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Saudi Arabia Pro League

[13] Al Shabab Riyadh 2
4 Al-Nassr Riyadh [1]

Round: 33
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Lineups

Lineup

4-4-2 4-4-2
43 - Marcelo Grohe Bento - 24
17 - Mohammed Al Thani Ayman Yahya - 23
4 - Wesley Hoedt Inigo Martinez - 26
3 - Ali Al-Bulaihi Abdulelah Al-Amri - 5
31 - Saad Yaslam Sultan Alganham - 2
8 - Josh Brownhill Sadio Mane - 10
14 - Vincent Sierro Marcelo Brozovic - 11
22 - Hammam Al-Hammami Abdullah Al Khaibari - 17
29 - Yacine Adli Abdulrahman Abdullah Ghareeb - 29
99 - Ali Ahmad Azaizeh Cristiano Ronaldo - 7
10 - Yannick Carrasco Joao Felix - 79

Substitutes

5 - Ali Abdulqader Makki Abdullah Al-Hamdan - 9
2 - Mohammed Al Shwirekh Ali Al-Hassan - 19
20 - Basil Yousef Al-Sayyali Nader Abdullah Al-Sharari - 4
37 - Abdullah Matuq Saeed Mohammed Khalil Marran - 16
91 - Abdulaziz Al-Othman Saad Al Nasser - 96
6 - Faisal Al-Sibyani Salem Alnajdi - 83
7 - Unai Hernandez Lorenzo Nawaf Al-Boushal - 12
16 - Hussain Al-Sibyani Abdulrahman Al-Otaibi - 53
23 - Abdulaziz Rahma -
  • Main (5)
Show 1st half stats
Date Home Score Away 1x2 Drop Home Asian Handicap Goal Line Asian Corners Dangerous Attacks Total Shots Shots on Target Corners     
17-01-2026 17:30 2 [2] Al-Nassr Riyadh 3 - 2 Al Shabab Riyadh [14] 1 2
S: - 5.25 ?
K: ?7.50 -
 8%
?
1.825
-
?
?
1.825, 1.975
?-?

15-10

?-?

7-5

Open single page
07-03-2025 19:00 2 1 [4] Al-Nassr Riyadh 2 - 2 Al Shabab Riyadh [6] 3
S: - 4.50 ?
K: ?4.50 -
 9%
?
1.975
-
?
?
1.950, 1.850
?-?

17-19

?-?

2-4

Open single page
18-10-2024 18:00 3 [4] Al Shabab Riyadh 1 - 2 Al-Nassr Riyadh [3] 1 3
S: - 4.00 ?
K: ?4.00 -
 3%
?
1.775
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?

13-19

?-?

9-7

Open single page
25-02-2024 17:00 5 [11] Al Shabab Riyadh 2 - 3 Al-Nassr Riyadh [2] 2
S: - 4.20 ?
K: ?4.33 -
 5%
?
1.800
-
?
?
1.825, 1.975
?-?

15-12

?-?

11-3

Open single page
11-12-2023 18:00 3 Al Shabab Riyadh 2 - 5 Al-Nassr Riyadh
S: - 3.60 ?
K: ?3.75 -
 15%
?
1.950
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?

10-14

?-?

