| 07-09 16:00 |
Drøbak/Frogn
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4.70 +0.45 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (3.00 + 1.40 + 3.40 + 1.60) / 2 = 4.70 Error: 4.70 - Goal line 4.25 = +0.45 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 401 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
3.00 | 1.40 3.40 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
2.33 | 3.43 2.71 | 7.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.00 | 4.80 9.20 | 11.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 2.60 3.80 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
20.40 | 19.60 48.80 | 49.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 07-09 17:00 |
Ørn Horten
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-0.53 -1.28 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 11.77 Casa: 11.77 / ((5.00 + 2.73) / 2) = 3.05 Visitante: 11.77 / ((3.25 + 3.33) / 2) = 3.58 Diff: 3.05 - 3.58 = -0.53 Error: -0.53 + AH line -0.75 = -1.28 |
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3.60 -0.40 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 1.60 + 1.20 + 2.20) / 2 = 3.60 Error: 3.60 - Goal line 4.00 = -0.40 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 1.60 1.20 | 2.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.00 | 3.25 3.33 | 2.73 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.00 | 5.20 4.00 | 6.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.80 | 3.00 2.00 | 4.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
61.20 | 51.40 39.40 | 39.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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