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Greece Super League 1

[3] AEK Athens 1
0 Larissa [12]

Round: 24
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Lineups

Lineup

4-4-2 3-4-3
1 - Thomas Strakosha Alexandros Anagnostopoulos - 94
12 - Lazaros Rota Lazar Rosic - 33
2 - Harold Moukoudi Dylan Batubinsika - 28
44 - Filipe Relvas Theocharis Iliadis - 4
29 - James Penrice Yvann Macon - 27
19 - Niclas Eliasson Goni Naor - 15
18 - Razvan Marin Jani Atanasov - 31
13 - Orbelin Pineda David Kristjan Olafsson - 20
11 - Aboubakary Koita Lubomir Tupta - 29
25 - Barnabas Varga Gael Kakuta - 5
9 - Luka Jovic Facundo Perez - 8

Substitutes

3 - Stavros Pilios Ahmed Ouattara Kossonou - 12
23 - Robert Ljubicic Epameinondas Pantelakis - 6
37 - Roberto Pereyra Leandro Garate - 23
90 - Zini Erick Ferigra - 14
15 - Martin Georgiev Vasileios Sourlis - 90
7 - Dereck Kutesa Giannis Pasas - 19
21 - Domagoj Vida Angelo Sagal - 25
20 - Petros Mantalos Theodoros Venetikidis - 21
10 - Joao Mario Savvas Mourgos - 11
91 - Alberto Brignoli Zisis Chatzistravos - 18
8 - Mijat Gacinovic Nikolaos Melissas - 1
4 - Marko Grujic Dimitrios Diminikos - 17
  • Main (2)
Show 1st half stats
Date Home Score Away 1x2 Drop Home Asian Handicap Goal Line Asian Corners Dangerous Attacks Total Shots Shots on Target Corners     
21-09-2025 14:30 2 [11] Larissa 1 - 1 AEK Athens [3]
S: - 4.75 ?
K: ?4.33 -
 23%
?
1.975
-
?
?
1.800, 2.000
?-?

9-13

?-?

