| 29-07-2026 07:30 |
Brindabella Blues FC U23 |
- |
Queanbeyan City U23 |
Over 1.75 First Half Goals |
75% |
Expected 1st half goals 2.42 (home 0.75 scored, away conceded 1.20; away 1.00 scored, home conceded 1.88) vs line 1.75 – a gap of 0.67. Brindabella's last 6 first halves were over 1.75 in 83% (5 of 6). Queanbeyan's away first halves over 1.75 in 50% (2 of 4), not contradicting the home trend. Combined with Brindabella's leaky home defence (1.88 conceded per 1st half) and Queanbeyan's decent away attack, the value lies with over 1.75 goals in the opening half. |
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| 29-07-2026 10:00 |
Busan Trans Corp |
- |
Jinju Citizen FC |
Over 2.5 Goals |
78% |
Expected FT total 3.20 (Busan home 1.90 scored + 1.00 conceded; Jinju away 2.30 scored + 1.20 conceded) well above 2.5 line. Busan's last 5 home matches 60% Over 2.5 (3/5), and Jinju conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away, confirming defensive fragility. Significant quality gap (K3 top‑half vs K4) and recent home form (scored 2+ in 3 of last 5 home) add structural Over signals. Market pricing error mild (GL_5 1.15/1.05) so no variance boost, but the fundamental edge is clear. |
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| 29-07-2026 10:00 |
Ulsan Citizen FC |
- |
Ulsan HD |
Home +1.75 Asian Handicap |
70% |
Ulsan Citizen FC have covered the Asian Handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%), while Ulsan HD have covered only 2 of 5 (40%). Expected full‑time goals 2.85 (Home 1.60 scored/1.40 conceded at home, Away 1.30 scored/1.40 conceded away) sits well below the 3.25 goal line, indicating a tight match. Recent margins show Ulsan Citizen losing by more than one goal just once in their last five, and Ulsan HD’s away margins rarely exceed +1, making the +1.75 handicap valuable. |
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| 29-07-2026 10:00 |
Gimcheon Sangmu FC |
- |
Suwon FC |
Over 2.75 Goals |
76% |
Expected total 3.25 goals (home 1.20 scored + 1.70 conceded, away 2.30 scored + 1.30 conceded → (1.20+1.30)/2 + (2.30+1.70)/2 = 3.25) far above the 2.75 line. Away Suwon FC have gone Over 2.75 in 8 of their last 10 matches (80%), while home Gimcheon Sangmu covered 5 of 10 (50%). Suwon’s strong attacking form (4+ goals in 5 of last 6) and the Cup setting add over signals, though home goal-line variance is well-calibrated (GL_5 0.75) and away variance is mild (GL_5 1.25) with no structural fragility flags beyond the gap above the line. |
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| 29-07-2026 10:00 |
Busan I Park |
- |
FC Seoul |
Over 2.75 Goals |
78% |
Expected total goals 2.95 exceeds line 2.75. Busan I Park home matches (4 of 6 Over) and FC Seoul away matches (3 of 4 Over) strongly support Over. Away team FC Seoul's GL_5 mispricing of 1.65 and K1-vs-K2 quality gap further signal a high-scoring game. |
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| 29-07-2026 10:00 |
Yeoju |
- |
Dangjin Citizen FC |
Asian Handicap Away +0 |
68% |
Yeoju have struggled at home, failing to score in 2 of their last 5 (0-2 vs Busan, 0-1 vs Siheung) and managing only 1 win in 4 at home. Dangjin Citizen FC are perfect AH cover in their last 5 (5/5) and have won 4 of 5 away matches. The April H2H ended 2-2, and Dangjin's superior away edge against a low-scoring Yeoju side makes Dangjin +0 a solid value. |
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| 29-07-2026 14:30 |
USV Iasi |
- |
AS Stiinta Miroslava |
Over 2.75 Goals |
66% |
Expected total goals 3.00 (home avg scored 1.70, conceded 1.40; away scored 1.60, conceded 1.30) exceeds the 2.75 line. Away team has 5 of 7 recent matches over 2.75 (71%), home team 4 of 7 over (57%). H2H both 1-1 draws (2 matches, neutral). Shot-based match potential (5.45 goals) strongly supports Over. Market mispricing mild (home GL_5 1.25). |
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| 29-07-2026 15:00 |
Dinamo Samarqand |
- |
FK Kokand 1912 |
Over 2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.35 (home score/concede 1.90/1.90, away 1.00/1.90) over line 2.5 by 0.85 goals. Home 100% (5/5) over at home, away 80% (4/5) over away. Away team concedes 2+ in 4/5 away games (defensive fragility), and market mispricing severe (away GL_5 1.85, accelerating). H2H 0-0 from one match neutral. Capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
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| 29-07-2026 15:30 |
TiPS Vantaa |
- |
Valtti |
Over 1.75 First Half Goals |
68% |
