| 30-08-2026 23:15 |
Honduras Liga Nacional |
Real Espana |
- |
Atletico Choloma |
Over 2.75 Goals |
81% |
Full-time Over 2.75: expected total 3.15 (A=1.80, B=1.90, C=1.50, D=1.10) vs line 2.75; H2H is 3/3 over (3-2, 2-1, 3-0); Atletico Choloma have conceded 2+ in their last 3 away games. Scoring: Base 50 + gap from line +8 + home history +0 (5/10=50%) + away history +0 (4/7=57%) + H2H +5 + common opponents +5 (mutual total 2.805) + likelihood +3 + GL5 home +0 + GL5 away +0 + quality gap +5 + away defensive fragility +5 = 81%. |
|
| 30-08-2026 23:30 |
El Salvador Apertura |
CD FAS |
- |
CD Luis Angel Firpo |
Over 4.5 First Half Corners |
70% |
Expected first-half corners are 5.05 ((3.7+2.4)/2 + (2.1+1.9)/2) vs a 4.5 line. CD FAS home HT corners cleared 4.5 in 3 of 5 recent games (60%: totals 2,6,6,3,7), while CD Luis Angel Firpo away HT corners cleared 4.5 in 3 of 4 (75%: totals 7,8,7,1). Goal-line signals were weaker, so the HT corner market offers the cleanest edge. |
|
| 31-08-2026 00:00 |
Costa Rica Primera Division |
Deportivo Saprissa |
- |
Escorpiones de Belen FC |
Over 10 Corners |
70% |
Expected total corners 10.60 vs line 10.0. Saprissa home matches over 10 corners in 6/10 (60%) and Escorpiones matches over 10 in 5/10 (50%), with no H2H data. Structural support: top-ranked Saprissa against 8th-placed Escorpiones should generate sustained attacking pressure and corners. |
|
| 31-08-2026 00:00 |
Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional |
Alianza West |
- |
Club Deportivo Rex FC |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st-half total 2.10 vs line 1.25 (gap +0.85). Alianza West 1st-half record is 7 of 10 over 1.25 (70%), away side 5 of 9; H2H empty. Away team scores 62.5% of goals in the first 30 minutes and has conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 4 away matches; home GL_5 1.90 signals bookmaker mispricing. Raw score 85 capped at standard ceiling 82. |
|
| 31-08-2026 01:00 |
Guatemala Liga Nacional |
Xelaju |
- |
Deportivo Mixco |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.20 vs 2.50 line (+0.70 gap); H2H 3/3 Over 2.5 (totals 4,3,3); Deportivo Mixco conceded 2+ in 5 straight away matches. Bookmaker mispricing home GL_5 1.60, away GL_5 1.80 aligns Over. Score: Base 50 +14 gap +0 home hist +0 away hist +5 H2H +5 common opponents -3 likelihood +5 GL_5 home +5 GL_5 away +5 away fragility -3 scoring drought =83 capped 82 (standard ceiling). |
|
| 31-08-2026 01:00 |
Nicaragua Apertura |
UNAN Managua |
- |
Managua FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total = (1.40+1.20)/2 + (2.70+1.30)/2 = 3.30 vs line 2.75 (+0.55). UNAN home 3/5 Over 2.75 (60%), Managua away 4/4 Over (100%); H2H 3/4 Over (75%, totals 3,4,3,1). Mutual-opponent total 2.765 clears the line and UNAN has scored 2+ in their last three home matches; raw score 91 capped at standard 82% because home history is below 70% for the elevated tier. |
|
| 31-08-2026 14:00 |
England National League |
Worthing |
- |
Boreham Wood |
|
70% |
Boreham Wood are 2nd (10 pts) to Worthing's 13th (6 pts) with an AH record of 7W-1P-2L last 10. Against common opponents Boreham Wood won all 4 with a goals net of +2.75 (3.0 for, 0.25 against) while Worthing went 3W-2L with +0.60 (2.4 for, 1.8 against), a clear away edge. Recent away margins of 0-3 at Forest Green and 1-3 at Halifax cover -0.75. |
|
| 31-08-2026 14:00 |
England National League |
Solihull Moors |
- |