8-3

Open single page
Al Shabab Riyadh Al-Nassr Riyadh
99 - 3rd Yellow Card - Al-Nassr Riyadh
98 - 8th Shot On Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Goal 98 - 6th Goal - Al-Nassr Riyadh
97 - 2nd Yellow Card - Al Shabab Riyadh
Substitution 92 - Substitution - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Substitution 91 - Substitution - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Corner 92 - 10th Corner - Al-Nassr Riyadh
90 - 17th Shot Off Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Substitution 87 - Substitution - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Corner 88 - 9th Corner - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Substitution 86 - Substitution - Al-Nassr Riyadh
85 - 1st Yellow Card - Al Shabab Riyadh
83 - 16th Shot Off Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
80 - 3rd Assist - Al Shabab Riyadh
80 - 7th Shot On Target - Al Shabab Riyadh
Goal 80 - 5th Goal - Al Shabab Riyadh
Substitution 78 - Substitution - Al Shabab Riyadh
Substitution 78 - Substitution - Al Shabab Riyadh
75 - 2nd Assist - Al-Nassr Riyadh
75 - 6th Shot On Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Goal 75 - 4th Goal - Al-Nassr Riyadh
72 - 15th Shot Off Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Substitution 71 - Substitution - Al-Nassr Riyadh
68 - 7th Offside - Al Shabab Riyadh
64 - 14th Shot Off Target - Al Shabab Riyadh
62 - 13th Shot Off Target - Al Shabab Riyadh
62 - 13th Shot Off Target - Al Shabab Riyadh
Corner 62 - 8th Corner - Al Shabab Riyadh
53 - 12th Shot Off Target - Al Shabab Riyadh
53 - 11th Shot Off Target - Al Shabab Riyadh
50 - 5th Shot On Target - Al Shabab Riyadh
48 - 10th Shot Off Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Corner 48 - 7th Corner - Al-Nassr Riyadh
45+2 - 6th Offside - Al-Nassr Riyadh
45+1 - 5th Offside - Al Shabab Riyadh
43 - 9th Shot Off Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
43 - 8th Shot Off Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Corner 42 - 6th Corner - Al Shabab Riyadh
40 - 7th Shot Off Target - Al Shabab Riyadh
Corner 38 - 5th Corner - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Corner 37 - 4th Corner - Al-Nassr Riyadh
33 - 4th Offside - Al Shabab Riyadh
30 - 4th Shot On Target - Al Shabab Riyadh
Goal 30 - 3rd Goal - Al Shabab Riyadh
22 - 6th Shot Off Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
29 - 5th Shot Off Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
26 - 4th Shot Off Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Corner 27 - 3rd Corner - Al-Nassr Riyadh
26 - 3rd Shot Off Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
24 - 2nd Shot Off Target - Al Shabab Riyadh
Corner 23 - 2nd Corner - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Corner 22 - 1st Corner - Al-Nassr Riyadh
17 - 3rd Offside - Al Shabab Riyadh
17 - 3rd Shot On Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
13 - 2nd Offside - Al-Nassr Riyadh
12 - 1st Offside - Al Shabab Riyadh
10 - 1st Assist - Al-Nassr Riyadh
10 - 2nd Shot On Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Goal 10 - 2nd Goal - Al-Nassr Riyadh
7 - 1st Shot Off Target - Al Shabab Riyadh
3 - 1st Shot On Target - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Goal 3 - 1st Goal - Al-Nassr Riyadh
  • Current
  • 1st Half
  • 2nd Half
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
  • Last 15
  • Last 20
  • Last 25
  • Since Last Goal
Full-Time xG Corners Penalties Substitutions Offsides Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Injures Goals
Al Shabab Riyadh 1.28 2 2 0 0 2 5 0 1 14 63 0 2
Al-Nassr Riyadh 3.20 8 1 0 1 5 2 0 1 13 61 0 4
43%
Possession
57%
6
Shots on Target
7
5
Shots off Target
6
75
Attacks
72
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
19:53 - 1x2: - - -
19:51 - Asian Handicap: (0) 2.500, 1.500
19:52 - Goal Line: (5.5) 7.000, 1.100
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Al Shabab Riyadh 0 2 0 0 2 1
Al-Nassr Riyadh 2 1 0 1 4 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
2
0
Shots off Target
1
12
Attacks
10
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
1st Half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Al Shabab Riyadh 1 0 0 0 0 1
Al-Nassr Riyadh 5 0 0 0 0 2
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
3
36
Attacks
38
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
2nd half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Al Shabab Riyadh 1 2 0 0 2 1
Al-Nassr Riyadh 3 1 0 1 2 2
-
Possession
-
4
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
3
39
Attacks
34
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 5 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Al Shabab Riyadh 0 1 0 0 0 0
Al-Nassr Riyadh 2 1 0 1 3 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
0
Shots off Target
1
4
Attacks
6
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 10 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Al Shabab Riyadh 0 2 0 0 0 0
Al-Nassr Riyadh 2 1 0 1 1 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
2
0
Shots off Target
1
8
Attacks
9
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Al Shabab Riyadh 0 2 0 0 1 1
Al-Nassr Riyadh 2 1 0 1 4 1
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
2
0
Shots off Target
1
12
Attacks
10
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 20 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Al Shabab Riyadh 0 2 0 0 2 1
Al-Nassr Riyadh 2 1 0 1 5 2
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
3
0
Shots off Target
2
13
Attacks
16
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 25 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Al Shabab Riyadh 0 2 0 0 2 1
Al-Nassr Riyadh 2 1 0 1 2 2
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
3
0
Shots off Target
2
19
Attacks
22
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Last Goal Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Al Shabab Riyadh 0 0 0 0 0 0
Al-Nassr Riyadh 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Shots off Target
0
0
Attacks
0
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
19:53 - 1x2: - - -
19:51 - Asian Handicap: (0) 2.500, 1.500
19:52 - Goal Line: (5.5) 7.000, 1.100

