| 02-07-2026 09:00 |
Darwin Olympic |
- |
Port Darwin FC |
Over 4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total goals calculated at 6.45 (home avg 3.60 + away avg 3.90 at home/away, adjusted for conceding), far above the line of 4.0. Home has 6/10 (60%) and away 9/10 (90%) of recent matches going over 4.0, with H2H also supporting (2/3 over). Structural signal: Port Darwin have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches. Away team's GL_5 of 3.25 (accelerating) indicates severe bookmaker mispricing on goals, adding strong edge to the Over. |
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| 02-07-2026 11:00 |
Palmerston Rovers FC |
- |
Garuda FC |
Over 4.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 5.90 (home avg 1.56, away conceded 4.70; away avg 1.10, home conceded 4.44) far exceeds line 4.5. Home team Over rate 78% (7/9), away 60% (6/10). Structural factors: quality gap (7th vs 9th, 12 vs 2 pts) and away defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 5 of last 6 away). Severe bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 2.45, away GL_5 3.40, both accelerating) supports Over. |
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| 02-07-2026 15:00 |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II |
- |
Hegelmann Litauen II |
Over 3.0 Goals |
66% |
Expected total 3.30 (home avg 1.20 + away conceded 2.20 averaged with away avg 1.20 + home conceded 2.00) exceeds line 3.0. Shot-based match potential of 4.33 also strongly supports Over. While H2H is neutral (1 match, 1-1) and recent history shows only 30% of home and 22% of away matches went Over 3.0, structural signals provide edge: away team Hegelmann II conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away matches (defensive fragility) and home team Zalgiris II scored 2+ in each of last 3 home games (form surge), adding +8% to base confidence. |
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| 02-07-2026 15:00 |
Wieczysta Krakow |
- |
SK Artis Brno |
Over 9.0 Asian Corners |
82% |
Expected corners total 10.60 (home avg 6.60 + away conceded 3.80 averaged with away avg 7.00 + home conceded 3.80) exceeds the 9.0 line. Home corners history shows 6 of 7 matches over 9 (85.7%), away history 3 of 5 (60%). The quality gap between Polish top-tier Wieczysta and Czech second-tier Artis Brno favours sustained attacking pressure and corner generation, while bookmaker mispricing (Wieczysta GL_5=2.05, accelerating) adds further edge to the Over. |
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| 02-07-2026 15:30 |
EBK |
- |
AIFK |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
79% |
Expected 1st half goals total 1.85 (EBK home 0.50, AIFK away conceded 1.20, AIFK away scored 1.00, EBK home conceded 1.00) exceeds the 1.5 line by 0.35. AIFK's away 1st half history is strong with 70% of matches going Over 1.5, supported by their early scoring pattern (70% scored first half away). The quality gap (AIFK 2nd, EBK 8th) suggests AIFK will press early. Both teams' GL_5 variance of 1.35 indicates mild bookmaker mispricing aligned with the Over direction. Likelihood data shows 55% probability for Over 1.5, agreeing with the pick. |
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| 02-07-2026 16:00 |
SJK-j |
- |
VPV Pallo-Veikot |
Over 3.5 Goals |
67% |
Expected total 3.85 (SJK-j avg 2.70 at home, VPV concede 2.00 away) exceeds line 3.5. SJK-j 5/8 (62.5%) recent matches over 3.5, H2H produced 6 goals. Home GL_5=1.90 (strong accelerating mispricing) adds edge. Likelihood 60% supports over. |
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| 02-07-2026 16:00 |
Nykarleby IK |
- |
Sporting Kristina |
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half total is 2.15, derived from home's 1.00 avg goals scored at home and away's 1.00 avg conceded away (combined with away's 0.90 avg scored and home's 1.40 conceded). This is 0.65 goals above the 1.5 line. Home team has gone Over 1.5 in 6 of their last 7 matches (86%) and scored 2+ goals in each of their last 3 home games, indicating strong early attacking momentum. Away team's moderate market pricing error (GL_5 1.50) adds confidence as the direction aligns with the Over. No H2H data to counter. |
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| 02-07-2026 16:00 |
TuPS |
- |
TiPS U21 |
Over 4.5 1st Half Corners |
75% |
Expected 1st half corners total 5.56 (home avg 3.70 + away conceded 2.29, away avg 3.43 + home conceded 1.70) well above the 4.5 line. TiPS U21 has 83% of their matches going over this line (5/6), and TuPS home games average 6.10 corners, with structural quality gap and weak away defense supporting a high corner count. |
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| 02-07-2026 16:00 |
Club Oriental |
- |
Atletico Colegiales |
Under 2.0 Goals (1st Half) |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals total 1.30 (home 0.60 scored + 0.50 conceded at home, away 0.40 scored + 1.10 conceded away) are well below the 2.0 line by 0.70 goals. Home team's last 5 home matches had only 1 with over 2 first-half goals (20%), while away team failed to score in the 1st half in all 3 away matches. Structural signals include away's consistent early scoring struggles and historically low first-half outputs from both sides, supporting a high under probability. |
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| 02-07-2026 19:15 |
Vikingur Reykjavik |
- |
KA Akureyri |
Over 11.5 Corners |
82% |
Expected total corners 12.9 (home avg 7.5 + away conceded 7.7 /2 plus away avg 5.7 + home conceded 4.9 /2) exceeds line 11.5. Away team has 80% of last 5 away matches over 11.5, home team 70%+ over 11.5. Structural quality gap (1st vs 10th) ensures sustained home pressure. Away corner variance AC_5 of 4.20 signals severe bookmaker mispricing, aligning with Over direction. |
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| 02-07-2026 19:15 |
IA Akranes Women |
- |
Grotta Women |
Over 3.5 Goals |
72% |
Expected total goals 4.05 (home avg 1.70 + away avg 2.30) exceeds the 3.5 line, with both teams averaging over 2.5 goals in their matches (90% likelihood). Grotta Women have conceded 3+ goals in 4 of their last 5 away matches, indicating defensive fragility, while away GL_5 of 1.50 suggests moderate bookmaker mispricing on overs. History supports with away team hitting over 3.5 in 3 of last 5 away games. |
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| 02-07-2026 19:15 |
Ymir Kopavogur |
- |
KV Vesturbaer |
Over 1.5 Goals 1st Half |
82% |
Expected 1st half goals are 2.35 (Ymir home HT avg 1.10 + KV away conceded HT avg 1.60) /2 + (KV away HT avg 0.90 + Ymir home conceded HT avg 1.10)/2 = 2.35, well above the 1.75 line. Both teams' recent 1st half records are strong: Ymir 80% Over (8/10) and KV 89% Over (8/9). KV's defensive frailty (conceding 3.9 away full-time avg) and early scoring patterns (both teams score first half in 80% of matches) reinforce the Over. The away team's GL_5 of 2.30 signals significant bookmaker mispricing on total goals, further supporting high-scoring expectation. |
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| 02-07-2026 19:30 |
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Women |
- |
Independiente del Valle Women |
Over 2.5 Goals (Full-Time) |
82% |
Expected total of 3.30 goals (home avg 2.00 at home, away avg 3.10 away, home conceded 0.80, away conceded 0.70) exceeds the line of 2.75. Independiente del Valle Women have covered Over in all 4 away matches (100% over 2.75), while home team has 1/3 over at home. Bookmaker mispricing is severe for the away side (GL_5=2.45, accelerating), indicating consistent underestimation of goals. The quality gap and away team's attacking potency support an Over outcome. |
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