| 31-07-2026 08:15 |
Northcote City U23 |
- |
Eltham Redbacks U23 |
Over 1.75 First Half Goals |
71% |
Expected 1st half goals 2.10 (home 1.50/away 1.40 scored vs conceded 0.70/0.60) exceeds line 1.75 by 0.35. Home team over 1.75 in 6 of last 9 with HT data (67%), away 50%. Both sides score early: home scored 1st half in 80% at home, away netted in all 5 away 1st halves. Away team GL_5 1.60 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing favouring goals. Structural pressing from league leaders plus consistent first-half scoring patterns support Over. |
|
| 31-07-2026 08:30 |
Broadbeach United U23 |
- |
Logan Lightning U23 |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.85 (home 0.9 scored, 0.4 conceded; away 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded) exceeds line 1.5. Broadbeach home 1st half: 5/7 (71%) over 1.5; Logan away 1st half: 3/4 (75%) over 1.5. Quality gap (Logan 3rd, Broadbeach 6th) and Logan's severe goal-line mispricing (GL_5 2.45) add edge. |
|
| 31-07-2026 08:30 |
North Star U23 |
- |
Capalaba Bulldogs U23 |
Over 3.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.35 (home 1.80 scored +2.80 conceded, away 1.70 scored +2.40 conceded) exceeds 3.75 line by 0.60. Capalaba away defensive fragility (2+ conceded in 4 of last 5) and both teams' goal-line mispricing severe (GL_5 home 2.05, away 2.25). Confidence 82%, capped at standard tier due to away history below 50% and limited H2H. |
|
| 31-07-2026 08:30 |
CD Alaves |
- |
CD Castellon |
Over 2.75 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 3.00 goals (Alaves home 1.40/1.40, Castellon away 1.70/1.50), exceeding 2.75 line. Shot-based expected goals 3.44. Alaves 5/10 over 2.75 (50%), Castellon 6/10 over (60%). Quality gap (LaLiga vs Segunda) and Castellon leaked 2+ in 3 of last 6 away. Mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.10/1.25). Confidence 73%. |
|
| 31-07-2026 08:30 |
Arema FC |
- |
DPMM FC |
Over 2.5/3.0 Goals |
75% |
Expected FT total 2.80 marginally above the 2.75 line. Arema home matches over 60% (3 of 5) and DPMM away over 83% (5 of 6), with DPMM conceding 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away (6.8 shots on target conceded). Quality gap and away defensive fragility strongly support the Over. |
|
| 31-07-2026 09:30 |
Rochedale Rovers |
- |
Eastern Suburbs |
Over 3.5 Goals |
65% |
Expected total 3.6 (A=1.6, B=1.8, C=1.4, D=2.4) edges above the 3.5 line. Rochedale Rovers' home matches went Over 3.5 in 4 of 6 (66.7%), while Eastern Suburbs' away matches hit Over in 2 of 4 (50%). Both teams need points in a tight lower-table battle, creating an open-game Over signal. Market pricing error is mild (GL_5 1.10 home, 1.30 away) and does not add confidence. Overall confidence 65%. |
|
| 31-07-2026 09:45 |
Kingston City |
- |
Springvale White Eagles |
Over 3.25 Goals |
74% |
Expected total 3.45 (home scored 1.20 + away conceded 2.30 /2 =1.75; away scored 1.10 + home conceded 2.30 /2 =1.70) vs line 3.25. Kingston City have hit Over 3.25 in 6 of last 10 matches (60%); Springvale White Eagles concede 2.3 goals per away game and have conceded 2+ in 4 of last 6 away matches. H2H finished 3-2. Springvale's GL_5 is 2.50 (severe bookmaker mispricing), adding edge to the Over. |
|
| 31-07-2026 10:00 |
Nepean FC |
- |
Bonnyrigg White Eagles |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Full‑time expected 3.75 goals (A=1.60, B=1.60, C=1.70, D=2.60) vs line 3.25. Nepean home 60% over (3/5), Bonnyrigg away 80% over (4/5); Nepean conceded 2+ in 4/5 home matches, Bonnyrigg 2+ in 4/5 away matches. Strong bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 2.15 accelerating, away GL_5 1.80 accelerating) confirms edge for goals. |
|
| 31-07-2026 10:00 |
Broadmeadow Magic Women |
- |
New Lambton FC Women |
Over 1.75 1st Half Goals |
82% |
Broadmeadow concede 1.3 first-half goals at home while New Lambton score 2.0 away in the first half, producing an expected 1H total of 2.55 vs a line of 1.75. Both teams saw 8/10 recent matches exceed 1.75 first-half goals (80%), and the away side’s dominant form (9 wins in 10) should exploit a leaky home defence early. Broadmeadow’s overall goal-line error (GL_5 2.35) signals bookmaker mispricing on high-scoring contests, reinforcing the Over. |
|
| 31-07-2026 10:15 |
Glenorchy Knights Reserves |
- |
University of Tasmania |
Over 4.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 6.25 (home 1.50 scored/5.20 conceded at home, away 1.60 scored/4.20 conceded away) far exceeds the 4.75 line. Away team went Over 4.75 in all 4 recent away matches (7,6,5,10 goals). Both teams show severe defensive vulnerability and high bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.65 home, 2.15 away), making the Over the clear value. |
