| 03-09 14:00 |
Al-Ahli Doha
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3.10 +0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 2.00 + 1.20 + 1.40) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
122 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 2.00 1.20 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.25 | 6.60 10.33 | 6.14 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.60 | 13.20 12.40 | 8.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 5.80 4.40 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
49.80 | 70.40 60.40 | 50.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 03-09 16:15 |
Al Sailiya SC
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-0.77 +0.48 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 11.62 Home: 11.62 / ((5.33 + 10.20) / 2) = 1.50 Away: 11.62 / ((4.45 + 5.82) / 2) = 2.26 Diff: 1.50 - 2.26 = -0.77 Error: -0.77 + AH line 1.25 = +0.48 |
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3.30 +0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 2.20 + 2.20 + 1.00) / 2 = 3.30 Error: 3.30 - Goal line 3.25 = +0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 320 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 2.20 2.20 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.33 | 4.45 5.82 | 10.20 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.40 | 9.80 12.80 | 10.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.40 | 4.00 6.40 | 3.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.40 | 55.00 47.60 | 42.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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