Copa Sudamericana

Round: 4

Lineups

Lineup

3-4-3 4-1-4-1
1 - Juan Espinola Gaston Olveira - 1
2 - Nicolas Capraro Raul Caceres - 27
32 - Fernando Tobio Gustavo Vargas - 14
31 - Nicolas Demartini Bryan Bentaberry - 2
4 - Damian Martinez Alan Rodriguez - 30
28 - Rodrigo Bogarin Juan Fernando Alfaro - 5
10 - Ivan Tapia Eduardo Eduardo - 20
6 - Rodrigo Insua Adrian Alcaraz - 17
20 - Jhonatan Candia Richard Ortiz - 6
9 - Javier Morales Romeo Benitez - 37
8 - Tomas Porra Fernando Cardozo - 7

Substitutes

16 - Ivan Guaraz Luis Abreu - 39
7 - Facundo Bruera Sebastian Lentinelly - 25
24 - Enzo Taborda Rodrigo Perez - 23
14 - Kevin Jappert Lucas Ramirez - 33
18 - Manuel Duarte Tiago Caballero - 24
30 - Marcelo Mino Lucas Morales - 4
13 - Rafael Barrios Alejandro Silva - 3
11 - Norberto Briasco Anibal Chala - 16
5 - Dardo Miloc Ruben Lezcano - 19
15 - Yonatthan Rak Ivan Leguizamon - 29
37 - Gaston Campi Carlos Sebastian Ferreira Vidal - 11
33 - Gonzalo Maroni Alex Franco - 8
Show 1st half stats
Date Home Score Away 1x2 Drop Home Asian Handicap Goal Line Asian Corners Dangerous Attacks Total Shots Shots on Target Corners     
16-04-2026 0:00 5 [1] Olimpia Asuncion 0 - 0 Barracas Central [3] 4
S: - 3.40 ?
K: ?3.40 -
11%
?
1.850
-
?
?
1.825, 1.975
?-?
12-6
?-?
5-1
Open single page
Barracas Central Olimpia Asuncion
99 - 16th Shot On Target - Olimpia Asuncion
98 - 24th Shot Off Target - Olimpia Asuncion
96 - 1st Red Card - Barracas Central
94 - 10th Yellow Card - Barracas Central
90 - 3rd Assist - Olimpia Asuncion
90 - 15th Shot On Target - Olimpia Asuncion
Goal 90 - 3rd Goal - Olimpia Asuncion
89 - 23rd Shot Off Target - Barracas Central
86 - 14th Shot On Target - Olimpia Asuncion
84 - 22nd Shot Off Target - Barracas Central
Substitution 82 - Substitution - Olimpia Asuncion
Substitution 82 - Substitution - Olimpia Asuncion
83 - 21st Shot Off Target - Olimpia Asuncion
81 - 20th Shot Off Target - Barracas Central
Corner 81 - 8th Corner - Barracas Central
81 - 13th Shot On Target - Barracas Central
75 - 19th Shot Off Target - Olimpia Asuncion
73 - 18th Shot Off Target - Barracas Central
Substitution 72 - Substitution - Barracas Central
72 - 17th Shot Off Target - Barracas Central
Substitution 69 - Substitution - Olimpia Asuncion
Substitution 69 - Substitution - Olimpia Asuncion
Substitution 65 - Substitution - Barracas Central
Substitution 65 - Substitution - Barracas Central
Substitution 65 - Substitution - Barracas Central
62 - 16th Shot Off Target - Barracas Central
61 - 15th Shot Off Target - Barracas Central
61 - 9th Yellow Card - Olimpia Asuncion
59 - 12th Shot On Target - Olimpia Asuncion
59 - 3rd Offside - Olimpia Asuncion
Substitution 51 - Substitution - Olimpia Asuncion
50 - 14th Shot Off Target - Barracas Central
49 - 11th Shot On Target - Olimpia Asuncion
47 - 13th Shot Off Target - Olimpia Asuncion
Substitution 46 - Substitution - Barracas Central
40 - 12th Shot Off Target - Barracas Central
45+7 - 11th Shot Off Target - Olimpia Asuncion
45+7 - 2nd Offside - Olimpia Asuncion
Corner 45+7 - 7th Corner - Olimpia Asuncion
45+5 - 10th Shot Off Target - Barracas Central
45+4 - 10th Shot On Target - Barracas Central
45+3 - 8th Yellow Card - Olimpia Asuncion
45+3 - 7th Yellow Card - Barracas Central
45+2 - 9th Shot Off Target - Olimpia Asuncion
Corner 45+3 - 6th Corner - Olimpia Asuncion
Corner 45+1 - 5th Corner - Olimpia Asuncion
45 - 9th Shot On Target - Olimpia Asuncion
45 - 8th Shot On Target - Barracas Central
44 - 1st Offside - Olimpia Asuncion
40 - 8th Shot Off Target - Barracas Central
39 - 6th Yellow Card - Barracas Central
36 - 5th Yellow Card - Olimpia Asuncion
35 - 4th Yellow Card - Barracas Central
34 - 2nd Assist - Olimpia Asuncion
34 - 7th Shot On Target - Olimpia Asuncion
Goal 34 - 2nd Goal - Olimpia Asuncion
