Copa Libertadores

[3] UCV 0

Round: 3

11 inicial

Lineup

4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1
13 - Giancarlo Schiavone Jeremias Ledesma - 23
2 - Kendrys Silva Emanuel Coronel - 32
3 - Ruben Ramirez Ignacio Ovando - 46
4 - Williams Velasquez Gaston Avila - 13
24 - Yohan Cumana Gonzalo Sandez - 3
30 - Alexander Gonzalez Moreno Franco Ibarra - 5
6 - Francisco Sole Vicente Pizarro - 20
47 - Alexander Granko Julian Fernandez - 18
8 - Camilo Zapata Angel Di Maria - 11
7 - Juan Manuel Cuesta Jaminton Campaz - 8
11 - Jovanny Bolivar Alejo Veliz - 9

Substitutes

17 - Vicente Rodriguez Giovanni Ismael Cantizano - 26
28 - Maicol Ruiz Jorge Broun - 1
19 - Alfonso Simarra Guillermo Fernandez - 28
9 - Yeiber Murillo Carlos Quintana - 2
16 - Daniel De Sousa Luca Valentino Raffin - 47
10 - Samuel Sosa Alexis Soto - 33
27 - Daniel Carrilo Fabricio Oviedo - 39
14 - Kendry Mendoza Enzo Gimenez - 16
20 - Yimvert Berroteran Enzo Copetti - 22
21 - Charlis Ortiz Facundo Mallo - 15
15 - Roman Davis Federico Navarro - 31
1 - Lautaro Morales Lucas Lopez - 35
UCV Rosario Central
Corner 97 - 10th Corner - Rosario Central
93 - 2nd Assist - Rosario Central
93 - 7th Shot On Target - Rosario Central
Goal 93 - 3rd Goal - Rosario Central
Substitution 87 - Substitution - Rosario Central
Substitution 83 - Substitution - UCV
Substitution 84 - Substitution - UCV
81 - 17th Shot Off Target - UCV
82 - 16th Shot Off Target - UCV
82 - 6th Shot On Target - UCV
Substitution 80 - Substitution - Rosario Central
Substitution 80 - Substitution - Rosario Central
81 - 4th Offside - Rosario Central
80 - 6th Yellow Card - Rosario Central
79 - 15th Shot Off Target - UCV
75 - 14th Shot Off Target - UCV
74 - 3rd Offside - Rosario Central
72 - 13th Shot Off Target - UCV
66 - 12th Shot Off Target - UCV
Substitution 65 - Substitution - Rosario Central
Corner 66 - 9th Corner - UCV
61 - 11th Shot Off Target - UCV
61 - 5th Shot On Target - UCV
61 - 5th Yellow Card - UCV
61 - 5th Shot On Target - UCV
61 - 4th Shot On Target - UCV
59 - 10th Shot Off Target - Rosario Central
59 - 10th Shot Off Target - Rosario Central
Corner 59 - 8th Corner - Rosario Central
56 - 9th Shot Off Target - Rosario Central
Corner 56 - 7th Corner - Rosario Central
53 - 3rd Shot On Target - Rosario Central
Goal 53 - 2nd Goal - Rosario Central
52 - 4th Yellow Card - UCV
Substitution 46 - Substitution - Rosario Central
Substitution 46 - Substitution - UCV
45+3 - 2nd Shot On Target - Rosario Central
Corner 45+3 - 6th Corner - Rosario Central
45+2 - 8th Shot Off Target - Rosario Central
Corner 45+2 - 5th Corner - Rosario Central
45 - 2nd Offside - UCV
43 - 7th Shot Off Target - Rosario Central
37 - 3rd Yellow Card - Rosario Central
35 - 1st Assist - Rosario Central
35 - 1st Shot On Target - Rosario Central
Goal 35 - 1st Goal - Rosario Central
34 - 6th Shot Off Target - Rosario Central
Corner 35 - 4th Corner - Rosario Central
30 - 5th Shot Off Target - UCV
Corner 30 - 3rd Corner - UCV
29 - 1st Offside - Rosario Central
27 - 4th Shot Off Target - UCV
