| 27-08 15:00 |
FK Sirvena
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+1.19 - Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 12.70 Home: 12.70 / ((2.30 + 4.57) / 2) = 3.70 Away: 12.70 / ((5.75 + 4.38) / 2) = 2.51 Diff: 3.70 - 2.51 = +1.19 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 0.80 1.60 | 4.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
2.30 | 5.75 4.38 | 4.57 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
4.60 | 4.60 7.00 | 19.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.40 | 1.20 3.00 | 9.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
28.80 | 34.20 35.20 | 74.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-08 15:00 |
FK Panevezys II
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3.30 -0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.60 + 1.20 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.30 Error: 3.30 - Goal line 3.50 = -0.20 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.60 1.20 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.90 | 6.88 4.83 | 5.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.80 | 11.00 5.80 | 10.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 5.00 1.80 | 4.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
61.40 | 61.80 39.60 | 80.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-08 15:00 |
Nevezis
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+1.99 - Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 12.70 Home: 12.70 / ((7.91 + 2.06) / 2) = 2.55 Away: 12.70 / ((39.00 + 6.80) / 2) = 0.55 Diff: 2.55 - 0.55 = +1.99 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 014 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 0.20 1.00 | 3.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.91 | 39.00 6.80 | 2.06 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
17.40 | 7.80 6.80 | 7.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
8.20 | 2.60 2.40 | 3.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
80.00 | 50.80 59.60 | 62.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-08 16:30 |
Vilnius Football Academy
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4.00 -0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.75 + 1.00 + 0.25 + 4.00) / 2 = 4.00 Error: 4.00 - Goal line 4.50 = -0.50 |
4 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
211 004 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.75 | 1.00 0.25 | 4.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.64 | 6.00 16.00 | 4.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.75 | 6.00 4.00 | 19.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.75 | 2.50 1.25 | 10.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
67.25 | 33.50 33.00 | 104.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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