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Argentina Liga Profesional

[3] Velez Sarsfield 2
1 Boca Juniors [5]

Round: 4
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  • Lineups
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Lineups

Lineup

4-2-3-1 4-3-3
12 - Alvaro Montero Agustin Marchesin - 1
4 - Joaquin Garcia Juan Barinaga - 24
2 - Emanuel Mammana Lautaro Di Lollo - 2
16 - Lisandro Magallan Ayrton Costa - 32
3 - Elias Gomez Lautaro Blanco - 3
10 - Diego Valdes Leandro Paredes - 5
5 - Claudio Baeza Santiago Ascacibar - 25
50 - Tobias Luciano Andrada Milton Delgado - 18
22 - Manuel Lanzini Gonzalo Gelini - 37
11 - Matias Pellegrini Miguel Merentiel - 16
23 - Florian Monzon Kevin Zenon - 22

Substitutes

32 - Thiago Silveor Leonel Flores - 44
6 - Aaron Quiros Tomas Aranda - 36
39 - Imanol Machuca Malcom Braida - 27
1 - Tomas Marchiori Jorge Figal - 4
15 - Dilan Godoy Angel Romero - 29
17 - Alex Veron Leandro Brey - 12
8 - Lucas Robertone Tomas Belmonte - 30
29 - Rodrigo Aliendro Camilo Rey Domenech - 38
99 - Leo Ariel Cristaldo Florentin Marco Pellegrino - 26
49 - Demian Dominguez Iker Zufiaurre - 41
20 - Francisco Pizzini Marcelo Weigandt - 23
35 - Matias Arias Williams Alarcon - 15
  • Main (5)
Show 1st half stats
Date Home Score Away 1x2 Drop Home Asian Handicap Goal Line Asian Corners Dangerous Attacks Total Shots Shots on Target Corners     
03-09-2026 0:15 4 Velez Sarsfield 3 - 4 Boca Juniors 2
S: - 3.40 ?
K: ?3.40 -
 1%
?
1.975
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?

9-16

?-?

1-9

Open single page
08-08-2026 22:15 2 [8] Boca Juniors 1 - 1 Velez Sarsfield [1] 4
S: - 3.20 ?
K: ?3.60 -
 10%
?
1.775
-
?
?
1.775, 2.025
?-?

27-8

?-?

5-4

Open single page
28-11-2024 0:10 5 1 Boca Juniors 3 - 4 Velez Sarsfield 1
S: - 3.10 ?
K: ?2.75 -
 0%
?
1.800
-
?
?
1.925, 1.875
?-?

10-10

?-?

4-2

Open single page
14-06-2024 22:00 4 1 [21] Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Velez Sarsfield [18] 1 1
S: - 3.30 ?
K: ?3.25 -
 0%
?
2.025
-
?
?
1.925, 1.875
?-?

10-12

?-?

5-5

Open single page
26-02-2023 0:30 3 [15] Velez Sarsfield 1 - 2 Boca Juniors [9] 1 5
S: - 3.00 ?
K: ?3.00 -
 7%
?
1.875
-
?
?
1.950, 1.850
?-?

11-7

?-?

