| 04-08-2026 08:00 |
Persib Bandung |
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Persija Jakarta |
Persib Bandung -0.25 Asian Handicap |
68% |
H2H shows Persib beat Persija by 1 goal in both meetings; Persib have won 4 of their last 5 matches, covering -0.25 each time, while Persija have lost 3 of their last 5 away. Mutual opponent stats give a 4-1 advantage count to Persib, with higher net goals and an unbeaten record against common opponents. |
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| 04-08-2026 14:00 |
Respublika FA |
- |
Gazalkent |
Over 2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 2.93 goals (home 1.43 scored/1.43 conceded at home; away 1.50 scored/1.50 conceded away). Home matches 67% over 2.5, away away matches 80% over 2.5. Likelihood supports at 70%. Away team GL_5 1.80 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing, accelerating trend. No H2H data. |
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| 04-08-2026 16:00 |
Tampereen Ilves 2 |
- |
MuSa |
Over 4.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 4.35 vs line 4.5 (within 0.15 threshold, default Over). Home at home: 4 of 6 over 4.5 (67%); MuSa away: 3 of 5 over (60%). MuSa away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5, strong defensive fragility. Quality gap (4th vs 9th) and home form (2+ goals in last 3 home games) support Over. Mutual opponents edge slightly below line (-5%), but structural signals outweigh, yielding 68% confidence. |
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| 04-08-2026 16:00 |
VPV Pallo-Veikot |
- |
KPV Akatemia |
VPV Pallo-Veikot -0.75 Asian Handicap |
68% |
Home side VPV Pallo-Veikot is higher in the standings (8th vs 11th) and mutual opponents comparison gives them a 4-1 advantage (goals, shots, on target, goal frequency), indicating superiority against common opposition. The Asian Handicap line of -0.75 is supported by two of three signals (standings gap, mutual opponents) despite recent home form not covering, with 68% confidence. |
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| 04-08-2026 17:30 |
Tenerife |
- |
UD Tamaraceite |
Over 2.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 2.95 (home scored 2.0, conceded 0.9; away scored 2.0, conceded 1.0) exceeds the 2.5 line. Tenerife’s last 10 matches 60% over 2.5, Tamaraceite 50% over, meeting over thresholds. Structural edge from the quality gap (Tenerife in LaLiga 2 vs Segunda Federación relegation side) and Tenerife’s 2+ goals in their last 3 home matches. Home team market pricing error (GL_5 1.50) adds moderate over support. |
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| 04-08-2026 18:00 |
Newport County |
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Roma |
Over 3.5 Goals |
67% |
Expected total from averages is 3.45, but the shot‑based model gives 3.82, comfortably over the 3.5 line. Roma have conceded 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches and their conceded trend is accelerating (GL_5 1.60 vs GL_10 1.48). The huge quality gap between Serie A Roma and League Two Newport, combined with Roma’s consistent away scoring, supports a high‑goal match. |
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| 04-08-2026 18:00 |
Liverpool Montevideo Reserves |
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Defensor Sporting Reserves |
Over 5.0 1st Half Asian Corners |
78% |
Expected 1st half corners 5.25 (home 1.10+2.30 /2 =1.70, away 4.10+3.00 /2=3.55) > line 5.0. Liverpool home last 10: 90% over 5.0 (9/10). Defensor away last 10: 100% over 5.0 (10/10). H2H both meetings 8 corners per half. Defensor averages 7.00 away corners, Liverpool concedes 5.00 corners at home, strong structural over signal. |
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| 04-08-2026 18:00 |
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn |
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Lujan |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 2.25 goals (home scored 1.20 + away conceded 0.60/2 + away scored 2.00 + home conceded 0.70/2) exceeds 1.75 line by 0.50. Home matches over at 60% (6/10), away at 80% (8/10). Lujan averages 2.00 goals away and Estrella's home defence concedes only 0.70 but the strong attacking metrics of both sides plus 1.40 away GL_5 mild mispricing support the over. |
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| 04-08-2026 18:00 |
Dalvik/Reynir |
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Alftanes |
Over 3.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total 4.00 goals (home scored 1.90, away conceded 1.30; away scored 2.90, home conceded 1.90) exceeds line 3.5 by 0.50. Away market pricing error GL_5 1.85 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing in Over direction. Both teams have scored in 9 of last 10 games, with 50% of their recent matches clearing 3.5 goals, and shot-based expected goals also support a high‑scoring contest. |
