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Italy Serie A

[17] Fiorentina 1
2 Roma [3]

Round: 6
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  • Lineups
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Lineups

Lineup

3-5-1-1 3-4-2-1
43 - David De Gea Mile Svilar - 99
5 - Marin Pongracic Zeki Celik - 19
18 - Pablo Mari Gianluca Mancini - 23
6 - Luca Ranieri Evan N Dicka - 5
2 - Dodo Wesley Franca - 43
8 - Rolando Mandragora Bryan Cristante - 4
14 - Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Manu Kone - 17
22 - Jacopo Fazzini Kostas Tsimikas - 12
21 - Robin Gosens Matias Soule - 18
10 - Albert Gudmundsson Tommaso Baldanzi - 35
20 - Moise Kean Artem Dovbyk - 9

Substitutes

26 - Mattia Viti Niccolo Pisilli - 61
65 - Fabiano Parisi Lorenzo Pellegrini - 7
91 - Roberto Piccoli Buba Sangare - 66
27 - Cher Ndour Mario Hermoso - 22
44 - Nicolo Fagioli Devyne Rensch - 2
1 - Luca Lezzerini Daniele Ghilardi - 87
24 - Amir Richardson Pierluigi Gollini - 95
11 - Abdelhamid Sabiri Neil El Aynaoui - 8
60 - Eddy Kouadio Paulo Dybala - 21
29 - Niccolo Fortini Devis Vasquez - 32
9 - Edin Dzeko Stephan El Shaarawy - 92
15 - Pietro Comuzzo Evan Ferguson - 11
30 - Tommaso Martinelli Jan Ziolkowski - 24
  • Main (5)
Show 1st half stats
Date Home Score Away 1x2 Drop Home Asian Handicap Goal Line Asian Corners Dangerous Attacks Total Shots Shots on Target Corners     
04-05-2025 16:00 2 [7] Roma 1 - 0 Fiorentina [8] 2
S: - 3.50 ?
K: ?3.40 -
 0%
?
2.080
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?

12-12

?-?

7-4

Open single page
27-10-2024 19:45 2 [9] Fiorentina 5 - 1 Roma [11] 1 4
S: - 3.25 ?
K: ?3.25 -
 0%
?
1.800
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?

21-14

?-?

6-2

Open single page
10-03-2024 19:45 2 [8] Fiorentina 2 - 2 Roma [5] 5
S: - 3.30 ?
K: ?3.25 -
 8%
?
2.080
-
?
?
1.900, 1.900
?-?

15-10

?-?

8-2

Open single page
10-12-2023 19:45 4 2 [4] Roma 1 - 1 Fiorentina [6] 3
S: - 3.20 ?
K: ?3.25 -
 6%
?
2.070
-
?
?
1.900, 1.900
?-?

4-14

?-?

1-6

Open single page
27-05-2023 16:00 5 [11] Fiorentina 2 - 1 Roma [6] 3
S: - 3.40 ?
K: ?3.25 -
 8%
?
1.820
-
?
?
1.925, 1.875
?-?

15-8

?-?

