| 30-10 22:30 |
Criciuma
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-0.39 -2.89 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 13.60 Γηπεδούχος: 13.60 / ((14.50 + 9.73) / 2) = 1.12 Εκτός: 13.60 / ((8.50 + 9.50) / 2) = 1.51 Diff: 1.12 - 1.51 = -0.39 Error: -0.39 + AH line -2.50 = -2.89 |
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2.50 -1.00 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.80 + 0.80 + 2.20) / 2 = 2.50 Error: 2.50 - Goal line 3.50 = -1.00| Opponent | Criciuma | Ponte Preta |
|---|
| America MG | W 1-0 H 12-10-26 | L 0-2 A 30-08-26 | | Avai | W 3-0 H 27-09-26 | W 2-1 A 18-04-26 | | Operario PR | L 0-2 H 22-09-26 | L 2-3 A 22-07-26 | | EC Juventude | L 0-2 H 09-09-26 | L 0-3 A 14-06-26 | | Cuiaba | W 2-0 H 04-09-26 | L 0-2 A 03-10-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.20 - 0.80 | 0.80 - 2.20 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Criciuma | Ponte Preta |
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| America MG | W 1-0 H 12-10-26 | L 0-2 A 30-08-26 | | Avai | W 3-0 H 27-09-26 | W 2-1 A 18-04-26 | | Operario PR | L 0-2 H 22-09-26 | L 2-3 A 22-07-26 | | EC Juventude | L 0-2 H 09-09-26 | L 0-3 A 14-06-26 | | Cuiaba | W 2-0 H 04-09-26 | L 0-2 A 03-10-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.20 - 0.80 | 0.80 - 2.20 |
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302 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.80 0.80 | 2.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
14.50 | 8.50 9.50 | 9.73 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
17.40 | 6.80 7.60 | 21.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 1.20 3.20 | 6.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
65.80 | 27.20 20.20 | 69.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 31-10 19:00 |
Botafogo SP
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-
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2.50 +0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 1.40 + 1.40 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.50 Error: 2.50 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.25| Opponent | Botafogo SP | Sport Recife |
|---|
| Ceara | W 1-0 H 13-10-26 | L 1-2 A 05-09-26 | | Vila Nova | L 0-1 H 03-10-26 | W 1-0 A 08-08-26 | | Ponte Preta | W 2-0 H 29-09-26 | W 3-1 A 09-05-26 | | Goias | L 1-3 H 14-09-26 | D 1-1 A 22-07-26 | | Gremio Novorizontino | L 1-3 H 09-09-26 | L 1-2 A 28-08-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.00 - 1.40 | 1.40 - 1.20 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Botafogo SP | Sport Recife |
|---|
| Ceara | W 1-0 H 13-10-26 | L 1-2 A 05-09-26 | | Vila Nova | L 0-1 H 03-10-26 | W 1-0 A 08-08-26 | | Ponte Preta | W 2-0 H 29-09-26 | W 3-1 A 09-05-26 | | Goias | L 1-3 H 14-09-26 | D 1-1 A 22-07-26 | | Gremio Novorizontino | L 1-3 H 09-09-26 | L 1-2 A 28-08-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.00 - 1.40 | 1.40 - 1.20 |
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203 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.40 1.40 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
14.20 | 6.43 7.86 | 13.83 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.20 | 9.00 11.00 | 16.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.00 | 3.60 3.20 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
45.60 | 26.00 29.60 | 65.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 31-10 20:30 |
Vila Nova
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-
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1.80 -0.20 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 0.40 + 1.00 + 0.40) / 2 = 1.80 Error: 1.80 - Goal line 2.00 = -0.20| Opponent | Vila Nova | EC Juventude |
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| Gremio Novorizontino | D 2-2 H 18-10-26 | W 1-0 A 09-08-26 | | Londrina | W 2-0 H 25-09-26 | D 0-0 A 01-09-26 | | America MG | W 1-0 H 18-09-26 | W 1-0 A 28-09-26 | | Goias | W 2-0 H 10-09-26 | W 1-0 A 19-08-26 | | Ceara | W 2-0 H 30-08-26 | D 2-2 A 17-10-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.80 - 0.40 | 1.00 - 0.40 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Vila Nova | EC Juventude |
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| Gremio Novorizontino | D 2-2 H 18-10-26 | W 1-0 A 09-08-26 | | Londrina | W 2-0 H 25-09-26 | D 0-0 A 01-09-26 | | America MG | W 1-0 H 18-09-26 | W 1-0 A 28-09-26 | | Goias | W 2-0 H 10-09-26 | W 1-0 A 19-08-26 | | Ceara | W 2-0 H 30-08-26 | D 2-2 A 17-10-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.80 - 0.40 | 1.00 - 0.40 |
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410 320 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.40 1.00 | 0.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.44 | 29.50 10.20 | 32.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
17.00 | 11.80 10.20 | 12.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.20 | 3.80 2.40 | 3.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
42.60 | 38.80 32.80 | 38.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 31-10 22:30 |
Nautico
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-
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3.20 +0.70 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.60 + 1.20 + 2.20) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.70| Opponent | Nautico | Avai |
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| Vila Nova | L 0-2 H 11-10-26 | L 0-2 A 17-05-26 | | Gremio Novorizontino | L 0-2 H 08-10-26 | L 1-3 A 05-09-26 | | Sport Recife | W 3-1 H 26-09-26 | D 2-2 A 11-04-26 | | Operario PR | D 3-3 H 15-09-26 | W 2-1 A 16-08-26 | | Botafogo SP | W 1-0 H 03-09-26 | L 1-3 A 06-07-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.40 - 1.60 | 1.20 - 2.20 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Nautico | Avai |
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| Vila Nova | L 0-2 H 11-10-26 | L 0-2 A 17-05-26 | | Gremio Novorizontino | L 0-2 H 08-10-26 | L 1-3 A 05-09-26 | | Sport Recife | W 3-1 H 26-09-26 | D 2-2 A 11-04-26 | | Operario PR | D 3-3 H 15-09-26 | W 2-1 A 16-08-26 | | Botafogo SP | W 1-0 H 03-09-26 | L 1-3 A 06-07-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.40 - 1.60 | 1.20 - 2.20 |
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212 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.60 1.20 | 2.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.00 | 8.00 8.33 | 7.27 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.20 | 12.80 10.00 | 16.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.00 | 3.80 3.60 | 6.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
41.40 | 25.20 29.80 | 45.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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