AFC Fylde |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected FT total = (1.20+1.80)/2 + (1.50+2.50)/2 = 3.50 vs line 3.0, gap +0.50. Home concedes 2.50 at home and away concedes 1.80 away; mutual-opponent total 4.84 clears the 3.0 line; home GL_5 1.65 is moderate bookmaker mispricing supporting Over. Scoring breakdown: base 50% + gap 10% + home history 0% (5/10 over) + away history 0% (3/10 over) + H2H 0% (one match) + common opponents 5% + likelihood 0% + GL_5 home 2.5% + GL_5 away 0% + structural 0% = 67.5%, rounded to 68%. |
|
| 31-08-2026 14:00 |
England National League |
Yeovil |
- |
Tamworth |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 3.50 (Yeovil home scored/conceded 1.20/1.50; Tamworth away scored/conceded 2.20/2.10) vs line 2.75, a +0.75 gap. Tamworth are 9/10 recent matches over 2.75 and have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away, with GL_5 2.50 severe bookmaker mispricing; H2H is only 2 matches (both under) so treated neutral. |
|
| 31-08-2026 14:00 |
England National League |
Harrogate Town |
- |
Gateshead |
Over 3.0/3.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total 3.25 (Harrogate 2.10 scored/1.40 conceded at home; Gateshead 1.10 scored/1.90 conceded away) vs 3.0/3.5 line; shot model 5.81 agrees. Harrogate are 8/10 over 2.5 and scored 2+ in their last three home matches; Gateshead conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away and allow 5.5 shots on target away. Home GL_5 1.90 vs GL_10 1.25 (accelerating) adds bookmaker mispricing edge; H2H empty and mutual opponents <2 games, treated neutral. |
|
| 31-08-2026 14:00 |
England National League |
Forest Green |
- |
Altrincham |
Over 1.25 First Half Goals |
79% |
Expected 1H total 1.90 (A_ht 0.60, B_ht 0.80, C_ht 0.90, D_ht 1.50) vs line 1.25, gap +0.65. Forest Green 7/10 first halves over 1.25 (70%); Altrincham 5/10 (50%). Early scoring: Forest Green concede 60.9% of goals in first 30 mins and Altrincham score 53.8% in first 30; Altrincham GL_5 1.50 moderate market pricing error aligns Over. Confidence: base 50 + gap 10 + home 8 + early scoring 8 + market error 2.5 = 78.5 ≈ 79. |
|
| 31-08-2026 14:00 |
England National League |
Carlisle |
- |
Scunthorpe |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
77% |
Expected full-time goals: (2.00+1.40)/2 + (1.80+1.20)/2 = 3.20, clearly above the 2.75 split line. Carlisle are 6/10 over 2.5 at home (60%) and Scunthorpe 5/10 away (50%); mutual-opponent totals average 3.15 and Scunthorpe have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 5 away matches. Scoring: Base 50% + gap +9% + home history +5% + away history +0% + H2H +0% + common opponents +5% + likelihood +3% + market pricing error home/away +0% + away defensive fragility +5% = 77%. |
|
| 31-08-2026 14:00 |
England National League South |
Salisbury FC |
- |
Billericay Town |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
FT Over 2.5: expected total (1.90+1.30)/2+(2.40+1.30)/2=3.45 vs line 2.5 (+0.95). Salisbury 5/5 home matches over 2.5; Billericay 4/5 away matches over 2.5; Billericay conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Farnham 2-4, Welling 2-2, Cray 3-4) and away GL_5 is 1.60 (moderate bookmaker mispricing). Scoring: base 50 + gap 15 + home hist 10 + away hist 10 + likelihood 3 + GL5 away 3 + structural fragility 5 = 96 raw, capped at standard ceiling 82 (H2H empty). |
|
| 31-08-2026 14:00 |
England National League South |
Dag & Red |
- |
Slough |
Dag & Red -1.25 Asian Handicap |
67% |
