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Argentina Liga Profesional

[12] Sarmiento 1
1 River Plate [4]

Round: 12
  • Estat. ao vivo
  • Gráficos
  • Sem Odds
  • 11 inicial
  • Informações dos Times
  • Casa Anterior
  • Fora de Casa Anterior
  • H2H
  • Comparison
  • Ai Assistant

11 inicial

Lineup

4-4-1-1 4-3-3
42 - Lucas Acosta Franco Armani - 1
44 - Renzo Orihuela Fabricio Bustos - 16
14 - Facundo Roncaglia German Pezzella - 6
2 - Juan Insaurralde Leandro Gonzalez Pirez - 14
39 - Joel Godoy Milton Casco - 20
28 - Joaquin Gho Ignacio Fernandez - 26
25 - Carlos Villalba Kevin Castano - 22
23 - Elian Ezequiel Gimenez Rodrigo Aliendro - 29
15 - Leandro Suhr Franco Mastantuono - 30
10 - Gabriel Carabajal Miguel Borja - 9
18 - Ivan Andres Morales Bravo Ian Martin Subiabre - 38

Substitutes

20 - Franco Frias Facundo Colidio - 11
22 - Valentin Burgoa Enzo Perez - 24
5 - Manuel Garcia Manuel Lanzini - 10
36 - Santiago Morales Santiago Simon - 31
8 - Federico Paradela Maximiliano Meza - 8
17 - Jeremias Vallejos Matias Rojas - 7
40 - Brandon Marquez Sebastian Driussi - 15
7 - Pablo Magnin Marcos Acuna - 21
34 - Agustin Seyral Paulo Diaz - 17
31 - Tomas Guiacobini Lucas Martinez Quarta - 28
12 - Thyago Ayala Gonzalo Tapia - 19
21 - Alex Vigo Jeremias Ledesma - 25
  • Principal (5)
Mostrar estat. do 1º tempo
Data Casa Placar Jogando fora de casa 1x2 Queda Handicap Asiático em Casa Linha de Gol Escanteios Asiáticos Ataques Perigosos Total de chutes Chutes a Gol Escanteios     
15-03-2026 22:45 1 [5] River Plate 2 - 0 Sarmiento [12] 1 4
S: - 4.50 ?
K: ?3.75 -
 10%
?
1.775
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?

34-2

?-?

10-2

Abrir página única
12-10-2025 22:15 2 [5] River Plate 0 - 1 Sarmiento [12] 5
S: - 4.33 ?
K: ?4.33 -
 9%
?
1.800
-
?
?
1.900, 1.900
?-?

28-7

?-?

13-3

Abrir página única
28-07-2024 21:30 [12] River Plate 1 - 0 Sarmiento [14] 1
S: - 4.10 ?
K: ?4.75 -
 13%
?
1.925
-
?
?
2.000, 1.800
?-?

30-1

?-?

5-1

Abrir página única
20-03-2023 0:30 3 [18] Sarmiento 0 - 2 River Plate [2] 2
S: - 3.40 ?
K: ?4.00 -
 12%
?
1.825
-
?
?
1.950, 1.850
?-?

15-25

?-?

