| 01-11 13:00 |
ND Slovan Ljubljana
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+1.19 +1.44 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.51 Home: 10.51 / ((6.86 + 6.38) / 2) = 1.59 Away: 10.51 / ((21.00 + 32.50) / 2) = 0.39 Diff: 1.59 - 0.39 = +1.19 Error: +1.19 + AH line 0.25 = +1.44 |
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2.00 -0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 0.60 + 0.40 + 1.60) / 2 = 2.00 Error: 2.00 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.50| Opponent | ND Slovan Ljubljana | NK Primorje Ajdovscina |
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| NK Bistrica | D 1-1 H 11-10-26 | L 0-1 A 17-10-26 | | NK Brezice | W 1-0 H 27-09-26 | D 1-1 A 03-10-26 | | NK Vrhnika | D 0-0 H 12-09-26 | L 1-2 A 19-09-26 | | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | W 2-1 H 28-08-26 | D 0-0 A 04-09-26 | | ND Beltinci | W 3-1 H 15-08-26 | L 0-4 A 23-08-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.40 - 0.60 | 0.40 - 1.60 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | ND Slovan Ljubljana | NK Primorje Ajdovscina |
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| NK Bistrica | D 1-1 H 11-10-26 | L 0-1 A 17-10-26 | | NK Brezice | W 1-0 H 27-09-26 | D 1-1 A 03-10-26 | | NK Vrhnika | D 0-0 H 12-09-26 | L 1-2 A 19-09-26 | | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | W 2-1 H 28-08-26 | D 0-0 A 04-09-26 | | ND Beltinci | W 3-1 H 15-08-26 | L 0-4 A 23-08-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.40 - 0.60 | 0.40 - 1.60 |
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320 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 0.60 0.40 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.86 | 21.00 32.50 | 6.38 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.60 | 12.60 13.00 | 10.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 3.40 4.60 | 5.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
61.40 | 96.80 53.80 | 55.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 01-11 13:00 |
NK Bistrica
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+1.15 -0.10 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.51 Home: 10.51 / ((4.78 + 7.63) / 2) = 1.69 Away: 10.51 / ((4.67 + 34.00) / 2) = 0.54 Diff: 1.69 - 0.54 = +1.15 Error: +1.15 + AH line -1.25 = -0.10 |
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2.70 -0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.80 + 0.20 + 1.60) / 2 = 2.70 Error: 2.70 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.05| Opponent | NK Bistrica | NK Krsko |
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| NK Rudar Velenje | W 3-1 H 04-10-26 | L 0-3 A 07-05-26 | | NK Brezice | W 2-1 H 12-09-26 | L 1-2 A 18-10-26 | | NK Vrhnika | W 2-0 H 29-08-26 | D 0-0 A 03-10-26 | | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | L 0-6 H 15-08-26 | L 0-2 A 19-09-26 | | Tabor Sezana | W 2-1 H 12-04-26 | L 0-1 A 14-03-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.80 | 0.20 - 1.60 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | NK Bistrica | NK Krsko |
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| NK Rudar Velenje | W 3-1 H 04-10-26 | L 0-3 A 07-05-26 | | NK Brezice | W 2-1 H 12-09-26 | L 1-2 A 18-10-26 | | NK Vrhnika | W 2-0 H 29-08-26 | D 0-0 A 03-10-26 | | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | L 0-6 H 15-08-26 | L 0-2 A 19-09-26 | | Tabor Sezana | W 2-1 H 12-04-26 | L 0-1 A 14-03-26 | | Avg. Goals (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.80 | 0.20 - 1.60 |
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401 014 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.80 0.20 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.78 | 4.67 34.00 | 7.63 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.60 | 8.40 6.80 | 12.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.40 | 3.00 1.80 | 6.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
42.40 | 62.60 57.40 | 80.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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