Expected 1st half total goals is 2.10 (home 0.80 scored + 1.50 conceded, away 0.70 scored + 1.20 conceded), well above the line of 1.75. TiPS Vantaa's last 9 matches have seen Over 1.75 HT in 7 (78%), while Valtti's last 10 away matches have 6/10 (60%) Over 1.75 HT. The only H2H meeting produced 2 HT goals (Over). Home team's strong 1st half goal involvement and away team's consistent conceding in the first half support the Over. |
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| 29-07-2026 17:00 |
Racing Santander |
- |
Athletic Bilbao |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.85 goals (home: 2.40 scored, 1.10 conceded; away: 2.70 scored, 1.50 conceded) vs line 2.75. Racing Santander's last 4 home matches all landed over (5,5,6,6 total goals); Athletic Bilbao saw 5 of last 7 away matches over. Away team GL_5 of 2.80 signals severe bookmaker mispricing accelerating in Over direction. Both teams enter in high‑scoring friendly form, with Racing scoring 4+ in three straight home games. |
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| 29-07-2026 18:00 |
Fylkir Reykjavik |
- |
Volsungur |
Over 3.5,4.0 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.30 (Fylkir home: 2.20 GF, 2.10 GA; Volsungur away: 1.70 GF, 2.60 GA) against a 3.75 line (+0.55 gap). Both teams hit Over 60% in last 10 goal-line outcomes; severe bookmaker mispricing (GL_5: Fylkir 2.25, Volsungur 2.00). Structural over signals: quality gap (3rd vs 11th) and Volsungur's away defensive fragility (3 of last 5 conceded 2+). H2H sample too small to override; capped at 82% standard ceiling. |
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| 29-07-2026 18:00 |
UMF Selfoss |
- |
Dalvik/Reynir |
Over 3.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.90 goals (Selfoss home scored 2.50, conceded 1.60; Dalvík/Reynir away scored 2.00, conceded 1.70). Selfoss home matches 5/5 over 3.5, Dalvík/Reynir away 4/6 over 3.5. H2H finished 2-2 (over). Dalvík/Reynir conceded 2+ in 4 of 6 away matches, adding structural Over signal. Away team GL_5 of 1.70 indicates moderate bookmaker mispricing aligned with Over. Confidence capped at 82% due to goal gap of 0.4 below the elevated ceiling threshold. |
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| 29-07-2026 18:00 |
Magni Grenivik |
- |
Fjardabyggd |
Over 3.5,4.0 Goals |
82% |
Full-Time Over 3.75 (line 3.5/4.0). Expected total 4.25 goals (Home A=1.60 B=1.50 C=2.50 D=2.90 → 4.25), 0.50 above line. Both teams Over 3.5 in 60% of last 10 matches (Magni 6/10, Fjardabyggd 6/10). H2H saw 4 goals (Over). Bookmaker mispricing severe: Magni GL_5 2.70 (accelerating, severe), Fjardabyggd GL_5 1.75 (moderate). Match potential 4.13 from shot data also Over. Raw confidence 90% capped at 82% (standard ceiling, elevated conditions not all met). |
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| 29-07-2026 18:00 |
Forest Green |
- |
Bristol City |
Over 2.75 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.15 goals (Forest Green home 2.10 scored/1.60 conceded, Bristol City away 1.30 scored/1.30 conceded) exceeds 2.75 line by 0.40. Forest Green’s 4/4 home matches went Over 2.75, Bristol City’s 4/6 away matches Over. Quality gap, Forest Green’s home scoring form (2+ in last 4), and Bristol City conceding 2+ in 3 of last 5 away matches support Over. Raw score 89% capped at 82% standard ceiling due to one condition unmet. |
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| 29-07-2026 18:00 |
Farnborough |
- |
Portsmouth |
Over 3.25 Goals |
67% |
Expected total 3.40 (Farnborough home: scored 2.20, conceded 1.90; Portsmouth away: scored 1.30, conceded 1.40) slightly surpasses the 3.25 Asian line. Farnborough's home form is strong for overs – 3 of last 5 home games cleared 3.25 (1‑6, 2‑2, 4‑2), and the massive quality gap between Championship‑level Portsmouth and National League South side Farnborough suggests multiple goals. Farnborough's bookmaker goal‑line mispricing (GL_5 2.10, accelerating) adds further edge. |
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| 29-07-2026 18:00 |
Real Betis |
- |
Lyon |
Over 4.0 Corners 1st Half |
70% |
Expected total 1st half corners 4.80 vs line 4.0, gap 0.80. Lyon's last 3 away matches all recorded 5+ HT corners (5, 13, 6), 100% over rate. Betis home HT corners over in 2 of 4 (50%), but home dominance vs an out-of-form Lyon side (0 wins last 10 away) points to sustained pressure and corners. |
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| 29-07-2026 18:00 |
Marino de Luanco |
- |
Real Aviles CF |
Over 2.5 Goals |
79% |
Expected total 2.75 goals exceeds the 2.5 line. Real Aviles have 7 of last 10 matches Over 2.5 (70%) and conceded 2+ goals in 3 of last 5 away games, confirming defensive fragility. Away team's GL_5 bookmaker mispricing at 2.00 signals a strong edge for Over. |