7-4

Open single page
Fiorentina Roma
Corner 93 - 7th Corner - Fiorentina
90 - 13th Shot Off Target - Roma
Corner 89 - 6th Corner - Roma
89 - 6th Shot On Target - Roma
82 - 12th Shot Off Target - Fiorentina
Substitution 81 - Substitution - Fiorentina
Substitution 81 - Substitution - Roma
Substitution 81 - Substitution - Roma
Substitution 75 - Substitution - Fiorentina
Substitution 75 - Substitution - Fiorentina
74 - 11th Shot Off Target - Fiorentina
69 - 10th Shot Off Target - Fiorentina
70 - 6th Yellow Card - Fiorentina
Substitution 67 - Substitution - Roma
68 - 4th Yellow Card - Roma
Substitution 67 - Substitution - Fiorentina
65 - 3rd Yellow Card - Roma
Substitution 59 - Substitution - Roma
Substitution 59 - Substitution - Roma
57 - 9th Shot Off Target - Fiorentina
Corner 56 - 5th Corner - Fiorentina
56 - 8th Shot Off Target - Fiorentina
50 - 7th Shot Off Target - Roma
54 - 2nd Offside - Fiorentina
51 - 5th Shot On Target - Fiorentina
Substitution 46 - Substitution - Fiorentina
Corner 44 - 4th Corner - Roma
43 - 2nd Yellow Card - Fiorentina
38 - 6th Shot Off Target - Fiorentina
38 - 4th Shot On Target - Fiorentina
37 - 1st Offside - Fiorentina
36 - 5th Shot Off Target - Roma
Corner 32 - 3rd Corner - Fiorentina
32 - 4th Shot Off Target - Fiorentina
30 - 3rd Assist - Roma
30 - 3rd Shot On Target - Roma
Goal 30 - 3rd Goal - Roma
Corner 30 - 2nd Corner - Roma
Corner 28 - 1st Corner - Roma
27 - 3rd Shot Off Target - Roma
22 - 2nd Assist - Roma
22 - 2nd Shot On Target - Roma
Goal 22 - 2nd Goal - Roma
14 - 1st Assist - Fiorentina
14 - 1st Shot On Target - Fiorentina
Goal 14 - 1st Goal - Fiorentina
8 - 2nd Shot Off Target - Roma
4 - 1st Shot Off Target - Fiorentina
3 - 1st Yellow Card - Roma
  • Current
  • 1st Half
  • 2nd Half
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
  • Last 15
  • Last 20
  • Last 25
  • Since Last Goal
Full-Time xG Corners Penalties Substitutions Offsides Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Injures Goals
Fiorentina 0.83 3 2 0 0 5 3 2 2 17 82 4 1
Roma 1.34 4 3 0 0 5 0 2 2 22 88 4 2
45%
Possession
55%
3
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
5
92
Attacks
89
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
14:56 - 1x2: 501.000 23.000 1.012
14:54 - Asian Handicap: (0) 1.450, 2.800
14:54 - Goal Line: (3.5) 8.500, 1.080
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 1 0 0 0 1 0
Roma 1 0 0 0 2 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
2
Shots off Target
1
20
Attacks
19
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
1st Half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 1 1
Roma 3 1 0 0 0 2
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
3
39
Attacks
52
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
2nd half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 2 1 0 0 4 0
Roma 1 2 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
1
5
Shots off Target
2
53
Attacks
37
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 5 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 1 0 0 0 0 0
Roma 1 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
0
Shots off Target
1
11
Attacks
10
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 10 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 1 0 0 0 1 0
Roma 1 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
1
Shots off Target
1
16
Attacks
17
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 1 0 0 0 0 0
Roma 1 0 0 0 2 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
2
Shots off Target
1
20
Attacks
19
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 20 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 1 0 0 0 3 0
Roma 1 0 0 0 2 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
2
Shots off Target
1
25
Attacks
22
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 25 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 4 0
Roma 1 1 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
1
31
Attacks
23
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Last Goal Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 3 2 0 0 5 0
Roma 2 2 0 0 5 1
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
2
7
Shots off Target
3
71
Attacks
55
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
14:56 - 1x2: 501.000 23.000 1.012
14:54 - Asian Handicap: (0) 1.450, 2.800
14:54 - Goal Line: (3.5) 8.500, 1.080

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Statistics based on last games

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UEFA Conference League

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Strasbourg 5 1 0 11:5 16
2 Rakow Czestochowa 4 2 0 9:2 14
3 AEK Athens 4 1 1 14:7 13
4 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 10:3 13
5 Rayo Vallecano 4 1 1 13:7 13
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 4 1 1 10:5 13
7 Mainz 4 1 1 7:3 13
8 AEK Larnaca 3 3 0 7:1 12
9 Lausanne Sports 3 2 1 6:3 11
10 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 11:6 10
11 Lech Poznan 3 1 2 12:8 10
12 Samsunspor 3 1 2 10:6 10
13 NK Celje 3 1 2 8:7 10
14 AZ 3 1 2 7:7 10
15 Fiorentina 3 0 3 8:5 9
16 HNK Rijeka 2 3 1 5:2 9
17 Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 3 1 5:4 9
18 Omonia Nicosia 2 2 2 5:4 8
19 FC Noah 2 2 2 6:7 8
20 KF Drita 2 2 2 4:8 8
21 KuPS Kuopio 1 4 1 6:5 7
22 Shkendija Tetovo 2 1 3 4:5 7
23 Zrinjski Mostar 2 1 3 8:10 7
24 Sigma Olomouc 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 CS U Craiova 2 1 3 6:8 7
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 1 3 7:15 7
27 Dynamo Kiev 2 0 4 9:9 6
28 Legia Warsaw 2 0 4 8:8 6
29 Slovan Bratislava 2 0 4 5:9 6
30 Breidablik 1 2 3 6:11 5
31 Shamrock Rovers 1 1 4 7:13 4
32 BK Hacken 0 3 3 5:8 3
33 Hamrun Spartans 1 0 5 4:11 3
34 Shelbourne 0 2 4 0:7 2
35 Aberdeen 0 2 4 3:14 2
36 Rapid Vienna 0 1 5 3:14 1

