| 05-09 16:45 |
FC Cartagena
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+0.64 +0.39 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.11 Domicile: 10.11 / ((16.75 + 3.54) / 2) = 1.00 Extérieure: 10.11 / ((54.00 + 3.38) / 2) = 0.35 Diff: 1.00 - 0.35 = +0.64 Error: +0.64 + AH line -0.25 = +0.39 |
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2.60 +0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 0.20 + 1.60 + 2.60) / 2 = 2.60 Error: 2.60 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 014 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 0.20 1.60 | 2.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
16.75 | 54.00 3.38 | 3.54 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.40 | 10.80 5.40 | 9.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 3.20 1.60 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
58.00 | 47.40 42.60 | 46.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 16:15 |
Real Murcia
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+0.79 +0.04 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.11 Domicile: 10.11 / ((6.30 + 5.13) / 2) = 1.77 Extérieure: 10.11 / ((3.71 + 17.00) / 2) = 0.98 Diff: 1.77 - 0.98 = +0.79 Error: +0.79 + AH line -0.75 = +0.04 |
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2.95 +0.95 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.40 + 0.50 + 2.00) / 2 = 2.95 Error: 2.95 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.95 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 013 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.40 0.50 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.30 | 3.71 17.00 | 5.13 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.60 | 5.20 8.50 | 10.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.40 | 2.40 3.00 | 4.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
36.80 | 19.80 34.50 | 44.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 16:15 |
Hercules
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2.30 +0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.00 + 1.20 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.30 Error: 2.30 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.00 1.20 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.29 | 7.60 9.00 | 11.20 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.80 | 7.60 10.80 | 11.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 3.80 3.40 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
40.60 | 37.60 41.20 | 38.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 16:15 |
Alcorcon
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3.20 +0.70 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.60 + 0.80 + 1.60 + 1.40) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.70 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.60 | 0.80 1.60 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.15 | 12.75 5.25 | 4.71 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.00 | 10.20 8.40 | 6.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.80 | 2.80 2.80 | 3.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
85.20 | 58.40 62.80 | 37.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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