| 01-11 16:00 |
Olimpico Totana
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4.10 +1.85 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.40 + 2.40 + 3.00) / 2 = 4.10 Error: 4.10 - Goal line 2.25 = +1.85| Opponent | Olimpico Totana | Santomera |
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| Real Murcia B | D 1-1 H 31-05-26 | W 3-2 A 25-04-26 | | Cieza | D 2-2 H 26-04-26 | L 0-5 A 25-01-26 | | FC Cartagena B | L 0-2 H 01-04-26 | D 4-4 A 04-01-26 | | At. Pulpileno | W 2-0 H 08-03-26 | W 3-2 A 04-10-26 | | UCAM Murcia CF B | D 2-2 H 21-02-26 | D 2-2 A 09-11-25 | | Media de goles (F | A) | 1.40 - 1.40 | 2.40 - 3.00 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Olimpico Totana | Santomera |
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| Real Murcia B | D 1-1 H 31-05-26 | W 3-2 A 25-04-26 | | Cieza | D 2-2 H 26-04-26 | L 0-5 A 25-01-26 | | FC Cartagena B | L 0-2 H 01-04-26 | D 4-4 A 04-01-26 | | At. Pulpileno | W 2-0 H 08-03-26 | W 3-2 A 04-10-26 | | UCAM Murcia CF B | D 2-2 H 21-02-26 | D 2-2 A 09-11-25 | | Media de goles (F | A) | 1.40 - 1.40 | 2.40 - 3.00 |
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131 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.40 2.40 | 3.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.14 | 5.00 3.50 | 5.93 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.40 | 7.00 8.40 | 17.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 2.00 5.00 | 9.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
53.20 | 29.00 36.60 | 58.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 01-11 17:30 |
Bala Azul
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+1.02 +0.27 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.83 Casa: 9.83 / ((5.57 + 7.60) / 2) = 1.49 Visitante: 9.83 / ((12.33 + 29.00) / 2) = 0.48 Diff: 1.49 - 0.48 = +1.02 Error: +1.02 + AH line -0.75 = +0.27 |
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1.60 -0.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 0.60 + 0.20 + 1.00) / 2 = 1.60 Error: 1.60 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.65| Opponent | Bala Azul | SFC Minerva |
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| Mazarron | W 1-0 H 12-09-26 | W 1-0 A 18-01-26 | | Olimpico Totana | D 0-0 H 19-04-26 | L 0-1 A 02-11-25 | | Atletico Santa Cruz | L 0-1 H 25-01-26 | L 0-1 A 18-04-26 | | FC Cartagena B | W 2-1 H 06-12-25 | L 0-3 A 07-03-26 | | Yeclano B | W 4-1 H 16-11-25 | D 0-0 A 21-02-26 | | Media de goles (F | A) | 1.40 - 0.60 | 0.20 - 1.00 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Bala Azul | SFC Minerva |
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| Mazarron | W 1-0 H 12-09-26 | W 1-0 A 18-01-26 | | Olimpico Totana | D 0-0 H 19-04-26 | L 0-1 A 02-11-25 | | Atletico Santa Cruz | L 0-1 H 25-01-26 | L 0-1 A 18-04-26 | | FC Cartagena B | W 2-1 H 06-12-25 | L 0-3 A 07-03-26 | | Yeclano B | W 4-1 H 16-11-25 | D 0-0 A 21-02-26 | | Media de goles (F | A) | 1.40 - 0.60 | 0.20 - 1.00 |
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311 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 0.60 0.20 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.57 | 12.33 29.00 | 7.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.80 | 7.40 5.80 | 7.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.20 | 2.60 1.60 | 2.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.80 | 51.60 37.40 | 54.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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