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Uruguay Clausura

[15] Plaza Colonia 0
2 Cerro Largo [8]

Round: 14
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Lineups

Lineup

77 - Acosta Bruno Hernandez - 30
9 - Alex Bruno Franco Rossi - 9
25 - Joaquin Silva Ihojan Fabian Perez Cuadro - 29
17 - Santiago Otegui Maximiliano Anasco - 11
14 - Hebert Alexander Vergara Larrosa Mauro Alejandro Brasil Alcaire - 19
15 - Yacouba Meite Alan Di Pippa - 5
16 - Matias Velazquez Lucas Correa - 14
19 - Valentino Wurth Facundo Bonifazi - 6
22 - Juan Ramos Lautaro Vazquez - 13
18 - Angel Cayetano Gino Santilli - 24
3 - Yvo Calleros Martin Gianoli - 32

Substitutes

80 - Lucas Carrizo Leonardo Amaral - 21
30 - Agustin Maidana Federico Pintado - 1
6 - Miqueas Redin Miguel Nicolas Bertocchi - 22
27 - Cristian Barros Jeremias Gallard - 7
10 - Agustin Ocampo Gabriel Barcelos Rossetto - 28
23 - Facundo Piriz Mario Garcia - 8
44 - Guillermo Reyes Brian Ferrares - 4
20 - Ezequias Emanuel Redin Agustin Perez - 25
11 - Gonzalo Bueno Cristian Gonzalez - 18
  • Main (5)
Show 1st half stats
Date Home Score Away 1x2 Drop Home Asian Handicap Goal Line Asian Corners Dangerous Attacks Total Shots Shots on Target Corners     
23-06-2025 23:00 2 [8] Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Plaza Colonia [6] 1
S: - 3.25 ?
K: ?3.10 -
 0%
?
1.775
-
?
?
1.900, 1.900
?-?

5-3

?-?

7-3

Open single page
03-05-2025 23:30 2 [9] Cerro Largo 2 - 1 Plaza Colonia [8] 1
S: - 3.25 ?
K: ?3.00 -
 8%
?
2.025
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?

12-13

?-?

2-5

Open single page
18-11-2023 19:30 3 [6] Cerro Largo 4 - 0 Plaza Colonia [8] 1
S: - 3.40 ?
K: ?3.10 -
 9%
?
1.925
-
?
?
1.850, 1.950
?-?

8-2

?-?

4-6

Open single page
04-06-2023 15:30 3 [4] Plaza Colonia 3 - 3 Cerro Largo [4] 3
S: - 3.00 ?
K: ?2.88 -
 0%
?
1.800
-
?
?
1.975, 1.825
?-?
11-15
?-?
4-10
Open single page
15-04-2023 23:30 5 [12] Plaza Colonia 2 - 0 Cerro Largo [4] 1
S: - 3.10 ?
K: ?3.00 -
 0%
?
2.025
-
?
?
1.950, 1.850
?-?

11-11

?-?

