| 27-10 19:45 |
Borussia Dortmund
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+0.75 -0.75 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 13.89 Domicile: 13.89 / ((8.27 + 7.25) / 2) = 1.79 Extérieure: 13.89 / ((11.67 + 15.00) / 2) = 1.04 Diff: 1.79 - 1.04 = +0.75 Error: +0.75 + AH line -1.50 = -0.75 |
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2.78 -0.72 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 0.60 + 0.75 + 2.00) / 2 = 2.78 Error: 2.78 - Goal line 3.50 = -0.72| Opponent | Borussia Dortmund | Werder Bremen |
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| Hamburg | W 2-0 H 29-08-26 | L 2-3 A 07-12-25 | | SC Freiburg | W 4-0 H 26-04-26 | L 1-4 A 30-08-26 | | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 H 11-04-26 | L 0-1 A 24-01-26 | | Hamburg | W 3-2 H 21-03-26 | L 2-3 A 07-12-25 | | Augsburg | W 2-0 H 14-03-26 | D 0-0 A 20-12-25 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.20 - 0.60 | 0.75 - 2.00 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Borussia Dortmund | Werder Bremen |
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| Hamburg | W 2-0 H 29-08-26 | L 2-3 A 07-12-25 | | SC Freiburg | W 4-0 H 26-04-26 | L 1-4 A 30-08-26 | | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 H 11-04-26 | L 0-1 A 24-01-26 | | Hamburg | W 3-2 H 21-03-26 | L 2-3 A 07-12-25 | | Augsburg | W 2-0 H 14-03-26 | D 0-0 A 20-12-25 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.20 - 0.60 | 0.75 - 2.00 |
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401 013 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 0.60 0.75 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.27 | 11.67 15.00 | 7.25 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
18.20 | 7.00 11.25 | 14.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 3.40 2.25 | 5.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
65.20 | 22.40 43.75 | 47.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 27-10 19:45 |
Elversberg
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-
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3.20 -0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (3.00 + 0.40 + 1.00 + 2.00) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 3.25 = -0.05| Opponent | Elversberg | Darmstadt |
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| SC Preussen Munster | W 3-0 H 17-05-26 | D 1-1 A 10-05-26 | | Paderborn | W 5-1 H 03-05-26 | D 2-2 A 19-12-25 | | Karlsruher SC | W 3-0 H 17-04-26 | L 0-4 A 18-10-26 | | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-1 H 21-03-26 | L 1-2 A 04-04-26 | | Magdeburg | W 1-0 H 06-03-26 | D 1-1 A 13-03-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 3.00 - 0.40 | 1.00 - 2.00 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Elversberg | Darmstadt |
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| SC Preussen Munster | W 3-0 H 17-05-26 | D 1-1 A 10-05-26 | | Paderborn | W 5-1 H 03-05-26 | D 2-2 A 19-12-25 | | Karlsruher SC | W 3-0 H 17-04-26 | L 0-4 A 18-10-26 | | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-1 H 21-03-26 | L 1-2 A 04-04-26 | | Magdeburg | W 1-0 H 06-03-26 | D 1-1 A 13-03-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 3.00 - 0.40 | 1.00 - 2.00 |
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500 032 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
3.00 | 0.40 1.00 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.47 | 22.00 11.00 | 8.40 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.40 | 8.80 11.00 | 16.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.40 | 2.80 2.60 | 6.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
50.20 | 37.80 40.20 | 58.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 27-10 19:45 |
Borussia M'gladbach
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-
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3.40 -0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.80 + 0.50 + 2.50) / 2 = 3.40 Error: 3.40 - Goal line 3.50 = -0.10| Opponent | Borussia M'gladbach | Karlsruher SC |
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| TSG Hoffenheim | L 1-2 H 18-10-26 | L 0-3 A 01-08-26 | | Elversberg | L 3-4 H 05-09-26 | L 0-3 A 17-04-26 | | TSG Hoffenheim | W 4-0 H 16-05-26 | L 0-3 A 01-08-26 | | St Pauli | W 2-0 H 13-03-26 | L 0-2 A 11-10-26 | | Hannover 96 | L 0-3 H 05-01-26 | D 2-2 A 04-09-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.00 - 1.80 | 0.50 - 2.50 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Borussia M'gladbach | Karlsruher SC |
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| TSG Hoffenheim | L 1-2 H 18-10-26 | L 0-3 A 01-08-26 | | Elversberg | L 3-4 H 05-09-26 | L 0-3 A 17-04-26 | | TSG Hoffenheim | W 4-0 H 16-05-26 | L 0-3 A 01-08-26 | | St Pauli | W 2-0 H 13-03-26 | L 0-2 A 11-10-26 | | Hannover 96 | L 0-3 H 05-01-26 | D 2-2 A 04-09-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.00 - 1.80 | 0.50 - 2.50 |
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203 013 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.80 0.50 | 2.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.20 | 5.22 22.00 | 4.40 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.40 | 9.40 11.00 | 11.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 4.40 4.00 | 5.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
42.20 | 50.80 28.00 | 29.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 27-10 19:45 |
Cologne
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3.73 +0.73 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 2.20 + 0.50 + 2.75) / 2 = 3.73 Error: 3.73 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.73| Opponent | Cologne | Union Berlin |
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| Borussia M'gladbach | W 2-1 H 11-10-26 | L 0-1 A 28-02-26 | | TSG Hoffenheim | W 3-2 H 29-08-26 | L 1-3 A 31-01-26 | | Heidenheim | L 1-3 H 10-05-26 | L 1-3 A 11-04-26 | | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 H 25-04-26 | L 0-4 A 05-09-26 | | Borussia M'gladbach | D 3-3 H 21-03-26 | L 0-1 A 28-02-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.00 - 2.20 | 0.50 - 2.75 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Cologne | Union Berlin |