33 - 3rd Yellow Card - Olimpia Asuncion
32 - 7th Shot Off Target - Barracas Central
31 - 6th Shot Off Target - Barracas Central
Corner 31 - 4th Corner - Barracas Central
29 - 6th Shot On Target - Barracas Central
29 - 6th Shot On Target - Barracas Central
27 - 5th Shot Off Target - Olimpia Asuncion
28 - 2nd Yellow Card - Olimpia Asuncion
Corner 26 - 3rd Corner - Olimpia Asuncion
22 - 5th Shot On Target - Olimpia Asuncion
18 - 1st Yellow Card - Barracas Central
13 - 4th Shot Off Target - Olimpia Asuncion
Corner 13 - 2nd Corner - Olimpia Asuncion
11 - 4th Shot On Target - Olimpia Asuncion
9 - 1st Assist - Barracas Central
9 - 3rd Shot On Target - Barracas Central
Goal 9 - 1st Goal - Barracas Central
Corner 9 - 1st Corner - Barracas Central
9 - 2nd Shot On Target - Barracas Central
8 - 3rd Shot Off Target - Olimpia Asuncion
5 - 2nd Shot Off Target - Olimpia Asuncion
1 - 1st Shot Off Target - Olimpia Asuncion
1 - 1st Shot On Target - Olimpia Asuncion
Full-Time xG Corners Penalties Substitutions Offsides Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Injures Goals
Barracas Central 1.15 3 4 1 0 5 0 7 3 13 71 4 1
Olimpia Asuncion 2.83 5 5 0 0 5 2 2 1 10 80 3 2
33%
Possession
67%
6
Shots on Target
9
13
Shots off Target
11
78
Attacks
120
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
01:54 - 1x2: - - -
01:54 - Asian Handicap: (0) -, -
01:54 - Goal Line: (3.5) -, -
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Barracas Central 1 0 1 0 0 0
Olimpia Asuncion 0 0 0 0 2 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
2
15
Attacks
30
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
1st Half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Barracas Central 2 4 0 0 1 1
Olimpia Asuncion 5 4 0 0 0 1
-
Possession
-
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
7
28
Attacks
59
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
2nd half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Barracas Central 1 0 1 0 4 0
Olimpia Asuncion 0 1 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
4
50
Attacks
61
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 5 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Barracas Central 0 0 1 0 0 0
Olimpia Asuncion 0 0 0 0 0 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
2
1
Shots off Target
1
6
Attacks
16
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 10 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Barracas Central 1 0 1 0 0 0
Olimpia Asuncion 0 0 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
2
8
Attacks
22
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Barracas Central 1 0 1 0 0 0
Olimpia Asuncion 0 0 0 0 2 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
2
15
Attacks
30
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 20 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Barracas Central 1 0 1 0 1 0
Olimpia Asuncion 0 0 0 0 2 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
3
17
Attacks
41
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 25 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Barracas Central 1 0 1 0 1 0
Olimpia Asuncion 0 0 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
3
22
Attacks
45
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Last Goal Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Barracas Central 0 0 0 0 0 0
Olimpia Asuncion 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Shots off Target
0
0
Attacks
0
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Red Card Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Barracas Central 0 0 1 0 0 0
Olimpia Asuncion 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
0
Shots off Target
1
4
Attacks
6
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
01:54 - 1x2: - - -
01:54 - Asian Handicap: (0) -, -
01:54 - Goal Line: (3.5) -, -