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Rayo Vallecano 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Rakow Czestochowa 3 0 0 7:1 9
3 Mainz 3 0 0 5:1 9
4 AEK Athens 2 1 0 10:3 7
5 Zrinjski Mostar 2 1 0 8:2 7
6 Sparta Prague 2 1 0 7:1 7
7 Lech Poznan 2 1 0 7:2 7
8 AEK Larnaca 2 1 0 5:0 7
9 Lausanne Sports 2 1 0 5:1 7
10 HNK Rijeka 2 1 0 4:0 7
11 Strasbourg 2 1 0 6:3 7
12 NK Celje 2 1 0 5:2 7
13 Shkendija Tetovo 2 1 0 4:1 7
14 AZ 2 1 0 3:0 7
15 Lincoln Red Imps FC 2 1 0 5:3 7
16 Dynamo Kiev 2 0 1 8:2 6
17 Samsunspor 2 0 1 7:2 6
18 Fiorentina 2 0 1 4:2 6
19 FC Noah 2 0 1 4:3 6
19 Slovan Bratislava 2 0 1 4:3 6
21 Jagiellonia Bialystok 2 0 1 3:2 6
22 Breidablik 1 2 0 5:3 5
23 KuPS Kuopio 1 2 0 4:2 5
24 Crystal Palace 1 1 1 5:4 4
25 Shakhtar Donetsk 1 1 1 3:2 4
26 Sigma Olomouc 1 1 1 4:4 4
27 CS U Craiova 1 1 1 3:3 4
28 KF Drita 1 1 1 2:4 4
29 Legia Warsaw 1 0 2 4:3 3
30 Omonia Nicosia 1 0 2 2:2 3
31 Shamrock Rovers 1 0 2 4:5 3
32 Hamrun Spartans 1 0 2 3:4 3
33 BK Hacken 0 2 1 4:5 2
34 Aberdeen 0 1 2 3:5 1
35 Shelbourne 0 1 2 0:4 1
36 Rapid Vienna 0 0 3 0:5 0

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Shakhtar Donetsk 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Strasbourg 3 0 0 5:2 9
3 Crystal Palace 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Sparta Prague 2 0 1 3:2 6
5 AEK Athens 2 0 1 4:4 6
6 Omonia Nicosia 1 2 0 3:2 5
7 AEK Larnaca 1 2 0 2:1 5
7 Rakow Czestochowa 1 2 0 2:1 5
9 Rayo Vallecano 1 1 1 5:5 4
10 Mainz 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Samsunspor 1 1 1 3:4 4
12 Lausanne Sports 1 1 1 1:2 4
13 KF Drita 1 1 1 2:4 4
14 Fiorentina 1 0 2 4:3 3
15 Jagiellonia Bialystok 0 3 0 2:2 3
16 Lech Poznan 1 0 2 5:6 3
17 Legia Warsaw 1 0 2 4:5 3
18 CS U Craiova 1 0 2 3:5 3
18 NK Celje 1 0 2 3:5 3
18 Sigma Olomouc 1 0 2 3:5 3
21 AZ 1 0 2 4:7 3
22 KuPS Kuopio 0 2 1 2:3 2
23 HNK Rijeka 0 2 1 1:2 2
24 FC Noah 0 2 1 2:4 2
25 BK Hacken 0 1 2 1:3 1
26 Shelbourne 0 1 2 0:3 1
27 Shamrock Rovers 0 1 2 3:8 1
28 Rapid Vienna 0 1 2 3:9 1
29 Aberdeen 0 1 2 0:9 1
30 Shkendija Tetovo 0 0 3 0:4 0
31 Slovan Bratislava 0 0 3 1:6 0
32 Dynamo Kiev 0 0 3 1:7 0
32 Hamrun Spartans 0 0 3 1:7 0
34 Breidablik 0 0 3 1:8 0
35 Zrinjski Mostar 0 0 3 0:8 0
36 Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 0 3 2:12 0

Italy Serie A

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

Serie A 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Inter Milan 25 4 5 80:31 79
2 Napoli 21 6 7 52:33 69
3 AC Milan 19 10 5 48:27 67
4 Juventus 18 10 6 57:29 64
5 Como 17 10 7 59:28 61
6 Roma 19 4 11 48:29 61
7 Atalanta 14 12 8 47:32 54
8 Lazio 12 12 10 37:33 48
9 Bologna 14 6 14 42:41 48
10 Sassuolo 13 7 14 41:44 46
11 Udinese 12 8 14 41:46 44
12 Parma 10 12 12 25:40 42
13 Torino 11 8 15 39:56 41
14 Genoa 10 9 15 40:48 39
15 Fiorentina 8 13 13 38:45 37
16 Cagliari 9 9 16 36:49 36
17 Lecce 7 8 19 22:46 29
18 Cremonese 6 10 18 26:51 28
19 Verona 3 10 21 23:56 19
20 Pisa 2 12 20 24:61 18

