 | 34.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 17:00 |
Uganda Premier League |
Express FC
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|
-
|
|
2.50 +0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.00 + 1.40 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.50 Error: 2.50 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.50 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.00 1.40 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.17 | 6.40 8.57 | 7.29 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.00 | 6.40 12.00 | 10.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.80 | 2.00 3.40 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
58.60 | 76.40 83.40 | 67.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 03-09 17:15 |
Finland Kolmonen |
HooGee
|
|
-
|
|
3.90 -0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 2.60 + 1.40 + 1.60) / 2 = 3.90 Error: 3.90 - Goal line 4.00 = -0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 2.60 1.40 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.73 | 4.00 7.14 | 5.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.80 | 10.40 10.00 | 8.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.20 | 5.40 5.00 | 4.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
60.20 | 55.80 70.40 | 82.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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