19 - 2nd Yellow Card - UCV
19 - 3rd Shot Off Target - Rosario Central
13 - 2nd Shot Off Target - UCV
9 - 1st Yellow Card - Rosario Central
8 - 1st Shot Off Target - Rosario Central
Corner 8 - 2nd Corner - Rosario Central
Corner 3 - 1st Corner - UCV
Tempo inteiro xG Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Offsides Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Gols
UCV 1.11 3 3 0 0 3 1 3 1 8 72 0
Rosario Central 1.94 6 3 0 1 5 4 3 0 13 75 3
42%
Posse
58%
3
Chutes a Gol
4
10
Chutes fora do Gol
7
97
Ataques
80
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
01:48 - 1x2: 451.000 51.000 1.002
01:50 - Asian Handicap: (0) 2.200, 1.650
01:52 - Goal Line: (3.5) 10.000, 1.060
Últimos 15 minutos Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
UCV 0 0 0 0 2 0
Rosario Central 0 1 0 0 3 1
-
Posse
-
1
Chutes a Gol
1
3
Chutes fora do Gol
0
24
Ataques
15
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
1st Half Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
UCV 2 1 0 0 1 0
Rosario Central 4 2 0 0 1 1
-
Posse
-
0
Chutes a Gol
2
3
Chutes fora do Gol
5
46
Ataques
51
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
2º tempo Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
UCV 1 2 0 0 2 0
Rosario Central 2 1 0 1 2 2
-
Posse
-
3
Chutes a Gol
2
7
Chutes fora do Gol
2
51
Ataques
29
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
Last 5 minutes Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
UCV 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rosario Central 0 0 0 0 1 1
-
Posse
-
0
Chutes a Gol
1
0
Chutes fora do Gol
0
11
Ataques
10
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
Last 10 minutes Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
UCV 0 0 0 0 2 0
Rosario Central 0 0 0 0 1 1
-
Posse
-
1
Chutes a Gol
1
2
Chutes fora do Gol
0
17
Ataques
11
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
Últimos 15 minutos Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
UCV 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rosario Central 0 1 0 0 3 1
-
Posse
-
1
Chutes a Gol
1
3
Chutes fora do Gol
0
24
Ataques
15
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
Last 20 minutes Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
UCV 0 0 0 0 2 0
Rosario Central 0 1 0 0 3 1
-
Posse
-
1
Chutes a Gol
1
5
Chutes fora do Gol
0
30
Ataques
20
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
Last 25 minutes Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
UCV 0 0 0 0 2 0
Rosario Central 0 1 0 0 1 1
-
Posse
-
1
Chutes a Gol
1
6
Chutes fora do Gol
0
36
Ataques
21
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
Desde o Último Gol Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
UCV 0 0 0 0 0 0
Rosario Central 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Posse
-
0
Chutes a Gol
0
0
Chutes fora do Gol
0
0
Ataques
0
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
01:48 - 1x2: 451.000 51.000 1.002
01:50 - Asian Handicap: (0) 2.200, 1.650
01:52 - Goal Line: (3.5) 10.000, 1.060