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Statistics based on last games

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Paraguay Division Profesional

Division de Honor, Clausura 2026

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Deportivo Recoleta 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Cerro Porteno 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Guarani Asuncion 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Olimpia Asuncion 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 2 de Mayo 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Libertad Asuncion 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Nacional Asuncion 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Rubio Nu 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Sportivo San Lorenzo 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Sportivo Ameliano 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Sportivo Luqueno 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Sportivo Trinidense 0 0 0 0:0 0

Division de Honor, Clausura 2026

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Deportivo Recoleta 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Cerro Porteno 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Guarani Asuncion 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Olimpia Asuncion 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 2 de Mayo 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Libertad Asuncion 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Nacional Asuncion 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Rubio Nu 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Sportivo San Lorenzo 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Sportivo Ameliano 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Sportivo Luqueno 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Sportivo Trinidense 0 0 0 0:0 0

Division de Honor, Clausura 2026

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Deportivo Recoleta 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Cerro Porteno 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Guarani Asuncion 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Olimpia Asuncion 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 2 de Mayo 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Libertad Asuncion 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Nacional Asuncion 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Rubio Nu 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Sportivo San Lorenzo 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Sportivo Ameliano 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Sportivo Luqueno 0 0 0 0:0 0
1 Sportivo Trinidense 0 0 0 0:0 0

Argentina Liga Profesional

Apertura, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 10 4 2 29:15 34
2 River Plate 9 2 5 22:12 29
3 Argentinos Jrs 8 5 3 17:13 29
4 Rosario Central 8 4 4 20:16 28
5 Belgrano 7 5 4 17:13 26
6 Gimnasia LP 8 2 6 19:19 26
7 Huracan 5 7 4 17:13 22
8 Racing Club 5 6 5 17:15 21
9 Barracas Central 5 6 5 15:15 21
10 CA Tigre 4 8 4 18:15 20
11 Sarmiento 6 1 9 13:20 19
12 Banfield 5 3 8 17:19 18
13 Atlético Tucumán 3 5 8 15:20 14
14 CA Aldosivi 0 8 8 6:19 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1 2 13 5:24 5

Apertura, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Estudiantes LP 9 4 3 19:7 31
2 Boca Juniors 8 6 2 22:9 30
3 Velez Sarsfield 7 7 2 18:12 28
4 CA Talleres de Córdoba 7 5 4 17:13 26
5 CA Independiente 6 6 4 24:20 24
6 Lanus 6 6 4 18:15 24
7 San Lorenzo 5 7 4 14:14 22
8 Union Santa Fe 5 6 5 24:20 21
9 Instituto AC Cordoba 6 3 7 17:17 21
10 Defensa y Justicia 4 7 5 18:21 19
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 5 4 7 14:22 19
12 Platense 3 7 6 10:15 16
13 Central Cordoba 4 4 8 11:21 16
14 Newell's 3 6 7 15:27 15
15 Deportivo Riestra 1 8 7 5:12 11

