Morton vs Arbroath – Prediction, Odds & Live Stats

	Date	Home	Score	Away	1x2	Drop	Home Asian Handicap	Goal Line	Asian Corners	Dangerous Attacks	Total Shots	Shots on Target	Corners
	28-03-2026 13:00	2 ^[8] Morton	2 - 1 2 - 1	Arbroath ^[3] 1	S: - 3.00 ? K: ?3.00 -	13%	? 1.800 ? 1.800	- ?	? 1.875, 1.925	?-? 17-38	8-9 5-5	?-? 2-4	1-4 1-1
	23-01-2026 19:45	1 ^[3] Arbroath	1 - 1 0 - 0	Morton ^[7]	S: - 3.20 ? K: ?3.30 -	9%	? 1.775 ? 1.775	- ?	? 1.800, 2.000	?-? 18-35	12-4 0-3	?-? 0-0	9-6 1-6
	08-11-2025 15:00	4 ^[7] Morton	1 - 0 1 - 0	Arbroath ^[3] 2	S: - 3.25 ? K: ?3.20 -	10%	? 1.800 ? 1.950	- ?	? 1.975, 1.825	?-? 18-31	11-11 5-5	?-? 4-4	3-5 1-1
	20-09-2025 14:00	1 ^[4] Arbroath	1 - 1 0 - 0	Morton ^[6]	S: - 3.50 ? K: ?3.10 -	27%	? 1.850 ? 1.875	- ?	? 1.875, 1.925	?-? 31-28	9-7 0-3	?-? 0-1	6-7 1-1
	20-04-2024 14:00	1 ^[10] Arbroath	1 - 2 0 - 0	Morton ^[7] 2	S: - 4.20 ? K: ?4.33 -	9%	? 1.800 ? 1.800	- ?	? 1.975, 1.825	?-? 19-31	8-12 6-5	?-? 3-3	8-7 6-5
No games found

- Minutes
{{home}}	{{h_corners}}	{{h_ycards}}	{{h_rcards}}	{{h_pen}}	{{h_sub}}	{{h_goals}}
{{away}}	{{a_corners}}	{{a_ycards}}	{{a_rcards}}	{{a_pen}}	{{a_sub}}	{{a_goals}}

Full-Time							Saves	Shots Blocked	Fouls	Ball Safe
Morton	1	3	0	0	3	2	4	1	15	87	0	1
Arbroath	6	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	14	80	1	2

Last 15 minutes
Morton	0	1	0	0	2	0
Arbroath	1	0	0	0	1	1

1st Half
Morton	1	0	0	0	0	0
Arbroath	3	0	0	0	0	1

2nd half
Morton	0	3	0	0	3	1
Arbroath	3	0	0	0	1	1

Last 5 minutes
Morton	0	1	0	0	0	0
Arbroath	1	0	0	0	0	1

Last 10 minutes
Morton	0	1	0	0	1	0
Arbroath	1	0	0	0	1	1

Last 15 minutes
Morton	0	1	0	0	0	0
Arbroath	1	0	0	0	1	1

Last 20 minutes
Morton	0	1	0	0	2	0
Arbroath	2	0	0	0	1	1

Last 25 minutes
Morton	0	1	0	0	2	0
Arbroath	2	0	0	0	1	1

Since Last Goal
Morton	0	1	0	0	0	0
Arbroath	1	0	0	0	0	1

P	Team	W	D	L	Goals	PO
1	Stenhousemuir	4	1	0	9:2	13
2	Partick	2	2	0	4:1	8
3	Raith	2	1	1	5:3	7
4	Arbroath	2	1	1	3:3	7
5	Livingston	2	0	3	4:4	6
6	Ayr	1	2	1	4:4	5
7	Dunfermline	1	2	1	2:3	5
8	Inverness CT	0	3	1	2:4	3
9	Morton	0	1	3	2:6	1
10	Queen's Park	0	1	3	1:6	1

P	Team	W	D	L	Goals	PO
1	Stenhousemuir	2	0	0	5:1	6
2	Livingston	2	0	1	4:1	6
3	Raith	1	1	0	3:1	4
4	Ayr	1	1	0	3:1	4
5	Partick	1	1	0	2:0	4
6	Dunfermline	1	1	0	2:1	4
7	Arbroath	1	1	0	1:0	4
8	Inverness CT	0	2	0	1:1	2
9	Morton	0	0	2	1:3	0
10	Queen's Park	0	0	2	1:4	0

P	Team	W	D	L	Goals	PO
1	Stenhousemuir	2	1	0	4:1	7
2	Partick	1	1	0	2:1	4
3	Raith	1	0	1	2:2	3
4	Arbroath	1	0	1	2:3	3
5	Morton	0	1	1	1:3	1
6	Ayr	0	1	1	1:3	1
6	Inverness CT	0	1	1	1:3	1
8	Dunfermline	0	1	1	0:2	1
8	Queen's Park	0	1	1	0:2	1
10	Livingston	0	0	2	0:3	0

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Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
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The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

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Comprehensive Market Coverage: Covers all possible markets from First Half Overs to Corners and everything in between
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Historical Validation: Shows how current match statistics compare to historical performance patterns
In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

Combine Likelihood Stats with live statistics to avoid situations where real-time stats aren't backed up by historical performance. This dual approach helps identify genuinely profitable betting opportunities rather than statistical anomalies.

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Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
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Asian Corners Variance: Reveals teams that generate more or fewer corners than bookmakers expect
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What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

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What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
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xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

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Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.

Lineup
47 - Harry Cochrane	Ryan Flynn - 8
6 - Kris Moore	Ryan Dow - 11
7 - Michael Garrity	Thomas O'Brien - 5
11 - Bobby McLuckie	Craig Watson - 16
20 - Callum Sandilands	Charlie Dewar - 22
1 - Elyh Harrison	Michael McKenna - 14
52 - Laiith Fairnie	Aidan McAdams - 1
28 - Louie Murphy	Scott Constable - 20
10 - Eamonn Brophy	Andrew Winter - 9
35 - Dean Black	Sean Mackie - 26
21 - Grant Gillespie	Jude Bonnar - 23
Substitutes
30 - Joey O'Toole	Gavin Reilly - 10
37 - Calan Burgess	Colin Hamilton - 3
36 - Haiden Lang	Tom Beadling - 6
39 - Olivet Okunzuwa	Cormac Daly - 19
25 - Mackenzie Carse	David Gold - 7
40 - Aaron Greenock	Calvin Beattie - 18
31 - Brian Kinnear	Jordan Pettigrew - 21
8 - Grant Savoury	-
29 - Michael O'Halloran	-

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[10] Morton 1 2 Arbroath [8]

Lineups

Lineup

Substitutes

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Morton vs Arbroath Statistics

Statistics based on last 5 10 15 games

Scotland Championship

Championship

Championship

Championship

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Arbroath Reply_copy_4_2_ Created with Sketch.

Match notes Reply_copy_4_2_ Created with Sketch.

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^[10] Morton 1

2 Arbroath ^[8]

Statistics based on last games

Morton

Arbroath

Match notes