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| Borussia M'gladbach | W 2-1 H 11-10-26 | L 0-1 A 28-02-26 | | TSG Hoffenheim | W 3-2 H 29-08-26 | L 1-3 A 31-01-26 | | Heidenheim | L 1-3 H 10-05-26 | L 1-3 A 11-04-26 | | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 H 25-04-26 | L 0-4 A 05-09-26 | | Borussia M'gladbach | D 3-3 H 21-03-26 | L 0-1 A 28-02-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.00 - 2.20 | 0.50 - 2.75 |
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212 004 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 2.20 0.50 | 2.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.30 | 5.18 18.50 | 4.91 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
18.60 | 11.40 9.25 | 13.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.00 | 4.60 2.00 | 5.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
52.80 | 42.60 48.00 | 47.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-10 17:00 |
Dynamo Dresden
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2.70 -0.30 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.00 + 1.80 + 0.80) / 2 = 2.70 Error: 2.70 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.30| Opponent | Dynamo Dresden | Schalke |
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| Hertha Berlin | L 1-2 H 19-09-26 | D 0-0 A 17-01-26 | | Bochum | L 1-2 H 05-09-26 | L 0-2 A 31-01-26 | | Darmstadt | W 1-0 H 16-08-26 | D 1-1 A 21-03-26 | | Union Berlin | W 2-1 H 01-08-26 | W 3-1 A 11-09-26 | | Hessen Kassel | W 4-0 H 11-07-26 | W 5-0 A 01-08-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.00 | 1.80 - 0.80 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Dynamo Dresden | Schalke |
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| Hertha Berlin | L 1-2 H 19-09-26 | D 0-0 A 17-01-26 | | Bochum | L 1-2 H 05-09-26 | L 0-2 A 31-01-26 | | Darmstadt | W 1-0 H 16-08-26 | D 1-1 A 21-03-26 | | Union Berlin | W 2-1 H 01-08-26 | W 3-1 A 11-09-26 | | Hessen Kassel | W 4-0 H 11-07-26 | W 5-0 A 01-08-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.00 | 1.80 - 0.80 |
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302 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.00 1.80 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.78 | 12.60 8.67 | 13.25 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.60 | 12.60 15.60 | 10.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.00 | 3.80 6.60 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
31.20 | 37.40 48.80 | 49.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-10 17:00 |
SC Freiburg
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4.50 +1.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 1.60 + 2.00 + 3.00) / 2 = 4.50 Error: 4.50 - Goal line 3.25 = +1.25| Opponent | SC Freiburg | Wolfsburg |
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| Bayern Munich | L 1-3 H 25-10-26 | L 1-8 A 11-01-26 | | Borussia M'gladbach | W 5-0 H 12-09-26 | W 3-1 A 13-12-25 | | RB Leipzig | W 4-1 H 16-05-26 | D 2-2 A 15-02-26 | | Bayern Munich | L 2-3 H 04-04-26 | L 1-8 A 11-01-26 | | Union Berlin | L 0-1 H 15-03-26 | W 2-1 A 18-04-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.40 - 1.60 | 2.00 - 3.00 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | SC Freiburg | Wolfsburg |
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| Bayern Munich | L 1-3 H 25-10-26 | L 1-8 A 11-01-26 | | Borussia M'gladbach | W 5-0 H 12-09-26 | W 3-1 A 13-12-25 | | RB Leipzig | W 4-1 H 16-05-26 | D 2-2 A 15-02-26 | | Bayern Munich | L 2-3 H 04-04-26 | L 1-8 A 11-01-26 | | Union Berlin | L 0-1 H 15-03-26 | W 2-1 A 18-04-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.40 - 1.60 | 2.00 - 3.00 |
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203 211 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 1.60 2.00 | 3.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.58 | 8.25 4.25 | 6.25 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.80 | 13.20 8.50 | 18.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.80 | 5.60 4.00 | 8.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
37.20 | 41.40 24.50 | 81.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 28-10 19:45 |
Hannover 96
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3.20 +0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.80 + 1.60 + 1.20) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.20| Opponent | Hannover 96 | Kaiserslautern |
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| St Pauli | D 1-1 H 17-10-26 | W 2-1 A 30-08-26 | | Bochum | W 2-1 H 20-09-26 | L 2-3 A 07-03-26 | | Wolfsburg | L 0-1 H 16-08-26 | D 0-0 A 08-08-26 | | Nurnberg | D 3-3 H 17-05-26 | W 1-0 A 24-10-26 | | SC Preussen Munster | D 3-3 H 03-05-26 | W 3-2 A 22-02-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.80 | 1.60 - 1.20 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Hannover 96 | Kaiserslautern |
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| St Pauli | D 1-1 H 17-10-26 | W 2-1 A 30-08-26 | | Bochum | W 2-1 H 20-09-26 | L 2-3 A 07-03-26 | | Wolfsburg | L 0-1 H 16-08-26 | D 0-0 A 08-08-26 | | Nurnberg | D 3-3 H 17-05-26 | W 1-0 A 24-10-26 | | SC Preussen Munster | D 3-3 H 03-05-26 | W 3-2 A 22-02-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.80 | 1.60 - 1.20 |
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131 311 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.80 1.60 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.22 | 10.22 7.25 | 18.17 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.80 | 18.40 11.60 | 21.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 7.40 5.60 | 8.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
46.60 | 47.40 30.40 | 52.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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