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Argentina Liga Profesional

[1] Velez Sarsfield 2
0 Estudiantes LP [20]

Round: 15
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Lineups

Lineup

4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1
1 - Tomas Marchiori Matias Mansilla - 12
4 - Joaquin Garcia Facundo Rodriguez - 2
2 - Emanuel Mammana Juan Sebastian Boselli - 14
31 - Diego Gomez Luciano Lollo - 26
3 - Elias Gomez Santiago Arzamendia - 15
32 - Christian Nahuel Ordonez Santiago Ascacibar - 5
5 - Jalil Elias Enzo Perez - 22
20 - Francisco Pizzini Tiago Palacios - 32
22 - Claudio Aquino Pablo Piatti - 10
27 - Thiago Cruz Fernandez Edwuin Cetre - 18
9 - Braian Romero Guido Carrillo - 9

Substitutes

34 - Damian Fernandez Fabricio Alexis Perez Escudero - 37
6 - Aaron Quiros Federico Fernandez - 6
12 - Randall Rodriguez Fabricio Iacovich - 1
11 - Matias Pellegrini Jose Sosa - 7
24 - Tomas Guidara Eric Meza - 20
48 - Francisco Montoro Gabriel Neves - 8
47 - Benjamin Bosch Santiago Gabriel Flores - 4
45 - Felipe Bussio Alexis Castillo Manyoma - 19
19 - Leonel David Roldan Bautista Kociubinski - 24
36 - Alvaro Montoro Gaston Benedetti Taffarel - 13
35 - Santiago Caseres Matias Contrera - 45
23 - Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone -
  • Main (5)
Show 1st half stats
Date Home Score Away 1x2 Drop Home Asian Handicap Goal Line Asian Corners Dangerous Attacks Total Shots Shots on Target Corners     
02-03-2026 22:15 4 [1] Estudiantes LP 0 - 1 Velez Sarsfield [2] 4
S: - 2.88 ?
K: ?2.62 -
 1%
?
1.775
-
?
?
1.950, 1.850
?-?

13-8

?-?

9-4

Open single page
08-07-2025 23:30 4 1 Estudiantes LP 0 - 2 Velez Sarsfield 4
S: - 3.10 ?
K: ?3.00 -
 3%
?
2.075
-
?
?
1.925, 1.875
?-?

11-8

?-?

6-4

Open single page
22-12-2024 0:00 3 Velez Sarsfield 0 - 3 Estudiantes LP 4
S: - 3.00 ?
K: ?3.10 -
 12%
?
2.025
-
?
?
1.950, 1.850
?-?

16-17

?-?

3-5

Open single page
05-05-2024 18:30 6 1 [2] Estudiantes LP 5 - 4 Velez Sarsfield [4] 1 4
S: - 3.10 ?
K: ?3.10 -
 8%
?
2.050
-
?
?
1.925, 1.875
?-?

13-15

?-?

7-3

Open single page
08-05-2023 0:00 2 [8] Estudiantes LP 2 - 0 Velez Sarsfield [20] 2
S: - 3.25 ?
K: ?3.25 -
 0%
?
1.925
-
?
?
1.800, 2.000
?-?

16-7

?-?