2-3

Open single page
15-02-2021 15:15 1 [14] Larissa 2 - 4 AEK Athens [5] 2
S: - 3.60 ?
K: ?3.60 -
 0%
?
1.825
-
?
?
1.975, 1.825
?-?
6-12
?-?
2-3
Open single page
AEK Athens Larissa
Corner 96 - 10th Corner - AEK Athens
95 - 19th Shot Off Target - AEK Athens
95 - 18th Shot Off Target - Larissa
Corner 95 - 9th Corner - Larissa
91 - 17th Shot Off Target - Larissa
90 - 5th Yellow Card - AEK Athens
85 - 16th Shot Off Target - Larissa
Substitution 84 - Substitution - AEK Athens
84 - 4th Yellow Card - Larissa
Substitution 80 - Substitution - Larissa
Substitution 79 - Substitution - AEK Athens
78 - 3rd Yellow Card - Larissa
Corner 78 - 8th Corner - AEK Athens
Corner 77 - 7th Corner - AEK Athens
76 - 2nd Yellow Card - Larissa
Substitution 70 - Substitution - Larissa
73 - 15th Shot Off Target - AEK Athens
72 - 14th Shot Off Target - Larissa
Substitution 67 - Substitution - AEK Athens
Substitution 67 - Substitution - AEK Athens
65 - 13th Shot Off Target - AEK Athens
65 - 13th Shot Off Target - AEK Athens
Substitution 57 - Substitution - Larissa
61 - 10th Shot On Target - AEK Athens
Corner 61 - 6th Corner - AEK Athens
Substitution 57 - Substitution - Larissa
Substitution 57 - Substitution - Larissa
50 - 12th Shot Off Target - AEK Athens
56 - 9th Shot On Target - AEK Athens
56 - Missed Penalty - AEK Athens
53 - 8th Shot On Target - AEK Athens
52 - 11th Shot Off Target - AEK Athens
50 - 10th Shot Off Target - AEK Athens
Corner 50 - 5th Corner - AEK Athens
46 - 9th Shot Off Target - Larissa
45+6 - 1st Yellow Card - AEK Athens
45+2 - 7th Shot On Target - AEK Athens
45 - 8th Shot Off Target - AEK Athens
40 - 6th Shot On Target - AEK Athens
36 - 7th Shot Off Target - AEK Athens
26 - 6th Shot Off Target - Larissa
Corner 24 - 4th Corner - Larissa
20 - 5th Shot Off Target - Larissa
Corner 19 - 3rd Corner - Larissa
19 - 5th Shot On Target - Larissa
14 - 4th Shot Off Target - AEK Athens
12 - 3rd Shot Off Target - AEK Athens
5 - 3rd Shot On Target - AEK Athens
5 - 4th Shot On Target - AEK Athens
5 - 3rd Shot On Target - AEK Athens
Goal 5 - 1st Goal - AEK Athens
5 - 2nd Shot Off Target - AEK Athens
4 - 1st Shot Off Target - AEK Athens
Corner 5 - 2nd Corner - AEK Athens
Corner 4 - 1st Corner - AEK Athens
2 - 2nd Shot On Target - AEK Athens
2 - 1st Shot On Target - Larissa
  • Current
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  • Last 25
  • Since Last Goal
Full-Time xG Corners Penalties Substitutions Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Injures Goals
AEK Athens 2.97 6 2 0 1 4 3 5 13 70 1 1
Larissa 0.51 3 3 0 0 5 5 0 13 83 4 0
61%
Possession
39%
7
Shots on Target
2
11
Shots off Target
7
107
Attacks
71
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
18:00 - 1x2: 1.015 21.000 501.000
17:58 - Asian Handicap: (0) 1.130, 5.900
17:58 - Goal Line: (1.5) 10.000, 1.060
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
AEK Athens 2 1 0 0 2 0
Larissa 1 2 0 0 1 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
3
17
Attacks
19
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
1st Half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
AEK Athens 2 1 0 0 0 1
Larissa 2 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
4
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
2
49
Attacks
35
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
2nd half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
AEK Athens 4 1 0 1 4 0
Larissa 1 3 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
3
Shots on Target
0
5
Shots off Target
5
58
Attacks
36
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 5 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
AEK Athens 0 1 0 0 0 0
Larissa 1 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
2
4
Attacks
13
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 10 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
AEK Athens 0 1 0 0 1 0
Larissa 1 1 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
3
14
Attacks
17
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
AEK Athens 2 1 0 0 0 0
Larissa 1 2 0 0 1 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
3
17
Attacks
19
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 20 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
AEK Athens 2 1 0 0 2 0
Larissa 1 3 0 0 1 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
4
20
Attacks
23
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 25 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
AEK Athens 2 1 0 0 4 0
Larissa 1 3 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
4
24
Attacks
24
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Last Goal Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
AEK Athens 4 2 0 1 4 0
Larissa 3 3 0 0 5 0
-
Possession
-
5
Shots on Target
1
9
Shots off Target
7
99
Attacks
68
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
18:00 - 1x2: 1.015 21.000 501.000
17:58 - Asian Handicap: (0) 1.130, 5.900
17:58 - Goal Line: (1.5) 10.000, 1.060

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Statistics based on last games

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UEFA Conference League

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Strasbourg 5 1 0 11:5 16
2 Rakow Czestochowa 4 2 0 9:2 14
3 AEK Athens 4 1 1 14:7 13
4 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 10:3 13
5 Rayo Vallecano 4 1 1 13:7 13
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 4 1 1 10:5 13
7 Mainz 4 1 1 7:3 13
8 AEK Larnaca 3 3 0 7:1 12
9 Lausanne Sports 3 2 1 6:3 11
10 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 11:6 10
11 Lech Poznan 3 1 2 12:8 10
12 Samsunspor 3 1 2 10:6 10
13 NK Celje 3 1 2 8:7 10
14 AZ 3 1 2 7:7 10
15 Fiorentina 3 0 3 8:5 9
16 HNK Rijeka 2 3 1 5:2 9
17 Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 3 1 5:4 9
18 Omonia Nicosia 2 2 2 5:4 8
19 FC Noah 2 2 2 6:7 8
20 KF Drita 2 2 2 4:8 8
21 KuPS Kuopio 1 4 1 6:5 7
22 Shkendija Tetovo 2 1 3 4:5 7
23 Zrinjski Mostar 2 1 3 8:10 7
24 Sigma Olomouc 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 CS U Craiova 2 1 3 6:8 7
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 1 3 7:15 7
27 Dynamo Kiev 2 0 4 9:9 6
28 Legia Warsaw 2 0 4 8:8 6
29 Slovan Bratislava 2 0 4 5:9 6
30 Breidablik 1 2 3 6:11 5
31 Shamrock Rovers 1 1 4 7:13 4
32 BK Hacken 0 3 3 5:8 3
33 Hamrun Spartans 1 0 5 4:11 3
34 Shelbourne 0 2 4 0:7 2
35 Aberdeen 0 2 4 3:14 2
36 Rapid Vienna 0 1 5 3:14 1