1-12

Open single page
Plaza Colonia Cerro Largo
Goal 92 - 2nd Goal - Cerro Largo
91 - 9th Yellow Card - Cerro Largo
87 - 8th Yellow Card - Plaza Colonia
85 - 7th Yellow Card - Plaza Colonia
Goal 83 - 1st Goal - Cerro Largo
73 - 6th Yellow Card - Plaza Colonia
72 - 5th Yellow Card - Cerro Largo
Corner 61 - 10th Corner - Plaza Colonia
55 - 4th Yellow Card - Plaza Colonia
Corner 52 - 9th Corner - Plaza Colonia
Corner 43 - 8th Corner - Cerro Largo
40 - 3rd Yellow Card - Cerro Largo
36 - 2nd Yellow Card - Cerro Largo
Corner 31 - 7th Corner - Plaza Colonia
Corner 28 - 6th Corner - Plaza Colonia
Corner 23 - 5th Corner - Plaza Colonia
Corner 14 - 4th Corner - Cerro Largo
12 - 1st Yellow Card - Plaza Colonia
Corner 8 - 3rd Corner - Plaza Colonia
Corner 4 - 2nd Corner - Plaza Colonia
Corner 4 - 1st Corner - Plaza Colonia
  • Current
  • 1st Half
  • 2nd Half
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
  • Last 15
  • Last 20
  • Last 25
  • Since Last Goal
Full-Time Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Plaza Colonia 8 5 0 0 5 0
Cerro Largo 2 4 0 0 5 2
54%
Possession
46%
7
Shots on Target
4
10
Shots off Target
5
100
Attacks
90
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
23:57 - 1x2: 501.000 41.000 1.004
23:56 - Asian Handicap: (-0.25) 4.150, 1.220
23:56 - Goal Line: (2.5) 5.900, 1.130
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Plaza Colonia 0 2 0 0 1 0
Cerro Largo 0 1 0 0 1 2
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
2
20
Attacks
19
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
1st Half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Plaza Colonia 6 1 0 0 2 0
Cerro Largo 2 2 0 0 1 0
-
Possession
-
3
Shots on Target
0
3
Shots off Target
1
49
Attacks
43
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
2nd half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Plaza Colonia 2 4 0 0 3 0
Cerro Largo 0 2 0 0 2 2
-
Possession
-
4
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
4
51
Attacks
47
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 5 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Plaza Colonia 0 1 0 0 0 0
Cerro Largo 0 1 0 0 0 1
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
2
10
Attacks
9
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 10 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Plaza Colonia 0 2 0 0 0 0
Cerro Largo 0 1 0 0 2 2
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
2
14
Attacks
17
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Plaza Colonia 0 2 0 0 0 0
Cerro Largo 0 1 0 0 1 2
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
2
20
Attacks
19
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 20 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Plaza Colonia 0 3 0 0 1 0
Cerro Largo 0 2 0 0 1 2
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
2
22
Attacks
22
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 25 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Plaza Colonia 0 3 0 0 2 0
Cerro Largo 0 2 0 0 2 2
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
2
27
Attacks
23
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Last Goal Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Plaza Colonia 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cerro Largo 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Shots off Target
0
0
Attacks
0
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
23:57 - 1x2: 501.000 41.000 1.004
23:56 - Asian Handicap: (-0.25) 4.150, 1.220
23:56 - Goal Line: (2.5) 5.900, 1.130

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Statistics based on last games

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Uruguay Clausura

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

Primera Division 2025, Torneo Intermedio, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Nacional De Football 7 0 0 16:6 21
2 Juventud De Las Piedras 5 0 2 14:11 15
3 Racing Club de Montevideo 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 Danubio 3 1 3 11:11 10
5 Boston River 2 1 4 8:12 7
6 Club Atletico Progreso 2 0 5 4:10 6
7 Torque 1 2 4 10:12 5
8 Miramar Misiones 1 1 5 2:8 4

Primera Division 2025, Torneo Intermedio, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Penarol 5 1 1 15:5 16
2 Defensor Sporting 4 2 1 12:10 14
3 Montevideo Wanderers 3 3 1 6:5 12
4 Plaza Colonia 1 5 1 6:7 8
5 Liverpool Montevideo 2 2 3 10:12 8
6 Cerro 2 2 3 7:9 8
7 CA River Plate 1 2 4 6:10 5
8 Cerro Largo 0 3 4 7:11 3

Primera Division 2025, Overall

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Nacional De Football 24 10 3 76:33 79
2 Penarol 24 6 7 66:34 78
3 Liverpool Montevideo 18 11 8 51:37 65
4 Juventud De Las Piedras 18 7 12 45:39 61
5 Defensor Sporting 18 7 12 42:38 61
6 Boston River 14 13 10 50:39 55
7 Racing Club de Montevideo 14 11 12 39:38 53
8 Torque 13 10 14 54:51 49
9 Cerro Largo 12 13 12 41:41 49
10 Cerro 12 11 14 33:42 46
11 Danubio 10 13 14 41:41 43
12 Club Atletico Progreso 10 9 18 38:60 39
13 Plaza Colonia 8 11 18 28:46 35
14 Montevideo Wanderers 6 13 18 25:47 31
15 CA River Plate 6 11 20 28:48 29
16 Miramar Misiones 7 8 22 35:58 29

