| 29-08 21:30 |
Atletico Mineiro
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-
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|
2.30 +0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.60 + 0.20 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.30 Error: 2.30 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.60 0.20 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.00 | 9.38 33.00 | 12.71 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.40 | 15.00 6.60 | 17.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 5.00 1.20 | 5.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
47.20 | 45.80 29.20 | 57.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 29-08 21:30 |
Atletico Mineiro
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-
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-
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-
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-
|
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.60 0.20 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.00 | 9.38 33.00 | 12.71 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.40 | 15.00 6.60 | 17.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 5.00 1.20 | 5.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
47.20 | 45.80 29.20 | 57.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 29-08 23:00 |
Sao Paulo
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-
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2.60 +0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.20 + 0.80 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.60 Error: 2.60 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.20 0.80 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.22 | 10.17 22.25 | 10.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.60 | 12.20 17.80 | 14.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 4.00 5.20 | 5.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
60.60 | 40.00 52.20 | 34.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 29-08 23:00 |
Sao Paulo
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-
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-
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-
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-
|
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.20 0.80 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.22 | 10.17 22.25 | 10.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.60 | 12.20 17.80 | 14.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 4.00 5.20 | 5.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
60.60 | 40.00 52.20 | 34.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 0:20 |
Vasco da Gama
|
|
+0.34 -0.16 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 13.27 Domicile: 13.27 / ((12.86 + 5.00) / 2) = 1.49 Extérieure: 13.27 / ((11.00 + 12.20) / 2) = 1.14 Diff: 1.49 - 1.14 = +0.34 Error: +0.34 + AH line -0.50 = -0.16 |
|
3.00 +0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.00 + 1.00 + 2.60) / 2 = 3.00 Error: 3.00 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.50 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.00 1.00 | 2.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
12.86 | 11.00 12.20 | 5.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
18.00 | 11.00 12.20 | 13.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 4.40 4.20 | 5.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
65.40 | 37.80 36.40 | 41.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 0:20 |
Vasco da Gama
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-
|
+0.34 - Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 13.27 Domicile: 13.27 / ((12.86 + 5.00) / 2) = 1.49 Extérieure: 13.27 / ((11.00 + 12.20) / 2) = 1.14 Diff: 1.49 - 1.14 = +0.34 |
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-
|
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.00 1.00 | 2.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
12.86 | 11.00 12.20 | 5.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
18.00 | 11.00 12.20 | 13.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 4.40 4.20 | 5.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
65.40 | 37.80 36.40 | 41.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 14:00 |
Athletico Paranaense
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-
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|
1.90 -0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 0.20 + 0.60 + 1.20) / 2 = 1.90 Error: 1.90 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 032 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.20 0.60 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.11 | 46.00 19.00 | 12.17 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.00 | 9.20 11.40 | 14.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 1.80 3.60 | 6.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
32.80 | 32.00 45.80 | 43.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 14:00 |
Athletico Paranaense
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-
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-
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-
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-
|
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 032 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.20 0.60 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.11 | 46.00 19.00 | 12.17 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.00 | 9.20 11.40 | 14.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 1.80 3.60 | 6.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
32.80 | 32.00 45.80 | 43.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 19:00 |
Corinthians
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-
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|
2.10 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 0.80 + 1.00 + 0.80) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 0.80 1.00 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.75 | 12.75 10.40 | 17.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.00 | 10.20 10.40 | 14.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 3.60 3.60 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.80 | 38.40 31.20 | 46.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 19:00 |
Flamengo
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-
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|
2.40 -0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.40 + 1.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.40 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
13.71 | 8.14 12.60 | 17.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
19.20 | 11.40 12.60 | 17.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.00 | 3.40 5.00 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
57.80 | 29.20 36.00 | 50.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 19:00 |
Corinthians
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-
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-
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-
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-
|
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 0.80 1.00 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.75 | 12.75 10.40 | 17.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.00 | 10.20 10.40 | 14.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 3.60 3.60 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.80 | 38.40 31.20 | 46.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 19:00 |
Flamengo
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-
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-
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-
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-
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.40 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
13.71 | 8.14 12.60 | 17.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
19.20 | 11.40 12.60 | 17.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.00 | 3.40 5.00 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
57.80 | 29.20 36.00 | 50.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 20:00 |
Athletico Paranaense
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-
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-
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-
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-
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 032 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.20 0.60 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.11 | 46.00 19.00 | 12.17 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.00 | 9.20 11.40 | 14.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 1.80 3.60 | 6.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
32.80 | 32.00 45.80 | 43.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 20:00 |
Atletico Mineiro
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-
