| 05-09 18:00 |
Cerrito
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+0.34 +0.09 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 8.07 Home: 8.07 / ((7.33 + 4.78) / 2) = 1.33 Away: 8.07 / ((11.00 + 5.29) / 2) = 0.99 Diff: 1.33 - 0.99 = +0.34 Error: +0.34 + AH line -0.25 = +0.09 |
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2.40 -0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.40 + 1.40 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.40 1.40 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.33 | 11.00 5.29 | 4.78 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.80 | 4.40 7.40 | 8.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.40 | 1.80 3.60 | 4.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
64.20 | 60.60 60.60 | 60.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 22:00 |
Miramar Misiones
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1.90 -0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 1.00 + 1.00 + 1.20) / 2 = 1.90 Error: 1.90 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
032 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 1.00 1.00 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.67 | 6.80 7.20 | 8.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.20 | 6.80 7.20 | 10.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.60 | 2.20 3.20 | 4.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
37.00 | 38.40 53.40 | 67.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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