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Rayo Vallecano 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Rakow Czestochowa 3 0 0 7:1 9
3 Mainz 3 0 0 5:1 9
4 AEK Athens 2 1 0 10:3 7
5 Zrinjski Mostar 2 1 0 8:2 7
6 Sparta Prague 2 1 0 7:1 7
7 Lech Poznan 2 1 0 7:2 7
8 AEK Larnaca 2 1 0 5:0 7
9 Lausanne Sports 2 1 0 5:1 7
10 HNK Rijeka 2 1 0 4:0 7
11 Strasbourg 2 1 0 6:3 7
12 NK Celje 2 1 0 5:2 7
13 Shkendija Tetovo 2 1 0 4:1 7
14 AZ 2 1 0 3:0 7
15 Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 1 0 5:3 7
16 Dynamo Kiev 2 0 1 8:2 6
17 Samsunspor 2 0 1 7:2 6
18 Fiorentina 2 0 1 4:2 6
19 FC Noah 2 0 1 4:3 6
19 Slovan Bratislava 2 0 1 4:3 6
21 Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 0 1 3:2 6
22 Breidablik 1 2 0 5:3 5
23 KuPS Kuopio 1 2 0 4:2 5
24 Crystal Palace 1 1 1 5:4 4
25 Shakhtar Donetsk 1 1 1 3:2 4
26 Sigma Olomouc 1 1 1 4:4 4
27 CS U Craiova 1 1 1 3:3 4
28 KF Drita 1 1 1 2:4 4
29 Legia Warsaw 1 0 2 4:3 3
30 Omonia Nicosia 1 0 2 2:2 3
31 Shamrock Rovers 1 0 2 4:5 3
32 Hamrun Spartans 1 0 2 3:4 3
33 BK Hacken 0 2 1 4:5 2
34 Aberdeen 0 1 2 3:5 1
35 Shelbourne 0 1 2 0:4 1
36 Rapid Vienna 0 0 3 0:5 0

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Shakhtar Donetsk 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Strasbourg 3 0 0 5:2 9
3 Crystal Palace 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Sparta Prague 2 0 1 3:2 6
5 AEK Athens 2 0 1 4:4 6
6 Omonia Nicosia 1 2 0 3:2 5
7 AEK Larnaca 1 2 0 2:1 5
7 Rakow Czestochowa 1 2 0 2:1 5
9 Rayo Vallecano 1 1 1 5:5 4
10 Mainz 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Samsunspor 1 1 1 3:4 4
12 Lausanne Sports 1 1 1 1:2 4
13 KF Drita 1 1 1 2:4 4
14 Fiorentina 1 0 2 4:3 3
15 Jagiellonia Bialystok 0 3 0 2:2 3
16 Lech Poznan 1 0 2 5:6 3
17 Legia Warsaw 1 0 2 4:5 3
18 CS U Craiova 1 0 2 3:5 3
18 NK Celje 1 0 2 3:5 3
18 Sigma Olomouc 1 0 2 3:5 3
21 AZ 1 0 2 4:7 3
22 KuPS Kuopio 0 2 1 2:3 2
23 HNK Rijeka 0 2 1 1:2 2
24 FC Noah 0 2 1 2:4 2
25 BK Hacken 0 1 2 1:3 1
26 Shelbourne 0 1 2 0:3 1
27 Shamrock Rovers 0 1 2 3:8 1
28 Rapid Vienna 0 1 2 3:9 1
29 Aberdeen 0 1 2 0:9 1
30 Shkendija Tetovo 0 0 3 0:4 0
31 Slovan Bratislava 0 0 3 1:6 0
32 Dynamo Kiev 0 0 3 1:7 0
32 Hamrun Spartans 0 0 3 1:7 0
34 Breidablik 0 0 3 1:8 0
35 Zrinjski Mostar 0 0 3 0:8 0
36 Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 0 3 2:12 0

Greece Super League 1

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

Super League 25/26, Relegation Round

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Atromitos Athinon 8 10 11 30:33 34
2 Panetolikos 8 6 15 29:43 30
3 Kifisias FC 6 11 12 33:44 29
4 Panserraikos 6 6 17 21:58 24
5 Larissa 4 11 14 26:47 23
6 Asteras Tripolis 4 10 15 25:42 22

Super League 25/26, Qualifying Round

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Levadiakos 12 7 9 52:40 22
2 OFI Crete 11 3 14 37:46 20
3 Aris Salonika 7 13 8 24:30 19
4 Volos NFC 9 5 14 29:42 17

Super League 25/26, Championship Round

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 AEK Athens 20 6 2 53:17 66
2 Olympiacos 18 7 3 47:12 61
3 PAOK Salonika 17 7 4 52:20 58
4 Panathinaikos 14 8 6 44:28 50