1X2 Odds

Ataques Perigosos

Chutes a Gol

Chutes fora do Gol

Posse

Ataques

Estatísticas com base nos últimos jogos

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Venezuela Primera Division

Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Estudiantes Merida 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Carabobo 0 1 0 0:0 1
2 Metropolitanos FC 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Deportivo Tachira 0 0 1 1:2 0

Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Academia Puerto Cabello 0 1 0 1:1 1
1 Deportivo La Guaira 0 1 0 1:1 1
1 Portuguesa 0 1 0 1:1 1
1 UCV 0 1 0 1:1 1

Primera Division 2026, Apertura

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Deportivo La Guaira 7 6 0 15:6 27
2 Metropolitanos FC 7 4 2 17:10 25
3 Deportivo Tachira 7 3 3 17:12 24
4 UCV 7 2 4 24:20 23
5 Portuguesa 5 5 3 20:12 20
6 Estudiantes Merida 6 2 5 21:18 20
7 Carabobo 4 7 2 23:14 19
8 Academia Puerto Cabello 4 5 4 16:14 17
9 Zamora 4 5 4 14:14 17
10 Caracas 3 6 4 15:17 15
11 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 4 2 7 13:23 14
12 Monagas 3 2 8 14:22 11
13 Academia Anzoategui FC 2 3 8 15:25 9
14 Trujillanos 0 4 9 9:26 4

Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Estudiantes Merida 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Carabobo 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Deportivo Tachira 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Metropolitanos FC 0 0 0 0:0 0

Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Academia Puerto Cabello 0 1 0 1:1 1
1 Portuguesa 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Deportivo La Guaira 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 UCV 0 0 0 0:0 0

Primera Division 2026, Apertura

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Carabobo 4 3 0 17:6 15
2 Metropolitanos FC 4 3 0 11:5 15
3 Portuguesa 4 2 1 13:5 14
4 Deportivo Tachira 4 1 2 10:7 13
5 Deportivo La Guaira 3 3 0 6:1 12
6 UCV 3 2 1 9:6 11
7 Monagas 3 2 2 11:9 11
8 Academia Puerto Cabello 3 1 2 11:6 10
9 Estudiantes Merida 3 1 2 11:10 10
10 Caracas 3 1 3 10:10 10
11 Zamora 2 3 1 7:7 9
12 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 2 1 3 6:9 7
13 Trujillanos 0 3 4 4:11 3
14 Academia Anzoategui FC 0 2 4 4:11 2

Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Metropolitanos FC 0 1 0 0:0 1
2 Carabobo 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Estudiantes Merida 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Deportivo Tachira 0 0 1 1:2 0

Primera Division 2026, Apertura, Main Round, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Deportivo La Guaira 0 1 0 1:1 1
1 UCV 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Portuguesa 0 0 0 0:0 0

Primera Division 2026, Apertura

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Deportivo La Guaira 4 3 0 9:5 15
2 UCV 4 0 3 15:14 12
3 Deportivo Tachira 3 2 1 7:5 11
4 Estudiantes Merida 3 1 3 10:8 10
5 Metropolitanos FC 3 1 2 6:5 10
6 Zamora 2 2 3 7:7 8
7 Academia Anzoategui FC 2 1 4 11:14 7
8 Academia Puerto Cabello 1 4 2 5:8 7
9 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 2 1 4 7:14 7
10 Portuguesa 1 3 2 7:7 6
11 Caracas 0 5 1 5:7 5
12 Carabobo 0 4 2 6:8 4
13 Trujillanos 0 1 5 5:15 1
14 Monagas 0 0 6 3:13 0

Copa Libertadores

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group H

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Rosario Central 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 Independiente del Valle 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 UCV 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Libertad Asuncion 0 0 3 3:7 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group G

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 LDU Quito 2 0 1 3:1 6
2 Lanus 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Mirassol 2 0 1 3:2 6
4 Always Ready 0 0 3 0:4 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group F

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Sporting Cristal 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Palmeiras 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Cerro Porteno 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Junior 0 1 2 1:4 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group E

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Corinthians 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Platense 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Penarol 0 1 2 2:5 1
3 Independiente Santa Fe 0 1 2 2:5 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group D

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Universidad Catolica 2 0 1 5:4 6
2 Boca Juniors 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Cruzeiro 2 0 1 3:2 6
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 0 0 3 1:6 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group C

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Bolivar 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Fluminense 0 1 2 1:4 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Deportes Tolima 1 1 1 4:3 4
2 Nacional De Football 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Universitario de Deportes 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Coquimbo Unido 1 1 1 3:4 4

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Flamengo 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Estudiantes LP 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Independiente Medellin 1 1 1 3:5 4
4 Cusco FC 0 0 3 1:5 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group H

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Independiente del Valle 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 UCV 1 0 1 3:4 3
3 Rosario Central 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Libertad Asuncion 0 0 2 2:4 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group G

