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Brazil Serie A

[18] Fortaleza 0
5 Botafogo [7]

Round: 19
  • Estadísticas en vivo
  • Diagramas
  • Posibilidades
  • Lineups
  • Información de equipos
  • Casa Anterior
  • Fuera Anterior
  • Comparison
  • Ai Assistant

Lineups

Lineup

4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1
25 - Vinicius Silvestre Leo Linck - 24
2 - Tinga Vitinho - 2
13 - Benjamin Kuscevic Danilo Oliveira - 35
39 - Gustavo Teixeira Lopes da Conceicao David Ricardo - 57
36 - Weverson Alex Telles - 13
88 - Lucas Sasha Newton - 28
5 - Matheus Pereira Fernando Marcal - 21
80 - Jose Maria Herrera Artur - 7
38 - Lucca Prior Jefferson Savarino - 10
26 - Breno Alvaro Montoro - 8
18 - Deyverson Arthur Cabral - 98

Substitutes

3 - Gaston Avila Mateo Ponte - 4
20 - Matheus Rossetto Kayke - 19
14 - Eros Nazareno Mancuso Kaua Oliveira Branco - 53
27 - Adam Bareiro Nathan Fernandes - 16
77 - Kervin Andrade Kauan - 77
33 - Emanuel Britez Santiago Rodriguez - 23
23 - Helton Leite Jeffinho - 47
9 - Juan Martin Lucero Joaquin Correa - 30
16 - Diogo Barbosa Raul - 1
22 - Yago Pikachu Matheus Martins - 11
11 - Marinho Gonzalo Mastriani - 39
8 - Emmanuel Martinez Huguinho - 48
Fortaleza Botafogo
93 - 5th Assist - Botafogo
93 - 13th Shot On Target - Botafogo
Goal 93 - 5th Goal - Botafogo
Corner 91 - 10th Corner - Botafogo
90 - 17th Shot Off Target - Botafogo
86 - 16th Shot Off Target - Botafogo
81 - 15th Shot Off Target - Fortaleza
76 - 2nd Yellow Card - Fortaleza
Substitution 74 - Substitution - Botafogo
72 - 12th Shot On Target - Botafogo
71 - 1st Yellow Card - Fortaleza
Substitution 67 - Substitution - Botafogo
Substitution 65 - Substitution - Fortaleza
64 - 2nd Offside - Botafogo
Corner 64 - 9th Corner - Botafogo
64 - 14th Shot Off Target - Botafogo
Corner 64 - 8th Corner - Botafogo
63 - 13th Shot Off Target - Botafogo
Substitution 58 - Substitution - Fortaleza
Substitution 58 - Substitution - Fortaleza
Substitution 58 - Substitution - Botafogo
Substitution 58 - Substitution - Botafogo
57 - 11th Shot On Target - Botafogo
53 - 4th Assist - Botafogo
53 - 10th Shot On Target - Botafogo
Goal 53 - 4th Goal - Botafogo
Corner 53 - 7th Corner - Botafogo
48 - 3rd Assist - Botafogo
48 - 9th Shot On Target - Botafogo
Goal 48 - 3rd Goal - Botafogo
Corner 48 - 6th Corner - Botafogo
47 - 11th Shot Off Target - Botafogo
47 - 12th Shot Off Target - Botafogo
Corner 47 - 5th Corner - Botafogo
47 - 11th Shot Off Target - Botafogo
Substitution 46 - Substitution - Botafogo
Substitution 46 - Substitution - Fortaleza
45+5 - 2nd Assist - Botafogo
45+5 - 8th Shot On Target - Botafogo
Goal 45+5 - 2nd Goal - Botafogo
45+4 - 7th Shot On Target - Botafogo
45+1 - 1st Offside - Fortaleza
44 - 10th Shot Off Target - Fortaleza
40 - 9th Shot Off Target - Fortaleza
40 - 8th Shot Off Target - Fortaleza
39 - 7th Shot Off Target - Fortaleza
Corner 40 - 4th Corner - Fortaleza
39 - 7th Shot Off Target - Fortaleza
37 - 6th Shot On Target - Botafogo
Corner 35 - 3rd Corner - Fortaleza
33 - 6th Shot Off Target - Fortaleza
30 - 5th Shot On Target - Botafogo
Corner 30 - 2nd Corner - Botafogo
29 - 4th Shot On Target - Botafogo
