| 28-08 15:00 |
TJ Tatran Bohunice
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+0.84 -0.16 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.64 Home: 10.64 / ((7.11 + 3.71) / 2) = 1.97 Away: 10.64 / ((15.00 + 3.86) / 2) = 1.13 Diff: 1.97 - 1.13 = +0.84 Error: +0.84 + AH line -1.00 = -0.16 |
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2.50 -0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 0.40 + 1.40 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.50 Error: 2.50 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.50 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.40 1.40 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.11 | 15.00 3.86 | 3.71 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.80 | 6.00 5.40 | 5.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 1.20 1.80 | 1.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
70.80 | 49.80 32.40 | 44.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-08 15:30 |
FC Strani
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3.80 +0.30 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 1.00 + 1.40 + 2.80) / 2 = 3.80 Error: 3.80 - Goal line 3.50 = +0.30 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 1.00 1.40 | 2.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
2.75 | 3.60 3.43 | 3.86 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.60 | 3.60 4.80 | 10.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 2.00 2.00 | 3.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
34.20 | 33.80 46.00 | 72.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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