Serie A 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Inter Milan 13 2 2 47:15 41
2 Napoli 12 4 1 30:15 40
3 Juventus 10 6 1 34:13 36
4 Roma 11 3 3 27:10 36
5 Como 9 5 3 34:15 32
6 Atalanta 9 5 3 25:14 32
7 AC Milan 9 5 3 22:16 32
8 Lazio 7 6 4 25:21 27
9 Sassuolo 8 2 7 21:23 26
10 Torino 7 3 7 23:26 24
11 Genoa 6 4 8 21:24 22
12 Cagliari 6 4 7 20:20 22
13 Bologna 6 2 9 16:20 20
14 Udinese 5 5 7 16:20 20
15 Fiorentina 4 7 6 20:20 19
16 Parma 4 6 7 13:22 18
17 Lecce 4 5 8 12:23 17
18 Cremonese 2 7 7 13:23 13
19 Pisa 2 4 11 8:21 10
20 Verona 1 5 11 12:25 8

Serie A 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Inter Milan 12 2 3 33:16 38
2 AC Milan 10 5 2 26:11 35
3 Como 8 5 4 25:13 29
4 Napoli 9 2 6 22:18 29
5 Juventus 8 4 5 23:16 28
6 Bologna 8 4 5 26:21 28
7 Roma 8 1 8 21:19 25
8 Udinese 7 3 7 25:26 24
9 Parma 6 6 5 12:18 24
10 Atalanta 5 7 5 22:18 22
11 Lazio 5 6 6 12:12 21
12 Sassuolo 5 5 7 20:21 20
13 Fiorentina 4 6 7 18:25 18
14 Genoa 4 5 7 19:24 17
15 Torino 4 5 8 16:30 17
16 Cremonese 4 3 11 13:28 15
17 Cagliari 3 5 9 16:29 14
18 Lecce 3 3 11 10:23 12
19 Verona 2 5 10 11:31 11
20 Pisa 0 8 9 16:40 8
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Datasets to include

Likelihood Statistics
Previous Matches
Mutual Games
Head to Head
Scoring and Conceding Statistics
Averages
Variance Statistics
Comeback and Winning factors
Odds
Live Match Statistics and Events
Pregame recommendation: **Bet:** 1st Half Over 4.0 Asian Corners **Winning Probability:** 65% **Odds:** 1.825 **Reasoning:** The provided data indicates a 65% combined likelihood for over 4 corners in the first half. This is strongly supported by Fiorentina's home games, which have an 80% probability of exceeding this line. The teams' combined first-half corner average is 4.6, further justifying this selection.

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    Enhanced Winning and Comeback Statistics We’ve refined our winning and comeback formulas with two key improvements: New filtering option: You can now exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics Transparency feature: Hover over any stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation These enhanced statistics are now available across […]

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    The Comeback Factor What is it? The Comeback Factor measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match. It tells you how often a team can bounce back by scoring the next goal after the other team has taken the lead. How does it work? Every time a team falls behind, […]

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Why Choose BetBallers for Football Betting Statistics?

The most comprehensive football betting platform with live scores, in-play statistics, AI assistant, backtesting tools, and unique analytical features

  • Live Football Scores & In-Play Stats

    Real-time match data with live scores, in-play statistics, dangerous attacks, and pressure index for informed betting decisions.

    Live Scores In-Play Stats Real-Time Data

  • Comeback & Winning Factor Analysis Unique

    Proprietary metric measuring how teams recover after falling behind - exclusive to BetBallers for underdog betting strategies.

    Comeback Factor Underdog Stats Winning Factor

  • Football Betting Statistics & Odds

    Complete match statistics including corners, shots, Asian handicap data, head-to-head records, and betting odds comparison.

    Statistics Betting Odds Asian Handicap

  • Momentum Betting Tracker aka Pressure Index

    Track game momentum shifts in real-time to identify betting opportunities during live matches with visual momentum indicators.

    Momentum Live Betting Match Flow

  • Match Schedule, Results & Standings

    Complete fixture schedule, historical results, league standings, and pre-match analysis for Premier League, La Liga, and 100+ leagues.

    Schedule Results Standings

  • Customizable Betting Alerts

    Set personalized notifications for goals, corners, cards, and statistical thresholds across your favorite teams and leagues.