25 - 5th Shot Off Target - Botafogo
24 - 4th Shot Off Target - Botafogo
23 - 3rd Shot Off Target - Botafogo
Corner 23 - 1st Corner - Botafogo
22 - 3rd Shot On Target - Botafogo
19 - 2nd Shot Off Target - Fortaleza
14 - 1st Assist - Botafogo
14 - 2nd Shot On Target - Botafogo
Goal 14 - 1st Goal - Botafogo
Substitution 12 - Substitution - Fortaleza
11 - 1st Shot Off Target - Fortaleza
6 - 1st Red Card - Fortaleza
5 - 1st Shot On Target - Fortaleza
  • Actual
  • 1st Half
  • 2nd Half
  • Últimos 5
  • Últimos 10
  • Últimos 15
  • Últimos 20
  • Últimos 25
  • Desde el último gol
  • Since Red
Full-Time xG Corner Penaltis Sustituciones Offsides Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Injures Goles
Fortaleza 0.43 2 2 1 0 5 1 7 4 7 57 1 0
Botafogo 1.88 8 0 0 0 5 1 1 3 12 52 1 5
42%
Posesión
58%
1
Remates a portería
12
8
Remates fuera de la portería
9
72
Ataques
102
?
Ataques peligrosos
?
00:44 - 1x2: - - -
01:27 - Asian Handicap: (0) 4.200, 1.225
01:27 - Goal Line: (5.5) 6.250, 1.125
Últimos 15 minutos Corner Penaltis Sustituciones Goles
Fortaleza 0 1 0 0 0 0
Botafogo 1 0 0 0 0 1
-
Posesión
-
0
Remates a portería
1
1
Remates fuera de la portería
2
19
Ataques
12
?
Ataques peligrosos
?
1st Half Corner Penaltis Sustituciones Goles
Fortaleza 2 0 1 0 2 0
Botafogo 2 0 0 0 1 2
-
Posesión
-
1
Remates a portería
7
7
Remates fuera de la portería
3
47
Ataques
42
?
Ataques peligrosos
?
2ª mitad Corner Penaltis Sustituciones Goles
Fortaleza 0 2 0 0 3 0
Botafogo 6 0 0 0 3 3
-
Posesión
-
0
Remates a portería
5
1
Remates fuera de la portería
6
25
Ataques
60
?
Ataques peligrosos
?
Last 5 minutes Corner Penaltis Sustituciones Goles
Fortaleza 0 0 0 0 0 0
Botafogo 1 0 0 0 0 1
-
Posesión
-
0
Remates a portería
1
0
Remates fuera de la portería
2
6
Ataques
2
?
Ataques peligrosos
?
Last 10 minutes Corner Penaltis Sustituciones Goles
Fortaleza 0 0 0 0 0 0
Botafogo 1 0 0 0 1 1
-
Posesión
-
0
Remates a portería
1
1
Remates fuera de la portería
2
15
Ataques
10
?
Ataques peligrosos
?
Últimos 15 minutos Corner Penaltis Sustituciones Goles
Fortaleza 0 1 0 0 0 0
Botafogo 1 0 0 0 0 1
-
Posesión
-
0
Remates a portería
1
1
Remates fuera de la portería
2
19
Ataques
12
?
Ataques peligrosos
?
Last 20 minutes Corner Penaltis Sustituciones Goles
Fortaleza 0 1 0 0 0 0
Botafogo 1 0 0 0 1 1
-
Posesión
-
0
Remates a portería
2
1
Remates fuera de la portería
2
19
Ataques
15
?
Ataques peligrosos
?
Last 25 minutes Corner Penaltis Sustituciones Goles
Fortaleza 0 2 0 0 0 0
Botafogo 1 0 0 0 1 1
-
Posesión
-
0
Remates a portería
2
1
Remates fuera de la portería
2
22
Ataques
25
?
Ataques peligrosos
?
Desde el último gol Corner Penaltis Sustituciones Goles
Fortaleza 0 0 0 0 0 0
Botafogo 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Posesión
-
0
Remates a portería
0
0
Remates fuera de la portería
0
0
Ataques
0
?
Ataques peligrosos
?
Desde la tarjeta roja Corner Penaltis Sustituciones Goles
Fortaleza 2 2 0 0 5 0
Botafogo 8 0 0 0 0 5
-
Posesión
-
0
Remates a portería
12
8
Remates fuera de la portería
9
64
Ataques
98
?
Ataques peligrosos
?
00:44 - 1x2: - - -
01:27 - Asian Handicap: (0) 4.200, 1.225
01:27 - Goal Line: (5.5) 6.250, 1.125