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Mirassol 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Lanus 2 0 0 2:0 6
3 LDU Quito 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Always Ready 0 0 1 0:1 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group F

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Sporting Cristal 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Cerro Porteno 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Palmeiras 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Junior 0 1 0 1:1 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group E

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Corinthians 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Platense 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Independiente Santa Fe 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Penarol 0 0 1 1:2 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group D

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Cruzeiro 1 0 1 2:2 3
2 Boca Juniors 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Universidad Catolica 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 0 0 2 1:3 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group C

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Bolivar 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Fluminense 0 0 1 1:2 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Deportes Tolima 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 Universitario de Deportes 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Nacional De Football 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Coquimbo Unido 0 1 0 1:1 1

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Independiente Medellin 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Estudiantes LP 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Flamengo 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Cusco FC 0 0 1 0:2 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group H

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Rosario Central 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Independiente del Valle 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 UCV 0 0 1 1:3 0
4 Libertad Asuncion 0 0 1 1:3 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group G

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 LDU Quito 1 0 1 1:1 3
2 Mirassol 0 0 1 0:2 0
3 Lanus 0 0 1 0:1 0
4 Always Ready 0 0 2 0:3 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group F

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Palmeiras 0 2 0 2:2 2
2 Sporting Cristal 0 0 1 1:2 0
3 Cerro Porteno 0 0 1 0:1 0
4 Junior 0 0 2 0:3 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group E

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Corinthians 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Platense 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Penarol 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Independiente Santa Fe 0 0 2 1:4 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group D

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Universidad Catolica 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Cruzeiro 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Boca Juniors 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 0 0 1 0:3 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group C

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Fluminense 0 1 1 0:2 1
3 Deportivo La Guaira 0 1 1 2:5 1
4 Bolivar 0 0 1 0:1 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Coquimbo Unido 1 0 1 2:3 3
2 Universitario de Deportes 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Nacional De Football 0 1 1 3:5 1
4 Deportes Tolima 0 0 1 1:3 0

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Flamengo 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Estudiantes LP 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Independiente Medellin 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Cusco FC 0 0 2 1:3 0

Argentina Liga Profesional

Apertura, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 10 4 2 29:15 34
2 River Plate 9 2 5 22:12 29
3 Argentinos Jrs 8 5 3 17:13 29
4 Rosario Central 8 4 4 20:16 28
5 Belgrano 7 5 4 17:13 26
6 Gimnasia LP 8 2 6 19:19 26
7 Huracan 5 7 4 17:13 22
8 Racing Club 5 6 5 17:15 21
9 Barracas Central 5 6 5 15:15 21
10 CA Tigre 4 8 4 18:15 20
11 Sarmiento 6 1 9 13:20 19
12 Banfield 5 3 8 17:19 18
13 Atlético Tucumán 3 5 8 15:20 14
14 CA Aldosivi 0 8 8 6:19 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1 2 13 5:24 5

Apertura, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Estudiantes LP 9 4 3 19:7 31
2 Boca Juniors 8 6 2 22:9 30
3 Velez Sarsfield 7 7 2 18:12 28
4 CA Talleres de Córdoba 7 5 4 17:13 26
5 CA Independiente 6 6 4 24:20 24
6 Lanus 6 6 4 18:15 24
7 San Lorenzo 5 7 4 14:14 22
8 Union Santa Fe 5 6 5 24:20 21
9 Instituto AC Cordoba 6 3 7 17:17 21
10 Defensa y Justicia 4 7 5 18:21 19
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 5 4 7 14:22 19
12 Platense 3 7 6 10:15 16
13 Central Cordoba 4 4 8 11:21 16
14 Newell's 3 6 7 15:27 15
15 Deportivo Riestra 1 8 7 5:12 11

