| 13-05-2026 22:00 |
Waterhouse |
- |
Cavalier |
Over 2.25 Goals |
78% |
Expected total 2.90 (Waterhouse home avg 1.80 + Cavalier away conceded avg 1.20)/2 + (Cavalier away avg 1.70 + Waterhouse home conceded avg 1.10)/2 well above line 2.25. Home history 3/5 (60%) over in last 5 at Waterhouse, away history 3/5 (60%) over in last 5 away for Cavalier. H2H 2/3 over 2.5 goals. Shot-based match potential 5.89 confirms high-scoring potential. Market pricing error low (GL_5 0.95/1.00) but structural signals support Over. |
|
| 13-05-2026 22:00 |
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador |
- |
Independiente del Valle |
Over 2.25 Goals |
71% |
Expected goals total 2.85 (home avg 1.80 scored at home + away avg 1.10 conceded away = 2.90/2=1.45; away avg 1.90 scored away + home avg 0.90 conceded at home = 2.80/2=1.40; sum 2.85) exceeds the quarter line of 2.25 by 0.60 goals. Away defensive fragility is a strong structural signal: Independiente del Valle conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches. Although team-level match history shows only 50% overs, the combination of a clear expected total gap, away defensive weakness, and moderate market mispricing (GL_5 1.45 per side) supports the Over bet. |
|
| 13-05-2026 23:00 |
One Knoxville SC |
- |
Union Omaha |
Over 2.25 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.90 (home avg 1.40, away conceded 0.90, away avg 2.40, home conceded 1.10) exceeds line 2.25 by 0.65. Union Omaha's away matches are 5/6 Over 2.5 (83%). Home team GL_5 of 1.50 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing in same direction. H2H split but neutral. 1st half signal weak (expected exactly 1.0). Confirmed Over with 82% confidence. |
|
| 13-05-2026 23:00 |
SV Voorwaarts |
- |
Inter Moengo Tapoe |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals 3.00 (home avg 1.30 scored, away avg 2.30 scored, defensive avgs 1.40 and 1.00) exceeds 2.5 line by 0.5. Both teams show 80% Over in last 10 matches (8/10 each). H2H is neutral (2 Over, 2 Under in 4 meetings). Away team's strong attack (2.3 away goals per game) and mild bookmaker mispricing (away GL_5 1.4, stabilizing) support Over. |
|
| 13-05-2026 23:15 |
Charlotte FC |
- |
New York City FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.85 goals (Charlotte 2.20 at home, NYCFC 1.80 conceded away; NYCFC 1.90 away, Charlotte 1.80 conceded at home) comfortably exceeds the 2.75 line. Charlotte's home match history shows 5/6 over 2.5 (83%), and H2H has 3/4 over (75%). Bookmaker mispricing is moderate (GL_5 1.70 home, 1.80 away), adding confidence to the Over. |
|
| 14-05-2026 10:00 |
Sidama Bunna |
- |
Hadiya Hossana |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals (Asian Goal Line) |
66% |
Expected total of 1.95 (from home 1.00 at home + away 1.10 conceded away averaged with away 0.90 away + home 0.90 conceded at home) exceeds the effective line of 1.75. Hadiya Hossana's recent 10 matches show 70% Over this line, while Sidama Bunna show 50%; the only H2H match ended 2-0. The quality gap (1st vs 15th) further supports an Over outcome, though bookmaker mispricing is low (GL_5 <1.0 for both teams). |
|
| 14-05-2026 11:00 |
Bjarg |
- |
Brattvåg |
Under 10 Asian Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners from averages is 8.35 (Bjarg home 4.6+conceded 3.1, Brattvåg away 4.5+conceded 4.5), well below the line of 10. Both teams show strong Under 10 corner history: Bjarg at home 4/5 (80%) and Brattvåg away 4/5 (80%). Market pricing error is low (GL_5 < 1.0 for both), but the structural alignment and expected total gap (1.65 corners) provide solid edge for the Under. |
|
| 14-05-2026 11:00 |
Tvååkers IF |
- |
