| 30-08 12:30 |
OKS Swit Skolwin
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2.80 +0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.60 + 1.60 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.80 Error: 2.80 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
122 311 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.60 1.60 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.86 | 6.13 7.63 | 8.20 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.60 | 9.80 12.20 | 8.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.40 | 4.00 5.60 | 3.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
44.20 | 41.40 69.20 | 53.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-08 17:30 |
Gornik Leczna
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+1.07 +0.82 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 11.22 Home: 11.22 / ((5.00 + 2.33) / 2) = 3.06 Away: 11.22 / ((5.67 + 5.60) / 2) = 1.99 Diff: 3.06 - 1.99 = +1.07 Error: +1.07 + AH line -0.25 = +0.82 |
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3.50 +0.75 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.50 + 1.25 + 2.25) / 2 = 3.50 Error: 3.50 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.75 |
4 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
301 103 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.50 1.25 | 2.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.00 | 5.67 5.60 | 2.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.00 | 8.50 7.00 | 5.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 3.50 2.75 | 2.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
64.75 | 67.75 42.25 | 43.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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