    Alerts Notifications Custom

  • AI Betting Assistant & Agent AI Powered

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    AI Assistant Smart Predictions AI Agent

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    Test your betting strategies against historical data, analyze ROI, track performance metrics, and optimize your betting approach with proven results.

    Backtesting Strategy Testing ROI Analysis

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Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about football betting statistics, live scores, and using BetBallers effectively

What statistics and features does BetBallers provide for football betting?

BetBallers is a comprehensive tool designed for football bettors to enhance in-play and pre-game betting performance. The platform provides:

  • Live Match Statistics: Real-time stats including dangerous attacks, corners, shots, and pressure index for all in-play matches
  • Likelihood Stats: Color-coded system covering all markets from First Half Overs to Corners, making it easy to spot whether odds are backed by statistics
  • Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
  • Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
  • xG Stats: Expected goals available on both match pages and in-play pages within the likelihood stats column
  • Pressure Index: Combines dangerous attacks, total shots, and corners to measure which team is dominating the match

The platform features a customizable and user-friendly layout with the best coverage of games to ensure you never miss potential betting opportunities.

How does the BetBallers notification system work?

BetBallers offers a powerful notification system that significantly reduces the chance of missing potential bets:

  • Custom Notifications: Create pre-set or fully customizable notifications using combinations of real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds
  • Automated Scanning: The system automatically scans all in-play games and alerts you when your criteria is met
  • Visual Alerts: Notifications appear on the top right corner when matches meet your set criteria
  • Results Tracking: The system tracks all notifications received with results easily filterable by different options

Example notification: Alert for home underdogs losing by 1 goal but with 66%+ Pressure Index, Asian Handicap +0.5, and kick-off odds under 5.00. This specific notification has achieved a 71% win rate (52 wins, 21 losses) in backtesting.

What is the Backtesting System and how does it work?

The Backtesting System is a game-changing feature that validates your in-play betting strategies in minutes instead of waiting months for results:

  • Massive Data Analysis: Every test analyzes the last 100,000 finished games (approximately 5-6 months of matches) from the database
  • Live Scenario Simulation: Simulates live betting scenarios based on your custom notification rules for each game
  • Retrospective Likelihood Stats: Each game's likelihood stats are calculated retrospectively from that particular match for accurate testing
  • Results in Minutes: Get comprehensive backtest results in minutes or even seconds, depending on your rule complexity
  • Advanced Filtering: Filter results by Asian Handicap, Goal Line, Asian Corners, specific days, goals scored within 2 minutes, or missing dangerous attacks

The backtesting system excludes E-Soccer, Beach Soccer, and other shortened matches to ensure data quality. This feature is available to all Gold-Ballers subscription users (1, 3, or 6-month plans).

How does the AI Assistant enhance betting decisions?

BetBallers' AI Assistant helps identify the best value bets and provides quick match insights to enhance your betting strategy:

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  • Live Match Intelligence: Each live game includes an AI assistant tab providing real-time analysis based on your customized dataset preferences
  • Quick Match Overviews: Get instant summaries of match situations without manually reviewing all statistics

The AI Assistant helps you make faster, more informed betting decisions by processing complex statistical relationships that would be time-consuming to analyze manually.

What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

  • What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
  • How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
  • Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
  • Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

How do Likelihood Stats help identify value bets?

Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

  • Comprehensive Market Coverage: Covers all possible markets from First Half Overs to Corners and everything in between
  • Color-Coded Indicators: Visual system makes it easy to spot at a glance whether odds represent good value or not
  • Historical Validation: Shows how current match statistics compare to historical performance patterns
  • In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

Combine Likelihood Stats with live statistics to avoid situations where real-time stats aren't backed up by historical performance. This dual approach helps identify genuinely profitable betting opportunities rather than statistical anomalies.

What are Variance Stats and how do they identify mispriced teams?

Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

  • Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
  • Goal Line Variance: Identifies teams whose matches regularly go over or under expected totals
  • Asian Corners Variance: Reveals teams that generate more or fewer corners than bookmakers expect
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Variance Stats help you exploit consistent market inefficiencies by showing which teams the bookmakers systematically misprice across the most popular betting markets.

What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
  • Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

What subscription plans does BetBallers offer and what features are included?

BetBallers offers a free trial and multiple subscription tiers to suit different betting needs:

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  • 1-Month Gold-Baller: €29.99 - Full access to all features including AI Assistant and backtesting system
  • 6-Month Gold-Baller: €149.90 - Extended subscription with significant savings per month

All Gold-Baller subscriptions include:

  • Live scores and in-play statistics for all major leagues
  • Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
  • Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
  • AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
  • Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.