| 28-10 13:30 |
ASD Castrumfavara
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+0.02 +1.02 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.55 Domicile: 10.55 / ((7.00 + 15.25) / 2) = 0.95 Extérieure: 10.55 / ((10.00 + 12.67) / 2) = 0.93 Diff: 0.95 - 0.93 = +0.02 Error: +0.02 + AH line 1.00 = +1.02 |
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2.50 +0.00 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.60 + 1.20 + 0.80) / 2 = 2.50 Error: 2.50 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.00| Opponent | ASD Castrumfavara | Reggina |
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| Igea Virtus | W 3-2 H 11-10-26 | L 2-3 A 07-10-26 | | Gela | W 3-1 H 19-04-26 | D 0-0 A 12-04-26 | | Nissa FC | L 0-1 H 25-01-26 | W 2-1 A 18-10-26 | | Sambiase | L 0-2 H 11-01-26 | W 1-0 A 21-12-25 | | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | L 1-2 H 30-11-25 | W 1-0 A 29-03-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 1.40 - 1.60 | 1.20 - 0.80 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | ASD Castrumfavara | Reggina |
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| Igea Virtus | W 3-2 H 11-10-26 | L 2-3 A 07-10-26 | | Gela | W 3-1 H 19-04-26 | D 0-0 A 12-04-26 | | Nissa FC | L 0-1 H 25-01-26 | W 2-1 A 18-10-26 | | Sambiase | L 0-2 H 11-01-26 | W 1-0 A 21-12-25 | | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | L 1-2 H 30-11-25 | W 1-0 A 29-03-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 1.40 - 1.60 | 1.20 - 0.80 |
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203 311 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.60 1.20 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.00 | 10.00 12.67 | 15.25 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.80 | 16.00 15.20 | 12.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 6.40 4.20 | 3.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
25.40 | 31.00 45.80 | 52.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-10 13:30 |
Celle Varazze FBC
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1.80 -0.70 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 1.40 + 0.80 + 0.40) / 2 = 1.80 Error: 1.80 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.70| Opponent | Celle Varazze FBC | ASDC Gozzano |
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| Chisola | L 0-4 H 04-10-26 | D 1-1 A 07-12-25 | | Ligorna | L 0-2 H 20-09-26 | W 1-0 A 01-03-26 | | Sestri Levante | W 1-0 H 26-04-26 | W 1-0 A 14-02-26 | | Lavagnese | W 2-1 H 01-02-26 | D 1-1 A 23-11-25 | | Asti | W 2-0 H 26-11-25 | D 0-0 A 04-01-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 1.00 - 1.40 | 0.80 - 0.40 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Celle Varazze FBC | ASDC Gozzano |
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| Chisola | L 0-4 H 04-10-26 | D 1-1 A 07-12-25 | | Ligorna | L 0-2 H 20-09-26 | W 1-0 A 01-03-26 | | Sestri Levante | W 1-0 H 26-04-26 | W 1-0 A 14-02-26 | | Lavagnese | W 2-1 H 01-02-26 | D 1-1 A 23-11-25 | | Asti | W 2-0 H 26-11-25 | D 0-0 A 04-01-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 1.00 - 1.40 | 0.80 - 0.40 |
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302 230 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.40 0.80 | 0.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.80 | 10.71 11.75 | 27.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.80 | 15.00 9.40 | 10.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 5.00 2.40 | 2.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
46.00 | 68.40 34.00 | 49.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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