BK Olympic |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.45 (home avg 1.50 at home + away conceded 2.20 away) well above line 2.75. Away team's recent form strong for Over (4 of 5 matches Over 2.5). Home team's moderate market mispricing (GL_5=1.50) adds edge. No H2H data to contradict. Over 2.75 at 1.85 offers strong value. |
|
| 14-05-2026 11:00 |
Västra Frölunda IF |
- |
IK Kongahälla |
Over 3.5 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 3.95 (home avg 2.60 at home + away avg conceded 1.80 away, averaged) exceeds the 3.5 line. Home (Västra Frölunda) went Over in 3 of 4 home matches (75%) and away (IK Kongahälla) in 2 of 3 away (67%). Home goal line variance (GL_5=2.65) indicates severe bookmaker mispricing in this direction. Quality gap supports (home 3rd, away 10th in standings). |
|
| 14-05-2026 11:00 |
Torslanda IK |
- |
Qviding FIF |
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals |
73% |
Expected 1st half total is 2.00 (home HT avg 0.80 + away conceded HT 0.70 = 0.75, plus away HT avg 1.60 + home conceded HT 0.90 = 1.25), well above the 1.5 line. Torslanda's last 3 home matches saw 2 of 3 first halves go over 1.5 (67%), and Qviding's last 3 away first halves also saw 2 of 3 over (67%). Likelihood data shows 70% chance of over 1.5 total. No H2H data to contradict. The gap from line (+0.5 goals) adds edge, supporting an Over bet. |
|
| 14-05-2026 12:00 |
Hinna |
- |
Haugesund 2 |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals is 4.60, derived from (Hinna home avg 2.60 + Haugesund 2 away conceded 2.20)/2 plus (Haugesund 2 away avg 1.70 + Hinna home conceded 2.70)/2, well above the 3.5 line. Hinna's home likelihood for Over 3.5 is 60% and Haugesund 2's away likelihood is 60%, while Hinna's GL_5 of 2.40 indicates strong bookmaker mispricing favoring the Over. The single H2H meeting (1-0) is too small a sample to override the structural Over signal. |
|
| 14-05-2026 12:00 |
Landvetter IS |
- |
IF Boljan |
Over 1st Half 1.25 Goals |
73% |
Expected 1st half total goals 1.60 (home avg 0.50 scored + 0.80 conceded; away avg 0.80 scored + 1.10 conceded) vs line 1.25 gives a 0.35 goal gap. IF Boljan have gone over in 3 of 4 away 1st halves (75%). Landvetter's goal line mispricing is high (GL_5 1.90), adding edge to the Over. Combined signals support an Over bet on the 1st half line. |
|
| 14-05-2026 12:00 |
Shire Endaselassie FC |
- |
Ethiopian Coffee |
Over 1.75 Goals |
80% |
Expected total goals (2.15) exceeds the 1.75 line, driven by Ethiopian Coffee's strong away scoring (1.40 avg) and Shire's weak home defense (1.20 conceded). Away team's 80% Over rate in recent matches and GL_5 variance of 1.70 (moderate mispricing aligning with Over) further support the bet. H2H also shows 4 goals in the last meeting. |
|
| 14-05-2026 12:00 |
FC Didube 2014 |
- |
Dinamo Tbilisi II |
Asian Handicap -0.75 Home (FC Didube 2014) |
69% |
Home team Didube has covered the -0.75 handicap in 4 of last 5 matches (80% cover rate), including wins by margins of +1 or more. Away team Dinamo Tbilisi II has covered only 1 of last 5. Common opponents (Lokomotiv Tbilisi, Iberia 2010, Kolkheti) all saw both teams cover the handicap in their respective matches. Despite no standing data, recent form and common opponent analysis support a home win covering -0.75. |
|
| 14-05-2026 12:00 |
FC Orbi |
- |
FC Tbilisi 2025 |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
78% |
FC Orbi averages 2.00 goals at home and FC Tbilisi 2025 averages 2.00 away, yielding an expected total of 2.70, just 0.05 below the 2.75 line. Both teams have strong Over records: Orbi has 6/6 home matches over 2.75, while Tbilisi has 4/5 away matches over. The most recent H2H produced 4 goals, and Tbilisi's goal line variance (GL5=1.55) indicates persistent bookmaker underestimation of goals, aligning with the Over direction. Orbi's attacking momentum (scored 2+ in 4 of last 5 home games) further supports the Over. |