4-3

Open single page
Velez Sarsfield Boca Juniors
94 - 17th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 93 - Substitution - Velez Sarsfield
92 - 3rd Offside - Boca Juniors
90 - 3rd Assist - Boca Juniors
90 - 7th Shot On Target - Boca Juniors
Goal 90 - 3rd Goal - Boca Juniors
86 - 16th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 83 - Substitution - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 83 - Substitution - Velez Sarsfield
85 - 15th Shot Off Target - Boca Juniors
82 - 14th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 78 - Substitution - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 78 - Substitution - Velez Sarsfield
Corner 76 - 9th Corner - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 73 - Substitution - Boca Juniors
Substitution 73 - Substitution - Boca Juniors
68 - 6th Shot On Target - Velez Sarsfield
Corner 68 - 8th Corner - Boca Juniors
66 - 2nd Assist - Velez Sarsfield
66 - 5th Shot On Target - Velez Sarsfield
Goal 66 - 2nd Goal - Velez Sarsfield
63 - 1st Assist - Velez Sarsfield
63 - 4th Shot On Target - Velez Sarsfield
Goal 63 - 1st Goal - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 60 - Substitution - Boca Juniors
60 - 3rd Shot On Target - Velez Sarsfield
58 - 13th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
56 - 12th Shot Off Target - Boca Juniors
Corner 56 - 7th Corner - Boca Juniors
54 - 11th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
50 - 10th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
50 - 10th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 46 - Substitution - Boca Juniors
47 - 1st Yellow Card - Boca Juniors
47 - 9th Shot Off Target - Boca Juniors
45 - 8th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
45 - 8th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
41 - 7th Shot Off Target - Boca Juniors
41 - 2nd Offside - Boca Juniors
Corner 41 - 6th Corner - Boca Juniors
33 - 6th Shot Off Target - Boca Juniors
Corner 33 - 5th Corner - Boca Juniors
Corner 33 - 4th Corner - Boca Juniors
Corner 32 - 3rd Corner - Boca Juniors
29 - 5th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
Corner 29 - 2nd Corner - Velez Sarsfield
Corner 26 - 1st Corner - Boca Juniors
24 - 4th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
19 - 2nd Shot On Target - Boca Juniors
15 - 2nd Offside - Velez Sarsfield
9 - 3rd Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
9 - 2nd Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
8 - 1st Shot On Target - Boca Juniors
6 - 1st Shot Off Target - Boca Juniors
  • Current
  • 1st Half
  • 2nd Half
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
  • Last 15
  • Last 20
  • Last 25
  • Since Last Goal
Full-Time xG Corners Penalties Substitutions Offsides Saves Fouls Ball Safe Goals
Velez Sarsfield 1.63 2 0 0 0 6 1 2 10 78 2
Boca Juniors 0.21 7 1 0 0 4 2 1 9 78 1
50%
Possession
50%
4
Shots on Target
3
11
Shots off Target
6
99
Attacks
92
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
03:05 - 1x2: 1.010 26.000 501.000
03:03 - Asian Handicap: (0) 2.000, 1.800
03:03 - Goal Line: (3.5) 11.000, 1.050
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 0 0 0 0 6 0
Boca Juniors 0 0 0 0 0 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
1
24
Attacks
16
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
1st Half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 1 0 0 0 0 0
Boca Juniors 5 0 0 0 1 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
3
47
Attacks
51
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
2nd half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 1 0 0 0 6 2
Boca Juniors 2 1 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
4
Shots on Target
1
6
Shots off Target
3
52
Attacks
41
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 5 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 0 0 0 0 2 0
Boca Juniors 0 0 0 0 0 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
2
Shots off Target
0
9
Attacks
7
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 10 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 0 0 0 0 4 0
Boca Juniors 0 0 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
1
19
Attacks
11
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 0 0 0 0 0 0
Boca Juniors 0 0 0 0 0 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
1
24
Attacks
16
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 20 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 1 0 0 0 6 0
Boca Juniors 0 0 0 0 2 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
1
29
Attacks
20
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 25 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 1 0 0 0 6 1
Boca Juniors 1 0 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
1
33
Attacks
26
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Last Goal Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 0 0 0 0 0 0
Boca Juniors 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Shots off Target
0
0
Attacks
0
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
03:05 - 1x2: 1.010 26.000 501.000
03:03 - Asian Handicap: (0) 2.000, 1.800
03:03 - Goal Line: (3.5) 11.000, 1.050

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors Statistics

Statistics based on last games

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Argentina Liga Profesional

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Rosario Central 8 4 2 22:11 28
2 Argentinos Jrs 7 4 2 17:11 25
3 Gimnasia LP 7 4 3 21:18 25
4 River Plate 7 2 5 19:13 23
5 Belgrano 6 4 4 14:11 22
6 Barracas Central 6 4 4 13:11 22
7 Sarmiento 6 3 5 22:21 21
8 Huracan 5 4 5 12:14 19
9 Independiente Rivadavia 5 4 4 17:21 19
10 Atlético Tucumán 4 5 5 13:13 17
11 Banfield 3 5 6 15:20 14
12 CA Tigre 3 4 7 13:16 13
13 Racing Club 3 3 8 14:21 12
14 CA Aldosivi 3 2 9 15:22 11
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 3 9 9:19 9

Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Instituto AC Cordoba 9 2 2 20:10 29
2 Velez Sarsfield 7 6 1 23:13 27
3 Boca Juniors 7 6 1 22:14 27
4 Defensa y Justicia 8 3 3 20:13 27
5 Lanus 7 3 4 17:10 24
6 Newell's 5 6 3 13:10 21
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 6 2 6 16:15 20
8 CA Independiente 5 4 5 12:14 19
9 San Lorenzo 5 3 6 7:12 18
10 Estudiantes LP 4 2 7 16:15 14
11 Union Santa Fe 4 2 7 18:22 14
12 Platense 3 5 6 14:20 14
13 Deportivo Riestra 2 6 5 10:13 12
14 Central Cordoba 2 4 8 11:23 10
15 CA Talleres de Córdoba 2 3 9 13:22 9

