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Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Palmeiras 4
0 Capivariano SP

Round: 3
  • Estat. ao vivo
  • Sem Odds
  • 11 inicial
  • Informações dos Times
  • Casa Anterior
  • Fora de Casa Anterior
  • Comparison
  • Ai Assistant

11 inicial

Lineup

4-4-2 4-2-3-1
1 - Carlos Miguel Guilherme - 12
12 - Khellven Diogo Mateus - 2
15 - Gustavo Gomez Octavio Franchini Metzker - 3
26 - Murilo Wendel Lomar da Cruz - 4
22 - Joaquin Piquerez Lucas Dias - 6
40 - Allan Elias Bruno da Silva Barbosa - 5
8 - Andreas Pereira Thiago Moraes - 8
17 - Marlon Freitas Ravanelli - 10
18 - Mauricio Carlos Eduardo Mizael Souza - 7
9 - Vitor Roque Daniel Goncalves Batista - 17
42 - Flaco Lopez Vinicius Popo - 9

Substitutes

19 - Ramon Sosa Cassio Gabriel - 20
32 - Emiliano Martinez Matheus Texeira - 1
31 - Luighi Rodolfo - 19
6 - Jefte Leandrinho - 22
50 - Luis Felipe Pacheco da Costa Matheus Guilherme Montagnine - 18
4 - Agustin Giay Tiago Henrique dos Santos - 23
48 - Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos Felipe Azevedo - 11
3 - Bruno Fuchs Mike - 21
14 - Marcelo Lomba Joao Victor de Amorim Marinho - 14
11 - Jhon Arias Ricardo Cerqueira - 13
30 - Lucas Evangelista Vinicius Guedes - 15
7 - Felipe Anderson Tarcisio Lopes Dionizio Muniz - 16
Palmeiras Capivariano SP
94 - 1st Assist - Palmeiras
94 - 10th Shot On Target - Palmeiras
Goal 94 - 4th Goal - Palmeiras
Corner 94 - 15th Corner - Capivariano SP
93 - 9th Shot On Target - Capivariano SP
92 - 8th Shot On Target - Palmeiras
Goal 92 - 3rd Goal - Palmeiras
Substitution 87 - Substitution - Palmeiras
Substitution 88 - Substitution - Palmeiras
Corner 86 - 14th Corner - Capivariano SP
84 - 28th Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
Substitution 80 - Substitution - Capivariano SP
82 - 27th Shot Off Target - Palmeiras
82 - 26th Shot Off Target - Palmeiras
Corner 81 - 13th Corner - Palmeiras
Substitution 78 - Substitution - Palmeiras
Substitution 78 - Substitution - Palmeiras
77 - 1st Offside - Palmeiras
77 - 25th Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
Corner 77 - 12th Corner - Capivariano SP
Substitution 70 - Substitution - Capivariano SP
Substitution 70 - Substitution - Capivariano SP
Corner 71 - 11th Corner - Capivariano SP
67 - 7th Shot On Target - Palmeiras
Corner 67 - 10th Corner - Palmeiras
66 - 24th Shot Off Target - Palmeiras
65 - 23rd Shot Off Target - Palmeiras
Corner 61 - 9th Corner - Palmeiras
60 - 22nd Shot Off Target - Palmeiras
59 - 21st Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
57 - 20th Shot Off Target - Palmeiras
52 - 3rd Yellow Card - Palmeiras
51 - 19th Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
51 - 18th Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
50 - 6th Shot On Target - Palmeiras
48 - 17th Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
48 - 16th Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
Corner 48 - 8th Corner - Capivariano SP
Substitution 46 - Substitution - Capivariano SP
Substitution 46 - Substitution - Capivariano SP
45+3 - 15th Shot Off Target - Palmeiras
45 - 14th Shot Off Target - Palmeiras
42 - 13th Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
36 - 11th Shot Off Target - Palmeiras
39 - 12th Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
36 - 5th Shot On Target - Palmeiras
Goal 36 - 2nd Goal - Palmeiras
Corner 35 - 7th Corner - Palmeiras
32 - 10th Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
33 - 9th Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
Corner 33 - 6th Corner - Capivariano SP
Corner 31 - 5th Corner - Palmeiras
31 - 8th Shot Off Target - Palmeiras
31 - 7th Shot Off Target - Palmeiras
28 - 2nd Yellow Card - Capivariano SP
22 - 6th Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
22 - 5th Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
21 - 4th Shot Off Target - Palmeiras
Corner 21 - 4th Corner - Palmeiras
Corner 19 - 3rd Corner - Palmeiras
17 - 4th Shot On Target - Palmeiras
17 - 1st Yellow Card - Capivariano SP
Corner 13 - 2nd Corner - Capivariano SP
12 - 3rd Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
12 - 3rd Shot On Target - Capivariano SP
9 - 2nd Shot Off Target - Capivariano SP
Corner 8 - 1st Corner - Capivariano SP
4 - 1st Shot Off Target - Palmeiras
5 - 2nd Shot On Target - Palmeiras
6 - 1st Shot On Target - Palmeiras
Goal 6 - 1st Goal - Palmeiras
  • Atual
  • Desde o Último Gol
Tempo inteiro xG Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Offsides Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Gols
Palmeiras 3.61 7 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 6 82 4
Capivariano SP 0.65 8 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 9 61 0
53%
Posse
47%
7
Chutes a Gol
2
13
Chutes fora do Gol
15
97
Ataques
79
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
18:11 - 1x2: 1.181 5.500 15.000
18:17 - Asian Handicap: (-1.75) 1.775, 2.025
18:17 - Goal Line: (2.5,3.0) 1.850, 1.950
Desde o Último Gol Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
Palmeiras 0 0 0 0 0 0
Capivariano SP 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Posse
-
0
Chutes a Gol
0
0
Chutes fora do Gol
0
0
Ataques
0
?
Ataques Perigosos
?