9-7

Abrir página única
31-07-2022 23:30 1 [12] River Plate 1 - 2 Sarmiento [22] 3
S: - 4.75 ?
K: ?5.00 -
 3%
?
2.000
-
?
?
1.875, 1.925
?-?
28-4
?-?
6-4
Abrir página única
Sarmiento River Plate
94 - 15th Shot On Target - Sarmiento
92 - 3rd Offside - Sarmiento
Substitution 88 - Substitution - Sarmiento
Substitution 89 - Substitution - Sarmiento
86 - 14th Shot On Target - Sarmiento
Substitution 82 - Substitution - Sarmiento
83 - 13th Shot On Target - River Plate
Substitution 79 - Substitution - River Plate
81 - 12th Shot On Target - River Plate
81 - 5th Yellow Card - River Plate
81 - 12th Shot On Target - River Plate
Corner 81 - 9th Corner - River Plate
33 - 5th Shot On Target - River Plate
76 - 14th Shot Off Target - Sarmiento
75 - 13th Shot Off Target - Sarmiento
74 - 12th Shot Off Target - Sarmiento
73 - 11th Shot Off Target - River Plate
71 - 10th Shot Off Target - River Plate
72 - 4th Yellow Card - Sarmiento
70 - 9th Shot Off Target - Sarmiento
Substitution 67 - Substitution - River Plate
69 - 3rd Yellow Card - River Plate
67 - 8th Shot Off Target - Sarmiento
Corner 67 - 8th Corner - Sarmiento
63 - 11th Shot On Target - Sarmiento
Substitution 58 - Substitution - Sarmiento
Substitution 59 - Substitution - Sarmiento
56 - 7th Shot Off Target - River Plate
Corner 56 - 7th Corner - River Plate
47 - 10th Shot On Target - Sarmiento
47 - 6th Shot Off Target - Sarmiento
46 - 9th Shot On Target - River Plate
46 - 8th Shot On Target - River Plate
Substitution 46 - Substitution - River Plate
Corner 48 - 6th Corner - River Plate
Substitution 46 - Substitution - River Plate
Substitution 46 - Substitution - River Plate
45+3 - 5th Shot Off Target - Sarmiento
45+3 - 4th Shot Off Target - Sarmiento
Corner 45+3 - 5th Corner - Sarmiento
45+1 - 7th Shot On Target - Sarmiento
45 - 2nd Assist - Sarmiento
45 - 6th Shot On Target - Sarmiento
Goal 44 - 2nd Goal - Sarmiento
41 - 2nd Offside - Sarmiento
34 - 3rd Shot Off Target - Sarmiento
33 - 5th Shot On Target - River Plate
29 - 2nd Shot Off Target - River Plate
30 - 1st Assist - River Plate
30 - 4th Shot On Target - River Plate
Goal 30 - 1st Goal - River Plate
Corner 29 - 4th Corner - River Plate
18 - 1st Offside - River Plate
24 - 3rd Shot On Target - Sarmiento
Corner 25 - 3rd Corner - Sarmiento
20 - 1st Shot Off Target - River Plate
Corner 20 - 2nd Corner - River Plate
17 - 2nd Shot On Target - River Plate
18 - 1st Offside - River Plate
17 - 2nd Shot On Target - River Plate
17 - 1st Shot On Target - River Plate
17 - 2nd Shot On Target - River Plate
17 - 1st Shot On Target - River Plate
16 - 2nd Yellow Card - Sarmiento
14 - 1st Yellow Card - River Plate
Corner 1 - 1st Corner - Sarmiento
  • Atual
  • 1st Half
  • 2nd Half
  • Últimos 5
  • Últimos 10
  • Últimos 15
  • Últimos 20
  • Últimos 25
  • Desde o Último Gol
Tempo inteiro xG Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Offsides Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Injures Gols
Sarmiento 0.69 4 2 0 0 5 3 6 5 11 82 1 1
River Plate 1.00 5 3 0 0 5 1 4 2 15 97 2 1
29%
Posse
71%
6
Chutes a Gol
7
8
Chutes fora do Gol
5
108
Ataques
128
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
01:25 - 1x2: 26.000 1.040 15.000
01:19 - Asian Handicap: (0) 2.900, 1.425
01:24 - Goal Line: (2.5) 8.500, 1.080
Últimos 15 minutos Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
Sarmiento 0 0 0 0 3 0
River Plate 1 1 0 0 1 0
-
Posse
-
0
Chutes a Gol
2
2
Chutes fora do Gol
0
22
Ataques
31
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
1st Half Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
Sarmiento 3 1 0 0 0 1
River Plate 2 1 0 0 3 1
-
Posse
-
5
Chutes a Gol
4
1
Chutes fora do Gol
1
45
Ataques
60
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
2º tempo Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
Sarmiento 1 1 0 0 5 0
River Plate 3 2 0 0 0 0
-
Posse
-
1
Chutes a Gol
3
7
Chutes fora do Gol
4
63
Ataques
68
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
Last 5 minutes Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
Sarmiento 0 0 0 0 2 0
River Plate 0 0 0 0 0 0
-
Posse
-
0
Chutes a Gol
0
1
Chutes fora do Gol
0
15
Ataques
19
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
Last 10 minutes Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
Sarmiento 0 0 0 0 3 0
River Plate 0 1 0 0 0 0
-
Posse
-
0
Chutes a Gol
1
1
Chutes fora do Gol
0
21
Ataques
28
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
Últimos 15 minutos Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
Sarmiento 0 0 0 0 0 0
River Plate 1 1 0 0 1 0
-
Posse
-
0
Chutes a Gol
2
2
Chutes fora do Gol
0
22
Ataques
31
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
Last 20 minutes Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
Sarmiento 0 1 0 0 3 0
River Plate 1 1 0 0 1 0
-
Posse
-
0
Chutes a Gol
2
4
Chutes fora do Gol
1
26
Ataques
34
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
Last 25 minutes Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
Sarmiento 1 1 0 0 3 0
River Plate 1 2 0 0 0 0
-
Posse
-
0
Chutes a Gol
2
6
Chutes fora do Gol
2
35
Ataques
42
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
Desde o Último Gol Escanteios Pênaltis Substituições Gols
Sarmiento 2 1 0 0 5 0
River Plate 3 2 0 0 5 0
-
Posse
-
2
Chutes a Gol
3
8
Chutes fora do Gol
4
66
Ataques
69
?
Ataques Perigosos
?
01:25 - 1x2: 26.000 1.040 15.000
01:19 - Asian Handicap: (0) 2.900, 1.425
01:24 - Goal Line: (2.5) 8.500, 1.080