Dag & Red are 1st (12 pts) vs 23rd-placed Slough (0 pts) and hold a clear mutual-opponent edge: D&R W6 D2 L2 with a +0.7 goal net, Slough W1 D1 L7 with -1.45 goal net. D&R's last-5 AH record is 4-1 (80%) while Slough is 1-4 (20%), though margin cover at the current -1.25 line is only 40% on both sides. H2H has just two meetings (0-0 and 3-2 Slough), so no override; confidence 67. |
|
| 31-08-2026 14:00 |
England National League South |
Weston Super Mare |
- |
Chelmsford |
|
66% |
Weston Super Mare sit 2nd overall (10 pts) vs Chelmsford 14th (6 pts), and at home they are 2-0-1 in league play with 8 goals scored and 3 conceded. WSM have covered their Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 (80%), including recent home wins of 3-0 vs Hampton & Richmond and 3-0 vs Chesham, while Chelmsford's last 5 AH record is 1W-3V-1L. Mutual opponents give Chelmsford a slight 3-2 stat edge (goals NET +1.44 vs +0.2), which keeps confidence at 66, but the standings gap and WSM's stronger recent cover form favour the home side at level ball. |
|
| 31-08-2026 14:00 |
England National League South |
Hampton & Richmond |
- |
Maidstone Utd |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total is 3.35 ((1.10+0.80)/2+(2.90+1.90)/2) against a 2.75 line, with Maidstone 9/10 over 2.75 in recent matches and Hampton 7/10 over 2.75 at home. Mutual opponents average 3.0 total goals, H2H is only one 0-0, and home GL_5 1.95 indicates severe home-game mispricing; the 4th-vs-21st quality gap adds structural support. |
|
| 31-08-2026 14:00 |
England National League South |
Folkestone Invicta |
- |
Hemel Hempstead |
Home -0.5 Asian Handicap |
70% |
Folkestone Invicta sit 5th vs Hemel Hempstead 11th and cover home AH strongly (last 5 AH: 4 wins, 1 void, 0 losses), while Hemel are 2-1-2 in their last 5 AH. Against shared opponents (g=2 each) Folkestone hold a 4-1 advantage count, with goals NET +1.0 vs 0.0 and shots-on-target NET +2.5 vs -5.0. No H2H data; goal-line and corner markets did not produce a qualifying 65%+ signal. |
|
| 31-08-2026 14:00 |
England National League South |
Chesham |
- |
Dover |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
FT Over 3.0: expected total (1.90+1.60)/2 + (1.70+1.90)/2 = 3.55 vs 3.0 line (+0.55). 1st half was also over (1.80 vs 1.25) but Dover HT over rate only 30%, so FT edge is stronger. Dover conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away matches and away GL_5=1.80 signaling bookmaker mispricing; H2H 2 matches split (2-2 over, 0-1 under). Confidence: Base 50 + gap 10 + home hist 0 + away hist 0 + H2H 0 + common opp 0 + likelihood 0 + GL_5 home 0 + GL_5 away +2.5 + structural +5 = 67.5 → 68. |
|
| 31-08-2026 14:00 |
England National League South |
Braintree Town |
- |
Farnborough |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 3.40 vs the 2.5/3.0 line: Braintree home scored 1.40 avg and conceded 2.70, Farnborough away scored 1.70 and conceded 1.00. Braintree are 10/10 over 2.75, Farnborough 5/10; H2H is one 2-0 match (neutral), mutual-opponent total is 3.25, and home bookmaker mispricing level 1.80 supports the over. 1st half signal was weaker (expected 1.55 vs 1.25 line, home HT over 5/10, away 3/10), so full-time Over 2.75 is the best bet. |
|
| 31-08-2026 15:00 |
Slovakia 2. Liga |
OFK Malzenice |
- |
MFK Bytca |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 3.30 (home 1.10 scored/1.60 conceded, away 2.20 scored/1.70 conceded) vs 2.5/3.0 line. Home 6/10 and away 6/8 matches clear the line; away side concedes 8.5 shots on target against shared opponents, a structural Over signal. No H2H data. |
|
| 31-08-2026 16:00 |
Norway Toppserien Women |
Honefoss Women |
- |
Fortuna Aalesund Women |