Primera Division 2025, Clausura

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Penarol 11 2 2 30:12 35
2 Nacional De Football 8 6 1 25:11 27
3 Torque 8 3 4 28:17 27
4 Boston River 6 8 1 26:10 26
5 Cerro Largo 7 4 4 19:14 25
6 Liverpool Montevideo 7 4 4 19:16 25
7 Cerro 7 3 5 13:13 24
8 Defensor Sporting 7 2 6 13:16 23
9 Danubio 6 3 6 18:13 21
10 Club Atletico Progreso 5 3 7 17:23 18
11 Racing Club de Montevideo 4 5 6 14:22 17
12 Juventud De Las Piedras 4 4 7 8:13 16
13 CA River Plate 3 5 7 12:18 14
14 Miramar Misiones 3 4 8 17:26 13
15 Plaza Colonia 2 2 11 9:26 8
16 Montevideo Wanderers 1 4 10 7:25 7

Primera Division 2025, Apertura

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Liverpool Montevideo 9 5 1 22:9 32
2 Nacional De Football 9 4 2 35:16 31
3 Juventud De Las Piedras 9 3 3 23:15 30
4 Penarol 8 3 4 21:17 27
5 Defensor Sporting 7 3 5 17:12 24
6 Racing Club de Montevideo 6 5 4 14:10 23
7 Boston River 6 4 5 16:17 22
8 Cerro Largo 5 6 4 15:16 21
9 Plaza Colonia 5 4 6 13:13 19
10 Torque 4 5 6 16:22 17
11 Club Atletico Progreso 3 6 6 17:27 15
12 Cerro 3 6 6 13:20 14
13 Danubio 1 9 5 12:17 12
13 Montevideo Wanderers 2 6 7 12:17 12
15 Miramar Misiones 3 3 9 16:24 12
16 CA River Plate 2 4 9 10:20 10

Primera Division 2025, Torneo Intermedio, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Juventud De Las Piedras 4 0 0 10:4 12
1 Nacional De Football 4 0 0 10:4 12
3 Racing Club de Montevideo 2 1 1 7:3 7
4 Boston River 2 1 1 7:6 7
5 Danubio 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Club Atletico Progreso 2 0 1 3:1 6
7 Torque 1 1 1 4:3 4
8 Miramar Misiones 0 0 3 0:4 0

Primera Division 2025, Torneo Intermedio, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Penarol 4 0 0 9:0 12
2 Defensor Sporting 3 1 0 10:6 10
3 Liverpool Montevideo 2 1 1 6:5 7
4 Cerro 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Montevideo Wanderers 1 2 0 2:1 5
6 Plaza Colonia 0 3 0 3:3 3
7 Cerro Largo 0 3 1 3:4 3
8 CA River Plate 1 0 2 4:6 3

Primera Division 2025, Overall

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Nacional De Football 14 4 1 46:19 46
2 Penarol 15 1 3 35:14 46
3 Liverpool Montevideo 11 6 2 31:18 39
4 Defensor Sporting 12 3 4 28:16 39
5 Juventud De Las Piedras 11 3 5 26:19 36
6 Boston River 10 5 4 30:16 35
7 Cerro 8 5 5 18:14 29
8 Cerro Largo 7 8 4 24:22 29
9 Danubio 6 7 5 25:18 25
10 Torque 6 6 6 26:22 24
11 Club Atletico Progreso 7 2 9 22:30 23
12 Racing Club de Montevideo 5 7 7 17:17 22
13 Montevideo Wanderers 2 10 6 11:17 16
14 Miramar Misiones 3 5 10 14:23 14
15 CA River Plate 3 5 10 12:24 14
16 Plaza Colonia 2 5 11 13:25 11

Primera Division 2025, Clausura

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Penarol 8 0 0 16:2 24
2 Nacional De Football 6 1 0 19:6 19
3 Boston River 5 2 0 16:3 17
4 Defensor Sporting 5 1 1 8:4 16
5 Liverpool Montevideo 4 3 1 13:8 15
6 Cerro 4 2 2 7:4 14
7 Danubio 4 1 2 13:6 13
8 Torque 3 3 2 13:8 12
9 Club Atletico Progreso 4 0 3 11:12 12
10 Cerro Largo 3 2 2 9:8 11
11 Juventud De Las Piedras 2 2 4 5:9 8
12 Miramar Misiones 1 3 3 6:10 6
13 Racing Club de Montevideo 1 3 4 3:8 6
14 CA River Plate 0 4 4 4:11 4
15 Montevideo Wanderers 0 3 4 2:10 3
16 Plaza Colonia 0 1 7 5:16 1

