| 05-09 15:00 |
UE Tona
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2.30 +0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.00 + 0.75 + 1.25) / 2 = 2.30 Error: 2.30 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.05 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
140 031 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.00 0.75 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.38 | 7.60 12.67 | 9.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.40 | 7.60 9.50 | 11.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.60 | 3.80 5.00 | 4.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
46.00 | 35.20 39.25 | 53.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 16:00 |
FC L'Escala
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2.62 +0.38 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.50 + 0.75 + 1.75 + 1.25) / 2 = 2.62 Error: 2.62 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.38 |
4 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
130 130 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.50 | 0.75 1.75 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.67 | 13.67 4.00 | 7.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.50 | 10.25 7.00 | 8.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.50 | 4.75 3.25 | 3.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
54.00 | 50.75 47.25 | 58.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 17:00 |
Vilanova Geltru
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-0.14 -0.14 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.04 Casa: 9.04 / ((6.63 + 11.20) / 2) = 1.01 Visitante: 9.04 / ((10.00 + 5.67) / 2) = 1.15 Diff: 1.01 - 1.15 = -0.14 Error: -0.14 + AH line 0.00 = -0.14 |
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2.20 -0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 0.60 + 1.20 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.20 Error: 2.20 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 0.60 1.20 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.63 | 10.00 5.67 | 11.20 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.60 | 6.00 6.80 | 11.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 3.60 2.40 | 4.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
55.40 | 42.20 55.60 | 65.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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