1X2 Odds

Ataques Perigosos

Chutes a Gol

Chutes fora do Gol

Posse

Ataques

Estatísticas com base nos últimos jogos

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Argentina Liga Profesional

  • Overall
  • Casa
  • Jogando fora de casa

Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Argentinos Jrs 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Barracas Central 2 0 0 2:0 6
3 Atlético Tucumán 1 1 0 2:0 4
4 Independiente Rivadavia 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Racing Club 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Banfield 1 1 1 3:3 4
7 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1 1 1 1:3 4
8 Belgrano 1 0 1 2:2 3
8 Huracan 1 0 1 2:2 3
8 Gimnasia LP 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Aldosivi 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Rosario Central 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 CA Tigre 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Sarmiento 0 0 2 4:6 0
15 River Plate 0 0 2 0:2 0

Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 CA Independiente 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 0 1 3:1 6
4 Defensa y Justicia 1 1 1 3:5 4
5 Deportivo Riestra 1 0 1 4:2 3
6 Estudiantes LP 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Lanus 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Instituto AC Cordoba 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 San Lorenzo 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Newell's 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Platense 0 1 1 3:4 1
12 Union Santa Fe 0 1 1 2:4 1
13 CA Talleres de Córdoba 0 0 2 1:4 0
14 Boca Juniors 0 0 1 0:3 0
14 Central Cordoba 0 0 2 0:3 0

Apertura, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 10 4 2 29:15 34
2 River Plate 9 2 5 22:12 29
3 Argentinos Jrs 8 5 3 17:13 29
4 Rosario Central 8 4 4 20:16 28
5 Belgrano 7 5 4 17:13 26
6 Gimnasia LP 8 2 6 19:19 26
7 Huracan 5 7 4 17:13 22
8 Racing Club 5 6 5 17:15 21
9 Barracas Central 5 6 5 15:15 21
10 CA Tigre 4 8 4 18:15 20
11 Sarmiento 6 1 9 13:20 19
12 Banfield 5 3 8 17:19 18
13 Atlético Tucumán 3 5 8 15:20 14
14 Aldosivi 0 8 8 6:19 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1 2 13 5:24 5