Apertura, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Argentinos Jrs 6 3 0 10:4 21
2 Independiente Rivadavia 6 1 2 19:10 19
3 Sarmiento 5 1 2 9:6 16
4 River Plate 5 0 3 14:8 15
5 Belgrano 4 2 2 11:5 14
6 Banfield 4 2 2 10:6 14
7 Rosario Central 4 2 2 10:7 14
8 CA Tigre 3 4 1 11:8 13
9 Huracan 4 1 3 11:8 13
10 Gimnasia LP 4 1 3 11:10 13
11 Atlético Tucumán 2 5 1 8:6 11
12 Barracas Central 3 2 3 9:8 11
13 Racing Club 2 3 2 7:7 9
14 CA Aldosivi 0 7 1 3:5 7
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1 1 6 4:10 4

Apertura, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Estudiantes LP 5 1 2 11:4 16
2 CA Independiente 4 3 1 15:9 15
3 Velez Sarsfield 4 3 1 9:6 15
4 Boca Juniors 3 5 0 8:3 14
5 Union Santa Fe 3 4 1 11:5 13
6 Lanus 3 4 1 9:5 13
7 CA Talleres de Córdoba 4 1 2 9:5 13
8 Instituto AC Cordoba 4 1 3 11:8 13
9 Central Cordoba 4 1 3 10:9 13
10 Gimnasia Mendoza 4 1 3 9:8 13
11 San Lorenzo 3 2 3 10:11 11
12 Deportivo Riestra 1 5 2 4:4 8
13 Defensa y Justicia 1 5 2 7:10 8
14 Platense 2 2 4 4:8 8
15 Newell's 1 4 3 6:10 7

Apertura, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 4 3 0 10:5 15
2 River Plate 4 2 2 8:4 14
3 Rosario Central 4 2 2 10:9 14
4 Gimnasia LP 4 1 3 8:9 13
5 Racing Club 3 3 3 10:8 12
6 Belgrano 3 3 2 6:8 12
7 Barracas Central 2 4 2 6:7 10
8 Huracan 1 6 1 6:5 9
9 Argentinos Jrs 2 2 3 7:9 8
10 CA Tigre 1 4 3 7:7 7
11 Banfield 1 1 6 7:13 4
12 Atlético Tucumán 1 0 7 7:14 3
13 Sarmiento 1 0 7 4:14 3
14 CA Aldosivi 0 1 7 3:14 1
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0 1 7 1:14 1

Apertura, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Boca Juniors 5 1 2 14:6 16
2 Estudiantes LP 4 3 1 8:3 15
3 Velez Sarsfield 3 4 1 9:6 13
4 CA Talleres de Córdoba 3 4 2 8:8 13
5 San Lorenzo 2 5 1 4:3 11
6 Defensa y Justicia 3 2 3 11:11 11
7 Lanus 3 2 3 9:10 11
8 CA Independiente 2 3 3 9:11 9
9 Platense 1 5 2 6:7 8
10 Union Santa Fe 2 2 4 13:15 8
11 Instituto AC Cordoba 2 2 4 6:9 8
12 Newell's 2 2 4 9:17 8
13 Gimnasia Mendoza 1 3 4 5:14 6
14 Deportivo Riestra 0 3 5 1:8 3
15 Central Cordoba 0 3 5 1:12 3

Copa Sudamericana

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group H

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 River Plate 3 2 0 6:3 11
2 Carabobo 3 0 2 6:3 9
3 Bragantino 2 1 2 10:5 7
4 Blooming 0 1 4 3:14 1

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group G

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Olimpia Asuncion 3 1 1 7:5 10
2 Vasco da Gama 2 1 2 7:6 7
3 Audax Italiano 2 1 2 6:6 7
4 Barracas Central 0 3 2 2:5 3

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group F

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Torque 4 0 1 9:3 12
2 Gremio 3 1 1 6:1 10
3 Deportivo Riestra 1 1 3 3:9 4
4 Palestino 0 2 3 0:5 2

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group E

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Botafogo 4 1 0 12:4 13
2 Caracas 2 3 0 8:6 9
3 Racing Club 1 2 2 9:9 5
4 Independiente Petrolero 0 0 5 3:13 0

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group D

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 San Lorenzo 1 4 0 6:4 7
2 Deportivo Cuenca 1 3 1 3:4 6
3 Deportivo Recoleta 0 5 0 5:5 5
4 Santos 0 4 1 5:6 4