5-6

Open single page
Velez Sarsfield Estudiantes LP
91 - 17th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 89 - Substitution - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 89 - Substitution - Velez Sarsfield
Corner 91 - 10th Corner - Velez Sarsfield
87 - 1st Assist - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 85 - Substitution - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 85 - Substitution - Velez Sarsfield
87 - 10th Shot On Target - Velez Sarsfield
Goal 87 - 2nd Goal - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 82 - Substitution - Estudiantes LP
Substitution 82 - Substitution - Estudiantes LP
84 - 5th Yellow Card - Estudiantes LP
82 - 9th Shot On Target - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 80 - Substitution - Estudiantes LP
77 - 3rd Offside - Velez Sarsfield
74 - 8th Shot On Target - Velez Sarsfield
Substitution 72 - Substitution - Estudiantes LP
Substitution 72 - Substitution - Estudiantes LP
74 - 16th Shot Off Target - Estudiantes LP
71 - 2nd Offside - Estudiantes LP
Corner 70 - 9th Corner - Velez Sarsfield
Corner 69 - 8th Corner - Velez Sarsfield
67 - 15th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
66 - 14th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
65 - 7th Shot On Target - Velez Sarsfield
Corner 66 - 7th Corner - Velez Sarsfield
64 - 4th Yellow Card - Estudiantes LP
61 - 13th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
60 - 12th Shot Off Target - Estudiantes LP
Corner 55 - 6th Corner - Velez Sarsfield
53 - 6th Shot On Target - Velez Sarsfield
Corner 54 - 5th Corner - Velez Sarsfield
51 - 11th Shot Off Target - Estudiantes LP
Corner 51 - 4th Corner - Estudiantes LP
48 - 3rd Yellow Card - Velez Sarsfield
48 - 10th Shot Off Target - Estudiantes LP
43 - 4th Shot On Target - Velez Sarsfield
Corner 44 - 3rd Corner - Velez Sarsfield
42 - 3rd Shot On Target - Estudiantes LP
41 - 9th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
39 - 8th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
Corner 40 - 2nd Corner - Velez Sarsfield
38 - 7th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
37 - 2nd Yellow Card - Estudiantes LP
36 - 6th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
31 - 2nd Shot On Target - Estudiantes LP
27 - 5th Shot Off Target - Estudiantes LP
23 - 5th Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
22 - 1st Yellow Card - Estudiantes LP
20 - 1st Offside - Velez Sarsfield
12 - 1st Shot On Target - Velez Sarsfield
Goal 12 - 1st Goal - Velez Sarsfield
11 - 3rd Shot Off Target - Velez Sarsfield
Corner 11 - 1st Corner - Velez Sarsfield
4 - 1st Shot Off Target - Estudiantes LP
  • Current
  • 1st Half
  • 2nd Half
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
  • Last 15
  • Last 20
  • Last 25
  • Since Last Goal
Full-Time xG Corners Penalties Substitutions Offsides Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Injures Goals
Velez Sarsfield 2.31 9 1 0 0 4 2 1 3 9 90 1 2
Estudiantes LP 0.56 1 4 0 0 5 1 6 1 12 104 1 0
48%
Possession
52%
8
Shots on Target
2
11
Shots off Target
8
88
Attacks
124
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
01:49 - 1x2: 1.002 51.000 451.000
01:53 - Asian Handicap: (0) 1.400, 3.000
01:53 - Goal Line: (2.5) 8.000, 1.090
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 1 0 0 0 4 1
Estudiantes LP 0 1 0 0 3 0
-
Possession
-
3
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
0
10
Attacks
21
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
1st Half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 3 0 0 0 0 1
Estudiantes LP 0 2 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
2
7
Shots off Target
4
49
Attacks
65
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
2nd half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 6 1 0 0 4 1
Estudiantes LP 1 2 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
6
Shots on Target
0
4
Shots off Target
4
39
Attacks
59
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 5 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 1 0 0 0 2 1
Estudiantes LP 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
0
4
Attacks
11
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 10 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 1 0 0 0 4 1
Estudiantes LP 0 1 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
0
5
Attacks
15
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 1 0 0 0 1 1
Estudiantes LP 0 1 0 0 3 0
-
Possession
-
3
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
0
10
Attacks
21
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 20 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 1 0 0 0 4 1
Estudiantes LP 0 1 0 0 5 0
-
Possession
-
4
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
1
15
Attacks
33
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 25 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 3 0 0 0 4 1
Estudiantes LP 0 1 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
4
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
1
18
Attacks
41
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Last Goal Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Velez Sarsfield 1 0 0 0 2 0
Estudiantes LP 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
0
4
Attacks
7
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
01:49 - 1x2: 1.002 51.000 451.000
01:53 - Asian Handicap: (0) 1.400, 3.000
01:53 - Goal Line: (2.5) 8.000, 1.090

