| 14-06-2026 07:30 |
EPS Reservi |
- |
MPS |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
65% |
Expected 1st half goals of 1.85 (EPS home avg 0.80 + MPS away conceded 1.30, MPS away avg 0.70 + EPS conceded 0.90) exceed the 1.5 line by 0.35 goals. MPS have seen Over 1.5 in 3 of 5 away 1st halves (60%), and both teams have severe bookmaker mispricing (EPS GL_5 2.40, MPS GL_5 2.10, both accelerating), suggesting the market underestimates goal potential. No H2H history to contradict. |
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| 14-06-2026 07:45 |
Subiaco AFC Women |
- |
Perth Redstar FC Women |
1st Half Over 4.0 Corners |
80% |
Expected 1st half corners (4.80) exceeds the line of 4.0, with home team Subiaco seeing Over 4.0 in 4/5 home 1st halves (80%) and away team Perth Redstar covering in all 4 away 1st halves (100%). The quality gap heavily favors the away side, generating sustained attacking pressure and corners. No market pricing error adjustment needed as corners variance data is not applicable to this line. |
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| 14-06-2026 08:30 |
Hellenic AC |
- |
University Azzurri FC |
Over 5.0 Goals |
70% |
Expected total 5.15 (home avg 1.70 conceded 3.40, away avg 4.10 conceded 1.10) exceeds 5.0 line. Quality gap (1st vs 8th) and home defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in last 4 home matches) strongly favour goals. Bookmaker mispricing: away GL_5=1.85 (accelerating) and home GL_5=1.65 add edge. Likelihood data supports Over 5.0 given high-scoring trends. |
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| 14-06-2026 09:30 |
FC Flora Tallinn II |
- |
JK Tallinna Kalev |
Over 1.75 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals total 2.15 (home avg 1.4 scored + 1.1 conceded, away avg 1.0 scored + 0.8 conceded) exceeds the 1.75 line. Home team has 85.7% (6/7) of home matches over 1.75 HT goals, away team 75% (3/4) away matches over. H2H supports (HT scores 2-3 and 1-1). Market pricing error mild (GL_5 1.15 home, 1.05 away) so no edge adjustment. |
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| 14-06-2026 09:30 |
Johvi FC Phoenix |
- |
JK Tammeka Tartu II |
Over 4.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected full-time total of 4.95 (home avg 2.6 at home + away defense 2.0, away avg 2.9 away + home defense 2.4) significantly exceeds the 4.5 line. Home has scored 2+ in each of last 3 home matches and away has conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away, reinforcing the Over. Bookmaker mispricing is severe (away GL_5 2.65, home GL_5 1.85), indicating the line undervalues goal potential. |
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| 14-06-2026 11:00 |
Norrby IF |
- |
IK Oddevold |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.50 goals (Norrby home avg 1.50 scored, 1.70 conceded; Oddevold away avg 2.00 scored, 1.80 conceded) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.75. Norrby has 60% of last 10 matches Over 2.75, Oddevold 100% of last 5 away matches Over. Structural signals include Oddevold conceding 2+ in 4 of 5 away (defensive fragility) and Norrby scoring 2+ in all 3 home matches. H2H is empty, no override. Confidence capped at standard 82% ceiling. |
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| 14-06-2026 11:00 |
Hässleholms IF |
- |
Trelleborgs FF |
Over 2.75 Goals |
73% |
Expected total goals 3.1 (home avg scored 1.7 + conceded 1.3 vs away avg scored 2.3 + conceded 0.9) exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.35. Away team Trelleborgs has strong attacking form (2.3 goals away) and 75% of their away matches went Over 2.75, while home team Hässleholms has 60% Over at home. Away team's GL_5 market pricing error of 1.50 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing in favor of goals. Structural quality gap (1st vs 8th) supports sustained pressure. Confidence: 50% base +5% gap +5% home history +8% away history +3% likelihood +2.5% mispricing = 73.5% capped at standard 82%. |