Apertura, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 10 4 2 29:15 34
2 River Plate 9 2 5 22:12 29
3 Argentinos Jrs 8 5 3 17:13 29
4 Rosario Central 8 4 4 20:16 28
5 Belgrano 7 5 4 17:13 26
6 Gimnasia LP 8 2 6 19:19 26
7 Huracan 5 7 4 17:13 22
8 Racing Club 5 6 5 17:15 21
9 Barracas Central 5 6 5 15:15 21
10 CA Tigre 4 8 4 18:15 20
11 Sarmiento 6 1 9 13:20 19
12 Banfield 5 3 8 17:19 18
13 Atlético Tucumán 3 5 8 15:20 14
14 CA Aldosivi 0 8 8 6:19 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1 2 13 5:24 5

Apertura, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Estudiantes LP 9 4 3 19:7 31
2 Boca Juniors 8 6 2 22:9 30
3 Velez Sarsfield 7 7 2 18:12 28
4 CA Talleres de Córdoba 7 5 4 17:13 26
5 CA Independiente 6 6 4 24:20 24
6 Lanus 6 6 4 18:15 24
7 San Lorenzo 5 7 4 14:14 22
8 Union Santa Fe 5 6 5 24:20 21
9 Instituto AC Cordoba 6 3 7 17:17 21
10 Defensa y Justicia 4 7 5 18:21 19
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 5 4 7 14:22 19
12 Platense 3 7 6 10:15 16
13 Central Cordoba 4 4 8 11:21 16
14 Newell's 3 6 7 15:27 15
15 Deportivo Riestra 1 8 7 5:12 11

Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Rosario Central 4 2 1 12:4 14
2 Independiente Rivadavia 4 2 0 14:9 14
3 Gimnasia LP 4 2 1 12:7 14
4 Argentinos Jrs 4 1 0 10:4 13
5 River Plate 4 1 3 10:7 13
6 Sarmiento 3 3 1 11:7 12
7 Huracan 3 3 1 6:4 12
8 Barracas Central 3 1 3 6:5 10
9 CA Aldosivi 3 1 3 8:9 10
10 Belgrano 3 1 3 8:9 10
11 CA Tigre 2 2 3 4:5 8
12 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 2 3 4:6 8
13 Racing Club 2 2 4 9:12 8
14 Banfield 1 3 3 8:11 6
15 Atlético Tucumán 0 3 4 6:10 3

Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Velez Sarsfield 5 2 0 10:5 17
2 Boca Juniors 5 1 0 11:3 16
3 Defensa y Justicia 5 1 1 11:4 16
4 Instituto AC Cordoba 5 1 0 11:5 16
5 Newell's 4 3 0 10:5 15
6 Gimnasia Mendoza 4 2 1 10:5 14
7 Estudiantes LP 4 1 2 13:5 13
8 Lanus 4 1 2 8:6 13
9 San Lorenzo 4 1 2 4:4 13
10 Union Santa Fe 3 0 3 11:10 9
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 CA Talleres de Córdoba 1 3 4 6:12 6
13 CA Independiente 1 2 4 3:10 5
14 Central Cordoba 1 2 4 5:13 5
15 Platense 0 4 3 5:11 4

Apertura, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Argentinos Jrs 6 3 0 10:4 21
2 Independiente Rivadavia 6 1 2 19:10 19
3 Sarmiento 5 1 2 9:6 16
4 River Plate 5 0 3 14:8 15
5 Belgrano 4 2 2 11:5 14
6 Banfield 4 2 2 10:6 14
7 Rosario Central 4 2 2 10:7 14
8 CA Tigre 3 4 1 11:8 13
9 Huracan 4 1 3 11:8 13
10 Gimnasia LP 4 1 3 11:10 13
11 Atlético Tucumán 2 5 1 8:6 11
12 Barracas Central 3 2 3 9:8 11
13 Racing Club 2 3 2 7:7 9
14 CA Aldosivi 0 7 1 3:5 7
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1 1 6 4:10 4