Estatísticas com base nos últimos jogos

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Datasets to include

Likelihood Statistics
Previous Matches
Mutual Games
Head to Head
Scoring and Conceding Statistics
Averages
Variance Statistics
Comeback and Winning factors
Odds
Live Match Statistics and Events
Pregame recommendation: **Bet:** Palmeiras -2 **Winning Probability:** 70% **Odds:** 1.925 **Reasoning:** Palmeiras, a top Serie A team, displays overwhelming home dominance, averaging 3.1 goals in their last 10 home wins. They face a much weaker Capivariano SP, who have a poor away record and recently suffered heavy defeats (3-0, 4-0) against opponents of similar quality. The significant gap in class points to a comfortable win for Palmeiras by at least a 3-goal margin.

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  • Live Football Scores & In-Play Stats

    Real-time match data with live scores, in-play statistics, dangerous attacks, and pressure index for informed betting decisions.

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  • Comeback & Winning Factor Analysis Unique

    Proprietary metric measuring how teams recover after falling behind - exclusive to BetBallers for underdog betting strategies.

    Comeback Factor Underdog Stats Winning Factor

  • Football Betting Statistics & Odds

    Complete match statistics including corners, shots, Asian handicap data, head-to-head records, and betting odds comparison.

    Estatísticas Betting Odds Handicap Asiático

  • Momentum Betting Tracker aka Pressure Index

    Track game momentum shifts in real-time to identify betting opportunities during live matches with visual momentum indicators.

    Momentum Live Betting Match Flow

  • Match Schedule, Results & Standings

    Complete fixture schedule, historical results, league standings, and pre-match analysis for Premier League, La Liga, and 100+ leagues.

    Programação Resultados Standings

  • Customizable Betting Alerts

    Set personalized notifications for goals, corners, cards, and statistical thresholds across your favorite teams and leagues.

    Alerts Notificações Custom

  • AI Betting Assistant & Agent AI Powered

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Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about football betting statistics, live scores, and using BetBallers effectively

What statistics and features does BetBallers provide for football betting?

BetBallers is a comprehensive tool designed for football bettors to enhance in-play and pre-game betting performance. The platform provides:

  • Live Match Statistics: Real-time stats including dangerous attacks, corners, shots, and pressure index for all in-play matches
  • Likelihood Stats: Color-coded system covering all markets from First Half Overs to Corners, making it easy to spot whether odds are backed by statistics
  • Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
  • Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
  • xG Stats: Expected goals available on both match pages and in-play pages within the likelihood stats column
  • Pressure Index: Combines dangerous attacks, total shots, and corners to measure which team is dominating the match

The platform features a customizable and user-friendly layout with the best coverage of games to ensure you never miss potential betting opportunities.