|
| 31-07-2026 10:15 |
South Hobart FC 2 |
- |
Taroona |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals HT |
78% |
Expected 1st-half total 2.30 (home 1.4 scored/conceded, away 1.7/0.9) far exceeds effective line 1.75. Taroona's away half-times concede 0.9 on average but structural gap strong: home side top of table with dominant home form, away side conceded 2+ in all last 4 away. H2H 1st half had 2 goals (Over). Bookmaker mispricing severe (home GL_5 2.50, away 1.50) adds edge. |
|
| 31-07-2026 10:30 |
Northcote City |
- |
Eltham Redbacks |
Over 1.5 Goals - 1st Half |
82% |
Expected 1st Half goals of 1.65 (home 0.70 scored + 0.70 conceded vs away 1.10 scored + 0.80 conceded) exceed the 1.5 line. Northcote home 1st halves Over 1.5 in 60% (6/10), Eltham away 1st halves Over 1.5 in 70% (7/10) with 5 of their last 6 away 1st halves hitting. Quality gap (3rd vs 6th) and Eltham conceding 2+ in 3 of last 5 away games signal early goals, while severe bookmaker mispricing on Eltham (GL_5 1.95, accelerating) and moderate on Northcote (GL_5 1.50) add 13% confidence. Raw score 84% capped at standard 82% tier. |
|
| 31-07-2026 10:30 |
Whittlesea United |
- |
Eastern Lions |
Under 1.5 Goals 1st Half |
80% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.00 (Whittlesea home HT avg 0.30 scored, 0.50 conceded; Eastern Lions away HT avg 0.70 scored, 0.50 conceded) vs line 1.25 – gap of 0.25. Whittlesea have been under 1.25 HT in 8 of last 10 matches (80%), Eastern Lions 9 of 10 (90%). Both teams show structurally low HT scoring with no H2H history to override. The high under percentages and expected total below the line provide a strong edge for an Under HT bet. |
|
| 31-07-2026 11:00 |
Port Darwin FC |
- |
Darwin Hearts |
Over 4.0/4.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 5.35 goals (home: scored 3.40, conceded 3.10 at home; away: scored 2.00, conceded 2.20 away) vs. line 4.25. Home matches 4/4 (100%) over, away 4/6 (67%) over. Home GL_5 3.05 signals severe bookmaker mispricing. Away conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away trips — strong structural over. |
|
| 31-07-2026 11:00 |
Port Darwin FC |
- |
Darwin Hearts |
Over 4.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 5.35 goals (home: 3.40 scored/3.10 conceded, away: 2.00 scored/2.20 conceded) exceeds line of 4.25 by 1.10. Home matches over 4.25 in 80% of last 10, away in 60%. Away side conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 away trips, and Port Darwin scored 21 goals in their last 3 home fixtures. Bookmaker mispricing is severe — Port Darwin's GL_5 of 3.05 signals the market has consistently underestimated goals in their games, adding strong edge to the Over. |
|
| 31-07-2026 14:00 |
Mainz |
- |
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai |
Over 2.75 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 3.25 goals (Mainz home: 1.50 scored / 1.60 conceded; Shabab away: 1.80 scored / 1.60 conceded) exceeds line 2.75 by 0.50. Shabab Al Ahli conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away matches, and 60% of their away games cleared 2.75. The quality gap between Mainz (Bundesliga) and Shabab (UAE Pro League) in a friendly further points to an open, high-scoring game. |
|
| 31-07-2026 15:00 |
Viktoria Zizkov |
- |
SK Prostejov |
SK Prostejov +0.25 Asian Handicap |
72% |
Viktoria Zizkov have covered AH -0.25 in only 2 of their last 5 matches (40%), while SK Prostejov have avoided defeat in 4 of their last 5 (80%), strongly supporting Away +0.25. The H2H record is neutral (1-1 cover each), and Prostejov sit 5 places higher in the early league table. Full-time goal line Over was ruled out because Prostejov's away matches have exceeded 2.75 goals in only 40% of recent games, failing the 50% minimum for the second team. |
|
| 31-07-2026 15:00 |
FK Pohronie |
- |
MSK Povazska Bystrica |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.25 goals (home 1.30 scored, 2.00 conceded; away 1.60 scored, 1.60 conceded) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.5. FK Pohronie at home have hit Over 2.75 in 10/10 (100%) league matches, while Povazska Bystrica away have 60% Overs and show defensive fragility conceding 2+ in 3 of last 5. H2H is slightly negative (2/3 Unders) but bookmaker mispricing is accelerating (GL_5 1.75 home, 1.55 away) supporting Over. |
|
| 31-07-2026 15:00 |
Olimpia Elblag |
- |
Wisla Plock II |
|
67% |