|
| 14-05-2026 12:00 |
FC Margveti 2006 |
- |
Iveria Khashuri |
Over 3.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected total 3.50 (home avg 1.30 at home + away concede 2.60 away) exceeds line 3.0 by 0.5 goals. Home team 60% Over in last 5 FT matches (3 of 5). Away defensive fragility (conceded avg 2.6 away, 2 of last 3 away conceded 2+) supports Over. Shot-based match potential 5.34 strongly favors goals. Home GL_5 1.60 indicates bookmaker mispricing. Away recent Over rate (40%) is a partial concern but structural and variance signals override. |
|
| 14-05-2026 13:00 |
Honefoss |
- |
Stjørdals/Blink |
Over 3.5 Goals |
75% |
Expected full-time total of 3.85 (home 2.70 avg scored at home, away 2.30 conceded away) exceeds the 3.5 line. Away team conceded 2+ goals in all 4 away matches (defensive fragility), while Honefoss scored 2+ in each of their last 3 home games. H2H last meeting was 4-1. Structural factors (quality gap 3rd vs 13th, away defensive trend) support Over despite mixed match history; market mispricing is low (GL_5 home 0.95, away 0.80). |
|
| 14-05-2026 13:00 |
Lokomotiv Oslo |
- |
FK Union Carl Berner |
Over 8.5 Asian Corners |
73% |
Expected corners total 8.75 (home avg 3.9 + conceded 5.1 vs away avg 5.33 + conceded 3.17) exceeds 8.5 line. Home team covered Over in both home matches (10 and 9 corners), away covered 2/3 away (67%). Both teams concede high corner volume (home concedes 5.1, away concedes 3.17), creating consistent Over opportunities. |
|
| 14-05-2026 14:00 |
Trelleborgs FF |
- |
Jonkopings Sodra |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Trelleborgs average 2.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded at home; Jonkoping's away averages are 1.40 scored and 1.50 conceded, giving an expected total of 3.10, well above the 2.5 line. Trelleborgs have gone Over 2.5 in all 7 recent matches (100%), and Jonkoping's in 5 of 6 league games (83%). The home side is top of the table facing 11th place, an obvious quality gap, and home GL_5 mispricing (1.40) is accelerating, adding further edge to an Over bet. |
|
| 14-05-2026 14:30 |
Stade Renard de Melong |
- |
Aigle Royal Menoua |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected full-time goals of 2.65 (home avg 1.30 + away conceded avg 1.60) and (away avg 1.40 + home conceded avg 1.00) divided by 2 exceed the line of 2.25. Away team has conceded 2+ goals in all 5 recent away matches (defensive fragility). H2H produced 6 goals in February. Away history supports Over (4/6 over 2.25, 67%). Despite home team's low Over rate at home (1/6), structural weakness of away defence and H2H provide strong Over case. |
|
| 14-05-2026 15:00 |
Austria Klagenfurt |
- |
FC Liefering |
Over 1.25 1st Half Goals |
65% |
Expected 1st half goals is 1.65 (home 0.60 + away 1.30 averages) vs line of 1.25, a +0.40 gap. Home team (Klagenfurt) has 6/10 (60%) 1st half matches over 1.25 goals. Away team (Liefering) scores 68% of its goals in the first half and averages 1.30 goals away, while Klagenfurt concedes 1.00 first-half goals at home. Away GL_5 of 1.50 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing, and Liefering's dominant early attacking style supports the Over. H2H only one match (2-2 FT) but no 1st half data. Confidence 65% meets threshold. |
|
| 14-05-2026 15:00 |
Fylkir Reykjavik |
- |
FH Hafnarfjordur |