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| 14-06-2026 11:00 |
Västra Frölunda IF |
- |
IF Boljan |
Over 1.5 First Half Goals |
71% |
Expected 1st half total = (home avg HT scored 1.00 + away avg HT conceded away 0.90)/2 + (away avg HT scored away 0.90 + home avg HT conceded home 0.80)/2 = 1.80, above the 1.5 line. Home has 70% of last 10 matches Over 1.5 HT (7/10), away has 60% (6/10). H2H (1-3 FT) supports Over. Likelihood for Over 1.5 HT is 70%. Mild bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.05, away GL_5 1.15) does not significantly adjust confidence. Structural signals: away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) and home form (scored 2+ in each of last 3 home) support goals. |
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| 14-06-2026 11:00 |
Onsala BK |
- |
Torslanda IK |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
66% |
Expected total 3.40 (home avg 1.60 + away conceded 1.70 avg = 1.65; away avg 1.50 + home conceded 2.00 avg = 1.75) exceeds the 3.25 line. Home team's severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.35) and Torslanda's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 4 away) support an Over outcome. Match potential from shots (3.63) also aligns with this direction. |
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| 14-06-2026 11:00 |
Wuxi Wugo |
- |
Meizhou Hakka |
|
67% |
Wuxi Wugo (8th, 15pts) hosts Meizhou Hakka (14th, 7pts) with an 8-point standings gap. Wuxi's Asian Handicap record shows 4 wins in last 5 (80%), while Meizhou has just 1 win in last 5 away AH. Combined with Wuxi's solid home form (2W,2D,1L in last 5 home) and Meizhou's defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away), the -0.75 line offers value at odds 1.825. |
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| 14-06-2026 11:00 |
Shenzhen Juniors |
- |
Guangxi Hengchen |
Over 2.25 Goals |
68% |
Expected total (2.55) exceeds the goal line (2.25), calculated from home scoring (1.80), away conceding (0.80), away scoring (1.60), home conceding (0.90). Both teams show moderate to high market mispricing (home GL5=1.50, away GL5=1.75, both accelerating) which adds edge to the Over. Despite mixed recent form (home 5/9 Over, away 5/10 Over), the shot-based match potential (5.49) strongly supports goals, and the Over-first philosophy defaults to this signal. |
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| 14-06-2026 11:15 |
Hegelmann Litauen |
- |
FK Kauno Zalgiris |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
73% |
Expected total of 3.05 goals exceeds the split line of 2.5/3.0, built on Kauno Zalgiris averaging 2.0 goals away and Hegelmann conceding 1.6 at home. Kauno went Over 2.5 in 4 of 5 away matches (80%) and H2H has 2 of 3 Overs, while Hegelmann's 50% home Over rate minimally qualifies. Shot-based match potential (3.28) aligns. Away GL_5 of 1.40 (accelerating) indicates marginal mispricing, adding minor edge. |
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| 14-06-2026 12:30 |
Træff |
- |
Bjarg |
Over 3.0,3.5 Goals |
77% |
Expected total 3.50 (Træff home avg 1.90 + Bjarg away conceded 1.90 averaged with Bjarg away scored 1.70 + Træff home conceded 1.50) exceeds the line of 3.0,3.5. Træff's last 4 home matches produced 4+ goals in 3 (75%), and both teams' GL_5 variance is high (1.95 home, 1.70 away) with accelerating trend, indicating bookmaker mispricing. Bjarg's away history shows only 40% Over FT, but shot-based match potential (8.19) strongly supports goals. With no H2H to contradict, the Over is the preferred direction. |
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| 14-06-2026 12:30 |
Silver Strikers |
- |
Karonga United |
Over 0.75 Goals (1st Half) |
73% |