Wisla Plock II have covered the Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%), while Olimpia Elblag have only covered in 3 of 5. Common opponents further support Wisla: they drew 1-1 away against Warta Sieradz (Olimpia lost 4-1 away), and lost narrowly to Widzew Lodz II (0-1) while Olimpia were beaten 3-0. No other market (goal lines, corners) offered a qualifying Over bet with sufficient edge, leaving this as the single best bet at moderate confidence. |
|
| 31-07-2026 15:00 |
Monaco |
- |
Cercle Brugge |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT total 4.00 vs line 3.25 (Monaco home: scored 2.0, conceded 2.1; Cercle away: scored 2.0, conceded 1.9). Cercle conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches (defensive fragility confirmed). 4 of 5 Cercle away games went Over 3.25. Bookmaker mispricing severe (Monaco GL_5 2.15 accelerating) and moderate (Cercle GL_5 1.55 accelerating), adding +17% confidence. Capped at 82% due to standard tier ceiling. |
|
| 31-07-2026 15:00 |
Czarni Sosnowiec Women |
- |
UKS SMS Lodz Women |
Asian Handicap Away +1.5 |
72% |
UKS SMS Lodz Women +1.5 has covered in all of their last 5 matches, including a 2-3 loss at Czarni Sosnowiec on 30 May 2026. All three H2H meetings this season finished with a 1-goal margin (3-2, 1-2, 2-3), meaning +1.5 would have covered every time. Against common opponents, UKS +1.5 covered in 3 of 4 comparable games. The home side's -1.5 handicap is too steep given the consistent tight margins in this fixture and the away team's resilience. |
|
| 31-07-2026 15:30 |
FC Inter II |
- |
VJS Vantaa |
Over 3.75 Goals |
81% |
Expected total goals 4.15 (Home: avg 1.9 scored/2.7 conceded at home; Away: 1.7 scored/2.0 conceded away) exceeds the 3.75 line by 0.40. Both teams have 60% over records in last 10. H2H total 5. GL_5 for FC Inter II is 2.25, indicating strong bookmaker mispricing on goal line. Both sides in relegation round, need points, open game. |
|
| 31-07-2026 15:30 |
GrIFK |
- |
EBK |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.00 goals (GrIFK home: 1.20 scored, 2.50 conceded; EBK away: 1.60 scored, 2.70 conceded) vs line 3.5. EBK's last 10 away matches saw 60% Over 3.5, while GrIFK has 50%. EBK away defensive fragility (4 of last 5 conceded 2+ goals) and severe bookmaker mispricing (both teams GL_5 2.05, accelerating) strongly favour Over. Confidence capped at 82% under standard tier rules. |
|
| 31-07-2026 15:30 |
AIFK |
- |
HJS |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected FT goals 3.30 (AIFK home scored 2.30, HJS away conceded 1.60) vs line 3.25. AIFK's last 3 home matches all saw 2+ goals from them, with HJS conceding 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away games (structural fragility). Both teams show strong bookmaker mispricing on the goal line (GL_5 2.25 for AIFK, 1.65 for HJS, both accelerating), consistently producing higher totals than the opening line. |
|
| 31-07-2026 16:00 |
MPS |
- |
Gilla FC |
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected 1st-half total 1.90 (home scored 0.60 + away conceded 0.80 gives 0.70; away scored 1.20 + home conceded 1.20 gives 1.20) vs line 1.50. Gilla FC have 7 of 10 away matches over 1.5 HT goals (70%), and the only H2H this season had 2 first-half goals. Bookmaker mispricing is strong: Gilla FC GL_5 2.00 (accelerating) and MPS GL_5 1.70, both supporting Over. Confidence 81%. |
|
| 31-07-2026 16:00 |
FC Kontu |
- |
HPS II |
Over 1.75 First Half Goals |
82% |
FC Kontu at home and HPS II away both show clear 1st half over patterns: home HT overs in 7 of last 10 (70%), away in 8 of last 10 (80%). Expected 1st half total is 2.45 (home 0.40 scored + 1.60 conceded, away 1.30 scored + 1.60 conceded) against a line of 1.75, a gap of 0.70. Away team concedes 1.60 first-half goals away, and bookmaker mispricing GL_5 of 1.95 for the home team indicates underpriced goals. |
|
| 31-07-2026 16:00 |
FC Hegelmann II |
- |
FK Minija |
Home +2.75 Asian Handicap |
67% |
FC Hegelmann II covered +2.75 in 75% of recent matches (6 of 8), losing by 3+ goals only twice. FK Minija have not won any away league match by more than 1 goal this season, and common opponents show all their away wins were by exactly 1 goal if at all. Despite the standings gap, Minija's narrow away margins make the +2.75 head start very likely to cover. |
|
| 31-07-2026 16:00 |
LKS Lodz |
- |
Polonia Bytom |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.85 (Home stats: A=1.8, B=2.3, C=2.2, D=1.4) vs line 2.75. Both teams show 80% Over in last 10 (LKS Lodz 8/10, Polonia Bytom 8/10). H2H totals 5 and 5. Away defensive fragility: 3 of last 5 away conceded 2+. Away GL_5 2.35 indicates severe bookmaker mispricing, accelerating trend. Capped at 82% due to limited H2H sample for elevated tier. |
