| 06-09 13:00 |
FK Transinvest
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-0.81 -0.31 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.62 Home: 9.62 / ((7.83 + 13.33) / 2) = 0.91 Away: 9.62 / ((4.86 + 6.30) / 2) = 1.72 Diff: 0.91 - 1.72 = -0.81 Error: -0.81 + AH line 0.50 = -0.31 |
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2.60 +0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.40 + 2.00 + 0.60) / 2 = 2.60 Error: 2.60 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 410 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.40 2.00 | 0.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.83 | 4.86 6.30 | 13.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.40 | 6.80 12.60 | 8.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.00 | 2.40 7.00 | 2.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
53.60 | 44.60 56.80 | 46.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 15:45 |
FK Kauno Zalgiris
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1.70 -0.80 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.60 + 0.60 + 1.00) / 2 = 1.70 Error: 1.70 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.80 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.60 0.60 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.33 | 12.00 14.33 | 6.80 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.00 | 7.20 8.60 | 6.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 3.20 3.00 | 3.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
52.40 | 39.00 51.60 | 51.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 16:00 |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
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+0.71 -1.04 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.62 Home: 9.62 / ((4.77 + 6.00) / 2) = 1.79 Away: 9.62 / ((10.33 + 7.57) / 2) = 1.07 Diff: 1.79 - 1.07 = +0.71 Error: +0.71 + AH line -1.75 = -1.04 |
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3.80 +0.55 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.60 + 1.20 + 1.40 + 2.40) / 2 = 3.80 Error: 3.80 - Goal line 3.25 = +0.55 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.60 | 1.20 1.40 | 2.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.77 | 10.33 7.57 | 6.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.40 | 12.40 10.60 | 14.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 4.80 4.80 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
68.60 | 62.60 61.60 | 57.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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