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Statistics based on last games

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Saudi Arabia Pro League

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

Saudi League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al-Nassr Riyadh 27 2 4 87:27 83
2 Al Hilal Riyadh 24 9 0 84:27 81
3 Al Ahli Jeddah 23 6 3 64:24 75
4 Al Qadisiya Al Khubar 22 8 3 78:33 74
5 Al Ittihad Jeddah 16 7 9 52:40 55
6 Al Taawon Buraidah 15 8 10 59:44 53
7 Al Ittifaq Dammam 14 7 12 50:54 49
8 Neom SC 12 8 13 42:47 44
9 Al Hazm 10 9 14 36:57 39
10 Al Fayha 10 8 15 41:53 38
11 Al Khaleej Saihat 10 7 15 52:55 37
12 Al Fateh SC 9 9 15 41:55 36
13 Al Kholood 9 5 18 39:58 32
14 Al Shabab Riyadh 7 11 14 41:54 32
15 Damac FC 6 11 16 31:51 29
16 Al Riyadh 6 9 18 34:63 27
17 Al Okhdood 4 5 23 24:68 17
18 Al Najma 2 7 24 31:76 13

Saudi League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al Hilal Riyadh 13 4 0 41:11 43
2 Al-Nassr Riyadh 14 1 1 42:11 43
3 Al Ahli Jeddah 13 3 0 42:13 42
4 Al Qadisiya Al Khubar 11 6 0 40:13 39
5 Al Ittihad Jeddah 10 1 5 21:16 31
6 Al Ittifaq Dammam 7 6 4 26:26 27
7 Al Taawon Buraidah 7 5 5 29:24 26
8 Al Fateh SC 7 4 6 25:26 25
9 Al Fayha 6 6 4 22:19 24
10 Al Hazm 7 2 7 20:30 23
11 Neom SC 6 3 7 19:23 21
12 Al Khaleej Saihat 6 2 8 27:27 20
13 Al Shabab Riyadh 5 4 7 25:34 19
14 Damac FC 4 6 7 18:20 18
15 Al Riyadh 4 5 7 16:23 17
16 Al Okhdood 3 3 10 16:37 12
17 Al Kholood 3 3 10 17:31 12
18 Al Najma 2 4 10 20:36 10

Saudi League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al-Nassr Riyadh 13 1 3 45:16 40
2 Al Hilal Riyadh 11 5 0 43:16 38
3 Al Qadisiya Al Khubar 11 2 3 38:20 35
4 Al Ahli Jeddah 10 3 3 22:11 33
5 Al Taawon Buraidah 8 3 5 30:20 27
6 Al Ittihad Jeddah 6 6 4 31:24 24
7 Neom SC 6 5 6 23:24 23
8 Al Ittifaq Dammam 7 1 8 24:28 22
9 Al Kholood 6 2 8 22:27 20
10 Al Khaleej Saihat 4 5 7 25:28 17
11 Al Hazm 3 7 7 16:27 16
12 Al Fayha 4 2 11 19:34 14
13 Al Shabab Riyadh 2 7 7 16:20 13
14 Al Fateh SC 2 5 9 16:29 11
15 Damac FC 2 5 9 13:31 11
16 Al Riyadh 2 4 11 18:40 10
17 Al Okhdood 1 2 13 8:31 5
18 Al Najma 0 3 14 11:40 3