|
| 31-07-2026 16:00 |
Gedania Gdansk |
- |
Notec Czarnkow |
Over 1.25 First Half Goals |
82% |
Expected first-half total 2.00 (home 1.40 scored + away 0.80 conceded, away 1.00 scored + home 0.80 conceded) vs line 1.25. Home HT overs 8/10 (80%), away 3/6 (50%). Home team’s GL_5 of 2.00 (accelerating) indicates strong bookmaker mispricing. No H2H data. |
|
| 31-07-2026 16:00 |
KAC 1909 |
- |
Lendorf |
Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half) |
76% |
Expected 1st half total of (0.70+0.80)/2 + (0.80+1.00)/2 = 1.65 goals vs line 1.25. KAC 1909 home matches went Over 1.25 HT in 4 of 6 (66.7%); Lendorf away HT Over in 3 of 6 (50%, non‑contradictory). Full‑time GL_5 mispricing is severe (home 2.15, away 2.05, both accelerating), reinforcing an over bias that extends to the first half. |
|
| 31-07-2026 16:00 |
MFK Karvina |
- |
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlašim |
Over 2.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected full-time total 3.20 (home 1.40 scored + road 1.50 conceded / road 1.60 scored + home 1.90 conceded = 3.20) versus line 2.5, a +0.70 gap. Home matches 80% over 2.5, away matches 70% over 2.5; both sides leak goals (home concedes 1.90/game at home, road concedes 1.50/game away) and league position pressure on the home team adds to open play. No H2H data, but the Over signal is clear across history, expected totals, and structural context. |
|
| 31-07-2026 16:15 |
Mosta FC |
- |
Balzan FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total FT 3.20 (A=1.30, B=1.40, C=1.70, D=2.00) vs line 2.5, gap +0.70. Mosta home 66.7% Over 2.5 (4/6), Balzan away 50% (2/4). Balzan conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches, confirming away defensive fragility. Away market pricing error GL_5=2.15 (accelerating) adds strong edge for Over. Quality gap (Balzan 1st vs Mosta 9th) and likelihood 65% Over 2.5 support. Confidence capped at 82% (standard ceiling). |
|
| 31-07-2026 16:30 |
ASK Voitsberg |
- |
SKU Amstetten |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.75 (home scored 3.70 at home, away conceded 1.50 away) far exceeds 2.75 line. Home team home matches 75% over, away team away matches 80% over. Home team GL_5 at 2.05 shows persistent bookmaker mispricing favoring overs. |
|
| 31-07-2026 16:30 |
FK Austria Vienna II |
- |
FC Blau Weiss Linz |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total goals 3.30 vs line 2.75 (home avg scored 1.80, conceded 1.90 at home; away avg scored 1.90, conceded 1.00 away). Home team 7/10 matches Over 2.75 (70%), away 6/10 (60%). Shot-based match potential 6.84 strongly supports Over. No H2H history. GL5 home 1.40/away 1.25 indicate mild mispricing, with acceleration trends. Confidence 76%. |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:00 |
Herd |
- |
Volda |
Herd +0.25 Asian Handicap |
66% |
Herd have covered the +0.25 line in 3.5 of their last 5 home matches, including convincing wins over common opponents Nardo and Byåsen. Volda have won only 2 of their last 5 away games, failing to cover -0.25 on the other three. With just 2 points separating the sides and Volda's Asian Handicap variance at 1.80 indicating the line is often mispriced, Herd are well placed to avoid defeat at home. |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:00 |
IK Oddevold |
- |
Norrby IF |
Under 1.25 Goals HT |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 0.85, well below line 1.25. IK Oddevold 7/10 recent matches under 1.25 HT goals (70%), Norrby IF 9/10 (90%). Away team failed to score in 1st half in 3 of last 5 away matches, both teams consistently low 1st half scorers. H2H (1 match) 0-0 HT. Under line 1.0/1.5 offers clear value despite Over-first philosophy. |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:00 |
AB Copenhagen |
- |
FC Fredericia |
Over 3.0 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 3.60 (AB Copenhagen home avg 2.2 scored, 1.4 conceded; FC Fredericia away avg 2.0 scored, 1.6 conceded) exceeds 3.0 line by 0.60. Both teams' recent matches support Over: AB Copenhagen 4 of 6 overs (66.7%), FC Fredericia 6 of 9 overs (66.7%). FC Fredericia conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away games, signalling defensive fragility. Mild bookmaker mispricing (GL_5: home 1.25, away 1.30) aligns with the Over direction. |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:00 |
Toulouse |
- |