Expected 1st half goals total 1.20 (Silver home HT avg 0.90 + Karonga away HT conceded avg 0.60 divided by 2, plus Karonga away HT avg 0.60 + Silver home HT conceded avg 0.30 divided by 2) exceeds the bookmaker line of 0.75 by 0.45 goals. Karonga United's last 4 away matches had 3 (75%) with over 0.75 first-half goals, while Silver Strikers' dominant home form (3rd in league, 8-1 goal difference at home) and 60% first-half scoring rate at home support early attacking pressure. Market pricing error is minimal (GL_5 under 1.0 for both), but the structural and historical signals strongly favor the Over. |
|
| 14-06-2026 13:00 |
Falkenbergs FF |
- |
Orebro SK |
Over 2.5, 3.0 Goals |
80% |
Expected total 2.90 exceeds the line (2.75), driven by Falkenbergs averaging 1.90 home goals and Orebro conceding 1.50 away. Falkenbergs have gone Over in 8 of their last 10 matches (80%), while Orebro conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away games, confirming defensive fragility. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate and accelerating for both sides (home GL_5 1.50, away GL_5 1.75), adding edge to the Over. |
|
| 14-06-2026 13:00 |
Flekkerøy |
- |
Hinna |
Over 4.0 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 4.15 (home avg 1.80 at home + away conceded 2.90 away) exceeds line 4.0. Hinna's severe away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) and top-vs-bottom quality gap (Flekkerøy 1st, Hinna 14th) drive Over. Hinna's GL_5=3.05 indicates accelerating bookmaker mispricing, adding edge despite mixed match history (2/7 home over, 1/5 away over). |
|
| 14-06-2026 13:00 |
Eidsvold TF |
- |
Levanger |
Eidsvold TF -0.75 (Asian Handicap) |
71% |
Eidsvold TF have won 9 of their last 10 Asian Handicap bets and covered the -0.75 line in each of their last 5 matches, including 4-0, 4-1, and 5-2 wins. They sit 2nd with 23 points, 5 clear of 3rd-placed Levanger, and boast a dominant home record (3-1-0, scored 11, conceded 2). Levanger, while 4-0-1 away, lost their last away 1-0 and have conceded 6 in 5 away games; mild bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.55) adds modest edge. |
|
| 14-06-2026 13:00 |
FC Vaajakoski |
- |
TP-47 |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.85 goals (home avg 2.30 + away conceded avg 3.10 + away avg 1.60 + home conceded avg 2.70) exceeds the 4.0 line by 0.85. Home team has severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 2.60) and away team moderate mispricing (1.70), both supporting Over. Despite only 50% of home matches and 12.5% of away matches going Over 4 goals, away defensive fragility (3.10 conceded away) and high scoring potential make Over the value bet. |
|
| 14-06-2026 13:00 |
Farul Constanta Women |
- |
Olimpia Cluj Women |
Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 1.15, well below the 1.5 line. Olimpia Cluj have scored in just 2 of their last 10 1st halves (20%) and have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 away first halves. Farul Constanta's matches have gone under 1.5 in 9 of 10 1st halves (90%). The strong historical under pattern combined with Olimpia's offensive struggles in the first half gives high confidence in under 1.5 goals. |
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| 14-06-2026 14:00 |
Eb/Streymur |
- |
B68 Toftir |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total (3.30 goals) exceeds the 2.75 line, driven by away team conceding 2.70 per game on the road. B68 Toftir have seen 70% of recent matches go Over 2.5 and conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 4 away games. Bookmaker mispricing is high (home GL_5 1.75, away GL_5 2.05, both accelerating), adding significant edge to Over. |
|
| 14-06-2026 14:00 |
KFUM 2 |
- |
Baerum |
Over 4.0 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals of 4.45 (home avg 1.60, away avg 2.20) exceeds the 4.0 line, and shot-based match potential of 8.25 supports a high-scoring game. Baerum's away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5) and moderate bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.70) add confidence. Baerum's home record shows 75% of matches over 4.0, despite a single H2H loss. |