Super League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 AEK Athens 18 6 2 49:17 60
2 Olympiacos 17 7 2 45:11 58
3 PAOK Salonika 17 6 3 52:17 57
4 Panathinaikos 14 7 5 44:26 49
5 Levadiakos 12 6 8 51:37 42
6 OFI Crete 10 2 14 34:45 32
7 Volos NFC 9 4 13 26:38 31
8 Aris Salonika 6 12 8 20:27 30
9 Atromitos Athinon 7 8 11 26:30 29
10 Kifisias FC 6 9 11 32:42 27
11 Panetolikos 7 5 14 24:38 26
12 Larissa 4 11 11 22:39 23
13 Panserraikos 4 5 17 16:55 17
14 Asteras Tripolis 3 8 15 22:41 17

Super League 25/26, Relegation Round

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Kifisias FC 4 5 6 18:20 17
2 Atromitos Athinon 3 6 6 16:19 15
3 Asteras Tripolis 3 5 6 19:20 14
4 Panetolikos 4 2 9 18:27 14
5 Larissa 2 6 6 13:23 12
6 Panserraikos 3 3 8 8:24 12

Super League 25/26, Qualifying Round

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Levadiakos 8 3 3 33:16 27
2 OFI Crete 7 0 7 22:17 21
3 Volos NFC 5 5 4 15:18 20
4 Aris Salonika 3 9 2 13:13 18

Super League 25/26, Championship Round

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 AEK Athens 12 1 1 28:5 37
2 PAOK Salonika 11 3 0 27:3 36
3 Olympiacos 9 3 2 24:6 30
4 Panathinaikos 8 4 2 25:12 28

Super League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 PAOK Salonika 11 2 0 27:3 35
2 AEK Athens 11 1 1 25:5 34
3 Olympiacos 9 3 1 24:5 30
4 Panathinaikos 8 4 1 25:10 28
5 Levadiakos 8 2 3 32:15 26
6 Volos NFC 5 4 4 14:17 19
7 OFI Crete 6 0 7 20:17 18
8 Kifisias FC 4 4 5 17:18 16
9 Aris Salonika 2 9 2 10:11 15
10 Panetolikos 4 1 8 15:23 13
11 Larissa 2 6 5 12:21 12
12 Panserraikos 3 2 8 8:24 11
13 Atromitos Athinon 2 5 6 13:17 11
14 Asteras Tripolis 2 5 6 16:19 11

Super League 25/26, Relegation Round

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Atromitos Athinon 5 4 5 14:14 19
2 Panetolikos 4 4 6 11:16 16
3 Kifisias FC 2 6 6 15:24 12
4 Panserraikos 3 3 9 13:34 12
5 Larissa 2 5 8 13:24 11
6 Asteras Tripolis 1 5 9 6:22 8

Super League 25/26, Qualifying Round

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Levadiakos 4 4 6 19:24 16
2 Aris Salonika 4 4 6 11:17 16
3 OFI Crete 4 3 7 15:29 15
4 Volos NFC 4 0 10 14:24 12

Super League 25/26, Championship Round

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Olympiacos 9 4 1 23:6 31
2 AEK Athens 8 5 1 25:12 29
3 PAOK Salonika 6 4 4 25:17 22
4 Panathinaikos 6 4 4 19:16 22

Super League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Olympiacos 8 4 1 21:6 28
2 AEK Athens 7 5 1 24:12 26
3 PAOK Salonika 6 4 3 25:14 22
4 Panathinaikos 6 3 4 19:16 21
5 Atromitos Athinon 5 3 5 13:13 18
6 Levadiakos 4 4 5 19:22 16
7 Aris Salonika 4 3 6 10:16 15
8 OFI Crete 4 2 7 14:28 14
9 Panetolikos 3 4 6 9:15 13
10 Volos NFC 4 0 9 12:21 12
11 Larissa 2 5 6 10:18 11
12 Kifisias FC 2 5 6 15:24 11
13 Panserraikos 1 3 9 8:31 6
14 Asteras Tripolis 1 3 9 6:22 6
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    The Comeback Factor What is it? The Comeback Factor measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match. It tells you how often a team can bounce back by scoring the next goal after the other team has taken the lead. How does it work? Every time a team falls behind, […]

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  • Live Football Scores & In-Play Stats

    Real-time match data with live scores, in-play statistics, dangerous attacks, and pressure index for informed betting decisions.

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    Statistics Betting Odds Asian Handicap

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Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about football betting statistics, live scores, and using BetBallers effectively

What statistics and features does BetBallers provide for football betting?