Real Sociedad |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.55 goals (home 1.50 scored + away 1.70 conceded / 2 + away 1.70 scored + home 2.20 conceded / 2) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.80. Toulouse home record: 3 of 4 last home matches Over 2.75 (75%), Real Sociedad away: 3 of 6 Over (50%). Real Sociedad has high bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=1.90) aligned with Over direction. Recent Toulouse home games average 3.5 total goals, reinforcing the Over signal. |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:00 |
Bronshoj BK |
- |
Ishoj |
Over 2.75 Goals |
78% |
Expected full-time total is 3.30 (Bronshoj home: 1.30 scored/1.80 conceded; Ishoj away: 1.20 scored/2.30 conceded) vs line 2.75, a gap of 0.55. Ishoj away games went over 2.75 in 4 of last 5 (80%) and they conceded 2+ in 4 of those 5, confirming clear defensive fragility. Bronshoj home overs at 50% do not contradict, and shot-based match potential (5.18) strongly supports the over direction. |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:00 |
FC Roskilde |
- |
Naestved |
Over 1.0 1st Half Goals |
75% |
Expected 1st half total 1.55 vs line 1.0 (home 0.50 scored/0.70 conceded, away 0.60 scored/1.30 conceded). Naestved concedes heavily early in away matches and 6/10 recent 1st halves went over 1.0. Both sides show moderate-high goal line mispricing (GL_5 1.80 home, 1.65 away), strengthening the Over signal. |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:00 |
SV Donau |
- |
Kremser SC |
Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals |
82% |
Expected 1st half total 2.00 (SV Donau home: 1.20 scored + 1.40 conceded; Kremser away: 0.70 scored + 0.70 conceded → (1.20+0.70)/2 + (0.70+1.40)/2 = 2.00) exceeds the 1.25 line by 0.75 goals. Home 1st half Over 1.25 in 3 of 5 home matches (60%), away 1st half Over 1.25 in 2 of 4 away matches (50%). Both teams' GL_5 variance of 2.10 signals strong bookmaker mispricing aligning with the Over direction. Confidence capped at standard ceiling (82%). |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:00 |
SV Leobendorf |
- |
Parndorf |
Over 1.25 Goals HT |
71% |
Expected 1st half goals 1.50 (Leobendorf home 0.40 scored + Parndorf away 0.90 conceded ÷2 = 0.65, plus Parndorf away 1.10 scored + Leobendorf home 0.60 conceded ÷2 = 0.85) exceeds line 1.25 by 0.25. Parndorf away 1st half totals Over 1.25 in 4 of 6 matches (66.7%), and they scored in all 6 away 1st halves, confirming consistent early scoring. Home Leobendorf's 1st half overs (2/7) are weak, but away team's strong road attack dominates. H2H 1st half data absent. Confidence: Base 50% +5% gap +5% away HT history +8% early scoring pattern +3% likelihood = 71%. |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:00 |
FC Kitzbuhel |
- |
FC Lustenau |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total 3.70 (home 1.90 GF/1.60 GC, away 1.80 GF/2.10 GC) tops the 3.25 line. Home side saw 4 of 6 recent matches exceed 3.25, away 8 of last 10. Away defensive fragility (2+ conceded in 8/10) and Kitzbuhel's heavy-scoring form (3+ goals in 5/6) point to a goal-fest. Kitzbuhel's GL_5 variance of 2.90 (severe mispricing) aligns with the Over direction. |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:00 |
Sparta Prague |
- |
FC Trinity Zlin |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total 3.15 (Sparta home avg 1.70 scored + 1.40 conceded; Zlin away 1.50 scored + 1.70 conceded) exceeds line 3.0. Shot-based match potential 6.87 strongly supports goals. Sparta scored 2+ in 3 of last 4 home games; Zlin conceded 5.0 shots on target per away game. Both teams lost openers, increasing attacking urgency. Market pricing error for Sparta (GL_5 1.45) indicates mild mispricing towards Over. |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:00 |
SV Donau Klagenfurt |
- |
SAK Klagenfurt |
Over 1.0,1.5 First Half Goals |
77% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.55 goals (home 0.80 scored + away 0.50 conceded = 1.30/2 = 0.65; away 1.00 scored + home 0.80 conceded = 1.80/2 = 0.90; sum 1.55), exceeding the 1.25 effective line. Home 1st half history shows 60% full Over wins (3 of 5 home matches), away 1st half history 75% (3 of 4 away matches) all over 1.5. Away team concedes 2+ in every recent away match and both sides score consistently in the first half. Home team's overall GL_5 of 1.50 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing, supporting the Over. |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:00 |
ATSV Wolfsberg |
- |
Wolfsberger AC |
