| 01-11 11:15 |
Al-Mabarrah
|
|
-0.18 +0.07 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 8.16 Domicile: 8.16 / ((10.33 + 7.63) / 2) = 0.91 Extérieure: 8.16 / ((7.44 + 7.50) / 2) = 1.09 Diff: 0.91 - 1.09 = -0.18 Error: -0.18 + AH line 0.25 = +0.07 |
|
2.40 +0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 1.80 + 0.80 + 1.60) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.15| Opponent | Al-Mabarrah | Reyady Abaseya |
|---|
| Al Ansar Beirut | L 0-7 H 29-06-26 | W 2-1 A 17-02-26 | | Jwaya FC | L 0-2 H 21-02-26 | D 0-0 A 01-02-26 | | Al Ahed | W 1-0 H 15-02-26 | L 0-1 A 23-10-26 | | Shabab Al-Sahel | W 1-0 H 23-01-26 | L 1-4 A 06-09-26 | | Safa Beirut | W 1-0 H 25-12-25 | L 1-2 A 08-10-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 0.60 - 1.80 | 0.80 - 1.60 |
|
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Al-Mabarrah | Reyady Abaseya |
|---|
| Al Ansar Beirut | L 0-7 H 29-06-26 | W 2-1 A 17-02-26 | | Jwaya FC | L 0-2 H 21-02-26 | D 0-0 A 01-02-26 | | Al Ahed | W 1-0 H 15-02-26 | L 0-1 A 23-10-26 | | Shabab Al-Sahel | W 1-0 H 23-01-26 | L 1-4 A 06-09-26 | | Safa Beirut | W 1-0 H 25-12-25 | L 1-2 A 08-10-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 0.60 - 1.80 | 0.80 - 1.60 |
|
302 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 1.80 0.80 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.33 | 7.44 7.50 | 7.63 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.20 | 13.40 6.00 | 12.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 6.00 3.20 | 5.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
50.40 | 75.80 36.40 | 62.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 01-11 14:45 |
Jwaya FC
|
|
-
|
|
2.53 +0.28 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 0.60 + 1.25 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.53 Error: 2.53 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.28| Opponent | Jwaya FC | Al Nejmeh |
|---|
| Shabab Al-Sahel | W 2-0 H 24-10-26 | D 1-1 A 07-02-26 | | Sagesse SC | W 3-0 H 13-10-26 | W 1-0 A 03-07-26 | | Al-Mabarrah | W 3-0 H 09-10-26 | D 2-2 A 07-12-25 | | Sagesse SC | W 2-1 H 19-09-26 | W 1-0 A 03-07-26 | | Al Ansar Beirut | L 1-2 H 28-07-26 | D 1-1 A 20-07-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.20 - 0.60 | 1.25 - 1.00 |
|
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Jwaya FC | Al Nejmeh |
|---|
| Shabab Al-Sahel | W 2-0 H 24-10-26 | D 1-1 A 07-02-26 | | Sagesse SC | W 3-0 H 13-10-26 | W 1-0 A 03-07-26 | | Al-Mabarrah | W 3-0 H 09-10-26 | D 2-2 A 07-12-25 | | Sagesse SC | W 2-1 H 19-09-26 | W 1-0 A 03-07-26 | | Al Ansar Beirut | L 1-2 H 28-07-26 | D 1-1 A 20-07-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.20 - 0.60 | 1.25 - 1.00 |
|
401 130 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 0.60 1.25 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.45 | 14.00 5.60 | 5.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.80 | 8.40 7.00 | 5.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 3.60 3.75 | 2.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
51.00 | 45.80 39.50 | 28.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|