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Statistics based on last games

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Argentina Liga Profesional

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

Apertura, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 10 4 2 29:15 34
2 River Plate 9 2 5 22:12 29
3 Argentinos Jrs 8 5 3 17:13 29
4 Rosario Central 8 4 4 20:16 28
5 Belgrano 7 5 4 17:13 26
6 Gimnasia LP 8 2 6 19:19 26
7 Huracan 5 7 4 17:13 22
8 Racing Club 5 6 5 17:15 21
9 Barracas Central 5 6 5 15:15 21
10 CA Tigre 4 8 4 18:15 20
11 Sarmiento 6 1 9 13:20 19
12 Banfield 5 3 8 17:19 18
13 Atlético Tucumán 3 5 8 15:20 14
14 CA Aldosivi 0 8 8 6:19 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1 2 13 5:24 5

Apertura, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Estudiantes LP 9 4 3 19:7 31
2 Boca Juniors 8 6 2 22:9 30
3 Velez Sarsfield 7 7 2 18:12 28
4 CA Talleres de Córdoba 7 5 4 17:13 26
5 CA Independiente 6 6 4 24:20 24
6 Lanus 6 6 4 18:15 24
7 San Lorenzo 5 7 4 14:14 22
8 Union Santa Fe 5 6 5 24:20 21
9 Instituto AC Cordoba 6 3 7 17:17 21
10 Defensa y Justicia 4 7 5 18:21 19
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 5 4 7 14:22 19
12 Platense 3 7 6 10:15 16
13 Central Cordoba 4 4 8 11:21 16
14 Newell's 3 6 7 15:27 15
15 Deportivo Riestra 1 8 7 5:12 11

Apertura, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Argentinos Jrs 6 3 0 10:4 21
2 Independiente Rivadavia 6 1 2 19:10 19
3 Sarmiento 5 1 2 9:6 16
4 River Plate 5 0 3 14:8 15
5 Belgrano 4 2 2 11:5 14
6 Banfield 4 2 2 10:6 14
7 Rosario Central 4 2 2 10:7 14
8 CA Tigre 3 4 1 11:8 13
9 Huracan 4 1 3 11:8 13
10 Gimnasia LP 4 1 3 11:10 13
11 Atlético Tucumán 2 5 1 8:6 11
12 Barracas Central 3 2 3 9:8 11
13 Racing Club 2 3 2 7:7 9
14 CA Aldosivi 0 7 1 3:5 7
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1 1 6 4:10 4

Apertura, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Estudiantes LP 5 1 2 11:4 16
2 CA Independiente 4 3 1 15:9 15
3 Velez Sarsfield 4 3 1 9:6 15
4 Boca Juniors 3 5 0 8:3 14
5 Union Santa Fe 3 4 1 11:5 13
6 Lanus 3 4 1 9:5 13
7 CA Talleres de Córdoba 4 1 2 9:5 13
8 Instituto AC Cordoba 4 1 3 11:8 13
9 Central Cordoba 4 1 3 10:9 13
10 Gimnasia Mendoza 4 1 3 9:8 13
11 San Lorenzo 3 2 3 10:11 11
12 Deportivo Riestra 1 5 2 4:4 8
13 Defensa y Justicia 1 5 2 7:10 8
14 Platense 2 2 4 4:8 8
15 Newell's 1 4 3 6:10 7

Apertura, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 4 3 0 10:5 15
2 River Plate 4 2 2 8:4 14
3 Rosario Central 4 2 2 10:9 14
4 Gimnasia LP 4 1 3 8:9 13
5 Racing Club 3 3 3 10:8 12
6 Belgrano 3 3 2 6:8 12
7 Barracas Central 2 4 2 6:7 10
8 Huracan 1 6 1 6:5 9
9 Argentinos Jrs 2 2 3 7:9 8
10 CA Tigre 1 4 3 7:7 7
11 Banfield 1 1 6 7:13 4
12 Atlético Tucumán 1 0 7 7:14 3
13 Sarmiento 1 0 7 4:14 3
14 CA Aldosivi 0 1 7 3:14 1
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0 1 7 1:14 1