Over 1.75 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Fylkir average 1.10 1st-half goals at home and FH concede 1.40 away, giving an expected total of 2.25, well above the 1.75 line. Fylkir's last 6 home matches saw 5 first halves over 1.75 (83%), while FH's last 8 away matches saw 6 over (75%). FH's defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) and strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.10) confirm the Over. |
|
| 14-05-2026 15:00 |
Mechal SC |
- |
Negelle Arsi |
Over 1.75 Goals |
68% |
Expected FT total of 1.95 goals (home avg 1.22 scored, 0.67 conceded; away avg 1.10 scored, 0.90 conceded) exceeds the 1.75 line. Mechal has 60% of recent matches over 1.75, Negelle 80%, and the sole H2H went over. Mild market mispricing (home GL_5 1.45, away 1.15) supports the Over direction. |
|
| 14-05-2026 15:10 |
Maccabi Tel Aviv Women |
- |
Kiryat Gat SC Women |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
71% |
Expected total of 3.60 goals (home avg 1.50, away conceded 0.70; away avg 2.80, home conceded 2.20) exceeds the 3.25 line. Away team has 70% of last 10 matches Over 3.25, and H2H shows 75% Over. Despite home history at 55.6% Over, the overall trend and away team's strong scoring form support the Over; away GL_5 of 1.55 indicates bookmaker mispricing but recent low actual totals limit edge. |
|
| 14-05-2026 16:00 |
FC Tallinn |
- |
JK Tallinna Kalev |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.35 goals (home avg 1.60 + away conceded 2.20, away avg 2.10 + home conceded 2.80) well above the 3.75 line. FC Tallinn hit Over in 7/10 recent matches (70%) and JK Tallinna Kalev in 6/10 (60%). Away defensive fragility is extreme: 8/10 away games conceded 2+ goals. Market pricing error is severe (home GL_5 1.90, away 1.75) and direction aligns with Over. H2H also produced 6 goals in the only meeting this season. |
|
| 14-05-2026 16:00 |
Isa Town |
- |
Al Ittifaq Maqaba |
Over 8.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners 9.85 (home 5.40, away 4.80, conceded averages) exceeds line 8.5. Isa Town (80% Over 8.5 last 10) and Al Ittifaq Maqaba (70% Over 8.5) both show strong corner trend. Quality gap (1st vs 8th) and attacking pressure from league leaders support Over 8.5. |
|
| 14-05-2026 16:00 |
Buri Cultural SC |
- |
Al Tadamun Buri |
Over 8.5 Asian Corners |
80% |
Expected total corners is 9.70 (home avg 5.3 + away conceded 7.4 averaged with away avg 3.4 + home conceded 3.3), well above the 8.5 line. The away team concedes 7.4 corners on average away, and the H2H match produced 10 corners. Quality gap (6th vs 11th) and weak away defensive shape create a strong structural over signal. Away corner history shows 2 of last 3 away matches went over 8.5, and home corner variance is high (2.50) indicating bookmaker mispricing. |
|
| 14-05-2026 17:15 |
Al Arabi SC |
- |
Al Tadamon SC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 2.95 (home 1.70+away conceded 2.20 /2 + away 1.10+home conceded 0.90 /2) exceeds line 2.75; away team has 70% of last 10 matches over 2.75 (7 of 10); strong bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5=2.00, away GL_5=1.75) and quality gap (Al Arabi 3rd vs Al Tadamon 9th) further support Over. |
|
| 14-05-2026 23:00 |
Broki |
- |
SV Flora |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.90 (Broki home 1.40, SV Flora away concede 3.30, away scored 1.30, home concede 1.80) exceeds 3.5 line. SV Flora conceded 2+ goals in all 4 away matches (structural fragility) and their GL_5 mispricing of 1.85 (accelerating) adds edge. 75% of Flora's away matches and 57% of Broki's home matches went Over 3.5. Match potential model (6.6) also supports Over. Confidence 82% reflects strong signals with standard ceiling. |
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