AFC Champions League Two

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group H

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Tampines Rovers FC 5 1 0 14:5 16
2 Pohang Steelers 4 1 1 7:2 13
3 BG Pathum United 2 0 4 5:8 6
4 Kaya FC 0 0 6 4:15 0

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group G

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Persib Bandung 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Bangkok United 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Lion City Sailors FC 3 1 2 10:8 10
4 Selangor 0 1 5 7:15 1

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group F

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Gamba Osaka 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Ratchaburi FC 3 0 3 15:8 9
3 Nam Dinh 3 0 3 14:7 9
4 Eastern SC 0 0 6 2:30 0

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group E

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Macarthur FC 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Cong An Ha Noi 2 2 2 9:7 8
3 Tai Po 2 1 3 7:12 7
4 Beijing Guoan 1 2 3 10:12 5

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group D

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al-Nassr Riyadh 6 0 0 22:2 18
2 Al Zawra'a 3 0 3 8:11 9
3 FK Istiqlol Dushanbe 3 0 3 7:13 9
4 FC Goa 0 0 6 3:14 0

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group C

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al Hussein SC 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Sepahan 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Ahal FK 0 1 3 4:10 1

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al-Ahli Doha 2 4 0 7:4 10
2 FC Arkadag 1 4 1 5:6 7
3 Al Khalidiyah 1 3 2 3:3 6
4 FK Andijan 0 5 1 1:3 5

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al Wasl SC 4 2 0 15:6 14
2 Esteghlal 2 2 2 8:10 8
3 Al-Muharraq 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Al-Wehdat 1 1 4 5:12 4

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group H

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Tampines Rovers FC 3 0 0 8:4 9
2 Pohang Steelers 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 BG Pathum United 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Kaya FC 0 0 3 0:6 0

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group G

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Persib Bandung 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Lion City Sailors FC 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Bangkok United 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 Selangor 0 0 3 4:8 0

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group F

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Gamba Osaka 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Nam Dinh 2 0 1 12:2 6
3 Ratchaburi FC 2 0 1 7:3 6
4 Eastern SC 0 0 3 0:13 0

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group E

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Macarthur FC 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Cong An Ha Noi 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Tai Po 2 1 0 6:4 7
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 1 6:4 4

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group D

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al-Nassr Riyadh 3 0 0 14:1 9
2 Al Zawra'a 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 FK Istiqlol Dushanbe 2 0 1 4:5 6
4 FC Goa 0 0 3 2:6 0

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group C

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al Hussein SC 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Sepahan 1 1 0 4:2 4
3 Ahal FK 0 0 2 1:5 0

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al-Ahli Doha 1 2 0 4:2 5
2 FC Arkadag 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Al Khalidiyah 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 FK Andijan 0 3 0 1:1 3

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al Wasl SC 2 1 0 11:4 7
2 Esteghlal 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Al-Wehdat 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Al-Muharraq 1 0 2 4:4 3

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group H

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Tampines Rovers FC 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Pohang Steelers 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 BG Pathum United 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Kaya FC 0 0 3 4:9 0

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group G

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Persib Bandung 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Bangkok United 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Lion City Sailors FC 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Selangor 0 1 2 3:7 1

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group F

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Gamba Osaka 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Ratchaburi FC 1 0 2 8:5 3
3 Nam Dinh 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Eastern SC 0 0 3 2:17 0

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group E

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Macarthur FC 1 1 1 4:4 4
2 Cong An Ha Noi 0 1 2 3:5 1
3 Beijing Guoan 0 1 2 4:8 1
4 Tai Po 0 0 3 1:8 0

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group D

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al-Nassr Riyadh 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Al Zawra'a 1 0 2 4:7 3
3 FK Istiqlol Dushanbe 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 FC Goa 0 0 3 1:8 0