BetBallers is a comprehensive tool designed for football bettors to enhance in-play and pre-game betting performance. The platform provides:

  • Live Match Statistics: Real-time stats including dangerous attacks, corners, shots, and pressure index for all in-play matches
  • Likelihood Stats: Color-coded system covering all markets from First Half Overs to Corners, making it easy to spot whether odds are backed by statistics
  • Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
  • Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
  • xG Stats: Expected goals available on both match pages and in-play pages within the likelihood stats column
  • Pressure Index: Combines dangerous attacks, total shots, and corners to measure which team is dominating the match

The platform features a customizable and user-friendly layout with the best coverage of games to ensure you never miss potential betting opportunities.

How does the BetBallers notification system work?

BetBallers offers a powerful notification system that significantly reduces the chance of missing potential bets:

  • Custom Notifications: Create pre-set or fully customizable notifications using combinations of real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds
  • Automated Scanning: The system automatically scans all in-play games and alerts you when your criteria is met
  • Visual Alerts: Notifications appear on the top right corner when matches meet your set criteria
  • Results Tracking: The system tracks all notifications received with results easily filterable by different options

Example notification: Alert for home underdogs losing by 1 goal but with 66%+ Pressure Index, Asian Handicap +0.5, and kick-off odds under 5.00. This specific notification has achieved a 71% win rate (52 wins, 21 losses) in backtesting.

What is the Backtesting System and how does it work?

The Backtesting System is a game-changing feature that validates your in-play betting strategies in minutes instead of waiting months for results:

  • Massive Data Analysis: Every test analyzes the last 100,000 finished games (approximately 5-6 months of matches) from the database
  • Live Scenario Simulation: Simulates live betting scenarios based on your custom notification rules for each game
  • Retrospective Likelihood Stats: Each game's likelihood stats are calculated retrospectively from that particular match for accurate testing
  • Results in Minutes: Get comprehensive backtest results in minutes or even seconds, depending on your rule complexity
  • Advanced Filtering: Filter results by Asian Handicap, Goal Line, Asian Corners, specific days, goals scored within 2 minutes, or missing dangerous attacks

The backtesting system excludes E-Soccer, Beach Soccer, and other shortened matches to ensure data quality. This feature is available to all Gold-Ballers subscription users (1, 3, or 6-month plans).

How does the AI Assistant enhance betting decisions?

BetBallers' AI Assistant helps identify the best value bets and provides quick match insights to enhance your betting strategy:

  • Schedule Page Analysis: AI scans upcoming matches and highlights value betting opportunities with higher probability of success
  • Specific Betting Tips: Get concrete betting recommendations with explanations instead of sorting through raw data yourself
  • Live Match Intelligence: Each live game includes an AI assistant tab providing real-time analysis based on your customized dataset preferences
  • Quick Match Overviews: Get instant summaries of match situations without manually reviewing all statistics

The AI Assistant helps you make faster, more informed betting decisions by processing complex statistical relationships that would be time-consuming to analyze manually.

What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

  • What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
  • How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
  • Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
  • Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

How do Likelihood Stats help identify value bets?

Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

  • Comprehensive Market Coverage: Covers all possible markets from First Half Overs to Corners and everything in between
  • Color-Coded Indicators: Visual system makes it easy to spot at a glance whether odds represent good value or not
  • Historical Validation: Shows how current match statistics compare to historical performance patterns
  • In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

Combine Likelihood Stats with live statistics to avoid situations where real-time stats aren't backed up by historical performance. This dual approach helps identify genuinely profitable betting opportunities rather than statistical anomalies.

What are Variance Stats and how do they identify mispriced teams?

Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

  • Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
  • Goal Line Variance: Identifies teams whose matches regularly go over or under expected totals
  • Asian Corners Variance: Reveals teams that generate more or fewer corners than bookmakers expect
  • Quick Identification: Find the most mispriced teams in your league or competition instantly

Variance Stats help you exploit consistent market inefficiencies by showing which teams the bookmakers systematically misprice across the most popular betting markets.

What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
  • Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

What subscription plans does BetBallers offer and what features are included?

BetBallers offers a free trial and multiple subscription tiers to suit different betting needs:

  • Free 2-Day Trial: €4.90 - Test all features with full access for 2 days
  • 1-Month Gold-Baller: €29.99 - Full access to all features including AI Assistant and backtesting system
  • 6-Month Gold-Baller: €149.90 - Extended subscription with significant savings per month

All Gold-Baller subscriptions include:

  • Live scores and in-play statistics for all major leagues
  • Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
  • Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
  • AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
  • Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.