Over 3.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.45 goals (home 3.00 scored + away 0.90 conceded /2 + away 3.00 scored + home 2.00 conceded /2) far exceeds the 3.25 line by 1.20. Recent matches: home 60% Over 3.25, away 80% Over. Severe bookmaker mispricing (away GL_5 3.00, home GL_5 2.05) and quality gap (Bundesliga vs Landesliga) add edge. |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:00 |
EDF Logrono Women |
- |
Real Sociedad Women |
Over 2.75 Goals |
69% |
Expected total 2.90 vs line 2.75 (home 1.40 scored/1.70 conceded at home, away 1.70 scored/1.00 conceded away). Home matches 60% over 2.75 (3/5), away 75% over (3/4). Quality gap with Real Sociedad as heavy favorite adds attacking pressure. H2H 2 of 3 under but not veto. Market pricing error mild (home GL_5 1.20). |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:15 |
Vanersborgs FK |
- |
Herrestads AIF |
Over 3.0 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 3.55 (home scored 1.30 at home, away conceded 2.00 on road, away scored 1.70 away, home conceded 2.10 at home) significantly above the 3.0 line. Home matches are 3 of 5 over 3.0, away 3 of 6 over 3.0. Herrestads have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 6 away matches, and Vanersborgs conceded 2+ in all 5 recent home games, indicating defensive fragility both sides. Home team's GL_5 of 1.55 (accelerating trend) shows moderate bookmaker mispricing in favour of higher-scoring matches. Both teams are mid‑table with a point gap, making an open, competitive game likely. |
|
| 31-07-2026 17:15 |
Poxyt |
- |
LePa |
Under 4.0 Goals |
75% |
Expected total 3.60 (Poxyt home: scored 1.90, conceded 2.10; LePa away: scored 1.50, conceded 1.70) falls 0.40 below the 4.0 line. Poxyt home matches stayed under 4.0 in 60% of last 10, LePa away under 50%; single H2H 1-1 also under. Bookmaker mispricing for Poxyt is severe (GL_5 2.25, accelerating), adding edge to the Under despite a home form surge. |
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| 31-07-2026 17:30 |
Stenungsunds IF |
- |
Skara |
Away -0.5 Asian Handicap |
78% |
Skara (2nd, 33 pts) is significantly stronger than Stenungsunds (6th, 18 pts). Skara has a perfect Asian Handicap record of 10 wins in last 10, and covered -0.5 in 8 of their last 10 matches (80% win by 1+ goals). Against 8 common opponents, Skara won 6 and drew 2, while Stenungsunds lost 5 of the same fixtures. The +0.5 home line offers clear value on the away side. |
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| 31-07-2026 17:30 |
IF Karlstad II |
- |
Grebbestads IF |
Grebbestads IF -0.25 (Asian Handicap) |
78% |
Grebbestads IF sit 4th (25 pts) while IF Karlstad II are 12th (10 pts), a clear quality gap. Grebbestads have covered the Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%), whereas Karlstad II have covered just 2 of 5. Common opponents results across IFK Skövde, Lidköpings, Skara, Stenungsunds and Vänersborgs show Grebbestads matching or outperforming Karlstad II. Away -0.25 offers value given the 15-point gap and consistent AH edge. |
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| 31-07-2026 17:30 |
SC Bruhl |
- |
Young Boys II |
Over 3.0/3.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals is 3.75 (Bruhl home 2.10 scored, Young Boys away 1.90 conceded, Bruhl home 1.80 conceded, Young Boys away 1.70 scored), exceeding the 3.0/3.5 line. Bruhl have 70% of their last 10 matches Over 3.25, and both H2H meetings (2-2, 4-2) cleared this line. Young Boys II have conceded 2+ in 4 of their last 6 away games, confirming defensive fragility, while Bruhl scored 2+ in their last 3 home matches. Away team's overall 40% over record is offset by strong structural signals and the 0.50-goal gap above the line, with bookmaker pricing error (GL_5 1.20) mildly supporting Over. |
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| 31-07-2026 17:30 |
Wiener Sportclub |
- |
Favoritner AC |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
67% |
Expected total 3.60 (home 2.20 scored at home / away 1.30 conceded away = 1.75; away 2.10 scored away / home 1.60 conceded home = 1.85; total 3.60) vs Asian goal line 3.25. Away team defensively fragile - conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches (2-5, 2-1, 4-1, 4-0). Bookmaker mispricing high on away side (GL_5 2.15, accelerating). Weak H2H (2 low-scoring games) but not enough to override structural Over signals. |
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| 31-07-2026 18:00 |
FOC Farsta |
- |
Ragsveds IF |
Over 3.5 Goals |
74% |