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group C

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Sepahan 1 0 1 1:1 3
2 Al Hussein SC 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Ahal FK 0 1 1 3:5 1

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al-Ahli Doha 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 FK Andijan 0 2 1 0:2 2
3 Al Khalidiyah 0 2 1 0:1 2
4 FC Arkadag 0 2 1 3:5 2

AFC Champions League Two 25/26, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Al Wasl SC 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Esteghlal 1 1 1 5:8 4
3 Al-Muharraq 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Al-Wehdat 0 0 3 1:8 0
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Likelihood Statistics
Previous Matches
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Scoring and Conceding Statistics
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Comeback and Winning factors
Odds
Live Match Statistics and Events
Pregame recommendation: **Bet:** Over 3.5 Goals **Winning Probability:** 76% **Odds:** 1.95 **Reasoning:** Al-Nassr average 2.90 goals away while Al Shabab concede 2.00 at home, giving an expected total of 3.50. Al-Nassr's last 6 away matches saw Over 3.5 in 83% and H2H (3/4) supports Over. Structural factors (quality gap, title race motivation) reinforce the Over. Bookmaker mispricing is moderate (GL_5=1.50 for Al-Nassr). Confidence 76%.

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  • Retrospective Likelihood Stats: Each game's likelihood stats are calculated retrospectively from that particular match for accurate testing
  • Results in Minutes: Get comprehensive backtest results in minutes or even seconds, depending on your rule complexity
  • Advanced Filtering: Filter results by Asian Handicap, Goal Line, Asian Corners, specific days, goals scored within 2 minutes, or missing dangerous attacks

The backtesting system excludes E-Soccer, Beach Soccer, and other shortened matches to ensure data quality. This feature is available to all Gold-Ballers subscription users (1, 3, or 6-month plans).

How does the AI Assistant enhance betting decisions?

BetBallers' AI Assistant helps identify the best value bets and provides quick match insights to enhance your betting strategy:

  • Schedule Page Analysis: AI scans upcoming matches and highlights value betting opportunities with higher probability of success
  • Specific Betting Tips: Get concrete betting recommendations with explanations instead of sorting through raw data yourself
  • Live Match Intelligence: Each live game includes an AI assistant tab providing real-time analysis based on your customized dataset preferences
  • Quick Match Overviews: Get instant summaries of match situations without manually reviewing all statistics

The AI Assistant helps you make faster, more informed betting decisions by processing complex statistical relationships that would be time-consuming to analyze manually.

What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

  • What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
  • How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
  • Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
  • Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

How do Likelihood Stats help identify value bets?

Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

  • Comprehensive Market Coverage: Covers all possible markets from First Half Overs to Corners and everything in between
  • Color-Coded Indicators: Visual system makes it easy to spot at a glance whether odds represent good value or not
  • Historical Validation: Shows how current match statistics compare to historical performance patterns
  • In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

Combine Likelihood Stats with live statistics to avoid situations where real-time stats aren't backed up by historical performance. This dual approach helps identify genuinely profitable betting opportunities rather than statistical anomalies.

What are Variance Stats and how do they identify mispriced teams?

Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

  • Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
  • Goal Line Variance: Identifies teams whose matches regularly go over or under expected totals
  • Asian Corners Variance: Reveals teams that generate more or fewer corners than bookmakers expect
  • Quick Identification: Find the most mispriced teams in your league or competition instantly

Variance Stats help you exploit consistent market inefficiencies by showing which teams the bookmakers systematically misprice across the most popular betting markets.

What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
  • Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

What subscription plans does BetBallers offer and what features are included?

BetBallers offers a free trial and multiple subscription tiers to suit different betting needs:

  • Free 2-Day Trial: €4.90 - Test all features with full access for 2 days
  • 1-Month Gold-Baller: €29.99 - Full access to all features including AI Assistant and backtesting system
  • 6-Month Gold-Baller: €149.90 - Extended subscription with significant savings per month

All Gold-Baller subscriptions include:

  • Live scores and in-play statistics for all major leagues
  • Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
  • Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
  • AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
  • Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.