Apertura, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Boca Juniors 5 1 2 14:6 16
2 Estudiantes LP 4 3 1 8:3 15
3 Velez Sarsfield 3 4 1 9:6 13
4 CA Talleres de Córdoba 3 4 2 8:8 13
5 San Lorenzo 2 5 1 4:3 11
6 Defensa y Justicia 3 2 3 11:11 11
7 Lanus 3 2 3 9:10 11
8 CA Independiente 2 3 3 9:11 9
9 Platense 1 5 2 6:7 8
10 Union Santa Fe 2 2 4 13:15 8
11 Instituto AC Cordoba 2 2 4 6:9 8
12 Newell's 2 2 4 9:17 8
13 Gimnasia Mendoza 1 3 4 5:14 6
14 Deportivo Riestra 0 3 5 1:8 3
15 Central Cordoba 0 3 5 1:12 3

Copa Libertadores

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group H

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Rosario Central 3 1 0 5:0 10
2 Independiente del Valle 2 1 1 6:5 7
3 UCV 2 0 2 6:7 6
4 Libertad Asuncion 0 0 4 3:8 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group G

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 LDU Quito 2 0 1 3:1 6
2 Lanus 2 0 2 2:5 6
3 Mirassol 2 0 1 3:2 6
4 Always Ready 1 0 3 4:4 3

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group F

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Palmeiras 2 2 0 6:3 8
2 Sporting Cristal 2 0 2 4:4 6
3 Cerro Porteno 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Junior 0 1 2 1:4 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group E

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Corinthians 3 1 0 7:1 10
2 Platense 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Independiente Santa Fe 0 2 2 3:6 2
4 Penarol 0 1 2 2:5 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group D

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Universidad Catolica 2 1 1 5:4 7
2 Cruzeiro 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Boca Juniors 2 0 2 5:3 6
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 1 0 3 2:6 3

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group C

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Bolivar 1 2 1 4:3 5
3 Deportivo La Guaira 0 3 1 3:6 3
4 Fluminense 0 2 2 2:5 2

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Deportes Tolima 2 1 1 7:3 7
2 Coquimbo Unido 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Universitario de Deportes 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Nacional De Football 1 1 2 6:9 4

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Flamengo 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Estudiantes LP 1 3 0 5:4 6
3 Independiente Medellin 1 1 1 3:5 4
4 Cusco FC 0 1 3 2:6 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group H

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 UCV 2 0 1 5:4 6
2 Rosario Central 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Independiente del Valle 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Libertad Asuncion 0 0 2 2:4 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group G

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Mirassol 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Lanus 2 0 0 2:0 6
3 LDU Quito 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Always Ready 1 0 1 4:1 3

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group F

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Sporting Cristal 2 0 1 3:2 6
2 Cerro Porteno 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Palmeiras 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Junior 0 1 0 1:1 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group E

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Corinthians 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Platense 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Independiente Santa Fe 0 2 0 2:2 2
4 Penarol 0 0 1 1:2 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group D

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Boca Juniors 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Cruzeiro 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Barcelona Guayaquil 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Universidad Catolica 0 1 1 1:2 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group C

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Bolivar 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira 0 2 0 1:1 2
4 Fluminense 0 0 1 1:2 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Deportes Tolima 2 1 0 6:0 7
2 Universitario de Deportes 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Nacional De Football 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Coquimbo Unido 0 1 0 1:1 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Independiente Medellin 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Estudiantes LP 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Flamengo 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Cusco FC 0 1 1 1:3 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group H

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Rosario Central 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Independiente del Valle 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 UCV 0 0 1 1:3 0
4 Libertad Asuncion 0 0 2 1:4 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group G

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 LDU Quito 1 0 1 1:1 3
2 Mirassol 0 0 1 0:2 0
3 Always Ready 0 0 2 0:3 0
4 Lanus 0 0 2 0:5 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group F