Apertura, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Estudiantes LP 9 4 3 19:7 31
2 Boca Juniors 8 6 2 22:9 30
3 Velez Sarsfield 7 7 2 18:12 28
4 CA Talleres de Córdoba 7 5 4 17:13 26
5 CA Independiente 6 6 4 24:20 24
6 Lanus 6 6 4 18:15 24
7 San Lorenzo 5 7 4 14:14 22
8 Union Santa Fe 5 6 5 24:20 21
9 Instituto AC Cordoba 6 3 7 17:17 21
10 Defensa y Justicia 4 7 5 18:21 19
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 5 4 7 14:22 19
12 Platense 3 7 6 10:15 16
13 Central Cordoba 4 4 8 11:21 16
14 Newell's 3 6 7 15:27 15
15 Deportivo Riestra 1 8 7 5:12 11

Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1 1 0 1:0 4
2 Argentinos Jrs 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Banfield 1 0 0 3:2 3
4 Independiente Rivadavia 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Racing Club 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Barracas Central 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Huracan 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Gimnasia LP 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Belgrano 1 0 1 2:2 3
10 Atlético Tucumán 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Rosario Central 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Aldosivi 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 CA Tigre 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Sarmiento 0 0 1 2:3 0
15 River Plate 0 0 1 0:1 0

Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Defensa y Justicia 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Deportivo Riestra 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Estudiantes LP 1 0 1 3:2 3
5 Instituto AC Cordoba 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 CA Independiente 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Lanus 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 San Lorenzo 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Newell's 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Velez Sarsfield 1 0 0 1:0 3
11 Platense 0 1 0 2:2 1
12 Boca Juniors 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Union Santa Fe 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 CA Talleres de Córdoba 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Central Cordoba 0 0 1 0:2 0

Apertura, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Argentinos Jrs 6 3 0 10:4 21
2 Independiente Rivadavia 6 1 2 19:10 19
3 Sarmiento 5 1 2 9:6 16
4 River Plate 5 0 3 14:8 15
5 Belgrano 4 2 2 11:5 14
6 Banfield 4 2 2 10:6 14
7 Rosario Central 4 2 2 10:7 14
8 CA Tigre 3 4 1 11:8 13
9 Huracan 4 1 3 11:8 13
10 Gimnasia LP 4 1 3 11:10 13
11 Atlético Tucumán 2 5 1 8:6 11
12 Barracas Central 3 2 3 9:8 11
13 Racing Club 2 3 2 7:7 9
14 Aldosivi 0 7 1 3:5 7
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1 1 6 4:10 4

Apertura, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Estudiantes LP 5 1 2 11:4 16
2 CA Independiente 4 3 1 15:9 15
3 Velez Sarsfield 4 3 1 9:6 15
4 Boca Juniors 3 5 0 8:3 14
5 Union Santa Fe 3 4 1 11:5 13
6 Lanus 3 4 1 9:5 13
7 CA Talleres de Córdoba 4 1 2 9:5 13
8 Instituto AC Cordoba 4 1 3 11:8 13
9 Central Cordoba 4 1 3 10:9 13
10 Gimnasia Mendoza 4 1 3 9:8 13
11 San Lorenzo 3 2 3 10:11 11
12 Deportivo Riestra 1 5 2 4:4 8
13 Defensa y Justicia 1 5 2 7:10 8
14 Platense 2 2 4 4:8 8
15 Newell's 1 4 3 6:10 7

Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Argentinos Jrs 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Atlético Tucumán 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Barracas Central 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Independiente Rivadavia 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Racing Club 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Aldosivi 0 1 1 1:2 1
7 Banfield 0 1 1 0:1 1
8 Belgrano 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Sarmiento 0 0 1 2:3 0
10 Huracan 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Rosario Central 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Gimnasia LP 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 River Plate 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 CA Tigre 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0 0 1 0:3 0

Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Velez Sarsfield 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 CA Independiente 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Union Santa Fe 0 1 1 2:4 1
4 Lanus 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Estudiantes LP 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Platense 0 0 1 1:2 0
6 Deportivo Riestra 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 San Lorenzo 0 0 1 0:1 0
8 Instituto AC Cordoba 0 0 1 0:1 0
8 Newell's 0 0 1 0:1 0
11 Central Cordoba 0 0 1 0:1 0
11 CA Talleres de Córdoba 0 0 1 0:1 0
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Boca Juniors 0 0 1 0:3 0
14 Defensa y Justicia 0 0 1 0:3 0