Apertura, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Estudiantes LP 5 1 2 11:4 16
2 CA Independiente 4 3 1 15:9 15
3 Velez Sarsfield 4 3 1 9:6 15
4 Boca Juniors 3 5 0 8:3 14
5 Union Santa Fe 3 4 1 11:5 13
6 Lanus 3 4 1 9:5 13
7 CA Talleres de Córdoba 4 1 2 9:5 13
8 Instituto AC Cordoba 4 1 3 11:8 13
9 Central Cordoba 4 1 3 10:9 13
10 Gimnasia Mendoza 4 1 3 9:8 13
11 San Lorenzo 3 2 3 10:11 11
12 Deportivo Riestra 1 5 2 4:4 8
13 Defensa y Justicia 1 5 2 7:10 8
14 Platense 2 2 4 4:8 8
15 Newell's 1 4 3 6:10 7

Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Atlético Tucumán 4 2 1 7:3 14
2 Rosario Central 4 2 1 10:7 14
3 Belgrano 3 3 1 6:2 12
4 Barracas Central 3 3 1 7:6 12
5 Argentinos Jrs 3 3 2 7:7 12
6 Gimnasia LP 3 2 2 9:11 11
7 River Plate 3 1 2 9:6 10
8 Sarmiento 3 0 4 11:14 9
9 Banfield 2 2 3 7:9 8
10 Huracan 2 1 4 6:10 7
11 CA Tigre 1 2 4 9:11 5
12 Independiente Rivadavia 1 2 4 3:12 5
13 Racing Club 1 1 4 5:9 4
14 CA Aldosivi 0 1 6 7:13 1
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0 1 6 5:13 1

Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 CA Independiente 4 2 1 9:4 14
2 Instituto AC Cordoba 4 1 2 9:5 13
3 Lanus 3 2 2 9:4 11
4 Boca Juniors 2 5 1 11:11 11
5 Defensa y Justicia 3 2 2 9:9 11
6 Velez Sarsfield 2 4 1 13:8 10
7 Platense 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Newell's 1 3 3 3:5 6
9 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 0 5 6:10 6
10 Central Cordoba 1 2 4 6:10 5
11 Union Santa Fe 1 2 4 7:12 5
12 San Lorenzo 1 2 4 3:8 5
13 CA Talleres de Córdoba 1 0 5 7:10 3
14 Deportivo Riestra 0 3 3 2:6 3
15 Estudiantes LP 0 1 5 3:10 1

Apertura, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 4 3 0 10:5 15
2 River Plate 4 2 2 8:4 14
3 Rosario Central 4 2 2 10:9 14
4 Gimnasia LP 4 1 3 8:9 13
5 Racing Club 3 3 3 10:8 12
6 Belgrano 3 3 2 6:8 12
7 Barracas Central 2 4 2 6:7 10
8 Huracan 1 6 1 6:5 9
9 Argentinos Jrs 2 2 3 7:9 8
10 CA Tigre 1 4 3 7:7 7
11 Banfield 1 1 6 7:13 4
12 Atlético Tucumán 1 0 7 7:14 3
13 Sarmiento 1 0 7 4:14 3
14 CA Aldosivi 0 1 7 3:14 1
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0 1 7 1:14 1

Apertura, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Boca Juniors 5 1 2 14:6 16
2 Estudiantes LP 4 3 1 8:3 15
3 Velez Sarsfield 3 4 1 9:6 13
4 CA Talleres de Córdoba 3 4 2 8:8 13
5 San Lorenzo 2 5 1 4:3 11
6 Defensa y Justicia 3 2 3 11:11 11
7 Lanus 3 2 3 9:10 11
8 CA Independiente 2 3 3 9:11 9
9 Platense 1 5 2 6:7 8
10 Union Santa Fe 2 2 4 13:15 8
11 Instituto AC Cordoba 2 2 4 6:9 8
12 Newell's 2 2 4 9:17 8
13 Gimnasia Mendoza 1 3 4 5:14 6
14 Deportivo Riestra 0 3 5 1:8 3
15 Central Cordoba 0 3 5 1:12 3
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Likelihood Statistics
Previous Matches
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Scoring and Conceding Statistics
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Pregame recommendation: **Bet:** Goal Line Over 1.5, 2.0 **Winning Probability:** 65% **Odds:** 1.825 **Reasoning:** The analysis of both teams' recent performance indicates a strong likelihood of goals. Velez Sarsfield's home matches have over 1.5 goals 70% of the time, and Boca Juniors' away matches see over 1.5 goals in 80% of cases. The combined data suggests a 65% probability for this line to be successful, meeting the required threshold for a confident bet.

