| 25-08 15:45 |
Al Kuwait SC
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3.12 +0.62 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(2.80 + 0.20 + 2.75 + 0.50) / 2 = 3.12
Error: 3.12 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.62 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 301 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.80 | 0.20 2.75 | 0.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.71 | 37.00 4.18 | 15.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.20 | 7.40 11.50 | 7.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 3.00 6.50 | 2.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
41.00 | 27.00 59.25 | 36.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 25-08 18:00 |
Kazma SC
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+0.64 -0.61 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios:
League avg. total shots: 10.17
Casa: 10.17 / ((6.09 + 6.63) / 2) = 1.60
Visitante: 10.17 / ((7.13 + 14.00) / 2) = 0.96
Diff: 1.60 - 0.96 = +0.64
Error: +0.64 + AH line -1.25 = -0.61 |
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3.00 +0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(2.20 + 1.60 + 0.60 + 1.60) / 2 = 3.00
Error: 3.00 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.25 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 1.60 0.60 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.09 | 7.13 14.00 | 6.63 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.40 | 11.40 8.40 | 10.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.00 | 5.40 3.00 | 4.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
59.00 | 43.00 57.60 | 78.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 25-08 18:00 |
Al Fahaheel SC
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3.70 +0.95 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.60 + 2.00 + 2.20 + 1.60) / 2 = 3.70
Error: 3.70 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.95 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 311 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 2.00 2.20 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.13 | 5.40 5.64 | 6.63 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.00 | 10.80 12.40 | 10.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.60 | 4.20 5.80 | 4.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
68.60 | 60.00 53.00 | 58.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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