Apertura, Group B

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Independiente Rivadavia 4 3 0 10:5 15
2 River Plate 4 2 2 8:4 14
3 Rosario Central 4 2 2 10:9 14
4 Gimnasia LP 4 1 3 8:9 13
5 Racing Club 3 3 3 10:8 12
6 Belgrano 3 3 2 6:8 12
7 Barracas Central 2 4 2 6:7 10
8 Huracan 1 6 1 6:5 9
9 Argentinos Jrs 2 2 3 7:9 8
10 CA Tigre 1 4 3 7:7 7
11 Banfield 1 1 6 7:13 4
12 Atlético Tucumán 1 0 7 7:14 3
13 Sarmiento 1 0 7 4:14 3
14 Aldosivi 0 1 7 3:14 1
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0 1 7 1:14 1

Apertura, Group A

P Times W D L Gols PO
1 Boca Juniors 5 1 2 14:6 16
2 Estudiantes LP 4 3 1 8:3 15
3 Velez Sarsfield 3 4 1 9:6 13
4 CA Talleres de Córdoba 3 4 2 8:8 13
5 San Lorenzo 2 5 1 4:3 11
6 Defensa y Justicia 3 2 3 11:11 11
7 Lanus 3 2 3 9:10 11
8 CA Independiente 2 3 3 9:11 9
9 Platense 1 5 2 6:7 8
10 Union Santa Fe 2 2 4 13:15 8
11 Instituto AC Cordoba 2 2 4 6:9 8
12 Newell's 2 2 4 9:17 8
13 Gimnasia Mendoza 1 3 4 5:14 6
14 Deportivo Riestra 0 3 5 1:8 3
15 Central Cordoba 0 3 5 1:12 3
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  • What it measures: Tracks how often a team scores the next goal after the opponent has taken the lead
  • How it works: Every time a team falls behind, the system records whether they manage to score the next goal or not
  • Enhanced accuracy: You can exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics (feature added January 2025)
  • Transparency: Hover over any Comeback Factor stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation

Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

How do Likelihood Stats help identify value bets?

Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

  • Comprehensive Market Coverage: Covers all possible markets from First Half Overs to Corners and everything in between
  • Color-Coded Indicators: Visual system makes it easy to spot at a glance whether odds represent good value or not
  • Historical Validation: Shows how current match statistics compare to historical performance patterns
  • In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

Combine Likelihood Stats with live statistics to avoid situations where real-time stats aren't backed up by historical performance. This dual approach helps identify genuinely profitable betting opportunities rather than statistical anomalies.

What are Variance Stats and how do they identify mispriced teams?

Variance Stats (also called Error Stats) show the average difference from starting lines, helping you identify mispriced teams in seconds:

  • Asian Handicap Variance: Shows which teams consistently outperform or underperform their handicap lines
  • Goal Line Variance: Identifies teams whose matches regularly go over or under expected totals
  • Asian Corners Variance: Reveals teams that generate more or fewer corners than bookmakers expect
  • Quick Identification: Find the most mispriced teams in your league or competition instantly

Variance Stats help you exploit consistent market inefficiencies by showing which teams the bookmakers systematically misprice across the most popular betting markets.

What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
  • Percentage Display: Shows as a percentage (e.g., 66% means one team has twice the combined attacking stats)

Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

What subscription plans does BetBallers offer and what features are included?

BetBallers offers a free trial and multiple subscription tiers to suit different betting needs:

  • Free 2-Day Trial: €4.90 - Test all features with full access for 2 days
  • 1-Month Gold-Baller: €29.99 - Full access to all features including AI Assistant and backtesting system
  • 6-Month Gold-Baller: €149.90 - Extended subscription with significant savings per month

All Gold-Baller subscriptions include:

  • Live scores and in-play statistics for all major leagues
  • Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
  • Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
  • AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
  • Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.