| 06-11 19:30 |
Bristol Rovers
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3.20 +0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (3.00 + 1.40 + 1.40 + 0.60) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.20| Opponent | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd |
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| Barnet | L 1-3 H 10-10-26 | L 0-1 A 28-03-26 | | Newport County | W 5-3 H 22-08-26 | W 2-0 A 21-02-26 | | Cheltenham | W 4-0 H 25-04-26 | D 1-1 A 06-04-26 | | Crawley Town | W 3-1 H 11-04-26 | W 3-0 A 10-02-26 | | Accrington Stanley | W 2-0 H 28-03-26 | D 1-1 A 07-03-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 3.00 - 1.40 | 1.40 - 0.60 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd |
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| Barnet | L 1-3 H 10-10-26 | L 0-1 A 28-03-26 | | Newport County | W 5-3 H 22-08-26 | W 2-0 A 21-02-26 | | Cheltenham | W 4-0 H 25-04-26 | D 1-1 A 06-04-26 | | Crawley Town | W 3-1 H 11-04-26 | W 3-0 A 10-02-26 | | Accrington Stanley | W 2-0 H 28-03-26 | D 1-1 A 07-03-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 3.00 - 1.40 | 1.40 - 0.60 |
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401 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
3.00 | 1.40 1.40 | 0.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.07 | 10.00 9.00 | 11.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.20 | 14.00 12.60 | 6.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 2.80 3.60 | 1.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
52.20 | 39.00 66.60 | 31.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 07-11 15:00 |
Barnet
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3.10 +0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 1.20 + 0.80 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.35| Opponent | Barnet | Tranmere |
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| Oldham | D 1-1 H 24-10-26 | L 1-3 A 20-12-25 | | Fleetwood Town | W 3-1 H 19-09-26 | D 0-0 A 14-03-26 | | Cheltenham | D 2-2 H 29-08-26 | W 3-1 A 21-04-26 | | Milton Keynes Dons | D 0-0 H 28-07-26 | L 0-3 A 25-04-26 | | Gillingham | W 6-2 H 25-04-26 | L 0-2 A 12-09-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 2.40 - 1.20 | 0.80 - 1.80 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Barnet | Tranmere |
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| Oldham | D 1-1 H 24-10-26 | L 1-3 A 20-12-25 | | Fleetwood Town | W 3-1 H 19-09-26 | D 0-0 A 14-03-26 | | Cheltenham | D 2-2 H 29-08-26 | W 3-1 A 21-04-26 | | Milton Keynes Dons | D 0-0 H 28-07-26 | L 0-3 A 25-04-26 | | Gillingham | W 6-2 H 25-04-26 | L 0-2 A 12-09-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 2.40 - 1.20 | 0.80 - 1.80 |
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230 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 1.20 0.80 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.17 | 8.17 15.25 | 8.22 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.40 | 9.80 12.20 | 14.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 3.80 3.40 | 4.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
54.00 | 34.80 47.00 | 56.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 07-11 15:00 |
Bromley
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2.50 -0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 1.60 + 0.60 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.50 Error: 2.50 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.50| Opponent | Bromley | Rotherham |
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| Peterborough | D 1-1 H 24-10-26 | L 0-5 A 17-03-26 | | Huddersfield | W 2-1 H 19-09-26 | L 0-1 A 07-03-26 | | Leyton Orient | L 0-5 H 01-09-26 | W 2-0 A 18-04-26 | | Bristol Rovers | W 1-0 H 14-03-26 | L 0-1 A 05-09-26 | | Cheltenham | D 1-1 H 17-02-26 | L 1-2 A 15-08-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.00 - 1.60 | 0.60 - 1.80 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Bromley | Rotherham |
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| Peterborough | D 1-1 H 24-10-26 | L 0-5 A 17-03-26 | | Huddersfield | W 2-1 H 19-09-26 | L 0-1 A 07-03-26 | | Leyton Orient | L 0-5 H 01-09-26 | W 2-0 A 18-04-26 | | Bristol Rovers | W 1-0 H 14-03-26 | L 0-1 A 05-09-26 | | Cheltenham | D 1-1 H 17-02-26 | L 1-2 A 15-08-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.00 - 1.60 | 0.60 - 1.80 |