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2.30 +0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.60 + 0.20 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.30 Error: 2.30 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.60 0.20 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.00 | 9.38 33.00 | 12.71 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.40 | 15.00 6.60 | 17.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 5.00 1.20 | 5.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
47.20 | 45.80 29.20 | 57.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 20:00 |
Flamengo
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-
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-
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-
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-
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.40 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
13.71 | 8.14 12.60 | 17.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
19.20 | 11.40 12.60 | 17.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.00 | 3.40 5.00 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
57.80 | 29.20 36.00 | 50.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 20:00 |
EC Bahia
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-
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-
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-
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-
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.60 1.20 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.86 | 5.13 9.33 | 8.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.60 | 8.20 11.20 | 14.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 3.80 3.60 | 5.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
65.00 | 23.40 40.80 | 45.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 20:00 |
Corinthians
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-
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-
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-
|
-
|
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 0.80 1.00 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.75 | 12.75 10.40 | 17.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.00 | 10.20 10.40 | 14.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 3.60 3.60 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.80 | 38.40 31.20 | 46.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 20:00 |
Gremio
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-
|
+0.24 - Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 13.27 Domicile: 13.27 / ((8.63 + 11.78) / 2) = 1.30 Extérieure: 13.27 / ((16.50 + 8.60) / 2) = 1.06 Diff: 1.30 - 1.06 = +0.24 |
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|
-
|
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 0.80 1.00 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.63 | 16.50 8.60 | 11.78 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.80 | 13.20 8.60 | 21.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 3.20 2.80 | 6.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
45.00 | 46.40 29.80 | 66.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 20:00 |
Mirassol
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-
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-
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-
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-
|
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 311 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.80 1.60 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.00 | 7.22 7.13 | 20.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.60 | 13.00 11.40 | 16.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 4.80 5.00 | 4.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
34.40 | 47.60 40.60 | 65.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 20:00 |
Sao Paulo
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|
-
|
|
2.60 +0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.20 + 0.80 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.60 Error: 2.60 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.20 0.80 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.22 | 10.17 22.25 | 10.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.60 | 12.20 17.80 | 14.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 4.00 5.20 | 5.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
60.60 | 40.00 52.20 | 34.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 20:00 |
Vasco da Gama
|
-
|
+0.34 - Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 13.27 Domicile: 13.27 / ((12.86 + 5.00) / 2) = 1.49 Extérieure: 13.27 / ((11.00 + 12.20) / 2) = 1.14 Diff: 1.49 - 1.14 = +0.34 |
-
|
-
|
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.00 1.00 | 2.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
12.86 | 11.00 12.20 | 5.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
18.00 | 11.00 12.20 | 13.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 4.40 4.20 | 5.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
65.40 | 37.80 36.40 | 41.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 30-08 21:30 |
Gremio
|
|
+0.24 -0.76 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 13.27 Domicile: 13.27 / ((8.63 + 11.78) / 2) = 1.30 Extérieure: 13.27 / ((16.50 + 8.60) / 2) = 1.06 Diff: 1.30 - 1.06 = +0.24 Error: +0.24 + AH line -1.00 = -0.76 |
|
2.60 +0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 0.80 + 1.00 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.60 Error: 2.60 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 0.80 1.00 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.63 | 16.50 8.60 | 11.78 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.80 | 13.20 8.60 | 21.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 3.20 2.80 | 6.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
45.00 | 46.40 29.80 | 66.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-08 21:30 |
Mirassol
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2.80 +0.30 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.80 + 1.60 + 0.80) / 2 = 2.80 Error: 2.80 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.30 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 311 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.80 1.60 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.00 | 7.22 7.13 | 20.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.60 | 13.00 11.40 | 16.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 4.80 5.00 | 4.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
34.40 | 47.60 40.60 | 65.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-08 21:30 |
Gremio
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+0.24 - Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 13.27 Domicile: 13.27 / ((8.63 + 11.78) / 2) = 1.30 Extérieure: 13.27 / ((16.50 + 8.60) / 2) = 1.06 Diff: 1.30 - 1.06 = +0.24 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 0.80 1.00 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.63 | 16.50 8.60 | 11.78 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.80 | 13.20 8.60 | 21.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 3.20 2.80 | 6.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
45.00 | 46.40 29.80 | 66.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-08 21:30 |
Mirassol
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 311 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.80 1.60 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.00 | 7.22 7.13 | 20.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.60 | 13.00 11.40 | 16.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 4.80 5.00 | 4.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
34.40 | 47.60 40.60 | 65.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-08 22:30 |
EC Bahia
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3.00 +0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.60 + 1.20 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.00 Error: 3.00 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.50 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.60 1.20 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.86 | 5.13 9.33 | 8.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.60 | 8.20 11.20 | 14.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 3.80 3.60 | 5.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
65.00 | 23.40 40.80 | 45.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-08 22:30 |
EC Bahia
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.60 1.20 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.86 | 5.13 9.33 | 8.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.60 | 8.20 11.20 | 14.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 3.80 3.60 | 5.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
65.00 | 23.40 40.80 | 45.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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