Expected total 3.70 (FOC Farsta home 2.30 scored, 1.10 conceded; Ragsveds away 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded) exceeds the 3.5 line. Ragsveds' away matches went Over 3.5 in 3 of 4 (75%), and their GL_5 variance of 2.05 signals strong bookmaker mispricing. Ragsveds conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 4 away games, confirming defensive fragility. FOC Farsta home form surge (2+ goals in last 3 home wins) adds momentum. |
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| 31-07-2026 18:00 |
Central Ballester |
- |
Sportivo Barracas |
Over 1.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.55 goals (home scored 0.70, conceded 1.50; away scored 1.40, conceded 1.50) vs line 1.75 (gap 0.80). Sportivo Barracas away record 100% over 1.75 (4/4). H2H matches both over 1.75 (2-0, 4-2). Away defensive fragility: conceded 2+ in 3 of 4 away matches. Bookmaker mispricing for away team severe (GL_5 2.20, accelerating), adding strong edge for Over. Home team scoring drought at home (failed to score in 4 of 5) limits confidence, capped at 82%. |
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| 31-07-2026 18:00 |
Dinamo Zagreb |
- |
Slaven Belupo |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
81% |
Expected total 3.45 goals (Dinamo home: 2.30 scored, 0.80 conceded; Slaven away: 1.70 scored, 2.10 conceded). H2H all 4 meetings went over 3.5 goals (5,6,7,5). Slaven's away defensive fragility confirmed (conceded 2+ in 8 of last 10 away) and quality gap (1st vs 9th) supports an open game. Bookmaker mispricing is accelerating – GL_5 1.95 (Slaven) and 1.75 (Dinamo) – with both teams' line consistently underestimating goals. |
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| 31-07-2026 18:00 |
Sporting Club Toulon |
- |
Aubagne Air Bel |
Over 1.0,1.5 Goals HT |
68% |
Expected 1st half total 1.55 (home: 0.9s/0.9c, away: 0.5s/0.8c) exceeds line 1.25 by 0.30. Aubagne’s last 4 away HTs had 2+ goals in 3 (75%), and Toulon’s home HTs averaged 2.5 goals across last 4. Quality gap (Aubagne Ligue 3 vs Toulon National 1) adds early-pressure Over signal. No H2H data. Market pricing error low (GL_5 1.15/0.80) so confidence capped at 68%. |
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| 31-07-2026 18:00 |
Sabadell |
- |
Inter Club d'Escaldes |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected goals are 3.40 (home scored 1.70 + away conceded 2.00)/2 + (away scored 1.90 + home conceded 1.20)/2, well above the 2.75 line. Sabadell’s home matches are 75% over 2.75 (3/4) and Inter’s away matches are 83% over (5/6). The quality gap is huge (Spanish 2nd tier vs. Andorran side) and Inter have conceded 2+ goals in 5 of 6 away matches—strong structural over signals. Inter’s GL_5 of 1.55 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing on their games. Raw confidence 91% capped at 82% (standard ceiling) because H2H is missing for elevated tier. |
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| 31-07-2026 18:15 |
Kriens |
- |
Winterthur |
Over 3.0 Goals |
68% |
Expected total goals 3.50 (Kriens home: scored 1.80, conceded 1.50; Winterthur away: scored 1.50, conceded 2.20) beats the 3.0 line by 0.50. Winterthur shows away defensive fragility, conceding 2+ goals in all 3 recent away matches. Both teams have 50% over 3.0 in last 10 matches, and shot data supports an over script. |
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| 31-07-2026 18:45 |
Waterford FC |
- |
Shelbourne |
Over 2.5 Goals |
85% |
Expected total 3.30 (Waterford 2.00 scored/1.40 conceded at home, Shelbourne 1.70 scored/1.50 conceded away) vs line 2.75. Waterford 7/10 home Overs, Shelbourne 8/10 away Overs, H2H 2/3 Overs. Shels conceded 2+ in last 4 away matches. GL_5 1.80 (Waterford) & 1.70 (Shelbourne), both accelerating – bookmaker mispricing strong Over signal. |
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| 31-07-2026 18:45 |
Treaty United FC |
- |
Longford Town |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.50 goals (home scored 1.00, conceded 1.60 at home; away scored 2.50, conceded 1.90 away) far exceeds the 2.5 line. Treaty home matches 70% Over 2.5, Longford matches 90% Over, and away defensive fragility confirmed (conceded 2+ in all last 5 away). Longford's GL_5 of 2.10 signals strong bookmaker mispricing on the over. Raw confidence 92% capped at standard ceiling 82% due to neutral H2H record. |
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| 31-07-2026 18:45 |
Bray Wanderers |
- |
Kerry FC |
Over 2.5-3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.15 vs line 2.75 (gap 0.40); Bray home matches over 2.75 in 70% of cases, scoring 2.5 goals average at home; Kerry away conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4; H2H all 3 meetings over 2.75; Bray's GL_5 of 1.5 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing, adding edge to the Over. |