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Palmeiras 1 2 0 4:2 5
2 Sporting Cristal 0 0 1 1:2 0
3 Cerro Porteno 0 0 1 0:1 0
4 Junior 0 0 2 0:3 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group E

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Corinthians 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Platense 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Penarol 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Independiente Santa Fe 0 0 2 1:4 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group D

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Universidad Catolica 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Cruzeiro 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Boca Juniors 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 0 0 1 0:3 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group C

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Fluminense 0 2 1 1:3 2
3 Bolivar 0 1 1 1:2 1
4 Deportivo La Guaira 0 1 1 2:5 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group B

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Coquimbo Unido 1 0 1 2:3 3
2 Universitario de Deportes 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Nacional De Football 0 1 2 3:8 1
4 Deportes Tolima 0 0 1 1:3 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group A

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Flamengo 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Estudiantes LP 0 2 0 2:2 2
3 Independiente Medellin 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Cusco FC 0 0 2 1:3 0
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  • Massive Data Analysis: Every test analyzes the last 100,000 finished games (approximately 5-6 months of matches) from the database
  • Live Scenario Simulation: Simulates live betting scenarios based on your custom notification rules for each game
  • Retrospective Likelihood Stats: Each game's likelihood stats are calculated retrospectively from that particular match for accurate testing
  • Results in Minutes: Get comprehensive backtest results in minutes or even seconds, depending on your rule complexity
  • Advanced Filtering: Filter results by Asian Handicap, Goal Line, Asian Corners, specific days, goals scored within 2 minutes, or missing dangerous attacks

The backtesting system excludes E-Soccer, Beach Soccer, and other shortened matches to ensure data quality. This feature is available to all Gold-Ballers subscription users (1, 3, or 6-month plans).

How does the AI Assistant enhance betting decisions?

BetBallers' AI Assistant helps identify the best value bets and provides quick match insights to enhance your betting strategy:

  • Schedule Page Analysis: AI scans upcoming matches and highlights value betting opportunities with higher probability of success
  • Specific Betting Tips: Get concrete betting recommendations with explanations instead of sorting through raw data yourself
  • Live Match Intelligence: Each live game includes an AI assistant tab providing real-time analysis based on your customized dataset preferences
  • Quick Match Overviews: Get instant summaries of match situations without manually reviewing all statistics

The AI Assistant helps you make faster, more informed betting decisions by processing complex statistical relationships that would be time-consuming to analyze manually.

What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

  • What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
  • How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
  • Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
  • Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

How do Likelihood Stats help identify value bets?

Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

  • Comprehensive Market Coverage: Covers all possible markets from First Half Overs to Corners and everything in between
  • Color-Coded Indicators: Visual system makes it easy to spot at a glance whether odds represent good value or not
  • Historical Validation: Shows how current match statistics compare to historical performance patterns
  • In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

Combine Likelihood Stats with live statistics to avoid situations where real-time stats aren't backed up by historical performance. This dual approach helps identify genuinely profitable betting opportunities rather than statistical anomalies.

What are Variance Stats and how do they identify mispriced teams?

Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

  • Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
  • Goal Line Variance: Identifies teams whose matches regularly go over or under expected totals
  • Asian Corners Variance: Reveals teams that generate more or fewer corners than bookmakers expect
  • Quick Identification: Find the most mispriced teams in your league or competition instantly

Variance Stats help you exploit consistent market inefficiencies by showing which teams the bookmakers systematically misprice across the most popular betting markets.

What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
  • Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

What subscription plans does BetBallers offer and what features are included?

BetBallers offers a free trial and multiple subscription tiers to suit different betting needs:

  • Free 2-Day Trial: €4.90 - Test all features with full access for 2 days
  • 1-Month Gold-Baller: €29.99 - Full access to all features including AI Assistant and backtesting system
  • 6-Month Gold-Baller: €149.90 - Extended subscription with significant savings per month

All Gold-Baller subscriptions include:

  • Live scores and in-play statistics for all major leagues
  • Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
  • Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
  • AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
  • Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.