1X2 probabilidades

Ataques peligrosos

Remates a portería

Remates fuera de la portería

Posesión

Ataques

Estadísticas basadas en la última partidos

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Brazil Copa Fares Lopes

  • Overall
  • Casa
  • Visitante

Taca Fares Lopes 2025, Group B

P Equipo W D L Goles PO
1 CEFAT Tirol 3 0 1 5:1 9
2 Ceara 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Maracanã 2 0 1 3:1 6
4 Vila Real FC 1 0 2 3:6 3
5 Caucaia 0 0 3 1:7 0

Taca Fares Lopes 2025, Group A

P Equipo W D L Goles PO
1 Itapipoca EC 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Ferroviario 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 FC Atlético Cearense 1 0 1 3:2 3
4 Fortaleza 0 2 0 2:2 2
5 Quixada FC 0 2 1 0:3 2

Taca Fares Lopes 2025, Group B

P Equipo W D L Goles PO
1 Ceara 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Vila Real FC 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Maracanã 1 0 1 2:1 3
4 CEFAT Tirol 1 0 1 1:1 3
5 Caucaia 0 0 2 0:4 0

Taca Fares Lopes 2025, Group A

P Equipo W D L Goles PO
1 Itapipoca EC 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Ferroviario 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 FC Atlético Cearense 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Fortaleza 0 1 0 0:0 1
5 Quixada FC 0 1 0 0:0 1

Taca Fares Lopes 2025, Group B

P Equipo W D L Goles PO
1 CEFAT Tirol 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Maracanã 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Ceara 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Caucaia 0 0 1 1:3 0
5 Vila Real FC 0 0 2 0:5 0

Taca Fares Lopes 2025, Group A

P Equipo W D L Goles PO
1 Fortaleza 0 1 0 2:2 1
2 Ferroviario 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Itapipoca EC 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Quixada FC 0 1 1 0:3 1
5 FC Atlético Cearense 0 0 1 1:2 0

Brazil Serie A

  • Overall
  • Casa
  • Visitante

Brasileiro Serie A 2025

P Equipo W D L Goles PO
1 Palmeiras 21 5 6 58:28 68
2 Flamengo 20 8 4 64:20 68
3 Cruzeiro 18 10 5 46:22 64
4 Mirassol 16 11 6 54:33 59
5 EC Bahia 15 8 10 44:40 53
6 Botafogo 14 10 9 44:28 52
7 Fluminense 15 6 12 38:37 51
8 Sao Paulo 12 9 12 37:36 45
9 Atletico Mineiro 11 11 11 37:37 44
10 Vasco da Gama 12 6 15 50:49 42
11 Bragantino 12 6 15 38:50 42
12 Ceara 11 9 13 31:30 42
13 Corinthians 11 9 13 35:38 42
14 Gremio 10 10 13 35:43 40
15 Internacional 9 10 14 37:46 37
16 Vitoria 8 11 14 29:47 35
17 Santos 8 9 15 33:48 33
18 EC Juventude 9 5 19 29:59 32
19 Fortaleza 7 10 16 34:51 31
20 Sport Recife 2 11 19 24:55 17

Brasileiro Serie A 2025

P Equipo W D L Goles PO
1 Flamengo 12 5 0 42:8 41
2 Palmeiras 12 3 2 35:11 39
3 Cruzeiro 12 3 2 30:12 39
4 EC Bahia 12 3 1 28:11 39
5 Mirassol 11 6 0 36:14 39
6 Fluminense 12 1 3 21:10 37
7 Atletico Mineiro 8 7 1 24:14 31
8 Botafogo 8 5 3 29:18 29
9 Sao Paulo 8 4 5 22:16 28
10 Vitoria 7 6 4 18:15 27
11 Internacional 7 5 5 23:18 26
12 Gremio 7 5 4 18:13 26
13 Corinthians 7 4 5 21:14 25
14 Ceara 7 4 5 17:12 25
15 Vasco da Gama 7 4 6 26:23 25
16 Bragantino 7 4 5 21:23 25
17 Fortaleza 6 3 8 20:22 21
18 EC Juventude 6 3 7 17:19 21
19 Santos 5 5 5 16:18 20
20 Sport Recife 1 7 8 15:27 10