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| 29-07-2026 19:00 |
Sportivo Luqueno |
- |
Sportivo Trinidense |
Over 2.0,2.5 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 3.00 from Luqueno home 1.40/1.50 and Trinidense away 1.90/1.20, well above the 2.25 line. Home's last 10 sees 70% over, away 80% over. H2H notably under (75% under) but structural shift: Luqueno scored 2+ in last 3 home games, Trinidense's last 5 away all had 3+ goals. GL_5 for Luqueno 1.75 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing, adding edge. |
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| 29-07-2026 19:15 |
Vikingur Olafsvik |
- |
Fjolnir |
Over 11.0 Corners |
65% |
Expected corners total 12.0 (home avg 5.9, away avg 6.5, conceded at home 4.4, conceded away 7.2) exceeds the line of 11.0 by 1.0. Home team's recent home corners record is neutral (2 of 4 over) but away team's away corners suggest high totals (16 and 11 in two matches). Both teams' corner averages align with an over, and the attacking nature of the mid‑table fixture in Iceland 2 Deild adds structural support. Bookmaker mispricing on the goal line (GL_5 1.90 for home) hints at a generally undervalued high‑event match. |
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| 29-07-2026 19:15 |
Haukar |
- |
KFG Gardabaer |
Over 4 Goals |
82% |
Expected total 4.30 (Haukar home scored 2.60, KFG away conceded 3.50). Haukar home matches 80% over 4.0 (4/5), KFG away 60% (3/5). H2H 0-4 push. Quality gap (1st vs 12th) and KFG defensive fragility (conceded 2+ in 3 of last 5 away) confirm Over. KFG GL_5 2.05 signals bookmaker mispricing on their matches. |
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| 29-07-2026 19:15 |
Throttur Vogar |
- |
Hviti Riddarinn |
Over 3.5/4.0 Goals |
71% |
Expected total 3.75 goals (Throttur home 1.80 scored, 2.20 conceded; Hviti away 1.40 scored, 2.10 conceded). Throttur's last 10: 6 of 10 over 3.75 (60%), Hviti 5 of 10 over (50%), with Throttur scoring 2+ in each of last three matches. Structural signals: both teams in relegation battle (10th vs 11th), Hviti conceding 6.5 shots on target per away game, and Throttur's attacking form. Confidence 71%. |
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| 29-07-2026 19:15 |
Kari |
- |
Kormakur/Hvot |
Over 3.75 Goals |
79% |
Expected total 4.15 goals based on Kari home avg 2.80 scored/1.90 conceded and Kormakur/Hvot away avg 2.50 scored/1.10 conceded. Kari's last 10 matches 90% Over 3.75 (9 of 10 had 4+ goals). Away side vulnerable defensively, conceding 2+ in 3 of last 5 away matches. Bookmaker mispricing for away team (GL_5 1.70, moderate) supports Over given accelerating trend. |
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| 29-07-2026 19:15 |
KV Vesturbaer |
- |
Reynir Sandgerdi |
Over 1.75 Goals (1st Half) |
78% |
Expected 1st half total is 2.20 goals (Home scored avg 1.10 + Away conceded avg 1.00; Away scored 1.20 + Home conceded 1.10). The line is 1.75, a gap of 0.45. KV Vesturbaer have had 2+ 1st half goals in 8/10 recent matches (80%), while Reynir Sandgerdi have done so in 9/10 (90%). Both teams score early – KV average 1.10 scored and 1.10 conceded in 1st half at home; Reynir 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded away before the break. No H2H to contradict. The away team's full‑time under record disqualifies the full‑time Over, but the 1st half signal is clean with strong history on both sides. Mild bookmaker mispricing (home GL_5 1.45) adds a small edge. |
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| 29-07-2026 19:45 |
Throttur Reykjavik |
- |
Afturelding |
Afturelding +0.25 Asian Handicap |
68% |
Afturelding have covered the +0.25 line in 4 of their last 5 away matches (winning at Volsungur, IR, Grindavik and drawing at Fylkir), while Throttur's home AH record is just 3 covers in 5 with a 1-4 last-5 record. Against common opponents Grotta, HK, Grindavik and Volsungur, Afturelding performed better on the handicap, and the top-two standings gap is minimal, giving value on the away side. |
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| 29-07-2026 23:30 |
Liverpool |
- |
Wrexham |
Over 8.5 Corners |
73% |
Expected corners total of 9.15 (Liverpool home avg 6.00 + Wrexham away concede 5.20) exceeds the 8.5 line. Liverpool home matches over 8.5 corners in 4 of 6 (67%), Wrexham away in 5 of 7 (71%). The massive quality gap will see Liverpool dominate possession and force corners from sustained attacking pressure. |
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