Over 3.0 Goals |
75% |
Expected full-time total is 3.70 (home 1.30 scored/1.90 conceded, away 3.10 scored/1.10 conceded) versus the 3.0 line, a +0.70 gap. Mutual opponents total 3.76 supports over, and away Fortuna Aalesund have scored 2+ in five straight away games. Scoring: 50 base +14 gap +5 common opponents +3 likelihood +3 form momentum = 75% (home 2/10, away 4/10 over 3.0 full-time; H2H single 2-0 neutral). |
|
| 31-08-2026 16:00 |
Bulgaria First League |
Dunav Ruse |
- |
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
Over 2.5 Goals |
68% |
Expected full-time goals = (1.00+1.80)/2 + (1.20+1.50)/2 = 2.75 vs line 2.5, with shot-based match potential 4.52 also over. Dunav 5/10 and Lokomotiv 6/10 recent matches over 2.5; Lokomotiv conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (Arda 3-1, Spartak Varna 3-0, Montana 2-2). No H2H data; GL_5 home 0.80/away 0.90 offers no bookmaker mispricing boost. Score: base 50 + gap 5 + away history 5 + likelihood 3 + away fragility 5 = 68%. |
|
| 31-08-2026 16:30 |
Croatia HNL |
Hajduk Split |
- |
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.70 vs line 3.0 (A=2.5, B=1.3, C=2.1, D=1.5); Hajduk and Lokomotiva are both 7/10 (70%) over 3.0 in recent matches. Lokomotiva's away GL_5 is 1.80 (accelerating) and they conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away; H2H is mixed (1 over, 2 under, 1 push), so confidence capped at the standard 82%. |
|
| 31-08-2026 17:00 |
Sweden Allsvenskan |
Sirius |
- |
Malmo FF |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.85 vs 3.0 line (gap 0.85): Sirius home avg 2.50 scored/1.70 conceded, Malmo away 2.20 scored/1.30 conceded. H2H 2-3 and 5-1 both over; Sirius 5/10 and Malmo 4/10 recent overs at 3.0, mutual-opponent total 3.35 clears line, and Malmo have conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away (Hammarby 4-1, Hacken 3-2, Mjallby 4-0); Sirius bookmaker mispricing GL_5 1.60 aligns over. |
|
| 31-08-2026 17:00 |
Denmark Superligaen |
FC Copenhagen |
- |
Sonderjyske |
1st Half Over 1.25 Goals |
82% |
1st-half expected total is 1.80 (Copenhagen 1.20 scored/0.80 conceded, Sonderjyske 0.60 scored/1.00 conceded) against a 1.25 line, with Copenhagen over 1.25 in 6/10 and Sonderjyske 5/10. Copenhagen sit 5th vs Sonderjyske 12th and Sonderjyske conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away, while goal-line mispricing is strong (home GL_5 2.05, away GL_5 1.70, both accelerating). Raw score 83 capped at 82 standard ceiling. |
|
| 31-08-2026 18:45 |
France Ligue 2 |
Dijon |
- |
St Etienne |
Over 2.5 Goals |
77% |
Expected total 2.95 (Dijon home 1.60 scored/1.20 conceded; St Etienne away 2.00 scored/1.10 conceded) clears the 2.5 line by 0.45. Dijon 6/10 and St Etienne 8/10 recent matches went over 2.5, with St Etienne 1st vs Dijon 17th and strong away-side goal-line bookmaker mispricing (GL_10 1.85). H2H is absent and mutual-opponent totals (1.75) lean under, capping confidence at 77%. |
|
| 31-08-2026 19:15 |
Iceland Premier League |
Breidablik |
- |
Stjarnan |
Over 3.5,4.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 3.60 (A=1.60, B=2.20, C=1.70, D=1.70) vs split line 3.5/4.0; shot-based match potential 6.70 agrees with Over. Home is 3/6 home over 3.5 (50%), away is 6/6 away over 3.5 (100%); common-opponent total 4.36 supports Over, away conceded 2+ in 5 straight away games, and H2H went 4-4 and 3-2. Confidence: base 50 + away history 10 + common opponents 5 + likelihood 3 + defensive fragility 5 = 73%. |
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