Brasileiro Serie A 2025

P Equipo W D L Goles PO
1 Palmeiras 9 2 4 23:17 29
2 Flamengo 8 3 4 22:12 27
3 Cruzeiro 6 7 3 16:10 25
4 Botafogo 6 5 6 15:10 23
5 Mirassol 5 5 6 18:19 20
6 Vasco da Gama 5 2 9 24:26 17
7 Bragantino 5 2 10 17:27 17
8 Ceara 4 5 8 14:18 17
9 Sao Paulo 4 5 7 15:20 17
10 Corinthians 4 5 8 14:24 17
11 Fluminense 3 5 9 17:27 14
12 Gremio 3 5 9 17:30 14
13 EC Bahia 3 5 9 16:29 14
14 Atletico Mineiro 3 4 10 13:23 13
15 Santos 3 4 10 17:30 13
16 EC Juventude 3 2 12 12:40 11
17 Internacional 2 5 9 14:28 11
18 Fortaleza 1 7 8 14:29 10
19 Vitoria 1 5 10 11:32 8
20 Sport Recife 1 4 11 9:28 7
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Datasets to include

Likelihood Statistics
Previous Matches
Mutual Games
Head to Head
Scoring and Conceding Statistics
Averages
Variance Statistics
Comeback and Winning factors
Odds
Live Match Statistics and Events
Pregame recommendation: **Bet:** Botafogo +0.25 **Winning Probability:** 67% **Odds:** 1.775 **Reasoning:** Botafogo holds a much higher league position (7th vs 18th) and has the 5th best away record in the league. Their away defense is exceptional, conceding only 3 goals in 8 matches. Fortaleza is in the relegation zone and has a poor home record, winning only 33% of their home games. This gives a high probability that Botafogo will secure at least a draw.
Pregame recommendation: **Bet:** 1st Half Over 4.5 Asian Corners **Winning Probability:** 65% **Odds:** 1.875 **Reasoning:** The combined likelihood for over 4 first-half corners is 80% and for over 5 is 50%, suggesting a ~65% probability for the Over 4.5 line. This is strongly supported by Fortaleza's last five home games, which all exceeded this total. The teams' combined average first-half corners also supports this bet.

Only users with 1, 3 or 6 months subscriptions can use this feature

Latest updates

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  • Partido

    Enhanced Winning and Comeback Statistics We’ve refined our winning and comeback formulas with two key improvements: New filtering option: You can now exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics Transparency feature: Hover over any stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation These enhanced statistics are now available across […]

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  • Partido

    We’re thrilled to announce two awesome updates that will take your match analysis to the next level! 1️⃣ You can now view xG stats not only on the match page but also on the in-play page! Simply enable it, and you’ll find these valuable insights in the likelihood stats column.   2️⃣ We’ve introduced two […]

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Blog

  • Partido

    The Comeback Factor What is it? The Comeback Factor measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match. It tells you how often a team can bounce back by scoring the next goal after the other team has taken the lead. How does it work? Every time a team falls behind, […]

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Why Choose BetBallers for Football Betting Statistics?

The most comprehensive football betting platform with live scores, in-play statistics, AI assistant, backtesting tools, and unique analytical features

  • Live Football Scores & In-Play Stats

    Real-time match data with live scores, in-play statistics, dangerous attacks, and pressure index for informed betting decisions.

    Live Scores In-Play Stats Real-Time Data

  • Comeback & Winning Factor Analysis Unique

    Proprietary metric measuring how teams recover after falling behind - exclusive to BetBallers for underdog betting strategies.

    Comeback Factor Underdog Stats Winning Factor

  • Football Betting Statistics & Odds

    Complete match statistics including corners, shots, Asian handicap data, head-to-head records, and betting odds comparison.

    Estadísticas Betting Odds Handicap asiático

  • Momentum Betting Tracker aka Pressure Index

    Track game momentum shifts in real-time to identify betting opportunities during live matches with visual momentum indicators.

    Momentum Live Betting Match Flow

  • Match Schedule, Results & Standings

    Complete fixture schedule, historical results, league standings, and pre-match analysis for Premier League, La Liga, and 100+ leagues.

    Programar Resultados Standings

  • Customizable Betting Alerts

    Set personalized notifications for goals, corners, cards, and statistical thresholds across your favorite teams and leagues.

    Alerts Notificaciones Custom

  • AI Betting Assistant & Agent AI Powered

    Intelligent AI agent analyzes matches, suggests betting opportunities, and provides data-driven insights based on historical patterns and live statistics.

    AI Assistant Smart Predictions AI Agent

  • Betting Strategy Backtesting Pro

    Test your betting strategies against historical data, analyze ROI, track performance metrics, and optimize your betting approach with proven results.

    Backtesting Strategy Testing ROI Analysis

Popular Football Betting Categories

Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about football betting statistics, live scores, and using BetBallers effectively

What statistics and features does BetBallers provide for football betting?

