| 30-08 14:00 |
FK Siauliai
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-0.60 +0.40 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.65 Casa: 9.65 / ((8.80 + 9.50) / 2) = 1.05 Visitante: 9.65 / ((4.69 + 7.00) / 2) = 1.65 Diff: 1.05 - 1.65 = -0.60 Error: -0.60 + AH line 1.00 = +0.40 |
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3.20 +0.45 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 2.60 + 2.00 + 0.80) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.45 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
104 320 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 2.60 2.00 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.80 | 4.69 7.00 | 9.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.80 | 12.20 14.00 | 7.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.20 | 5.80 7.40 | 2.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
58.80 | 52.20 51.00 | 37.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-08 15:45 |
Banga Gargzdai
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2.90 +0.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.20 + 2.20 + 0.80) / 2 = 2.90 Error: 2.90 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.65 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 311 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.20 2.20 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.13 | 8.17 4.45 | 10.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.40 | 9.80 9.80 | 8.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 4.20 5.20 | 3.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
42.80 | 46.60 48.40 | 42.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-08 16:00 |
Panevezys
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2.60 -0.40 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.60 + 1.40 + 0.80) / 2 = 2.60 Error: 2.60 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.40 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
122 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.60 1.40 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.57 | 7.38 9.71 | 10.25 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.20 | 11.80 13.60 | 8.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 5.20 4.40 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
47.20 | 55.40 58.60 | 45.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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