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Everything you need to know about football betting statistics, live scores, and using BetBallers effectively

What statistics and features does BetBallers provide for football betting?

BetBallers is a comprehensive tool designed for football bettors to enhance in-play and pre-game betting performance. The platform provides:

  • Live Match Statistics: Real-time stats including dangerous attacks, corners, shots, and pressure index for all in-play matches
  • Likelihood Stats: Color-coded system covering all markets from First Half Overs to Corners, making it easy to spot whether odds are backed by statistics
  • Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
  • Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
  • xG Stats: Expected goals available on both match pages and in-play pages within the likelihood stats column
  • Pressure Index: Combines dangerous attacks, total shots, and corners to measure which team is dominating the match

The platform features a customizable and user-friendly layout with the best coverage of games to ensure you never miss potential betting opportunities.

How does the BetBallers notification system work?

BetBallers offers a powerful notification system that significantly reduces the chance of missing potential bets:

  • Custom Notifications: Create pre-set or fully customizable notifications using combinations of real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds
  • Automated Scanning: The system automatically scans all in-play games and alerts you when your criteria is met
  • Visual Alerts: Notifications appear on the top right corner when matches meet your set criteria
  • Results Tracking: The system tracks all notifications received with results easily filterable by different options

Example notification: Alert for home underdogs losing by 1 goal but with 66%+ Pressure Index, Asian Handicap +0.5, and kick-off odds under 5.00. This specific notification has achieved a 71% win rate (52 wins, 21 losses) in backtesting.

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The Backtesting System is a game-changing feature that validates your in-play betting strategies in minutes instead of waiting months for results:

  • Massive Data Analysis: Every test analyzes the last 100,000 finished games (approximately 5-6 months of matches) from the database
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  • Retrospective Likelihood Stats: Each game's likelihood stats are calculated retrospectively from that particular match for accurate testing
  • Results in Minutes: Get comprehensive backtest results in minutes or even seconds, depending on your rule complexity
  • Advanced Filtering: Filter results by Asian Handicap, Goal Line, Asian Corners, specific days, goals scored within 2 minutes, or missing dangerous attacks

The backtesting system excludes E-Soccer, Beach Soccer, and other shortened matches to ensure data quality. This feature is available to all Gold-Ballers subscription users (1, 3, or 6-month plans).

How does the AI Assistant enhance betting decisions?

BetBallers' AI Assistant helps identify the best value bets and provides quick match insights to enhance your betting strategy:

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  • Quick Match Overviews: Get instant summaries of match situations without manually reviewing all statistics

The AI Assistant helps you make faster, more informed betting decisions by processing complex statistical relationships that would be time-consuming to analyze manually.

What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

  • What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
  • How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
  • Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
  • Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

How do Likelihood Stats help identify value bets?

Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

  • Comprehensive Market Coverage: Covers all possible markets from First Half Overs to Corners and everything in between
  • Color-Coded Indicators: Visual system makes it easy to spot at a glance whether odds represent good value or not
  • Historical Validation: Shows how current match statistics compare to historical performance patterns
  • In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

Combine Likelihood Stats with live statistics to avoid situations where real-time stats aren't backed up by historical performance. This dual approach helps identify genuinely profitable betting opportunities rather than statistical anomalies.

What are Variance Stats and how do they identify mispriced teams?

Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

  • Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
  • Goal Line Variance: Identifies teams whose matches regularly go over or under expected totals
  • Asian Corners Variance: Reveals teams that generate more or fewer corners than bookmakers expect
  • Quick Identification: Find the most mispriced teams in your league or competition instantly

Variance Stats help you exploit consistent market inefficiencies by showing which teams the bookmakers systematically misprice across the most popular betting markets.

What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
  • Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

What subscription plans does BetBallers offer and what features are included?

BetBallers offers a free trial and multiple subscription tiers to suit different betting needs:

  • Free 2-Day Trial: €4.90 - Test all features with full access for 2 days
  • 1-Month Gold-Baller: €29.99 - Full access to all features including AI Assistant and backtesting system
  • 6-Month Gold-Baller: €149.90 - Extended subscription with significant savings per month

All Gold-Baller subscriptions include:

  • Live scores and in-play statistics for all major leagues
  • Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
  • Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
  • AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
  • Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.