BetBallers is a comprehensive tool designed for football bettors to enhance in-play and pre-game betting performance. The platform provides:

  • Live Match Statistics: Real-time stats including dangerous attacks, corners, shots, and pressure index for all in-play matches
  • Likelihood Stats: Color-coded system covering all markets from First Half Overs to Corners, making it easy to spot whether odds are backed by statistics
  • Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
  • Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
  • xG Stats: Expected goals available on both match pages and in-play pages within the likelihood stats column
  • Pressure Index: Combines dangerous attacks, total shots, and corners to measure which team is dominating the match

The platform features a customizable and user-friendly layout with the best coverage of games to ensure you never miss potential betting opportunities.

How does the BetBallers notification system work?

BetBallers offers a powerful notification system that significantly reduces the chance of missing potential bets:

  • Custom Notifications: Create pre-set or fully customizable notifications using combinations of real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds
  • Automated Scanning: The system automatically scans all in-play games and alerts you when your criteria is met
  • Visual Alerts: Notifications appear on the top right corner when matches meet your set criteria
  • Results Tracking: The system tracks all notifications received with results easily filterable by different options

Example notification: Alert for home underdogs losing by 1 goal but with 66%+ Pressure Index, Asian Handicap +0.5, and kick-off odds under 5.00. This specific notification has achieved a 71% win rate (52 wins, 21 losses) in backtesting.

What is the Backtesting System and how does it work?

The Backtesting System is a game-changing feature that validates your in-play betting strategies in minutes instead of waiting months for results:

  • Massive Data Analysis: Every test analyzes the last 100,000 finished games (approximately 5-6 months of matches) from the database
  • Live Scenario Simulation: Simulates live betting scenarios based on your custom notification rules for each game
  • Retrospective Likelihood Stats: Each game's likelihood stats are calculated retrospectively from that particular match for accurate testing
  • Results in Minutes: Get comprehensive backtest results in minutes or even seconds, depending on your rule complexity
  • Advanced Filtering: Filter results by Asian Handicap, Goal Line, Asian Corners, specific days, goals scored within 2 minutes, or missing dangerous attacks

The backtesting system excludes E-Soccer, Beach Soccer, and other shortened matches to ensure data quality. This feature is available to all Gold-Ballers subscription users (1, 3, or 6-month plans).

How does the AI Assistant enhance betting decisions?

BetBallers' AI Assistant helps identify the best value bets and provides quick match insights to enhance your betting strategy:

  • Schedule Page Analysis: AI scans upcoming matches and highlights value betting opportunities with higher probability of success
  • Specific Betting Tips: Get concrete betting recommendations with explanations instead of sorting through raw data yourself
  • Live Match Intelligence: Each live game includes an AI assistant tab providing real-time analysis based on your customized dataset preferences
  • Quick Match Overviews: Get instant summaries of match situations without manually reviewing all statistics

The AI Assistant helps you make faster, more informed betting decisions by processing complex statistical relationships that would be time-consuming to analyze manually.

What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

  • What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
  • How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
  • Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
  • Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

How do Likelihood Stats help identify value bets?

Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

  • Comprehensive Market Coverage: Covers all possible markets from First Half Overs to Corners and everything in between
  • Color-Coded Indicators: Visual system makes it easy to spot at a glance whether odds represent good value or not
  • Historical Validation: Shows how current match statistics compare to historical performance patterns
  • In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

Combine Likelihood Stats with live statistics to avoid situations where real-time stats aren't backed up by historical performance. This dual approach helps identify genuinely profitable betting opportunities rather than statistical anomalies.

What are Variance Stats and how do they identify mispriced teams?

Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

  • Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
  • Goal Line Variance: Identifies teams whose matches regularly go over or under expected totals
  • Asian Corners Variance: Reveals teams that generate more or fewer corners than bookmakers expect
  • Quick Identification: Find the most mispriced teams in your league or competition instantly

Variance Stats help you exploit consistent market inefficiencies by showing which teams the bookmakers systematically misprice across the most popular betting markets.

What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
  • Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

What subscription plans does BetBallers offer and what features are included?

BetBallers offers a free trial and multiple subscription tiers to suit different betting needs:

  • Free 2-Day Trial: €4.90 - Test all features with full access for 2 days
  • 1-Month Gold-Baller: €29.99 - Full access to all features including AI Assistant and backtesting system
  • 6-Month Gold-Baller: €149.90 - Extended subscription with significant savings per month

All Gold-Baller subscriptions include:

  • Live scores and in-play statistics for all major leagues
  • Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
  • Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
  • AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
  • Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.