| 29-08 16:05 |
Al Kholood
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1.90 -0.85 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 1.00 + 1.00 + 0.80) / 2 = 1.90 Error: 1.90 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.85 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
131 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.00 1.00 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.20 | 9.40 11.80 | 10.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.20 | 9.40 11.80 | 8.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.40 | 2.80 4.00 | 2.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
40.40 | 44.20 50.40 | 29.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 29-08 18:00 |
Al Fateh SC
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2.10 -0.90 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 1.00 + 1.60 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.90 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 1.00 1.60 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
20.67 | 14.60 6.63 | 15.40 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.40 | 14.60 10.60 | 15.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 5.00 4.80 | 6.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.00 | 53.20 43.20 | 60.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-08 16:05 |
Al Hazm
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+1.05 +1.55 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 11.33 Casa: 11.33 / ((7.70 + 6.14) / 2) = 1.64 Visitante: 11.33 / ((15.50 + 23.00) / 2) = 0.59 Diff: 1.64 - 0.59 = +1.05 Error: +1.05 + AH line 0.50 = +1.55 |
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2.30 -0.70 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 0.80 + 0.40 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.30 Error: 2.30 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.70 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 0.80 0.40 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.70 | 15.50 23.00 | 6.14 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.40 | 12.40 9.20 | 8.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 4.00 4.40 | 4.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
41.00 | 45.40 49.60 | 47.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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