Apertura, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Argentinos Jrs 6 3 0 10:4 21
2 Independiente Rivadavia 6 1 2 19:10 19
3 Sarmiento 5 1 2 9:6 16
4 River Plate 5 0 3 14:8 15
5 Belgrano 4 2 2 11:5 14
6 Banfield 4 2 2 10:6 14
7 Rosario Central 4 2 2 10:7 14
8 CA Tigre 3 4 1 11:8 13
9 Huracan 4 1 3 11:8 13
10 Gimnasia LP 4 1 3 11:10 13
11 Atlético Tucumán 2 5 1 8:6 11
12 Barracas Central 3 2 3 9:8 11
13 Racing Club 2 3 2 7:7 9
14 CA Aldosivi 0 7 1 3:5 7
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1 1 6 4:10 4

Apertura, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Estudiantes LP 5 1 2 11:4 16
2 CA Independiente 4 3 1 15:9 15
3 Velez Sarsfield 4 3 1 9:6 15
4 Boca Juniors 3 5 0 8:3 14
5 Union Santa Fe 3 4 1 11:5 13
6 Lanus 3 4 1 9:5 13
7 CA Talleres de Córdoba 4 1 2 9:5 13
8 Instituto AC Cordoba 4 1 3 11:8 13
9 Central Cordoba 4 1 3 10:9 13
10 Gimnasia Mendoza 4 1 3 9:8 13
11 San Lorenzo 3 2 3 10:11 11
12 Deportivo Riestra 1 5 2 4:4 8
13 Defensa y Justicia 1 5 2 7:10 8
14 Platense 2 2 4 4:8 8
15 Newell's 1 4 3 6:10 7

Apertura, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 4 3 0 10:5 15
2 River Plate 4 2 2 8:4 14
3 Rosario Central 4 2 2 10:9 14
4 Gimnasia LP 4 1 3 8:9 13
5 Racing Club 3 3 3 10:8 12
6 Belgrano 3 3 2 6:8 12
7 Barracas Central 2 4 2 6:7 10
8 Huracan 1 6 1 6:5 9
9 Argentinos Jrs 2 2 3 7:9 8
10 CA Tigre 1 4 3 7:7 7
11 Banfield 1 1 6 7:13 4
12 Atlético Tucumán 1 0 7 7:14 3
13 Sarmiento 1 0 7 4:14 3
14 CA Aldosivi 0 1 7 3:14 1
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0 1 7 1:14 1

Apertura, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Boca Juniors 5 1 2 14:6 16
2 Estudiantes LP 4 3 1 8:3 15
3 Velez Sarsfield 3 4 1 9:6 13
4 CA Talleres de Córdoba 3 4 2 8:8 13
5 San Lorenzo 2 5 1 4:3 11
6 Defensa y Justicia 3 2 3 11:11 11
7 Lanus 3 2 3 9:10 11
8 CA Independiente 2 3 3 9:11 9
9 Platense 1 5 2 6:7 8
10 Union Santa Fe 2 2 4 13:15 8
11 Instituto AC Cordoba 2 2 4 6:9 8
12 Newell's 2 2 4 9:17 8
13 Gimnasia Mendoza 1 3 4 5:14 6
14 Deportivo Riestra 0 3 5 1:8 3
15 Central Cordoba 0 3 5 1:12 3
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Datasets to include

Likelihood Statistics
Previous Matches
Mutual Games
Head to Head
Scoring and Conceding Statistics
Averages
Variance Statistics
Comeback and Winning factors
Odds
Live Match Statistics and Events
Pregame recommendation: **Bet:** Over 1.0 Goals (1st Half) **Winning Probability:** 65% **Odds:** 1.9 **Reasoning:** Expected 1st half total is 1.45 goals (home avg 1.10 + away conceded 0.50)/2 + (away avg 0.40 + home conceded 0.90)/2, exceeding the line of 1.0 by 0.45 goals. UCV has strong bookmaker mispricing (GL_5=1.95, accelerating) adding +8% confidence, while match history is weak (40% home, 33% away) and likelihood slightly contradicts (-3%), yielding 65% confidence. UCV scores in the first half in 70% of matches overall, supporting Over.

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