|
| 14-06-2026 15:00 |
Sandvikens IF |
- |
IK Brage |
Over 2.5,3.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.05 goals (home 1.40 at home, away concede 1.80 away; away score 1.60 away, home concede 1.30 home) exceeds line of 2.75. Home hit Over 2.5 in 6/10 (60%), away 7/10 (70%), both H2H matches ended Over. Away team shows strong market mispricing (GL_5=2.15, accelerating), adding edge to Over. Full-time signal much stronger than 1st half (expected HT 1.45 vs line 1.25, HT history only 40%). |
|
| 14-06-2026 16:00 |
Kormakur/Hvot |
- |
KFG Gardabaer |
Over 3.75 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 4.30 (home avg 2.10 scored + away avg 2.50 conceded away averaged) exceeds line 3.75 by 0.55 goals. Home team scored 7 and 4 in last 2 home matches; away team concedes 2.50 avg away and has no clean sheets in 10 away. Both teams show moderate market mispricing (home GL_5 1.75, away GL_5 1.55) aligning with Over. H2H one match under but structural signals (home form surge, away defensive fragility) support Over. |
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| 14-06-2026 16:00 |
Vikingur Olafsvik |
- |
Magni Grenivik |
Over 1.75 1st Half Goals |
81% |
Expected 1st half total 2.15 (home HT avg 0.80 + away concede HT avg 1.50) + (away HT avg 1.10 + home concede HT avg 0.90) exceeds line 1.75. Home has 4/5 (80%) and away 5/7 (71%) of recent 1st halves over this line. Away's defensive fragility (conceded 2+ goals in 4 of last 5 away matches) and early conceding pattern (71% of 1st halves) support Over. Away's GL_5 mispricing of 2.15 (accelerating) confirms bookmakers underestimate goals in this match. |
|
| 14-06-2026 16:15 |
AB Argir |
- |
HB Torshavn |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total of 3.15 (home avg 1.20 + away conceded 1.40)/2 + (away scored 1.40 + home conceded 2.30)/2 exceeds the 2.75 line by 0.40 goals, with AB Argir conceding 2.30 per home game. Both teams showed 60%+ Over in recent matches (3/5 home for Argir, 2/3 away for HB), and market mispricing is moderate and accelerating for the away side (GL_5 1.70) and stabilising for home (GL_5 1.50), adding edge. Structural weakness in Argir's defence supports an open game. |
|
| 14-06-2026 18:00 |
Al Ittihad Aleppo |
- |
Al Horiyah |
Over 2.75 Goals (Asian Goal Line 2.5/3) |
81% |
Expected total calculated as (home avg 3.40 + away conceded 1.20)/2 + (away scored 1.50 + home conceded 1.00)/2 = 3.55, well above the 2.75 line. Home team has 7/9 (78%) of last home matches over 2.75, while H2H produced 6 goals. Structural quality gap (1st vs 9th) and home attacking dominance (3.4 avg at home) strongly support Over. Market pricing error mild (GL_5 home 1.35, away 1.20) but direction aligns. |
|
| 14-06-2026 19:00 |
Club Atletico Temperley |
- |
CA Guemes |
Over 1.5,2.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 2.35 based on (1.00+1.50)/2 + (0.90+1.30)/2 exceeds the 1.75 line. Temperley's home matches are 3/3 over (2-1, 3-3, 5-0) and Guemes' away matches are 5/5 over (2-0, 5-1, 3-2, 2-1, 2-1). Shot-based match potential of 3.99 and away defensive fragility (Guemes conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) strengthen the Over case. |
|
| 14-06-2026 23:00 |
Westchester SC |
- |
Greenville Triumph SC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
70% |
Expected total 3.00 goals ((1.40+1.70)/2 + (1.20+1.70)/2) exceeds the 2.5 line. Westchester went Over in 6/10 (60%) of recent matches, Greenville in 5/10 (50%). Greenville conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away (defensive fragility). H2H both matches Over 2.5. Market mispricing moderate (home GL_5 1.10, away 0.90) but direction aligns. |
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