Primera Division 2025, Apertura

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Liverpool Montevideo 5 2 0 12:5 17
2 Juventud De Las Piedras 5 1 1 11:6 16
3 Nacional De Football 4 3 1 17:9 15
4 Cerro Largo 4 3 1 12:10 15
5 Defensor Sporting 4 1 3 10:6 13
6 Boston River 3 2 3 7:7 11
7 Penarol 3 1 3 10:12 10
8 Racing Club de Montevideo 2 3 2 7:6 9
9 Cerro 2 3 2 7:7 9
10 Montevideo Wanderers 1 5 2 7:6 8
11 Miramar Misiones 2 2 4 8:9 8
12 Torque 2 2 3 9:11 8
13 Plaza Colonia 2 1 4 5:6 7
14 CA River Plate 2 1 4 4:7 7
15 Danubio 0 6 2 6:8 6
16 Club Atletico Progreso 1 2 5 8:17 5

Primera Division 2025, Torneo Intermedio, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Nacional De Football 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Racing Club de Montevideo 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Danubio 1 1 2 5:7 4
4 Miramar Misiones 1 1 2 2:4 4
5 Juventud De Las Piedras 1 0 2 4:7 3
6 Torque 0 1 3 6:9 1
7 Boston River 0 0 3 1:6 0
8 Club Atletico Progreso 0 0 4 1:9 0

Primera Division 2025, Torneo Intermedio, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Montevideo Wanderers 2 1 1 4:4 7
2 Plaza Colonia 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Penarol 1 1 1 6:5 4
4 Defensor Sporting 1 1 1 2:4 4
5 CA River Plate 0 2 2 2:4 2
6 Cerro 0 2 2 3:6 2
7 Liverpool Montevideo 0 1 2 4:7 1
8 Cerro Largo 0 0 3 4:7 0

Primera Division 2025, Overall

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Nacional De Football 10 6 2 30:14 36
2 Penarol 9 5 4 31:20 32
3 Racing Club de Montevideo 9 4 5 22:21 31
4 Liverpool Montevideo 7 5 6 20:19 26
5 Torque 7 4 8 28:29 25
6 Juventud De Las Piedras 7 4 7 19:20 25
7 Plaza Colonia 6 6 7 15:21 24
8 Defensor Sporting 6 4 8 14:22 22
9 Cerro Largo 5 5 8 17:19 20
10 Boston River 4 8 6 20:23 20
11 Danubio 4 6 9 16:23 18
12 Cerro 4 6 9 15:28 18
13 Club Atletico Progreso 3 7 9 16:30 16
14 CA River Plate 3 6 10 16:24 15
15 Miramar Misiones 4 3 12 21:35 15
16 Montevideo Wanderers 4 3 12 14:30 15

Primera Division 2025, Clausura

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Torque 5 0 2 15:9 15
2 Cerro Largo 4 2 2 10:6 14
3 Penarol 3 2 2 14:10 11
4 Nacional De Football 2 5 1 6:5 11
5 Racing Club de Montevideo 3 2 2 11:14 11
6 CA River Plate 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Liverpool Montevideo 3 1 3 6:8 10
8 Cerro 3 1 3 6:9 10
9 Boston River 1 6 1 10:7 9
10 Juventud De Las Piedras 2 2 3 3:4 8
11 Danubio 2 2 4 5:7 8
12 Miramar Misiones 2 1 5 11:16 7
13 Plaza Colonia 2 1 4 4:10 7
14 Defensor Sporting 2 1 5 5:12 7
15 Club Atletico Progreso 1 3 4 6:11 6
16 Montevideo Wanderers 1 1 6 5:15 4