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group C

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Sao Paulo 2 3 0 4:1 9
2 Millonarios 2 2 1 6:5 8
3 O'Higgins 2 1 2 6:5 7
4 Boston River 1 0 4 5:10 3

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Academia Puerto Cabello 2 1 2 6:8 7
2 Cienciano 2 1 2 4:6 7
3 Atletico Mineiro 2 1 2 7:6 7
4 Juventud De Las Piedras 1 3 1 9:6 6

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Macara 2 3 0 6:3 9
2 America de Cali 2 2 1 6:5 8
3 CA Tigre 1 3 1 6:5 6
4 Alianza Atletico 0 2 3 2:7 2

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group H

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Carabobo 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 River Plate 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Bragantino 1 0 1 3:3 3
4 Blooming 0 1 2 1:9 1

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group G

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Olimpia Asuncion 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Vasco da Gama 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Audax Italiano 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Barracas Central 0 2 1 2:3 2

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group F

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Torque 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Gremio 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Deportivo Riestra 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Palestino 0 1 1 0:2 1

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group E

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Botafogo 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Caracas 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Racing Club 0 1 1 4:5 1
4 Independiente Petrolero 0 0 3 3:9 0

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group D

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Deportivo Cuenca 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 San Lorenzo 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Deportivo Recoleta 0 3 0 2:2 3
4 Santos 0 2 0 3:3 2

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group C

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 O'Higgins 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 Sao Paulo 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Millonarios 1 1 0 1:0 4
4 Boston River 1 0 2 5:7 3

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Academia Puerto Cabello 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Atletico Mineiro 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cienciano 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Juventud De Las Piedras 1 2 0 7:3 5

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 America de Cali 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Macara 0 3 0 3:3 3
3 CA Tigre 1 0 1 2:1 3
4 Alianza Atletico 0 1 2 1:5 1

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group H

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 River Plate 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Bragantino 1 1 1 7:2 4
3 Carabobo 1 0 1 2:1 3
4 Blooming 0 0 2 2:5 0

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group G

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Olimpia Asuncion 2 0 1 4:4 6
2 Audax Italiano 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Vasco da Gama 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Barracas Central 0 1 1 0:2 1

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group F

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Gremio 1 1 1 3:1 4
2 Torque 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Palestino 0 1 2 0:3 1
4 Deportivo Riestra 0 0 2 1:5 0

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group E

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Botafogo 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Caracas 1 2 0 6:5 5
3 Racing Club 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Independiente Petrolero 0 0 2 0:4 0

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group D

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 San Lorenzo 0 3 0 3:3 3
2 Deportivo Recoleta 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 Santos 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Deportivo Cuenca 0 1 1 0:2 1

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group C

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Sao Paulo 1 2 0 1:0 5
2 Millonarios 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 O'Higgins 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Boston River 0 0 2 0:3 0

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Atletico Mineiro 0 1 2 3:5 1
2 Cienciano 0 1 2 1:6 1
3 Juventud De Las Piedras 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 0 0 2 0:6 0

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Macara 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 America de Cali 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 CA Tigre 0 3 0 4:4 3
4 Alianza Atletico 0 1 1 1:2 1
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Datasets to include

Likelihood Statistics
Previous Matches
Mutual Games
Head to Head
Scoring and Conceding Statistics
Averages
Variance Statistics
Comeback and Winning factors
Odds
Live Match Statistics and Events
Pregame recommendation: **Bet:** Over 1.75 Goals **Winning Probability:** 70% **Odds:** 1.85 **Reasoning:** Expected goals 2.35 (home avg 1.00 at home + away avg conceded 1.00 away /2 = 1.00, plus away avg 1.80 away + home conceded 0.90 at home /2 = 1.35) well above 1.75 line. Home history 3/5 over, away history 5/5 over. Olimpia's away defensive fragility (3/5 conceded 2+ goals) supports Over. Market pricing error low (GL_5 <1.0 for both teams), but structural and historical alignment solidifies the pick.

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