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221 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.60 0.60 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.80 | 9.38 19.67 | 5.22 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.80 | 15.00 11.80 | 9.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 5.40 4.00 | 4.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
44.00 | 44.40 42.60 | 45.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 07-11 15:00 |
Huddersfield
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-0.08 -1.58 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 11.67 Home: 11.67 / ((7.90 + 6.20) / 2) = 1.66 Away: 11.67 / ((6.63 + 6.83) / 2) = 1.73 Diff: 1.66 - 1.73 = -0.08 Error: -0.08 + AH line -1.50 = -1.58 |
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3.40 +0.40 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.60 + 1.20 + 2.00) / 2 = 3.40 Error: 3.40 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.40| Opponent | Huddersfield | Exeter |
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| Luton | D 1-1 H 03-11-26 | L 2-3 A 17-03-26 | | Wigan | W 2-1 H 24-10-26 | L 0-2 A 21-03-26 | | Peterborough | W 4-1 H 20-10-26 | D 3-3 A 21-02-26 | | Mansfield | L 1-4 H 25-04-26 | D 0-0 A 07-02-26 | | Barnsley | W 2-1 H 21-02-26 | L 1-2 A 07-03-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 2.00 - 1.60 | 1.20 - 2.00 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Huddersfield | Exeter |
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| Luton | D 1-1 H 03-11-26 | L 2-3 A 17-03-26 | | Wigan | W 2-1 H 24-10-26 | L 0-2 A 21-03-26 | | Peterborough | W 4-1 H 20-10-26 | D 3-3 A 21-02-26 | | Mansfield | L 1-4 H 25-04-26 | D 0-0 A 07-02-26 | | Barnsley | W 2-1 H 21-02-26 | L 1-2 A 07-03-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 2.00 - 1.60 | 1.20 - 2.00 |
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311 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.60 1.20 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.90 | 6.63 6.83 | 6.20 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.80 | 10.60 8.20 | 12.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 4.00 2.40 | 5.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
55.20 | 35.00 41.60 | 44.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 07-11 15:00 |
Milton Keynes Dons
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2.80 -0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 0.80 + 1.50 + 1.50) / 2 = 2.80 Error: 2.80 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.20| Opponent | Milton Keynes Dons | Swindon |
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| Crawley Town | W 4-1 H 22-09-26 | D 2-2 A 07-03-26 | | Tranmere | W 3-0 H 25-04-26 | W 1-0 A 21-03-26 | | Barnet | L 1-3 H 21-03-26 | W 3-1 A 20-10-26 | | Colchester | W 1-0 H 18-03-26 | L 0-3 A 10-04-26 | | Crawley Town | D 0-0 H 17-02-26 | D 2-2 A 07-03-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.80 - 0.80 | 1.50 - 1.50 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Milton Keynes Dons | Swindon |
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| Crawley Town | W 4-1 H 22-09-26 | D 2-2 A 07-03-26 | | Tranmere | W 3-0 H 25-04-26 | W 1-0 A 21-03-26 | | Barnet | L 1-3 H 21-03-26 | W 3-1 A 20-10-26 | | Colchester | W 1-0 H 18-03-26 | L 0-3 A 10-04-26 | | Crawley Town | D 0-0 H 17-02-26 | D 2-2 A 07-03-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.80 - 0.80 | 1.50 - 1.50 |
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311 211 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.80 1.50 | 1.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.11 | 13.25 5.83 | 13.17 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.60 | 10.60 8.75 | 19.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 3.20 3.50 | 8.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
43.00 | 38.80 32.50 | 65.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 07-11 15:00 |
Newport County
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3.10 +0.60 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.00 + 1.80 + 1.40) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.60| Opponent | Newport County | Walsall |
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| Chesterfield | W 4-1 H 30-10-26 | D 2-2 A 31-01-26 | | Colchester | W 1-0 H 10-10-26 | W 3-1 A 31-10-26 | | Grimsby | W 2-1 H 26-09-26 | D 2-2 A 18-02-26 | | Fleetwood Town | D 1-1 H 12-09-26 | D 1-1 A 10-10-26 | | Tranmere | D 2-2 H 29-08-26 | D 1-1 A 26-09-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 2.00 - 1.00 | 1.80 - 1.40 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Newport County | Walsall |