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| 04-08-2026 18:00 |
Haukar |
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Reynir Sandgerdi |
Over 1.75 Goals 1st Half |
75% |
Expected 1st half goals 2.00 (Home 1.00 scored/conceded 0.80; Away 1.30 scored/conceded 0.90) vs line 1.75. Away last 6 aways all Over 1.75 1st half (100%), home 3 of 5 home 1st halves Over (60%). Quality gap with Haukar top of 2. deild vs 3. deild side reinforces early scoring. No H2H data. |
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| 04-08-2026 18:00 |
UMF Selfoss |
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Ymir Kopavogur |
Over 3.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.75 matches the 3.75 line exactly, but match history strongly supports Over: UMF Selfoss home games 5/6 over 83%, Ymir away games 2/3 over 67%. Mutual opponents combined average 4.125 clears the line. Structural signals: quality gap (2nd in 2. deild vs 6th in 3. deild, Ymir 12th away), away defensive fragility with 5+ shots on target conceded per away game, and Selfoss scoring 2+ in six straight home matches. Bookmaker mispricing mild (GL_5 1.05 home, 1.25 away) so no major edge added, but overall evidence capped at standard 82% confidence. |
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| 04-08-2026 18:30 |
Thor Akureyri |
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Breidablik |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Thor Akureyri at home averages 1.20 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Breidablik away averages 2.50 scored and 1.80 conceded, yielding an expected total of 4.00, 0.5 above the 3.5 line. Thor's last 6 home matches had 4 overs 3.5 (67%), and the quality gap (12th vs 4th) plus Thor's leaky defense support an Over; Thor's market pricing error (GL_5 2.35) indicates severe bookmaker mispricing. |
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| 04-08-2026 18:30 |
Enfield Town |
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Tottenham U21 |
Over 3 Goals |
71% |
Expected total 3.50 (A=1.70, B=1.70, C=1.80, D=1.80) vs line 3.0 gives +0.50 gap, with shot-based match potential of 6.18. Enfield Town's severe GL_5 mispricing (2.45, accelerating) strongly supports Over. Home friendlies have averaged 4.00 goals per match, and Tottenham U21 away games see 2.5+ covered in 75% of matches overall. |
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| 04-08-2026 18:30 |
UD Tomares |
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Betis Deportivo |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 2.85 vs line 2.75. UD Tomares home matches Over 2.75 in 4 of 5 (80%); Betis Deportivo away matches Over 2.75 in 6 of 6 (100%). Betis Deportivo conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away games, confirming away defensive fragility. Both teams consistently scoring in their roles, and no H2H history to contradict. Market pricing error mild (GL_5 1.30 each) but trend accelerating for home team. |
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| 04-08-2026 19:00 |
Academia de Balompie Boliviano |
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Real Oruro |
Over 3.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 3.95 goals (home 1.80 scored + 2.10 away conceded /2 =1.95; away 1.60 scored + home 2.40 conceded /2 =2.00) vs line 3.5. Both teams 100% Over 3.5 in recent home (4/4) and away (3/3) matches. H2H 75% Under, but away defensive fragility (6.57 SOT conceded vs mutual opponents) and home scoring form (2+ in 3 of last 4 home) justify Over; away GL_5 1.50 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing toward Over. |
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| 04-08-2026 19:00 |
Shamrock Rovers |
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FK Egnatia |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.35 (gaps: Shamrock home 1.80+1.70/2, Egnatia away 2.20+1.00/2) clears line 2.5 by 0.85; Shamrock home 67% Over 2.5, Egnatia away 71% Over 2.5; GL_5 home 1.80 and away 1.75 (moderate mispricing, both accelerating); Shamrock scored 2+ in last 3 home games; no H2H contradiction. Confidence capped at 82% (standard tier). |
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| 04-08-2026 19:00 |
Larne FC |
- |
FC Iberia 1999 |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 2.80 (home scored 1.50/home, away conceded 1.40/away; away scored 1.60/away, home conceded 1.10/home). Both teams have 60% of recent matches Over 2.25 goals. FC Iberia 1999 conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, confirming defensive fragility. |
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