Primera Division 2025, Apertura

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Penarol 5 2 1 11:5 17
2 Nacional De Football 5 1 1 18:7 16
3 Liverpool Montevideo 4 3 1 10:4 15
4 Juventud De Las Piedras 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Racing Club de Montevideo 4 2 2 7:4 14
6 Plaza Colonia 3 3 2 8:7 12
7 Defensor Sporting 3 2 2 7:6 11
8 Boston River 3 2 2 9:10 11
9 Club Atletico Progreso 2 4 1 9:10 10
10 Torque 2 3 3 7:11 9
11 Danubio 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Cerro Largo 1 3 3 3:6 6
13 Cerro 1 3 4 6:13 6
14 Montevideo Wanderers 1 1 5 5:11 4
15 Miramar Misiones 1 1 5 8:15 4
16 CA River Plate 0 3 5 6:13 3
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Datasets to include

Likelihood Statistics
Previous Matches
Mutual Games
Head to Head
Scoring and Conceding Statistics
Averages
Variance Statistics
Comeback and Winning factors
Odds
Live Match Statistics and Events
Pregame recommendation: **Bet:** Cerro Largo +0.25 **Winning Probability:** 75% **Odds:** 1.875 **Reasoning:** Plaza Colonia has been abysmal at home, failing to win any of their 7 Clausura matches (0W-1D-6L). Conversely, Cerro Largo has a strong away record in the Clausura, avoiding defeat in 5 of 7 games. This bet wins on an away win or a draw, which is highly probable given the home team's poor form.

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    The Comeback Factor What is it? The Comeback Factor measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match. It tells you how often a team can bounce back by scoring the next goal after the other team has taken the lead. How does it work? Every time a team falls behind, […]

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Everything you need to know about football betting statistics, live scores, and using BetBallers effectively

What statistics and features does BetBallers provide for football betting?

BetBallers is a comprehensive tool designed for football bettors to enhance in-play and pre-game betting performance. The platform provides:

  • Live Match Statistics: Real-time stats including dangerous attacks, corners, shots, and pressure index for all in-play matches
  • Likelihood Stats: Color-coded system covering all markets from First Half Overs to Corners, making it easy to spot whether odds are backed by statistics
  • Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
  • Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
  • xG Stats: Expected goals available on both match pages and in-play pages within the likelihood stats column
  • Pressure Index: Combines dangerous attacks, total shots, and corners to measure which team is dominating the match

The platform features a customizable and user-friendly layout with the best coverage of games to ensure you never miss potential betting opportunities.

How does the BetBallers notification system work?

BetBallers offers a powerful notification system that significantly reduces the chance of missing potential bets:

  • Custom Notifications: Create pre-set or fully customizable notifications using combinations of real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds
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  • Visual Alerts: Notifications appear on the top right corner when matches meet your set criteria
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Example notification: Alert for home underdogs losing by 1 goal but with 66%+ Pressure Index, Asian Handicap +0.5, and kick-off odds under 5.00. This specific notification has achieved a 71% win rate (52 wins, 21 losses) in backtesting.

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  • Retrospective Likelihood Stats: Each game's likelihood stats are calculated retrospectively from that particular match for accurate testing
  • Results in Minutes: Get comprehensive backtest results in minutes or even seconds, depending on your rule complexity
  • Advanced Filtering: Filter results by Asian Handicap, Goal Line, Asian Corners, specific days, goals scored within 2 minutes, or missing dangerous attacks

The backtesting system excludes E-Soccer, Beach Soccer, and other shortened matches to ensure data quality. This feature is available to all Gold-Ballers subscription users (1, 3, or 6-month plans).

How does the AI Assistant enhance betting decisions?

BetBallers' AI Assistant helps identify the best value bets and provides quick match insights to enhance your betting strategy:

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The AI Assistant helps you make faster, more informed betting decisions by processing complex statistical relationships that would be time-consuming to analyze manually.

What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

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  • Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
  • Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

How do Likelihood Stats help identify value bets?

Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

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Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

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Variance Stats help you exploit consistent market inefficiencies by showing which teams the bookmakers systematically misprice across the most popular betting markets.

What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
  • Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

What subscription plans does BetBallers offer and what features are included?

BetBallers offers a free trial and multiple subscription tiers to suit different betting needs:

  • Free 2-Day Trial: €4.90 - Test all features with full access for 2 days
  • 1-Month Gold-Baller: €29.99 - Full access to all features including AI Assistant and backtesting system
  • 6-Month Gold-Baller: €149.90 - Extended subscription with significant savings per month

All Gold-Baller subscriptions include:

  • Live scores and in-play statistics for all major leagues
  • Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
  • Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
  • AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
  • Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.