How does the BetBallers notification system work?

BetBallers offers a powerful notification system that significantly reduces the chance of missing potential bets:

  • Custom Notifications: Create pre-set or fully customizable notifications using combinations of real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds
  • Automated Scanning: The system automatically scans all in-play games and alerts you when your criteria is met
  • Visual Alerts: Notifications appear on the top right corner when matches meet your set criteria
  • Results Tracking: The system tracks all notifications received with results easily filterable by different options

Example notification: Alert for home underdogs losing by 1 goal but with 66%+ Pressure Index, Asian Handicap +0.5, and kick-off odds under 5.00. This specific notification has achieved a 71% win rate (52 wins, 21 losses) in backtesting.

What is the Backtesting System and how does it work?

The Backtesting System is a game-changing feature that validates your in-play betting strategies in minutes instead of waiting months for results:

  • Massive Data Analysis: Every test analyzes the last 100,000 finished games (approximately 5-6 months of matches) from the database
  • Live Scenario Simulation: Simulates live betting scenarios based on your custom notification rules for each game
  • Retrospective Likelihood Stats: Each game's likelihood stats are calculated retrospectively from that particular match for accurate testing
  • Results in Minutes: Get comprehensive backtest results in minutes or even seconds, depending on your rule complexity
  • Advanced Filtering: Filter results by Asian Handicap, Goal Line, Asian Corners, specific days, goals scored within 2 minutes, or missing dangerous attacks

The backtesting system excludes E-Soccer, Beach Soccer, and other shortened matches to ensure data quality. This feature is available to all Gold-Ballers subscription users (1, 3, or 6-month plans).

How does the AI Assistant enhance betting decisions?

BetBallers' AI Assistant helps identify the best value bets and provides quick match insights to enhance your betting strategy:

  • Schedule Page Analysis: AI scans upcoming matches and highlights value betting opportunities with higher probability of success
  • Specific Betting Tips: Get concrete betting recommendations with explanations instead of sorting through raw data yourself
  • Live Match Intelligence: Each live game includes an AI assistant tab providing real-time analysis based on your customized dataset preferences
  • Quick Match Overviews: Get instant summaries of match situations without manually reviewing all statistics

The AI Assistant helps you make faster, more informed betting decisions by processing complex statistical relationships that would be time-consuming to analyze manually.

What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

  • What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
  • How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
  • Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
  • Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

How do Likelihood Stats help identify value bets?

Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

  • Comprehensive Market Coverage: Covers all possible markets from First Half Overs to Corners and everything in between
  • Color-Coded Indicators: Visual system makes it easy to spot at a glance whether odds represent good value or not
  • Historical Validation: Shows how current match statistics compare to historical performance patterns
  • In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

Combine Likelihood Stats with live statistics to avoid situations where real-time stats aren't backed up by historical performance. This dual approach helps identify genuinely profitable betting opportunities rather than statistical anomalies.

What are Variance Stats and how do they identify mispriced teams?

Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

  • Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
  • Goal Line Variance: Identifies teams whose matches regularly go over or under expected totals
  • Asian Corners Variance: Reveals teams that generate more or fewer corners than bookmakers expect
  • Quick Identification: Find the most mispriced teams in your league or competition instantly

Variance Stats help you exploit consistent market inefficiencies by showing which teams the bookmakers systematically misprice across the most popular betting markets.

What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
  • Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

What subscription plans does BetBallers offer and what features are included?

BetBallers offers a free trial and multiple subscription tiers to suit different betting needs:

  • Free 2-Day Trial: €4.90 - Test all features with full access for 2 days
  • 1-Month Gold-Baller: €29.99 - Full access to all features including AI Assistant and backtesting system
  • 6-Month Gold-Baller: €149.90 - Extended subscription with significant savings per month

All Gold-Baller subscriptions include:

  • Live scores and in-play statistics for all major leagues
  • Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
  • Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
  • AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
  • Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.