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| Chesterfield | W 4-1 H 30-10-26 | D 2-2 A 31-01-26 | | Colchester | W 1-0 H 10-10-26 | W 3-1 A 31-10-26 | | Grimsby | W 2-1 H 26-09-26 | D 2-2 A 18-02-26 | | Fleetwood Town | D 1-1 H 12-09-26 | D 1-1 A 10-10-26 | | Tranmere | D 2-2 H 29-08-26 | D 1-1 A 26-09-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 2.00 - 1.00 | 1.80 - 1.40 |
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320 140 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.00 1.80 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.10 | 13.00 5.67 | 12.86 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.20 | 13.00 10.20 | 18.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 3.80 3.60 | 7.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
43.80 | 40.80 41.40 | 52.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 07-11 15:00 |
Gillingham
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3.67 +1.17 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 2.80 + 0.50 + 3.25) / 2 = 3.67 Error: 3.67 - Goal line 2.50 = +1.17| Opponent | Gillingham | Barrow |
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| Grimsby | L 1-4 H 24-10-26 | L 0-5 A 21-03-26 | | Cambridge Utd | L 1-4 H 22-09-26 | L 0-3 A 25-04-26 | | Shrewsbury | W 1-0 H 02-05-26 | L 1-2 A 10-02-26 | | Grimsby | L 1-4 H 18-04-26 | L 0-5 A 21-03-26 | | Swindon | L 0-2 H 17-03-26 | L 1-3 A 31-01-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 0.80 - 2.80 | 0.50 - 3.25 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Gillingham | Barrow |
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| Grimsby | L 1-4 H 24-10-26 | L 0-5 A 21-03-26 | | Cambridge Utd | L 1-4 H 22-09-26 | L 0-3 A 25-04-26 | | Shrewsbury | W 1-0 H 02-05-26 | L 1-2 A 10-02-26 | | Grimsby | L 1-4 H 18-04-26 | L 0-5 A 21-03-26 | | Swindon | L 0-2 H 17-03-26 | L 1-3 A 31-01-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 0.80 - 2.80 | 0.50 - 3.25 |
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104 004 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 2.80 0.50 | 3.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
12.50 | 5.14 21.00 | 4.62 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.00 | 14.40 10.50 | 15.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.20 | 6.00 3.00 | 6.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
42.40 | 40.00 47.00 | 53.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 07-11 20:00 |
Peterborough
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2.37 -0.38 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 1.60 + 1.67 + 0.67) / 2 = 2.37 Error: 2.37 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.38| Opponent | Peterborough | Reading |
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| Burton Albion | D 2-2 H 17-10-26 | W 2-1 A 17-03-26 | | Doncaster | L 0-2 H 19-09-26 | L 0-1 A 11-04-26 | | Stevenage | D 0-0 H 01-09-26 | W 3-0 A 25-08-26 | | Doncaster | L 1-3 H 02-05-26 | L 0-1 A 11-04-26 | | Burton Albion | D 1-1 H 19-04-26 | W 2-1 A 17-03-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 0.80 - 1.60 | 1.67 - 0.67 |
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5 3 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Peterborough | Reading |
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| Burton Albion | D 2-2 H 17-10-26 | W 2-1 A 17-03-26 | | Doncaster | L 0-2 H 19-09-26 | L 0-1 A 11-04-26 | | Stevenage | D 0-0 H 01-09-26 | W 3-0 A 25-08-26 | | Doncaster | L 1-3 H 02-05-26 | L 0-1 A 11-04-26 | | Burton Albion | D 1-1 H 19-04-26 | W 2-1 A 17-03-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 0.80 - 1.60 | 1.67 - 0.67 |
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032 201 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 1.60 1.67 | 0.67 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
17.75 | 9.00 6.00 | 19.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.20 | 14.40 10.00 | 12.67 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.20 | 6.40 3.67 | 4.33 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
44.20 | 37.60 32.00 | 49.67 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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