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| 31-07-2026 18:45 |
Colwyn Bay |
- |
Trefelin BGC |
Over 3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.65 vs line 3.0, driven by Trefelin scoring 3.60 away and 90% of their last 10 matches going over 3.0. Home Colwyn Bay also averages 1.6 scored at home with a 56% over rate. Away GL_5 of 2.50 confirms severe bookmaker mispricing, and the quality gap (8th vs 16th) adds an over signal. |
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| 31-07-2026 18:45 |
Llandudno |
- |
Flint Town Utd |
Over 3.0 Goals |
66% |
Expected total 3.25 via (2.50 + 1.40)/2 + (1.60 + 1.00)/2, exceeding line 3.0 by 0.25. Llandudno's recent home matches went over 3.0 in 3 of 5 (60%), with 2+ goals in each of last 3 home games; Flint's away matches over 3.0 in 50%. Bookmaker mispricing for Llandudno (GL_5 1.55 accelerating) adds edge. |
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| 31-07-2026 18:45 |
Bohemians Dublin |
- |
Galway United |
Bohemians Dublin -1.0 Asian Handicap |
70% |
Bohemians have covered -1 AH in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%), winning by 2+ goals each time. Galway away form is fragile, conceding 3 goals in 2 of their last 4 away games. With Bohemians 3rd and Galway 7th, the quality gap and momentum heavily favour the home side. |
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| 31-07-2026 18:45 |
Waterford FC |
- |
Shelbourne |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected FT goals 3.30 vs line 2.75 (home avg 2.00 scored, away conceded 1.50; away scored 1.70, home conceded 1.40). Shelbourne away last 4 all over 2.75 (3,15,4,4) with defensive fragility (conceded 2+ each). H2H over in 2/3 meetings. Bookmaker mispricing GL_5 1.80/1.70 accelerating. Confidence capped at 82%. |
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| 31-07-2026 19:00 |
Drogheda United |
- |
Shamrock Rovers |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected goals 3.10 (home scored 1.5, away scored 2.0; home conceded 1.7, away conceded 1.0) vs line 2.5, gap +0.60. Drogheda home matches Over 2.5 in 3 of 5 (60%), H2H 3 of 4 overs (75%). Quality gap (Shamrock 1st vs Drogheda 8th) supports Over, and likelihood leans Over at 55%. Away history is contradictory (Shamrock away 1/4 overs) but H2H overrides; market pricing error mild (away GL_5 1.35). |
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| 31-07-2026 19:00 |
Bodo/Glimt |
- |
Lillestrom |
Over 10.0 Corners |
68% |
Expected total corners 9.30 (Bodo/Glimt home avg 6.40, Lillestrom away conceded 4.50; Lillestrom away avg 5.40, Bodo home conceded 2.30). Bodo/Glimt's last 5 home games saw 60% over 10 corners, Lillestrom's last 4 away games 75% over. Norway's high-tempo league and both teams fighting for points support a corner-heavy match. |
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| 31-07-2026 20:00 |
General Caballero JLM |
- |
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected FT goals 2.95 (Home: 1.70 scored + 1.50 conceded; Away: 1.70 scored + 1.00 conceded) exceeds line 2.25 by 0.70 goals. Home team last 10 matches: 7/10 over 2.25 (70%); Away team in away games: 5/6 over 2.25 (83%). Both teams competing for promotion forces open play. No H2H contradiction (single 0-0). Market pricing error mild (GL_5 1.30 both sides) but directional support. |
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| 31-07-2026 22:00 |
Torque |
- |
Montevideo Wanderers |
Over 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.95 goals (Torque home 2.00 scored, 1.70 conceded; Wanderers away 1.40 scored, 0.80 conceded) vs line 2.25. Torque 90% over 2.25 in last 10 matches, Wanderers 80% over in away matches. H2H both overs (4-0, 2-2). Market pricing error GL_5 1.60 (home) and 1.50 (away) both accelerating, strengthening Over edge. |
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| 31-07-2026 22:30 |
Fernando de la Mora |
- |
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes |
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes -0.25 Asian Handicap |
73% |
Away team sits 1st in the standings (36 pts) while home is 12th (19 pts), creating a massive quality gap. 12 de Junio have won all of their last 5 matches, covering -0.25 in every one, and they also covered the same handicap in recent common opponent fixtures (1-0 vs General Caballero JLM, 0-1 vs Guairena FC, 3-2 vs Resistencia FC). Fernando de la Mora's home struggles (14th in home table) further support the away side's handicap value. |
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